1. Low geo-effectiveness of fast halo CMEs related to the 12 X-class flares in 2002
- Author
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Stefaan Poedts, Ryun-Young Kwon, Brigitte Schmieder, Benjamin Grison, Pascal Démoulin, Karine Bocchialini, Rok-Soon Kim, Laboratoire d'études spatiales et d'instrumentation en astrophysique (LESIA (UMR_8109)), Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Observatoire de Paris, Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Paris (UP), Korea Astronomy and Space Science Institute (KASI), Okayama University, Catholic University of Leuven - Katholieke Universiteit Leuven (KU Leuven), University of Science and Technology [Daejeon] (UST), Institute of Atmospheric Physics [Prague] (IAP), Czech Academy of Sciences [Prague] (CAS), Institut d'astrophysique spatiale (IAS), and Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)
- Subjects
Solar proton ,Physics ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Electrojet ,FOS: Physical sciences ,Astrophysics ,Space weather ,Solar physics ,01 natural sciences ,Space Physics (physics.space-ph) ,Geophysics ,Astrophysics - Solar and Stellar Astrophysics ,Physics - Space Physics ,13. Climate action ,Space and Planetary Science ,[SDU]Sciences of the Universe [physics] ,Coronal mass ejection ,Halo ,Interplanetary spaceflight ,Longitude ,[PHYS.ASTR]Physics [physics]/Astrophysics [astro-ph] ,Solar and Stellar Astrophysics (astro-ph.SR) ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences - Abstract
It is generally accepted that extreme space weather events tend to be related to strong flares and fast halo coronal mass ejections CMEs. In the present paper, we carefully identify the chain of events from the Sun to the Earth induced by all 12 X-class flares that occurred in 2002. In this small sample, we find an unusual high rate (58\%) of solar sources with a longitude larger than 74 degrees. Yet, all 12 X-class flares are associated with at least one CME. The fast halo CMEs (50\% ) are related to interplanetary CMEs (ICMEs) at L1 and weak Dst minimum values ($> -51\;$nT); while 5 (41\%) of the 12 X-class flares are related to solar proton events (SPE). We conclude that: (i) All twelve analyzed solar events, even those associated with fast halo CMEs originating from the central disk region, and those ICMEs and SPEs were not very geo-effective. This unexpected result demonstrates that the suggested events in the chain (fast halo CME, X-class flares, central disk region, ICME, SPE) are not infallible proxies for geo-effectiveness. (ii) The low value of integrated and normalized southward component of the IMF ($B^*_z$) may explain the low geo-effectiveness for this small sample. In fact, $B^*_z$ is well correlated to the weak Dst and low auroral electrojet (AE) activity. Hence, the only space weather impact at Earth in 2002 we can explain is based on $B^*_z$ at L1., 33 pages, 12 figures
- Published
- 2020
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