1. From Covid 'today' to low-carbon 'tomorrow': analysis of foreign forecasts for the development of world energy
- Author
-
Alexey M. Mastepanov
- Subjects
Consumption (economics) ,QE1-996.5 ,Natural resource economics ,business.industry ,Climate change ,Geology ,Primary Energy Resources ,Energy consumption ,energy poverty ,Geophysics ,World economy ,Energy development ,energy transition ,Order (exchange) ,Greenhouse gas ,energy consumption ,Economics ,forecasts and scenarios ,business ,renewable energy sources ,coronavirus pandemic ,energy efficiency - Abstract
The article is devoted to the analysis of forecasts of the world energy development made recently (from September 2020 to May 2021) by the world’s leading analytical centers, taking into account “the new reality” – the coronavirus pandemic. The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on the development of the world economy and energy consumption and the estimates of its consequences on long-term global economic growth made in various forecasts and prognostic studies are considered. It is shown that the priority of most of the prognostic estimates of the world consumption of primary energy resources made by the world’s leading analytical centers in recent years is a sharp reduction in CO2 emissions by energy and stabilization of global anthropogenic greenhouse gas emissions in order to prevent negative climate changes on our planet. A conditional classification of scenarios for the prospective development of global energy is given, depending on the ideology that is embedded in them, an analysis of the fulfilled forecasts is given. It is concluded that Russian research structures need to develop their own similar forecasts. © 2021 А.М. Mastepanov.
- Published
- 2021