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OBJECTIVE: Antibiotic use rates have declined dramatically since the 1990s. We aimed to determine if, when, and at what level the decline in antibiotic-dispensing rates ended and which diagnoses contributed to the trends. METHODS: Antibiotic dispensings and diagnoses were obtained from 2 health insurers for 3- to

Pneumococcal pneumonia is concentrated among the elderly. Using a decision analytic model, we projected the future incidence of pneumococcal pneumonia and associated healthcare utilization and costs accounting for an aging US population. Between 2004 and 2040, as the population increases by 38, pneumococcal pneumonia hospitalizations will increase by 96 (from 401 000 to 790 000), because population growth is fastest in older age groups experiencing the highest rates of pneumococcal disease. Absent intervention, the total cost of pneumococcal pneumonia will increase by $2.5 billion annually, and the demand for healthcare services for pneumococcal pneumonia, especially inpatient capacity, will double in coming decades. © 2012 The Author.

Background: Streptococcus pneumoniae continues to cause a variety of common clinical syndromes, despite vaccination programs for both adults and children. The total U.S. burden of pneumococcal disease is unknown. Methods: We constructed a decision tree-based model to estimate U.S. healthcare utilization and costs of pneumococcal disease in 2004. Data were obtained from the 2004-2005 National (Hospital) Ambulatory Medical Care Surveys (outpatient visits, antibiotics) and the National Hospital Discharge Survey (hospitalization rates), and CDC surveillance data. Other assumptions regarding the incidence of each syndrome due to pneumococcus, expected health outcomes, and healthcare utilization were derived from literature and expert opinion. Healthcare and time costs used 2007 dollars. Results: We estimate that, in 2004, pneumococcal disease caused 4.0 million illness episodes, 22,000 deaths, 445,000 hospitalizations, 774,000 emergency department visits, 5.0 million outpatient visits, and 4.1 million outpatient antibiotic prescriptions. Direct medical costs totaled $3.5 billion. Pneumonia (866,000 cases) accounted for 22% of all cases and 72% of pneumococcal costs. In contrast, acute otitis media and sinusitis (1.5 million cases each) comprised 75% of cases but only 16% of direct medical costs. Patients ≥65 years old, accounted for most serious cases and the majority of direct medical costs ($1.8 billion in healthcare costs annually). In this age group, pneumonia caused 242,000 hospitalizations, 1.4 million hospital days, 194,000 emergency department visits, 374,000 outpatient visits, and 16,000 deaths. However, if work loss and productivity are considered, the cost of pneumococcal disease among younger working adults (18

OBJECTIVES: The goals were to assess serial changes in Streptococcus pneumoniae serotypes and antibiotic resistance in young children and to evaluate whether risk factors for carriage have been altered by heptavalent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7). METHODS: Nasopharyngeal specimens and questionnaire/medical record data were obtained from children 3 months to

OBJECTIVES. Reducing unnecessary antibiotic use, particularly among children, continues to be a public health priority. Previous intervention studies have been limited by size or design and have shown mixed results. The objective of this study was to determine the impact of a multifaceted, community-wide intervention on overall antibiotic use for young children and on use of broad-spectrum agents. In addition, we sought to compare the intervention's impact on commercially and Medicaid-insured children. METHODS. We conducted a controlled, community-level, cluster-randomized trial in 16 nonoverlapping Massachusetts communities, studied from 1998 to 2003. During 3 years, we implemented a physician behavior-change strategy that included guideline dissemination, small-group education, frequent updates and educational materials, and prescribing feedback. Parents received educational materials by mail and in primary care practices, pharmacies, and child care settings. Using health-plan data, we measured changes in antibiotics dispensed per person-year of observation among children who were aged 3 to

Background. The prevalence of pneumococcal carriage varies widely across communities. This variation is not fully explained by risk factors at the individual level but may be explained by factors producing effects at both the individual and community levels, such as child-care center (CCC) attendance. Methods. We developed a transmission model to evaluate whether the combined risks of attending CCCs and associating with playmates who attend CCCs account for a large proportion of the variability in the prevalence of pneumococcal carriage across communities. We based parameters for the model on data from a multicommunity study. Results. According to our model, differences in the proportion of children who attend CCCs can account for a range of 4%-56% in the prevalence of pneumococcal carriage across communities. Our model, which was based on data collected from 16 Massachusetts communities, predicts that the odds of carriage associated with CCC attendance are 2-3 times the odds associated with no CCC attendance (individual-level effect). The model also predicts that the odds of carriage for nonattendees in a community with CCCs are up to 6 times the odds for children in a community without CCCs (community-level effect). In addition, the mean number of hours spent at CCCs by a single attendee appears to exert effects on pneumococcal carriage that are independent of either the proportion of CCC attendance in the community or the mean number of hours these attendees spend in child care. Conclusions. We used data from multiple communities to develop a transmission model that explains marked differences in pneumococcal carriage across communities by variations in CCC attendance. This model only accounts for CCC attendance among young children and does not include other known risk factors for pneumococcal carriage. © 2005 by the Infectious Diseases Society of America. All rights reserved.

Objective. Despite immunization with heptavalent pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV7), the rising prevalence of antibiotic resistance makes Streptococcus pneumoniae a continuing threat to child health. Data on carriage of resistant organisms by healthy children in communities in which immunization with PCV7 has been implemented will help to define and decrease these risks further. Methods. Children who were