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Background: Studies exploring the predictive performance of major risk factors associated with future stroke events are insufficient, and a useful tool to predict individual risk is not available. Therefore, personalized advice for preventing future stroke in patients with moyamoya disease (MMD) cannot provide evidence-based recommendations. The aim of this study was to develop a novel nomogram with reliable validity to predict the individual risk of future stroke for adult MMD patients. Methods: This study included 450 patients from seven medical centers between January 2013 and December 2018. Follow-ups were performed via clinical visits and/or telephone interviews from initial discharge to December 2019. The cohort was randomly assigned to a training set (2/3, n = 300) for nomogram development and a test set (1/3, n = 150) for external validation. The Kaplan-Meier analyses and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were applied to assess the clinical benefits of this nomogram. Results: Diabetes mellitus, a family history of MMD, a past history of stroke or transient ischemic attack, clinical manifestation, and treatment were identified as major risk factors via the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) method. A nomogram including these predictors was established via a multivariate Cox regression model, which displayed excellent discrimination [Harrell's concordance index (C-index), 0.85; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.75–0.96] and calibration. In the external validation, the nomogram was found to have good discrimination (C-index, 0.81; 95% CI: 0.68–0.94) and calibration. In the subgroup analysis, this predictive nomogram also showed great performance in both ischemic-type (C-index, 0.90; 95% CI: 0.77–1.00) and hemorrhagic-type MMD (C-index, 0.72; 95% CI: 0.61–0.83). Furthermore, the nomogram was shown to have potential in clinical practice through Kaplan-Meier analyses and ROC curves. Conclusions: We developed a novel nomogram incorporating several clinical characteristics with relatively good accuracy, which may have considerable potential for evaluating individual future stroke risk and providing useful management recommendations for adult patients with MMD in clinical practice. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The use of antiplatelet agents in ischemic moyamoya disease (MMD) is controversial. This study aimed to investigate the effectiveness and safety of antiplatelet therapy compared with conservative treatment and surgical revascularization in ischemic MMD patients. Methods: Ischemic MMD patients were retrospectively enrolled from eight clinical sites from January 2013 to December 2018. Follow-up was performed through clinical visits and/or telephone interviews from first discharge to December 2019. The primary outcome was the episodes of further ischemic attacks, and the secondary outcome was the individual functional status. Risk factors for future stroke were identified by the LASSO-Cox regression model. Propensity score matching was applied to assemble a cohort of patients with similar baseline characteristics using the TriMatch package. Results: Among 217 eligible patients, 159 patients were included in the analyses after a 1:1:1 propensity score matching. At a mean follow-up of 33 months, 12 patients (7.5%) developed further incident cerebral ischemic events (surgical:antiplatelet:conservative = 1:3:8; p = 0.030), 26 patients (16.4%) developed a poor functional status (surgical:antiplatelet:conservative = 7:12:7; p = 0.317), and 3 patients (1.8%) died of cerebral hemorrhage (surgical:antiplatelet:conservative = 1:2:0; p = 0.361). The survival curve showed that the risk of further cerebral ischemic attacks was lowest with surgical revascularization, while antiplatelet therapy was statistically significant for preventing recurrent risks compared with conservative treatment (χ2 = 8.987; p = 0.011). No significant difference was found in the functional status and bleeding events. The LASSO-Cox regression model revealed that a family history of MMD (HR = 6.93; 95% CI: 1.28–37.52; p = 0.025), a past history of stroke or transient ischemic attack (HR = 4.35; 95% CI: 1.09–17.33; p = 0.037), and treatment (HR = 0.05; 95% CI: 0.01–0.32; p = 0.001) were significantly related to the risk of recurrent strokes. Conclusions: Antiplatelet agents were effective and safe in preventing further cerebral ischemic attacks in adult patients with ischemic MMD. They may be a replacement therapy for patients with surgical contraindications and for patients prior to revascularization. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an inflammatory and demyelinating disease of the central nervous system with a variable natural history of relapse and remission. Previous studies have found many differentially expressed genes (DEGs) in the peripheral blood of MS patients and healthy controls, but the value of these genes for predicting the risk of relapse remains elusive. Here we develop and validate an effective and noninvasive gene signature for predicting relapse-free survival (RFS) in MS patients. Methods: Gene expression matrices were downloaded from Gene Expression Omnibus and ArrayExpress. DEGs in MS patients and healthy controls were screened in an integrated analysis of seven data sets. Candidate genes from a combination of protein–protein interaction and weighted correlation network analysis were used to identify key genes related to RFS. An independent data set (GSE15245) was randomized into training and test groups. Univariate and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator–Cox regression analyses were used in the training group to develop a gene signature. A nomogram incorporating independent risk factors was developed via multivariate Cox regression analyses. Kaplan–Meier methods, receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves, and Harrell's concordance index (C-index) were used to estimate the performance of the gene signature and nomogram. The test group was used for external validation. Results: A five-gene signature comprising FTH1, GBP2, MYL6, NCOA4, and SRP9 was used to calculate risk scores to predict individual RFS. The risk score was an independent risk factor, and a nomogram incorporating clinical parameters was established. ROC curves and C-indices demonstrated great performance of these predictive tools in both the training and test groups. Conclusions: The five-gene signature may be a reliable tool for assisting physicians in predicting RFS in clinical practice. We anticipate that these findings could not only facilitate personalized treatment for MS patients but also provide insight into the complex molecular mechanism of this disease. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

To examine the morphological changes of the pituitary glands and linear growth of childhood nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) cases who accepted radiotherapy. A total of 90 children (i.e., age less than 18 years) who were diagnosed as NPC at Sun Yat-sen University Cancer Center from January 2009 to January 2016 were identified by reviewing medical records. Two radiologists reviewed and measured the pre-radiation, post-radiation, and the latest available pituitary gland heights independently. Patients' current height information was collected by telephone interviews. We compared the pituitary height differences using paired t -tests and estimated the pituitary height trajectories within each sex by mixed regression models. Height-for-age Z-score was calculated for each patient using the WHO growth reference data for 5–19 years as reference. Most of the included participants were of male sex (75.6%) and over half were diagnosed at stage IV (58.4%). Among the 90 included participants, 89 had one repeated measurement of the pituitary height and 79 had two repeated measurements of the pituitary height. Seventy six of the 89 childhood NPC participants had reduced pituitary heights after radiation and accounted for 85.4% of the whole population. The means of the pituitary heights before and after radiotherapy were 6.4 ± 1.3 mm and 5.6 ± 1.2 mm (P < 0.001), respectively. The mean of height-for-age Z-score for childhood NPC cases was significantly below zero (−0.54, 95% CI = −0.74, −0.34). We concluded that childhood NPC cases had decreased pituitary heights and stunted linear growth after radiotherapy. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]