Search

This paper predicts Net Carbon Emissions of Yunnan form 2007 to 2050 through energy consumption carbon emissions based on economic growth model and forest carbon sinks based on CO2FIX model. Further, we analyze the influencing factors of carbon emissions reduction and the contribution of forest carbon sinks to carbon emissions reduction, and then study low-carbon economy. The curves of energy consumption carbon emissions and net carbon emissions have an inverted "U" type, respectively with a peak value 129.71 MtC at 2035 and 118.89 MtC at 2035. We study carbon emissions from all aspects, including carbon emissions intensity, the carbon emissions, the declining rate of carbon emissions intensity, and the per capita net carbon emissions. Finally, we found that carbon emissions is more than carbon sinks by forests, and net carbon emissions inevitably increase due to the high-speed development of the economy, Afforestation and protecting the original forests can ecologically reduce carbon emissions. Facing the global carbon emissions, we need to develop low-carbon economy and take the path of sustainable development.