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In this thesis, by collecting and analyzing relevant data, we research the correlation between number of examinees taking the college entrance examination (hereafter referred to as “the number of examinees”) and the school-age population base in light of the decrease in the number of applicants for the 2009 college entrance examination. For the first time, the variation tendency of the number of examinees is analyzed from the proportion of the number of examinees to the school-age population base, and mathematical methods are applied to analyze the correlation between the two. The results of the study are as follows: 1. Although the number of applications decreased in 2009, the proportion of the number of applicants to school-age population base increased; 2. School-age population base is a major factor affecting the number of examinees and it shows a positive correlation between the two; 3. A mathematical model is built to forecast the number of examinees, which can be used to scientifically forecast the number of examinees in 2010.