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BackgroundImmediate breast reconstruction is widely accepted following oncologic mastectomy. This study aimed to build a novel nomogram predicting the survival outcome for Chinese patients undergoing immediate reconstruction following mastectomy for invasive breast cancer.MethodsA retrospective review of all patients undergoing immediate reconstruction following treatment for invasive breast cancer was performed from May 2001 to March 2016. Eligible patients were assigned to a training set or a validation set. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression models were used to select associate variables. Two nomograms were developed based on the training cohort for breast cancer-specific survival (BCSS) and disease-free survival (DFS). Internal and external validations were performed, and the C-index and calibration plots were generated to evaluate the performance (discrimination and accuracy) of the models.ResultsThe 10-year estimated BCSS and DFS were 90.80% (95% CI: 87.30%–94.40%) and 78.40% (95% CI: 72.50%–84.70%), respectively, in the training cohort. In the validation cohort, they were and 85.60% (95% CI, 75.90%–96.50%) and 84.10% (95% CI, 77.80%–90.90%), respectively. Ten independent factors were used to build a nomogram for prediction of 1-, 5- and 10-year BCSS, while nine were used for DFS. The C-index was 0.841 for BCSS and 0.737 for DFS in internal validation, and the C-index was 0.782 for BCSS and 0.700 for DFS in external validation. The calibration curve for both BCSS and DFS demonstrated acceptable agreement between the predicted and actual observation in the training and the validation cohorts.ConclusionThe nomograms provided valuable visualization of factors predicting BCSS and DFS in invasive breast cancer patients with immediate breast reconstruction. The nomograms may have tremendous potential in guiding individualized decision-making for physicians and patients in choosing the optimized treatment methods.

PurposeConcerns have been raised about the oncologic safety of immediate breast reconstruction (IBR) following mastectomy for breast cancer. This study aimed to evaluate locoregional recurrence (LRR) and distant metastasis (DM) of breast cancer according to its molecular subtype in patients who underwent mastectomy alone or IBR after mastectomy.MethodsIn this retrospective cohort study, consecutive breast cancer patients treated by the single senior surgeon (XZ) between February 2010 and December 2014 were eligible. In total, 389 consecutive patients were included; 295 patients underwent mastectomy alone and 94 patients underwent mastectomy with IBR. Data were retrospectively collected and analyzed for LRR and DM stratified by molecular subtypes.ResultsWith a median follow-up of 73 and 87.5 months, 1.69% of patients in the mastectomy alone group developed LRR compared to 0% in the reconstruction group (p = 0.342) and the total incidence of DMs was 11.52% in patients who received mastectomy alone and 7.44% in patients who received postmastectomy IBR (p = 0.262), respectively. The cumulative incidence of LRR was 2.1% vs. 0% for luminal A, 0% vs. 0% for luminal B, 0% vs. 0% for human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-enriched, and 4.5% vs. 0% for triple-negative in the mastectomy alone group compared to the postmastectomy IBR group. The cumulative incidence of DM was 15.5% vs. 5.7% for luminal A, 10% vs. 8.7% for luminal B, 17.3% vs. 0% for HER2-enriched, and 6.8% vs. 7.1% for triple-negative in the mastectomy alone group compared to the postmastectomy IBR group. On multivariable Cox regression analysis, lymph node metastasis was associated with an increased risk of DM in the mastectomy alone group (p = 0.03) and neoadjuvant chemotherapy was associated with an increased risk of DM in the postmastectomy IBR group (p = 0.021).ConclusionThis study suggests that IBR does not have a negative impact on the LRR and DM of breast cancer according to molecular subtypes.