1. A global analysis of coral bleaching over the past two decades
- Author
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Gregor Hodgson, Shannon Sully, Mary K. Donovan, Deron E. Burkepile, and R. van Woesik
- Subjects
0301 basic medicine ,Hot Temperature ,Coral bleaching ,Science ,Coral ,Physiological ,Climate Change ,General Physics and Astronomy ,Climate change ,02 engineering and technology ,Pacific ocean ,General Biochemistry, Genetics and Molecular Biology ,Article ,03 medical and health sciences ,Animals ,14. Life underwater ,Adaptation ,lcsh:Science ,Life Below Water ,Indian Ocean ,geography ,Analysis of Variance ,Multidisciplinary ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Pacific Ocean ,Coral Reefs ,High intensity ,General Chemistry ,Coral reef ,021001 nanoscience & nanotechnology ,Anthozoa ,Adaptation, Physiological ,Thermal threshold ,Indian ocean ,030104 developmental biology ,Oceanography ,13. Climate action ,Environmental science ,lcsh:Q ,0210 nano-technology - Abstract
Thermal-stress events associated with climate change cause coral bleaching and mortality that threatens coral reefs globally. Yet coral bleaching patterns vary spatially and temporally. Here we synthesize field observations of coral bleaching at 3351 sites in 81 countries from 1998 to 2017 and use a suite of environmental covariates and temperature metrics to analyze bleaching patterns. Coral bleaching was most common in localities experiencing high intensity and high frequency thermal-stress anomalies. However, coral bleaching was significantly less common in localities with a high variance in sea-surface temperature (SST) anomalies. Geographically, the highest probability of coral bleaching occurred at tropical mid-latitude sites (15–20 degrees north and south of the Equator), despite similar thermal stress levels at equatorial sites. In the last decade, the onset of coral bleaching has occurred at significantly higher SSTs (∼0.5 °C) than in the previous decade, suggesting that thermally susceptible genotypes may have declined and/or adapted such that the remaining coral populations now have a higher thermal threshold for bleaching., Coral bleaching is generally linked to higher sea temperatures, but there may be geographic variation in this effect. Here, in a synthesis of global coral bleaching data, the authors show that bleaching probability is highest at mid-latitude sites despite equivalent thermal stress at equatorial sites.
- Published
- 2019