1. Fingerprint of climate change in precipitation aggressiveness across the central Mediterranean (Italian) area
- Author
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Nazzareno Diodato, Fredrik Charpentier Ljungqvist, Gianni Bellocchi, University Corporation for Atmospheric Research (UCAR), Stockholm University, Unité Mixte de Recherche sur l'Ecosystème Prairial - UMR (UREP), and VetAgro Sup - Institut national d'enseignement supérieur et de recherche en alimentation, santé animale, sciences agronomiques et de l'environnement (VAS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)
- Subjects
Mediterranean climate ,Return period ,trends ,future ,reconstruction ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Science ,[SDE.MCG]Environmental Sciences/Global Changes ,0208 environmental biotechnology ,Climate change ,02 engineering and technology ,01 natural sciences ,Article ,Soil loss ,homogeneity test ,patterns ,Precipitation ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences ,Multidisciplinary ,extreme precipitation ,variability ,15. Life on land ,flood ,020801 environmental engineering ,north-atlantic oscillation ,Environmental sciences ,monthly rainfall erosivity ,13. Climate action ,Erosion ,Period (geology) ,Medicine ,Environmental science ,Physical geography ,Hydrology ,Climate sciences - Abstract
Rainfall erosivity and its derivative, erosivity density (ED, i.e., the erosivity per unit of rain), is a main driver of considerable environmental damages and economic losses worldwide. This study is the first to investigate the interannual variability, and return periods, of both rainfall erosivity and ED over the Mediterranean for the period 1680–2019. By capturing the relationship between seasonal rainfall, its variability, and recorded hydrological extremes in documentary data consistent with a sample (1981–2015) of detailed Revised Universal Soil Loss Erosion-based data, we show a noticeable decreasing trend of rainfall erosivity since about 1838. However, the 30-year return period of ED values indicates a positive long-term trend, in tandem with the resurgence of very wet days (> 95th percentile) and the erosive activity of rains during the past two decades. A possible fingerprint of recent warming is the occurrence of prolonged wet spells in apparently more erratic and unexpected ways.
- Published
- 2020
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