1. Joint effects of intensity and duration of cigarette smoking on the risk of head and neck cancer: A bivariate spline model approach
- Author
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Philip Lazarus, Claire M. Healy, Richard B. Hayes, Rolando Herrero, Elaine M. Smith, Stefania Boccia, Leonardo F. Boaventura Rios, Paolo Boffetta, Dana Mates, Jerry Polesel, Marta Vilensky, Jose P. Zevallos, Diego Serraino, Gypsyamber D'Souza, Joshua E. Muscat, Kirsten B. Moysich, Yuan Chin Amy Lee, Mark P. Purdue, Carlo La Vecchia, Heribert Ramroth, Thomas L. Vaughan, Peter Thomson, Karl T. Kelsey, Nicola Torelli, Wolfgang Ahrens, Hermann Brenner, Lorenzo Richiardi, Victor Wünsch-Filho, Kristina Kjærheim, Beata Swiatkowska, Keitaro Matsuo, Fabio Levi, Erich M. Sturgis, Eva Negri, Lorenzo Simonato, Danièle Luce, Guo Pei Yu, Chu Chen, Pagona Lagiou, Silvia Franceschi, Andrew F. Olshan, Alexander W. Daudt, Antonio Agudo, Maria Paula Curado, Peter Rudnai, Tatiana V. Macfarlane, Zuo-Feng Zhang, Mia Hashibe, Paul Brennan, Tatiana Natasha Toporcov, Stimson P. Schantz, Maura L. Gillison, Isabelle Stücker, Tongzhang Zheng, Shu Chun Chuang, Oxana Shangina, Eleonora Fabianova, Hal Morgenstern, David I. Conway, Valeria Edefonti, Cristina Bosetti, Ariana Znaor, Leticia Fernandez, Michael D. McClean, Luigino Dal Maso, Neil D. Gross, Stephen M. Schwartz, Ivana Holcatova, Guojun Li, Ana M. B. Menezes, Francesco Pauli, Gioia Di Credico, Deborah M. Winn, Rosalina Jorge Koifman, Gwenn Menvielle, Gabriella Cadoni, Werner Garavello, Jolanda Lissowska, Università degli Studi di Milano [Milano] (UNIMI), Institut de recherche en santé, environnement et travail (Irset), Université d'Angers (UA)-Université de Rennes 1 (UR1), Université de Rennes (UNIV-RENNES)-Université de Rennes (UNIV-RENNES)-École des Hautes Études en Santé Publique [EHESP] (EHESP)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM)-Structure Fédérative de Recherche en Biologie et Santé de Rennes ( Biosit : Biologie - Santé - Innovation Technologique ), Centre de recherche en épidémiologie et santé des populations (CESP), Assistance publique - Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP) (AP-HP)-Université Paris-Sud - Paris 11 (UP11)-Hôpital Paul Brousse-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ), Centre International de Recherche contre le Cancer - International Agency for Research on Cancer (CIRC - IARC), Organisation Mondiale de la Santé / World Health Organization Office (OMS / WHO), University of Glasgow, Institut Pierre Louis d'Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique (iPLESP), Sorbonne Université (SU)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM), TW001500, National Institutes of Health, P30ES010126, National Institute of Environmental Health Sciences, Italian Ministry of Education, Università degli Studi di Milano, Jonsson Comprehensive Cancer Center, International Union Against Cancer, Fondo para la Investigacion Cientifica y Tecnologica Argentina, Institut Hospital del Mar d’Investigacions Mediquès (IMIM), Fundação de Amparo à Pesquisa no Estado de São Paulo, Spanish Government, European Community, Ministry of Science, Research and Arts Baden-Wurttemberg, German Ministry of Education and Research, Scientific Research grant from the Ministry of Education, Science, Sports, Culture and Technology of Japan, Labor and Welfare of Japan, Italian Foundation for Cancer Research, Di Credico G., Edefonti V., Polesel J., Pauli F., Torelli N., Serraino D., Negri E., Luce D., Stucker I., Matsuo K., Brennan P., Vilensky M., Fernandez L., Curado M.P., Menezes A., Daudt A.W., Koifman R., Wunsch-Filho V., Holcatova I., Ahrens W., Lagiou P., Simonato L., Richiardi L., Healy C., Kjaerheim K., Conway D.I., Macfarlane T.V., Thomson P., Agudo A., Znaor A., Boaventura Rios L.F., Toporcov T.N., Franceschi S., Herrero R., Muscat J., Olshan A.F., Zevallos J.P., La Vecchia C., Winn D.M., Sturgis E.M., Li G., Fabianova E., Lissowska J., Mates D., Rudnai P., Shangina O., Swiatkowska B., Moysich K., Zhang Z.-F., Morgenstern H., Levi F., Smith E., Lazarus P., Bosetti C., Garavello W., Kelsey K., McClean M., Ramroth H., Chen C., Schwartz S.M., Vaughan T.L., Zheng T., Menvielle G., Boccia S., Cadoni G., Hayes R.B., Purdue M., Gillison M., Schantz S., Yu G.-P., Brenner H., D'Souza G., Gross N.D., Chuang S.-C., Boffetta P., Hashibe M., Lee Y.-C.A., Dal Maso L., Di Credico, G, Edefonti, V, Polesel, J, Pauli, F, Torelli, N, Serraino, D, Negri, E, Luce, D, Stucker, I, Matsuo, K, Brennan, P, Vilensky, M, Fernandez, L, Curado, M, Menezes, A, Daudt, A, Koifman, R, Wunsch-Filho, V, Holcatova, I, Ahrens, W, Lagiou, P, Simonato, L, Richiardi, L, Healy, C, Kjaerheim, K, Conway, D, Macfarlane, T, Thomson, P, Agudo, A, Znaor, A, Boaventura Rios, L, Toporcov, T, Franceschi, S, Herrero, R, Muscat, J, Olshan, A, Zevallos, J, La Vecchia, C, Winn, D, Sturgis, E, Li, G, Fabianova, E, Lissowska, J, Mates, D, Rudnai, P, Shangina, O, Swiatkowska, B, Moysich, K, Zhang, Z, Morgenstern, H, Levi, F, Smith, E, Lazarus, P, Bosetti, C, Garavello, W, Kelsey, K, Mcclean, M, Ramroth, H, Chen, C, Schwartz, S, Vaughan, T, Zheng, T, Menvielle, G, Boccia, S, Cadoni, G, Hayes, R, Purdue, M, Gillison, M, Schantz, S, Yu, G, Brenner, H, D'Souza, G, Gross, N, Chuang, S, Boffetta, P, Hashibe, M, Lee, Y, Dal Maso, L, Di Credico, Gioia, Edefonti, Valeria, Polesel, Jerry, Pauli, Francesco, Torelli, Nicola, Serraino, Diego, Negri, Eva, Luce, Daniele, Stucker, Isabelle, Matsuo, Keitaro, Brennan, Paul, Vilensky, Marta, Fernandez, Leticia, Curado, Maria Paula, Menezes, Ana, Daudt, Alexander W., Koifman, Rosalina, Wunsch-Filho, Victor, Holcatova, Ivana, Ahrens, Wolfgang, Lagiou, Pagona, Simonato, Lorenzo, Richiardi, Lorenzo, Healy, Claire, Kjaerheim, Kristina, Conway, David I., Macfarlane, Tatiana V., Thomson, Peter, Agudo, Antonio, Znaor, Ariana, Boaventura Rios, Leonardo F., Toporcov, Tatiana N., Franceschi, Silvia, Herrero, Rolando, Muscat, Joshua, Olshan, Andrew F., Zevallos, Jose P., La Vecchia, Carlo, Winn, Deborah M., Sturgis, Erich M., Li, Guojun, Fabianova, Eleonora, Lissowska, Jolanda, Mates, Dana, Rudnai, Peter, Shangina, Oxana, Swiatkowska, Beata, Moysich, Kirsten, Zhang, Zuo-Feng, Morgenstern, Hal, Levi, Fabio, Smith, Elaine, Lazarus, Philip, Bosetti, Cristina, Garavello, Werner, Kelsey, Karl, Mcclean, Michael, Ramroth, Heribert, Chen, Chu, Schwartz, Stephen M., Vaughan, Thomas L., Zheng, Tongzhang, Menvielle, Gwenn, Boccia, Stefania, Cadoni, Gabriella, Hayes, Richard B., Purdue, Mark, Gillison, Maura, Schantz, Stimson, Yu, Guo-Pei, Brenner, Hermann, D'Souza, Gypsyamber, Gross, Neil D., Chuang, Shu-Chun, Boffetta, Paolo, Hashibe, Mia, Lee, Yuan-Chin Amy, Dal Maso, Luigino, Università degli Studi di Milano = University of Milan (UNIMI), Université d'Angers (UA)-Université de Rennes (UR)-École des Hautes Études en Santé Publique [EHESP] (EHESP)-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM)-Structure Fédérative de Recherche en Biologie et Santé de Rennes ( Biosit : Biologie - Santé - Innovation Technologique ), Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Université Paris-Sud - Paris 11 (UP11)-Assistance publique - Hôpitaux de Paris (AP-HP) (AP-HP)-Hôpital Paul Brousse-Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM), and Institut National de la Santé et de la Recherche Médicale (INSERM)-Sorbonne Université (SU)
- Subjects
Male ,Oral cavity and pharyngeal cancers ,Cancer Research ,Bivariate spline model ,medicine.medical_treatment ,Logistic regression ,Substance Misuse ,0302 clinical medicine ,Risk Factors ,Laryngeal cancer ,80 and over ,2.2 Factors relating to the physical environment ,Aetiology ,030223 otorhinolaryngology ,Head and neck cancer ,Cancer ,Aged, 80 and over ,Confounding ,Middle Aged ,3. Good health ,Oncology ,Head and Neck Neoplasms ,030220 oncology & carcinogenesis ,Bivariate spline models ,Cigarette smoking duration ,Cigarette smoking intensity ,Public Health and Health Services ,Female ,Oral Surgery ,Adult ,INHANCE ,Oncology and Carcinogenesis ,[SDV.CAN]Life Sciences [q-bio]/Cancer ,Bivariate analysis ,Cigarette Smoking ,03 medical and health sciences ,Rare Diseases ,Clinical Research ,Tobacco ,medicine ,Humans ,Oncology & Carcinogenesis ,Dental/Oral and Craniofacial Disease ,Aged ,Settore MED/06 - ONCOLOGIA MEDICA ,Tobacco Smoke and Health ,business.industry ,Prevention ,Case-control study ,Odds ratio ,medicine.disease ,Former Smoker ,Good Health and Well Being ,Case-Control Studies ,Dentistry ,Smoking cessation ,business ,Demography - Abstract
Objectives: \ud This study aimed at re-evaluating the strength and shape of the dose-response relationship between the combined (or joint) effect of intensity and duration of cigarette smoking and the risk of head and neck cancer (HNC). We explored this issue considering bivariate spline models, where smoking intensity and duration were treated as interacting continuous exposures.\ud \ud Materials and Methods: \ud We pooled individual-level data from 33 case-control studies (18,260 HNC cases and 29,844 controls) participating in the International Head and Neck Cancer Epidemiology (INHANCE) consortium. In bivariate regression spline models, exposures to cigarette smoking intensity and duration (compared with never smokers) were modeled as a linear piecewise function within a logistic regression also including potential confounders. We jointly estimated the optimal knot locations and regression parameters within the Bayesian framework.\ud \ud Results: \ud For oral-cavity/pharyngeal (OCP) cancers, an odds ratio (OR) >5 was reached after 30 years in current smokers of ∼20 or more cigarettes/day. Patterns of OCP cancer risk in current smokers differed across strata of alcohol intensity. For laryngeal cancer, ORs >20 were found for current smokers of ≥20 cigarettes/day for ≥30 years. In former smokers who quit ≥10 years ago, the ORs were approximately halved for OCP cancers, and ∼1/3 for laryngeal cancer, as compared to the same levels of intensity and duration in current smokers.\ud \ud Conclusion: \ud Referring to bivariate spline models, this study better quantified the joint effect of intensity and duration of cigarette smoking on HNC risk, further stressing the need of smoking cessation policies.
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- 2019