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Diastolic wall strain (DWS) is based on the linear elastic theory, according to which decreased wall thinning during diastole reflects reduced left ventricular compliance and thus increased diastolic stiffness. Increased diastolic stiffness as assessed by DWS is associated with a worse prognosis in patients who have heart failure (HF) with preserved ejection fraction. However, there are no data about the prognostic value of DWS derived by M-mode echocardiography in patients at risk for HF. We retrospectively enrolled 1829 consecutive patients without prior HF who were hospitalized for cardiovascular (CV) diseases in our hospital between 2005 and 2012. Patients were divided into two groups stratified by DWS (median value 0.34). The study endpoint was the composite of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including all-cause death, myocardial infarction, stroke, and hospitalization for HF. Over a 4.2-year median follow-up, adverse events were observed in 322 patients (17.6%). In Kaplan-Meier analysis, patients with low DWS (≤ 0.34, n = 915) showed worse prognoses than those with high DWS (> 0.34, n = 914) (MACE incidence 39.4% versus 31.9%, P = 0.011). In multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis after the adjustment for age, sex, and echocardiographic parameters, low DWS (≤ 0.34) was significantly associated with the incidence of MACE (hazard ratio: 1.26, 95% confidence interval: 1.01-1.59; P = 0 .045). In patients without prior HF, DWS is an independent predictor of MACE. Simple assessment of DWS might improve risk stratification for CV events in those patients.

Inflammatory biomarkers have been proposed for use in the risk stratification of patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). We examined the value of inflammatory biomarkers over clinical features for predicting cardiovascular (CV) events in stable outpatients with MI. We enrolled 430 post-MI patients and measured their levels of high-sensitivity C reactive protein (hs-CRP), growth differentiation factor-15 (GDF-15), and the interleukin-1 receptor family member called ST2 (ST2), one month after AMI. Patients were prospectively followed for 3 years. In our study cohort (mean age, 66 ± 12 years; left ventricular ejection fraction, 55 ± 13%), CV events were observed in 39 patients (9.1%). Kaplan- Meier analysis revealed that patients with high levels of GDF-15 (≥ 1221.0 ng/L) showed poorer prognoses than those with low levels of GDF-15 (< 1221.0 ng/L) (20.4% versus 3.6%, P < 0.001); hs-CRP and ST2 did not show a similar correlation with prognoses. GDF-15 remained associated with CV events after adjusting for age, chronic kidney disease, and B-type natriuretic peptide (hazard ratio, 1.001; 95% confidence interval, 1.000 - 1.001; P = 0.046). GDF-15 provided an incremental predictive value for CV events over clinical features (incremental value in global χ(2) = 43.81, P < 0.001). In outpatients with prior MI, GDF-15 was an independent indicator of CV events, unlike hs-CRP and ST2. GDF15 provided an incremental prognostic value over clinical features.