42 results on '"Bedi, P"'
Search Results
2. Researching COVID to enhance recovery (RECOVER) adult study protocol: Rationale, objectives, and design
- Author
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Horwitz, Leora I, Thaweethai, Tanayott, Brosnahan, Shari B, Cicek, Mine S, Fitzgerald, Megan L, Goldman, Jason D, Hess, Rachel, Hodder, SL, Jacoby, Vanessa L, Jordan, Michael R, Krishnan, Jerry A, Laiyemo, Adeyinka O, Metz, Torri D, Nichols, Lauren, Patzer, Rachel E, Sekar, Anisha, Singer, Nora G, Stiles, Lauren E, Taylor, Barbara S, Ahmed, Shifa, Algren, Heather A, Anglin, Khamal, Aponte-Soto, Lisa, Ashktorab, Hassan, Bassett, Ingrid V, Bedi, Brahmchetna, Bhadelia, Nahid, Bime, Christian, Bind, Marie-Abele C, Black, Lora J, Blomkalns, Andra L, Brim, Hassan, Castro, Mario, Chan, James, Charney, Alexander W, Chen, Benjamin K, Chen, Li Qing, Chen, Peter, Chestek, David, Chibnik, Lori B, Chow, Dominic C, Chu, Helen Y, Clifton, Rebecca G, Collins, Shelby, Costantine, Maged M, Cribbs, Sushma K, Deeks, Steven G, Dickinson, John D, Donohue, Sarah E, Durstenfeld, Matthew S, Emery, Ivette F, Erlandson, Kristine M, Facelli, Julio C, Farah-Abraham, Rachael, Finn, Aloke V, Fischer, Melinda S, Flaherman, Valerie J, Fleurimont, Judes, Fonseca, Vivian, Gallagher, Emily J, Gander, Jennifer C, Gennaro, Maria Laura, Gibson, Kelly S, Go, Minjoung, Goodman, Steven N, Granger, Joey P, Greenway, Frank L, Hafner, John W, Han, Jenny E, Harkins, Michelle S, Hauser, Kristine SP, Heath, James R, Hernandez, Carla R, Ho, On, Hoffman, Matthew K, Hoover, Susan E, Horowitz, Carol R, Hsu, Harvey, Hsue, Priscilla Y, Hughes, Brenna L, Jagannathan, Prasanna, James, Judith A, John, Janice, Jolley, Sarah, Judd, SE, Juskowich, Joy J, Kanjilal, Diane G, Karlson, Elizabeth W, Katz, Stuart D, Kelly, J Daniel, Kelly, Sara W, Kim, Arthur Y, Kirwan, John P, Knox, Kenneth S, Kumar, Andre, Lamendola-Essel, Michelle F, Lanca, Margaret, Lee-lannotti, Joyce K, Lefebvre, R Craig, and Levy, Bruce D
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Biomedical and Clinical Sciences ,Clinical Sciences ,Prevention ,Clinical Research ,Emerging Infectious Diseases ,Infectious Diseases ,Infection ,Good Health and Well Being - Abstract
Abstract: Importance: SARS-CoV-2 infection can result in ongoing, relapsing, or new symptoms or other health effects after the acute phase of infection; termed post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC), or long COVID. The characteristics, prevalence, trajectory and mechanisms of PASC are ill-defined. The objectives of the Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery (RECOVER) Multi-site Observational Study of PASC in Adults (RECOVER-Adult) are to: (1) characterize PASC prevalence; (2) characterize the symptoms, organ dysfunction, natural history, and distinct phenotypes of PASC; (3) identify demographic, social and clinical risk factors for PASC onset and recovery; and (4) define the biological mechanisms underlying PASC pathogenesis. Methods: RECOVER-Adult is a combined prospective/retrospective cohort currently planned to enroll 14,880 adults aged ≥18 years. Eligible participants either must meet WHO criteria for suspected, probable, or confirmed infection; or must have evidence of no prior infection. Recruitment occurs at 86 sites in 33 U.S. states, Washington, DC and Puerto Rico, via facility– and community-based outreach. Participants complete quarterly questionnaires about symptoms, social determinants, vaccination status, and interim SARS-CoV-2 infections. In addition, participants contribute biospecimens and undergo physical and laboratory examinations at approximately 0, 90 and 180 days from infection or negative test date, and yearly thereafter. Some participants undergo additional testing based on specific criteria or random sampling. Patient representatives provide input on all study processes. The primary study outcome is onset of PASC, measured by signs and symptoms. A paradigm for identifying PASC cases will be defined and updated using supervised and unsupervised learning approaches with cross– validation. Logistic regression and proportional hazards regression will be conducted to investigate associations between risk factors, onset, and resolution of PASC symptoms. Discussion: RECOVER-Adult is the first national, prospective, longitudinal cohort of PASC among US adults. Results of this study are intended to inform public health, spur clinical trials, and expand treatment options.
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- 2023
3. Smoked cannabis reduces peak cocaine plasma levels and subjective effects in a controlled drug administration study of polysubstance use in men
- Author
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Murray, Conor H, Haney, Margaret, Foltin, Richard W, Manubay, Jeanne, Bedi, Gillinder, and Cooper, Ziva D
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Pharmacology and Pharmaceutical Sciences ,Biomedical and Clinical Sciences ,Substance Misuse ,Clinical Trials and Supportive Activities ,Clinical Research ,Drug Abuse (NIDA only) ,6.1 Pharmaceuticals ,Evaluation of treatments and therapeutic interventions ,Mental health ,Good Health and Well Being ,Male ,Humans ,Cannabis ,Marijuana Smoking ,Dronabinol ,Smoking ,Hallucinogens ,Double-Blind Method ,Cannabinoid Receptor Agonists ,Polysubstance Use ,Cocaine ,Pharmacokinetics ,Subjective Effects ,Medical and Health Sciences ,Psychology and Cognitive Sciences ,Substance Abuse ,Biochemistry and cell biology ,Pharmacology and pharmaceutical sciences ,Epidemiology - Abstract
BackgroundDespite the high prevalence of polysubstance use, outcomes and potential risks associated with common drug combinations are not well characterized. Many individuals who use cocaine also use cannabis, yet little is known about how interactions between the two drugs might contribute to continued co-use.MethodsThe aim of this double-blind, placebo-controlled study was to determine the physiological and subjective effects of smoked cannabis with smoked cocaine, to identify variables that may contribute to the continued use of this drug combination. Healthy, non-treatment seeking volunteers who reported smoking both cocaine and cannabis (N = 9, all males) completed a 13-day inpatient protocol. On session days, cannabis [0.0 or 5.6 % tetrahydrocannabinol (THC)] was administered 28 min prior to cocaine (0, 12, or 25 mg). Dependent measures included pharmacokinetic assessment of THC and cocaine and their respective metabolites, in addition to subjective and cardiovascular effects.ResultsActive cannabis (5.6 % THC) increased plasma levels of THC and the metabolite 11-nor-9-carboxy-Δ9-THC (THCCOOH), as well as subjective ratings of cannabis effects and heart rate relative to inactive cannabis. Cocaine dose-dependently increased plasma cocaine and metabolites and subjective ratings of cocaine effects. Active cannabis pre-treatment decreased plasma levels of cocaine and metabolites. Furthermore, active cannabis attenuated cocaine-related reductions in 'Hunger' and 'Calm.'ConclusionsCannabis pre-treatment altered the subjective experience of smoked cocaine and reduced peak plasma levels of cocaine. Future studies should explore additional doses of each drug and whether these changes also impact cocaine's reinforcing effects.
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- 2023
4. Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery (RECOVER) adult study protocol: Rationale, objectives, and design
- Author
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Horwitz, Leora I, Thaweethai, Tanayott, Brosnahan, Shari B, Cicek, Mine S, Fitzgerald, Megan L, Goldman, Jason D, Hess, Rachel, Hodder, SL, Jacoby, Vanessa L, Jordan, Michael R, Krishnan, Jerry A, Laiyemo, Adeyinka O, Metz, Torri D, Nichols, Lauren, Patzer, Rachel E, Sekar, Anisha, Singer, Nora G, Stiles, Lauren E, Taylor, Barbara S, Ahmed, Shifa, Algren, Heather A, Anglin, Khamal, Aponte-Soto, Lisa, Ashktorab, Hassan, Bassett, Ingrid V, Bedi, Brahmchetna, Bhadelia, Nahid, Bime, Christian, Bind, Marie-Abele C, Black, Lora J, Blomkalns, Andra L, Brim, Hassan, Castro, Mario, Chan, James, Charney, Alexander W, Chen, Benjamin K, Chen, Li Qing, Chen, Peter, Chestek, David, Chibnik, Lori B, Chow, Dominic C, Chu, Helen Y, Clifton, Rebecca G, Collins, Shelby, Costantine, Maged M, Cribbs, Sushma K, Deeks, Steven G, Dickinson, John D, Donohue, Sarah E, Durstenfeld, Matthew S, Emery, Ivette F, Erlandson, Kristine M, Facelli, Julio C, Farah-Abraham, Rachael, Finn, Aloke V, Fischer, Melinda S, Flaherman, Valerie J, Fleurimont, Judes, Fonseca, Vivian, Gallagher, Emily J, Gander, Jennifer C, Gennaro, Maria Laura, Gibson, Kelly S, Go, Minjoung, Goodman, Steven N, Granger, Joey P, Greenway, Frank L, Hafner, John W, Han, Jenny E, Harkins, Michelle S, Hauser, Kristine SP, Heath, James R, Hernandez, Carla R, Ho, On, Hoffman, Matthew K, Hoover, Susan E, Horowitz, Carol R, Hsu, Harvey, Hsue, Priscilla Y, Hughes, Brenna L, Jagannathan, Prasanna, James, Judith A, John, Janice, Jolley, Sarah, Judd, SE, Juskowich, Joy J, Kanjilal, Diane G, Karlson, Elizabeth W, Katz, Stuart D, Kelly, J Daniel, Kelly, Sara W, Kim, Arthur Y, Kirwan, John P, Knox, Kenneth S, Kumar, Andre, Lamendola-Essel, Michelle F, Lanca, Margaret, Lee-Lannotti, Joyce K, Lefebvre, R Craig, and Levy, Bruce D
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Biomedical and Clinical Sciences ,Clinical Sciences ,Prevention ,Coronaviruses ,Infectious Diseases ,Clinical Research ,Emerging Infectious Diseases ,2.1 Biological and endogenous factors ,Infection ,Good Health and Well Being ,Humans ,COVID-19 ,Observational Studies as Topic ,Post-Acute COVID-19 Syndrome ,Prospective Studies ,Retrospective Studies ,SARS-CoV-2 ,Adolescent ,Adult ,Multicenter Studies as Topic ,General Science & Technology - Abstract
ImportanceSARS-CoV-2 infection can result in ongoing, relapsing, or new symptoms or other health effects after the acute phase of infection; termed post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC), or long COVID. The characteristics, prevalence, trajectory and mechanisms of PASC are ill-defined. The objectives of the Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery (RECOVER) Multi-site Observational Study of PASC in Adults (RECOVER-Adult) are to: (1) characterize PASC prevalence; (2) characterize the symptoms, organ dysfunction, natural history, and distinct phenotypes of PASC; (3) identify demographic, social and clinical risk factors for PASC onset and recovery; and (4) define the biological mechanisms underlying PASC pathogenesis.MethodsRECOVER-Adult is a combined prospective/retrospective cohort currently planned to enroll 14,880 adults aged ≥18 years. Eligible participants either must meet WHO criteria for suspected, probable, or confirmed infection; or must have evidence of no prior infection. Recruitment occurs at 86 sites in 33 U.S. states, Washington, DC and Puerto Rico, via facility- and community-based outreach. Participants complete quarterly questionnaires about symptoms, social determinants, vaccination status, and interim SARS-CoV-2 infections. In addition, participants contribute biospecimens and undergo physical and laboratory examinations at approximately 0, 90 and 180 days from infection or negative test date, and yearly thereafter. Some participants undergo additional testing based on specific criteria or random sampling. Patient representatives provide input on all study processes. The primary study outcome is onset of PASC, measured by signs and symptoms. A paradigm for identifying PASC cases will be defined and updated using supervised and unsupervised learning approaches with cross-validation. Logistic regression and proportional hazards regression will be conducted to investigate associations between risk factors, onset, and resolution of PASC symptoms.DiscussionRECOVER-Adult is the first national, prospective, longitudinal cohort of PASC among US adults. Results of this study are intended to inform public health, spur clinical trials, and expand treatment options.RegistrationNCT05172024.
- Published
- 2023
5. Extra-cardiac BCAA catabolism lowers blood pressure and protects from heart failure.
- Author
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Murashige, Danielle, Jung, Jae, Neinast, Michael, Levin, Michael, Chu, Qingwei, Lambert, Jonathan, Garbincius, Joanne, Kim, Boa, Hoshino, Atsushi, Marti-Pamies, Ingrid, McDaid, Kendra, Shewale, Swapnil, Flam, Emily, Yang, Steven, Roberts, Emilia, Li, Li, Morley, Michael, Bedi, Kenneth, Hyman, Matthew, Frankel, David, Margulies, Kenneth, Assoian, Richard, Elrod, John, Rabinowitz, Joshua, Arany, Zoltan, and Jang, Cholsoon
- Subjects
BCAA ,Mendelian randomization ,blood pressure ,branched-chain amino acid ,cardiac metabolism ,cardiovascular metabolism ,heart failure ,hypertension ,metabolomics ,Humans ,Blood Pressure ,Amino Acids ,Branched-Chain ,Heart ,Heart Failure ,Energy Metabolism - Abstract
Pharmacologic activation of branched-chain amino acid (BCAA) catabolism is protective in models of heart failure (HF). How protection occurs remains unclear, although a causative block in cardiac BCAA oxidation is widely assumed. Here, we use in vivo isotope infusions to show that cardiac BCAA oxidation in fact increases, rather than decreases, in HF. Moreover, cardiac-specific activation of BCAA oxidation does not protect from HF even though systemic activation does. Lowering plasma and cardiac BCAAs also fails to confer significant protection, suggesting alternative mechanisms of protection. Surprisingly, activation of BCAA catabolism lowers blood pressure (BP), a known cardioprotective mechanism. BP lowering occurred independently of nitric oxide and reflected vascular resistance to adrenergic constriction. Mendelian randomization studies revealed that elevated plasma BCAAs portend higher BP in humans. Together, these data indicate that BCAA oxidation lowers vascular resistance, perhaps in part explaining cardioprotection in HF that is not mediated directly in cardiomyocytes.
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- 2022
6. Integrated landscape of cardiac metabolism in end-stage human nonischemic dilated cardiomyopathy.
- Author
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Murashige, Danielle, Yang, Yifan, Morley, Michael, Jung, Sunhee, Kantner, Daniel, Pepper, Hannah, Bedi, Kenneth, Brandimarto, Jeff, Prosser, Benjamin, Cappola, Thomas, Snyder, Nathaniel, Rabinowitz, Joshua, Margulies, Kenneth, Arany, Zolt, Flam, Emily, and Jang, Cholsoon
- Abstract
Heart failure (HF) is a leading cause of mortality. Failing hearts undergo profound metabolic changes, but a comprehensive evaluation in humans is lacking. We integrate plasma and cardiac tissue metabolomics of 678 metabolites, genome-wide RNA-sequencing, and proteomic studies to examine metabolic status in 87 explanted human hearts from 39 patients with end-stage HF compared with 48 nonfailing donors. We confirm bioenergetic defects in human HF and reveal selective depletion of adenylate purines required for maintaining ATP levels. We observe substantial reductions in fatty acids and acylcarnitines in failing tissue, despite plasma elevations, suggesting defective import of fatty acids into cardiomyocytes. Glucose levels, in contrast, are elevated. Pyruvate dehydrogenase, which gates carbohydrate oxidation, is de-repressed, allowing increased lactate and pyruvate burning. Tricarboxylic acid cycle intermediates are significantly reduced. Finally, bioactive lipids are profoundly reprogrammed, with marked reductions in ceramides and elevations in lysoglycerophospholipids. These data unveil profound metabolic abnormalities in human failing hearts.
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- 2022
7. Direct anabolic metabolism of three-carbon propionate to a six-carbon metabolite occurs in vivo across tissues and species
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Doan, Mary T, Neinast, Michael D, Varner, Erika L, Bedi, Kenneth C, Bartee, David, Jiang, Helen, Trefely, Sophie, Xu, Peining, Singh, Jay P, Jang, Cholsoon, Rame, J Eduardo, Brady, Donita C, Meier, Jordan L, Marguiles, Kenneth B, Arany, Zoltan, and Snyder, Nathaniel W
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Digestive Diseases ,Biotechnology ,Acetyl Coenzyme A ,Acyl Coenzyme A ,Animals ,Carbon ,Liver ,Mice ,Oxidation-Reduction ,Propionates ,  ,Metabolism ,propionate ,anabolism ,acetyl-CoA ,condensation reaction ,stable isotope tracing ,LC-MS ,HRMS ,TCA cycle ,valine ,2M2PE-CoA ,LC-MS/HRMS ,Biochemistry and Cell Biology ,Medical Biochemistry and Metabolomics ,Biochemistry & Molecular Biology - Abstract
Anabolic metabolism of carbon in mammals is mediated via the one- and two-carbon carriers S-adenosyl methionine and acetyl-coenzyme A. In contrast, anabolic metabolism of three-carbon units via propionate has not been shown to extensively occur. Mammals are primarily thought to oxidize the three-carbon short chain fatty acid propionate by shunting propionyl-CoA to succinyl-CoA for entry into the TCA cycle. Here, we found that this may not be absolute as, in mammals, one nonoxidative fate of propionyl-CoA is to condense to two three-carbon units into a six-carbon trans-2-methyl-2-pentenoyl-CoA (2M2PE-CoA). We confirmed this reaction pathway using purified protein extracts provided limited substrates and verified the product via LC-MS using a synthetic standard. In whole-body in vivo stable isotope tracing following infusion of 13C-labeled valine at steady state, 2M2PE-CoA was found to form via propionyl-CoA in multiple murine tissues, including heart, kidney, and to a lesser degree, in brown adipose tissue, liver, and tibialis anterior muscle. Using ex vivo isotope tracing, we found that 2M2PE-CoA also formed in human myocardial tissue incubated with propionate to a limited extent. While the complete enzymology of this pathway remains to be elucidated, these results confirm the in vivo existence of at least one anabolic three- to six-carbon reaction conserved in humans and mice that utilizes propionate.
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- 2022
8. Pathogenic LMNA variants disrupt cardiac lamina-chromatin interactions and de-repress alternative fate genes
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Shah, Parisha P, Lv, Wenjian, Rhoades, Joshua H, Poleshko, Andrey, Abbey, Deepti, Caporizzo, Matthew A, Linares-Saldana, Ricardo, Heffler, Julie G, Sayed, Nazish, Thomas, Dilip, Wang, Qiaohong, Stanton, Liam J, Bedi, Kenneth, Morley, Michael P, Cappola, Thomas P, Owens, Anjali T, Margulies, Kenneth B, Frank, David B, Wu, Joseph C, Rader, Daniel J, Yang, Wenli, Prosser, Benjamin L, Musunuru, Kiran, and Jain, Rajan
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Cardiovascular ,Stem Cell Research - Induced Pluripotent Stem Cell ,Stem Cell Research - Induced Pluripotent Stem Cell - Human ,Stem Cell Research ,Heart Disease ,Genetics ,Aetiology ,2.1 Biological and endogenous factors ,Cardiomyopathy ,Dilated ,Chromatin ,Humans ,Induced Pluripotent Stem Cells ,Lamin Type A ,Mutation ,Myocytes ,Cardiac ,genome organization ,hiPSC ,laminopathy ,peripheral heterochromatin ,Biological Sciences ,Medical and Health Sciences ,Developmental Biology - Abstract
Pathogenic mutations in LAMIN A/C (LMNA) cause abnormal nuclear structure and laminopathies. These diseases have myriad tissue-specific phenotypes, including dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM), but how LMNA mutations result in tissue-restricted disease phenotypes remains unclear. We introduced LMNA mutations from individuals with DCM into human induced pluripotent stem cells (hiPSCs) and found that hiPSC-derived cardiomyocytes, in contrast to hepatocytes or adipocytes, exhibit aberrant nuclear morphology and specific disruptions in peripheral chromatin. Disrupted regions were enriched for transcriptionally active genes and regions with lower LAMIN B1 contact frequency. The lamina-chromatin interactions disrupted in mutant cardiomyocytes were enriched for genes associated with non-myocyte lineages and correlated with higher expression of those genes. Myocardium from individuals with LMNA variants similarly showed aberrant expression of non-myocyte pathways. We propose that the lamina network safeguards cellular identity and that pathogenic LMNA variants disrupt peripheral chromatin with specific epigenetic and molecular characteristics, causing misexpression of genes normally expressed in other cell types.
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- 2021
9. Mapping routine measles vaccination in low- and middle-income countries
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Sbarra, Alyssa N, Rolfe, Sam, Nguyen, Jason Q, Earl, Lucas, Galles, Natalie C, Marks, Ashley, Abbas, Kaja M, Abbasi-Kangevari, Mohsen, Abbastabar, Hedayat, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abdelalim, Ahmed, Abdollahi, Mohammad, Abegaz, Kedir Hussein, Abiy, Hailemariam Abiy Alemu, Abolhassani, Hassan, Abreu, Lucas Guimaraes, Abrigo, Michael RM, Abushouk, Abdelrahman I, Accrombessi, Manfred Mario Kokou, Adabi, Maryam, Adebayo, Oladimeji M, Adekanmbi, Victor, Adetokunboh, Olatunji O, Adham, Davoud, Afarideh, Mohsen, Aghaali, Mohammad, Ahmad, Tauseef, Ahmadi, Raman, Ahmadi, Keivan, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Alanezi, Fahad Mashhour, Alanzi, Turki M, Alcalde-Rabanal, Jacqueline Elizabeth, Alemnew, Birhan Tamene, Ali, Beriwan Abdulqadir, Ali, Muhammad, Alijanzadeh, Mehran, Alinia, Cyrus, Alipoor, Reza, Alipour, Vahid, Alizade, Hesam, Aljunid, Syed Mohamed, Almasi, Ali, Almasi-Hashiani, Amir, Al-Mekhlafi, Hesham M, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Amare, Bekalu, Amini, Saeed, Amini-Rarani, Mostafa, Amiri, Fatemeh, Amit, Arianna Maever L, Amugsi, Dickson A, Ancuceanu, Robert, Andrei, Catalina Liliana, Anjomshoa, Mina, Ansari, Fereshteh, Ansari-Moghaddam, Alireza, Ansha, Mustafa Geleto, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Antriyandarti, Ernoiz, Anvari, Davood, Arabloo, Jalal, Arab-Zozani, Morteza, Aremu, Olatunde, Armoon, Bahram, Aryal, Krishna K, Arzani, Afsaneh, Asadi-Aliabadi, Mehran, Asgari, Samaneh, Atafar, Zahra, Ausloos, Marcel, Awoke, Nefsu, Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina Ayala, Ayanore, Martin Amogre, Aynalem, Yared Asmare, Azadmehr, Abbas, Azari, Samad, Babaee, Ebrahim, Badawi, Alaa, Badiye, Ashish D, Bahrami, Mohammad Amin, Baig, Atif Amin, Bakhtiari, Ahad, Balakrishnan, Senthilkumar, Banach, Maciej, Banik, Palash Chandra, Barac, Aleksandra, Baradaran-Seyed, Zahra, Baraki, Adhanom Gebreegziabher, Basu, Sanjay, Bayati, Mohsen, Bayou, Yibeltal Tebekaw, Bedi, Neeraj, Behzadifar, Masoud, Bell, Michelle L, Berbada, Dessalegn Ajema, Berhe, Kidanemaryam, Bhattarai, Suraj, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, and Bijani, Ali
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Biomedical and Clinical Sciences ,Clinical Sciences ,Human Society ,Pediatric ,Immunization ,Clinical Research ,Prevention ,Vaccine Related ,3.4 Vaccines ,Prevention of disease and conditions ,and promotion of well-being ,Good Health and Well Being ,Child ,Child ,Preschool ,Developed Countries ,Geographic Mapping ,Healthcare Disparities ,Humans ,Internationality ,Measles ,Rural Health ,Uncertainty ,Urban Health ,Vaccination ,Vaccination Refusal ,Local Burden of Disease Vaccine Coverage Collaborators ,General Science & Technology - Abstract
The safe, highly effective measles vaccine has been recommended globally since 1974, yet in 2017 there were more than 17 million cases of measles and 83,400 deaths in children under 5 years old, and more than 99% of both occurred in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs)1-4. Globally comparable, annual, local estimates of routine first-dose measles-containing vaccine (MCV1) coverage are critical for understanding geographically precise immunity patterns, progress towards the targets of the Global Vaccine Action Plan (GVAP), and high-risk areas amid disruptions to vaccination programmes caused by coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)5-8. Here we generated annual estimates of routine childhood MCV1 coverage at 5 × 5-km2 pixel and second administrative levels from 2000 to 2019 in 101 LMICs, quantified geographical inequality and assessed vaccination status by geographical remoteness. After widespread MCV1 gains from 2000 to 2010, coverage regressed in more than half of the districts between 2010 and 2019, leaving many LMICs far from the GVAP goal of 80% coverage in all districts by 2019. MCV1 coverage was lower in rural than in urban locations, although a larger proportion of unvaccinated children overall lived in urban locations; strategies to provide essential vaccination services should address both geographical contexts. These results provide a tool for decision-makers to strengthen routine MCV1 immunization programmes and provide equitable disease protection for all children.
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- 2021
10. Evaluating Thresholds to Adopt Hypofractionated Preoperative Radiotherapy as Standard of Care in Sarcoma.
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Valle, Luca F, Bernthal, Nicholas, Eilber, Fritz C, Shabason, Jacob E, Bedi, Meena, and Kalbasi, Anusha
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Clinical Research ,Rare Diseases ,Clinical Trials and Supportive Activities ,Clinical Sciences ,Oncology and Carcinogenesis ,Oncology & Carcinogenesis - Abstract
IntroductionData supporting hypofractionated preoperative radiation therapy (RT) for patients with extremity and trunk soft tissue sarcoma (STS) are currently limited to phase II single-institution studies. We sought to understand the type and thresholds of clinical evidence required for experts to adopt hypofractionated RT as a standard-of-care option for patients with STS.MethodsAn electronic survey was distributed to multidisciplinary sarcoma experts. The survey queried whether data from a theoretical, multi-institutional, phase II study of 5-fraction preoperative RT could change practice. Using endpoints from RTOG 0630 as a reference, the survey also queried thresholds for acceptable local control, wound complication, and late toxicity for the study protocol to be accepted as a standard-of-care option. Responses were logged from 8/27/2020 to 9/8/2020 and summarized graphically.ResultsThe survey response rate was 55.3% (47/85). Local control is the most important clinical outcome for sarcoma specialists when evaluating whether an RT regimen should be considered standard of care. 17% (8/47) of providers require randomized phase III evidence to consider hypofractionated preoperative RT as a standard-of-care option, whereas 10.6% (5/47) of providers already view this as a standard-of-care option. Of providers willing to change practice based on phase II data, most (78%, 29/37) would accept local control rates equivalent to or less than those in RTOG 0630, as long as the rate was higher than 85%. However, 51.3% (19/37) would require wound complication rates superior to those reported in RTOG 0630, and 46% (17/37) of respondents would accept late toxicity rates inferior to RTOG 0630.ConclusionConsensus building is needed among clinicians regarding the type and threshold of evidence needed to evaluate hypofractionated RT as a standard-of-care option. A collaborative consortium-based approach may be the most pragmatic means for developing consensus protocols and pooling data to gradually introduce hypofractionated preoperative RT into routine practice.
- Published
- 2021
11. Evaluating Thresholds to Adopt Hypofractionated Preoperative Radiotherapy as Standard of Care in Sarcoma.
- Author
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Valle, Luca F, Bernthal, Nicholas, Eilber, Fritz C, Shabason, Jacob E, Bedi, Meena, and Kalbasi, Anusha
- Subjects
Rare Diseases ,Clinical Trials and Supportive Activities ,Clinical Research ,Oncology & Carcinogenesis ,Clinical Sciences ,Oncology and Carcinogenesis - Abstract
IntroductionData supporting hypofractionated preoperative radiation therapy (RT) for patients with extremity and trunk soft tissue sarcoma (STS) are currently limited to phase II single-institution studies. We sought to understand the type and thresholds of clinical evidence required for experts to adopt hypofractionated RT as a standard-of-care option for patients with STS.MethodsAn electronic survey was distributed to multidisciplinary sarcoma experts. The survey queried whether data from a theoretical, multi-institutional, phase II study of 5-fraction preoperative RT could change practice. Using endpoints from RTOG 0630 as a reference, the survey also queried thresholds for acceptable local control, wound complication, and late toxicity for the study protocol to be accepted as a standard-of-care option. Responses were logged from 8/27/2020 to 9/8/2020 and summarized graphically.ResultsThe survey response rate was 55.3% (47/85). Local control is the most important clinical outcome for sarcoma specialists when evaluating whether an RT regimen should be considered standard of care. 17% (8/47) of providers require randomized phase III evidence to consider hypofractionated preoperative RT as a standard-of-care option, whereas 10.6% (5/47) of providers already view this as a standard-of-care option. Of providers willing to change practice based on phase II data, most (78%, 29/37) would accept local control rates equivalent to or less than those in RTOG 0630, as long as the rate was higher than 85%. However, 51.3% (19/37) would require wound complication rates superior to those reported in RTOG 0630, and 46% (17/37) of respondents would accept late toxicity rates inferior to RTOG 0630.ConclusionConsensus building is needed among clinicians regarding the type and threshold of evidence needed to evaluate hypofractionated RT as a standard-of-care option. A collaborative consortium-based approach may be the most pragmatic means for developing consensus protocols and pooling data to gradually introduce hypofractionated preoperative RT into routine practice.
- Published
- 2021
12. Mapping disparities in education across low- and middle-income countries
- Author
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Graetz, Nicholas, Woyczynski, Lauren, Wilson, Katherine F, Hall, Jason B, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abd-Allah, Foad, Adebayo, Oladimeji M, Adekanmbi, Victor, Afshari, Mahdi, Ajumobi, Olufemi, Akinyemiju, Tomi, Alahdab, Fares, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alcalde Rabanal, Jacqueline Elizabeth, Alijanzadeh, Mehran, Alipour, Vahid, Altirkawi, Khalid, Amiresmaili, Mohammadreza, Anber, Nahla Hamed, Andrei, Catalina Liliana, Anjomshoa, Mina, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Arabloo, Jalal, Aremu, Olatunde, Aryal, Krishna K, Asadi-Aliabadi, Mehran, Atique, Suleman, Ausloos, Marcel, Awasthi, Ashish, Ayala Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina, Azari, Samad, Badawi, Alaa, Banoub, Joseph Adel Mattar, Barker-Collo, Suzanne Lyn, Barnett, Anthony, Bedi, Neeraj, Bennett, Derrick A, Bhattacharjee, Natalia V, Bhattacharyya, Krittika, Bhattarai, Suraj, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Bijani, Ali, Bikbov, Boris, Britton, Gabrielle, Burstein, Roy, Butt, Zahid A, Cardenas, Rosario, Carvalho, Felix, Castaneda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Castro, Franz, Cerin, Ester, Chang, Jung-Chen, Collison, Michael L, Cooper, Cyrus, Cork, Michael A, Daoud, Farah, Das Gupta, Rajat, Weaver, Nicole Davis, De Neve, Jan-Walter, Deribe, Kebede, Desalegn, Beruk Berhanu, Deshpande, Aniruddha, Desta, Melaku, Dhimal, Meghnath, Diaz, Daniel, Dinberu, Mesfin Tadese, Djalalinia, Shirin, Dubey, Manisha, Dubljanin, Eleonora, Duraes, Andre R, Dwyer-Lindgren, Laura, Earl, Lucas, Kalan, Mohammad Ebrahimi, El-Khatib, Ziad, Eshrati, Babak, Faramarzi, Mahbobeh, Fareed, Mohammad, Faro, Andre, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, Fernandes, Eduarda, Filip, Irina, Fischer, Florian, Fukumoto, Takeshi, Garcia, Jose A, Gill, Paramjit Singh, Gill, Tiffany K, Gona, Philimon N, Gopalani, Sameer Vali, Grada, Ayman, Guo, Yuming, Gupta, Rajeev, Gupta, Vipin, Haj-Mirzaian, Arvin, Haj-Mirzaian, Arya, Hamadeh, Randah R, Hamidi, Samer, Hasan, Mehedi, Hassen, Hamid Yimam, Hendrie, Delia, and Henok, Andualem
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Pediatric ,Aetiology ,2.3 Psychological ,social and economic factors ,Good Health and Well Being ,Bayes Theorem ,Developing Countries ,Education ,Female ,Health Status ,Humans ,Male ,Socioeconomic Factors ,Local Burden of Disease Educational Attainment Collaborators ,General Science & Technology - Abstract
Educational attainment is an important social determinant of maternal, newborn, and child health1-3. As a tool for promoting gender equity, it has gained increasing traction in popular media, international aid strategies, and global agenda-setting4-6. The global health agenda is increasingly focused on evidence of precision public health, which illustrates the subnational distribution of disease and illness7,8; however, an agenda focused on future equity must integrate comparable evidence on the distribution of social determinants of health9-11. Here we expand on the available precision SDG evidence by estimating the subnational distribution of educational attainment, including the proportions of individuals who have completed key levels of schooling, across all low- and middle-income countries from 2000 to 2017. Previous analyses have focused on geographical disparities in average attainment across Africa or for specific countries, but-to our knowledge-no analysis has examined the subnational proportions of individuals who completed specific levels of education across all low- and middle-income countries12-14. By geolocating subnational data for more than 184 million person-years across 528 data sources, we precisely identify inequalities across geography as well as within populations.
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- 2020
13. Mapping 123 million neonatal, infant and child deaths between 2000 and 2017
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Burstein, Roy, Henry, Nathaniel J, Collison, Michael L, Marczak, Laurie B, Sligar, Amber, Watson, Stefanie, Marquez, Neal, Abbasalizad-Farhangi, Mahdieh, Abbasi, Masoumeh, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abdoli, Amir, Abdollahi, Mohammad, Abdollahpour, Ibrahim, Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi, Abrigo, Michael RM, Acharya, Dilaram, Adebayo, Oladimeji M, Adekanmbi, Victor, Adham, Davoud, Afshari, Mahdi, Aghaali, Mohammad, Ahmadi, Keivan, Ahmadi, Mehdi, Ahmadpour, Ehsan, Ahmed, Rushdia, Akal, Chalachew Genet, Akinyemi, Joshua O, Alahdab, Fares, Alam, Noore, Alamene, Genet Melak, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Alijanzadeh, Mehran, Alinia, Cyrus, Alipour, Vahid, Aljunid, Syed Mohamed, Almalki, Mohammed J, Al-Mekhlafi, Hesham M, Altirkawi, Khalid, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amegah, Adeladza Kofi, Amini, Saeed, Amit, Arianna Maever Loreche, Anbari, Zohreh, Androudi, Sofia, Anjomshoa, Mina, Ansari, Fereshteh, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Arabloo, Jalal, Arefi, Zohreh, Aremu, Olatunde, Armoon, Bahram, Arora, Amit, Artaman, Al, Asadi, Anvar, Asadi-Aliabadi, Mehran, Ashraf-Ganjouei, Amir, Assadi, Reza, Ataeinia, Bahar, Atre, Sachin R, Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina Ayala, Ayanore, Martin Amogre, Azari, Samad, Babaee, Ebrahim, Babazadeh, Arefeh, Badawi, Alaa, Bagheri, Soghra, Bagherzadeh, Mojtaba, Baheiraei, Nafiseh, Balouchi, Abbas, Barac, Aleksandra, Bassat, Quique, Baune, Bernhard T, Bayati, Mohsen, Bedi, Neeraj, Beghi, Ettore, Behzadifar, Masoud, Behzadifar, Meysam, Belay, Yared Belete, Bell, Brent, Bell, Michelle L, Berbada, Dessalegn Ajema, Bernstein, Robert S, Bhattacharjee, Natalia V, Bhattarai, Suraj, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Bijani, Ali, Bohlouli, Somayeh, Breitborde, Nicholas JK, Britton, Gabrielle, Browne, Annie J, Nagaraja, Sharath Burugina, Busse, Reinhard, Butt, Zahid A, Car, Josip, Cárdenas, Rosario, Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Cerin, Ester, Chanie, Wagaye Fentahun, Chatterjee, Pranab, and Chu, Dinh-Toi
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Pediatric ,Pediatric Research Initiative ,Prevention ,Infant Mortality ,2.4 Surveillance and distribution ,Aetiology ,Good Health and Well Being ,Reduced Inequalities ,Child ,Child Mortality ,Geography ,Global Health ,Humans ,Infant ,Infant ,Newborn ,Organizational Objectives ,Public Health ,Socioeconomic Factors ,United Nations ,General Science & Technology - Abstract
Since 2000, many countries have achieved considerable success in improving child survival, but localized progress remains unclear. To inform efforts towards United Nations Sustainable Development Goal 3.2-to end preventable child deaths by 2030-we need consistently estimated data at the subnational level regarding child mortality rates and trends. Here we quantified, for the period 2000-2017, the subnational variation in mortality rates and number of deaths of neonates, infants and children under 5 years of age within 99 low- and middle-income countries using a geostatistical survival model. We estimated that 32% of children under 5 in these countries lived in districts that had attained rates of 25 or fewer child deaths per 1,000 live births by 2017, and that 58% of child deaths between 2000 and 2017 in these countries could have been averted in the absence of geographical inequality. This study enables the identification of high-mortality clusters, patterns of progress and geographical inequalities to inform appropriate investments and implementations that will help to improve the health of all populations.
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- 2019
14. Global, regional, and national burden of neurological disorders, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
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Collaborators, GBD 2016 Neurology, Feigin, Valery L, Nichols, Emma, Alam, Tahiya, Bannick, Marlena S, Beghi, Ettore, Blake, Natacha, Culpepper, William J, Dorsey, E Ray, Elbaz, Alexis, Ellenbogen, Richard G, Fisher, James L, Fitzmaurice, Christina, Giussani, Giorgia, Glennie, Linda, James, Spencer L, Johnson, Catherine Owens, Kassebaum, Nicholas J, Logroscino, Giancarlo, Marin, Benoît, Mountjoy-Venning, W Cliff, Nguyen, Minh, Ofori-Asenso, Richard, Patel, Anoop P, Piccininni, Marco, Roth, Gregory A, Steiner, Timothy J, Stovner, Lars Jacob, Szoeke, Cassandra EI, Theadom, Alice, Vollset, Stein Emil, Wallin, Mitchell Taylor, Wright, Claire, Zunt, Joseph Raymond, Abbasi, Nooshin, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abdelalim, Ahmed, Abdollahpour, Ibrahim, Aboyans, Victor, Abraha, Haftom Niguse, Acharya, Dilaram, Adamu, Abdu A, Adebayo, Oladimeji M, Adeoye, Abiodun Moshood, Adsuar, Jose C, Afarideh, Mohsen, Agrawal, Sutapa, Ahmadi, Alireza, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Aichour, Amani Nidhal, Aichour, Ibtihel, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola, Akseer, Nadia, Al-Eyadhy, Ayman, Salman, Rustam Al-Shahi, Alahdab, Fares, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Aljunid, Syed Mohamed, Altirkawi, Khalid, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Anber, Nahla Hamed, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Arabloo, Jalal, Aremu, Olatunde, Ärnlöv, Johan, Asayesh, Hamid, Asghar, Rana Jawad, Atalay, Hagos Tasew, Awasthi, Ashish, Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina Ayala, Ayuk, Tambe B, Badawi, Alaa, Banach, Maciej, Banoub, Joseph Adel Mattar, Barboza, Miguel A, Barker-Collo, Suzanne Lyn, Bärnighausen, Till Winfried, Baune, Bernhard T, Bedi, Neeraj, Behzadifar, Masoud, Behzadifar, Meysam, Béjot, Yannick, Bekele, Bayu Begashaw, Belachew, Abate Bekele, Bennett, Derrick A, Bensenor, Isabela M, Berhane, Adugnaw, Beuran, Mircea, Bhattacharyya, Krittika, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Biadgo, Belete, Bijani, Ali, Bililign, Nigus, Bin Sayeed, Muhammad Shahdaat, Blazes, Christopher Kynrint, Brayne, Carol, Butt, Zahid A, Campos-Nonato, Ismael R, and Cantu-Brito, Carlos
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Neurosciences ,Headaches ,Pain Research ,Aging ,Brain Disorders ,Prevention ,Neurodegenerative ,Aetiology ,2.1 Biological and endogenous factors ,Neurological ,Good Health and Well Being ,Adult ,Age Factors ,Aged ,Aged ,80 and over ,Cause of Death ,Dementia ,Disability Evaluation ,Female ,Global Burden of Disease ,Humans ,Incidence ,Male ,Middle Aged ,Nervous System Diseases ,Prevalence ,Quality-Adjusted Life Years ,Risk Factors ,Sex Factors ,Socioeconomic Factors ,GBD 2016 Neurology Collaborators ,Clinical Sciences ,Neurology & Neurosurgery - Abstract
BackgroundNeurological disorders are increasingly recognised as major causes of death and disability worldwide. The aim of this analysis from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study (GBD) 2016 is to provide the most comprehensive and up-to-date estimates of the global, regional, and national burden from neurological disorders.MethodsWe estimated prevalence, incidence, deaths, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs; the sum of years of life lost [YLLs] and years lived with disability [YLDs]) by age and sex for 15 neurological disorder categories (tetanus, meningitis, encephalitis, stroke, brain and other CNS cancers, traumatic brain injury, spinal cord injury, Alzheimer's disease and other dementias, Parkinson's disease, multiple sclerosis, motor neuron diseases, idiopathic epilepsy, migraine, tension-type headache, and a residual category for other less common neurological disorders) in 195 countries from 1990 to 2016. DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool, was the main method of estimation of prevalence and incidence, and the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) was used for mortality estimation. We quantified the contribution of 84 risks and combinations of risk to the disease estimates for the 15 neurological disorder categories using the GBD comparative risk assessment approach.FindingsGlobally, in 2016, neurological disorders were the leading cause of DALYs (276 million [95% UI 247-308]) and second leading cause of deaths (9·0 million [8·8-9·4]). The absolute number of deaths and DALYs from all neurological disorders combined increased (deaths by 39% [34-44] and DALYs by 15% [9-21]) whereas their age-standardised rates decreased (deaths by 28% [26-30] and DALYs by 27% [24-31]) between 1990 and 2016. The only neurological disorders that had a decrease in rates and absolute numbers of deaths and DALYs were tetanus, meningitis, and encephalitis. The four largest contributors of neurological DALYs were stroke (42·2% [38·6-46·1]), migraine (16·3% [11·7-20·8]), Alzheimer's and other dementias (10·4% [9·0-12·1]), and meningitis (7·9% [6·6-10·4]). For the combined neurological disorders, age-standardised DALY rates were significantly higher in males than in females (male-to-female ratio 1·12 [1·05-1·20]), but migraine, multiple sclerosis, and tension-type headache were more common and caused more burden in females, with male-to-female ratios of less than 0·7. The 84 risks quantified in GBD explain less than 10% of neurological disorder DALY burdens, except stroke, for which 88·8% (86·5-90·9) of DALYs are attributable to risk factors, and to a lesser extent Alzheimer's disease and other dementias (22·3% [11·8-35·1] of DALYs are risk attributable) and idiopathic epilepsy (14·1% [10·8-17·5] of DALYs are risk attributable).InterpretationGlobally, the burden of neurological disorders, as measured by the absolute number of DALYs, continues to increase. As populations are growing and ageing, and the prevalence of major disabling neurological disorders steeply increases with age, governments will face increasing demand for treatment, rehabilitation, and support services for neurological disorders. The scarcity of established modifiable risks for most of the neurological burden demonstrates that new knowledge is required to develop effective prevention and treatment strategies.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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- 2019
15. Global, Regional, and Country-Specific Lifetime Risks of Stroke, 1990 and 2016
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Feigin, Valery L, Nguyen, Grant, Cercy, Kelly, Johnson, Catherine O, Alam, Tahiya, Parmar, Priyakumari G, Abajobir, Amanuel A, Abate, Kalkidan H, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abejie, Ayenew N, Abyu, Gebre Y, Ademi, Zanfina, Agarwal, Gina, Ahmed, Muktar B, Akinyemi, Rufus O, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Aminde, Leopold N, Amlie-Lefond, Catherine, Ansari, Hossein, Asayesh, Hamid, Asgedom, Solomon W, Atey, Tesfay M, Ayele, Henok T, Banach, Maciej, Banerjee, Amitava, Barac, Aleksandra, Barker-Collo, Suzanne L, Bärnighausen, Till, Barregard, Lars, Basu, Sanjay, Bedi, Neeraj, Behzadifar, Masoud, Béjot, Yannick, Bennett, Derrick A, Bensenor, Isabela M, Berhe, Derbew F, Boneya, Dube J, Brainin, Michael, Campos-Nonato, Ismael R, Caso, Valeria, Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Rivas, Jacquelin C, Catalá-López, Ferrán, Christensen, Hanne, Criqui, Michael H, Damasceno, Albertino, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, Davletov, Kairat, de Courten, Barbora, deVeber, Gabrielle, Dokova, Klara, Edessa, Dumessa, Endres, Matthias, Faraon, Emerito JA, Farvid, Maryam S, Fischer, Florian, Foreman, Kyle, Forouzanfar, Mohammad H, Gall, Seana L, Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye T, Geleijnse, Johanna M, Gillum, Richard F, Giroud, Maurice, Goulart, Alessandra C, Gupta, Rahul, Gupta, Rajeev, Hachinski, Vladimir, Hamadeh, Randah R, Hankey, Graeme J, Hareri, Habtamu A, Havmoeller, Rasmus, Hay, Simon I, Hegazy, Mohamed I, Hibstu, Desalegn T, James, Spencer L, Jeemon, Panniyammakal, John, Denny, Jonas, Jost B, Jóźwiak, Jacek, Kalani, Rizwan, Kandel, Amit, Kasaeian, Amir, Kengne, Andre P, Khader, Yousef S, Khan, Abdur R, Khang, Young-Ho, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kim, Daniel, Kim, Yun J, Kivimaki, Mika, Kokubo, Yoshihiro, Kolte, Dhaval, Kopec, Jacek A, Kosen, Soewarta, Kravchenko, Michael, Krishnamurthi, Rita, Kumar, G Anil, Lafranconi, Alessandra, and Lavados, Pablo M
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Aging ,Brain Disorders ,Stroke ,Prevention ,Aetiology ,2.4 Surveillance and distribution ,Good Health and Well Being ,Adult ,Age Distribution ,Aged ,Aged ,80 and over ,Cause of Death ,Female ,Global Burden of Disease ,Global Health ,Humans ,Incidence ,Male ,Middle Aged ,Risk ,Sex Distribution ,Socioeconomic Factors ,GBD 2016 Lifetime Risk of Stroke Collaborators ,Medical and Health Sciences ,General & Internal Medicine - Abstract
BackgroundThe lifetime risk of stroke has been calculated in a limited number of selected populations. We sought to estimate the lifetime risk of stroke at the regional, country, and global level using data from a comprehensive study of the prevalence of major diseases.MethodsWe used the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2016 estimates of stroke incidence and the competing risks of death from any cause other than stroke to calculate the cumulative lifetime risks of first stroke, ischemic stroke, or hemorrhagic stroke among adults 25 years of age or older. Estimates of the lifetime risks in the years 1990 and 2016 were compared. Countries were categorized into quintiles of the sociodemographic index (SDI) used in the GBD Study, and the risks were compared across quintiles. Comparisons were made with the use of point estimates and uncertainty intervals representing the 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles around the estimate.ResultsThe estimated global lifetime risk of stroke from the age of 25 years onward was 24.9% (95% uncertainty interval, 23.5 to 26.2); the risk among men was 24.7% (95% uncertainty interval, 23.3 to 26.0), and the risk among women was 25.1% (95% uncertainty interval, 23.7 to 26.5). The risk of ischemic stroke was 18.3%, and the risk of hemorrhagic stroke was 8.2%. In high-SDI, high-middle-SDI, and low-SDI countries, the estimated lifetime risk of stroke was 23.5%, 31.1% (highest risk), and 13.2% (lowest risk), respectively; the 95% uncertainty intervals did not overlap between these categories. The highest estimated lifetime risks of stroke according to GBD region were in East Asia (38.8%), Central Europe (31.7%), and Eastern Europe (31.6%), and the lowest risk was in eastern sub-Saharan Africa (11.8%). The mean global lifetime risk of stroke increased from 22.8% in 1990 to 24.9% in 2016, a relative increase of 8.9% (95% uncertainty interval, 6.2 to 11.5); the competing risk of death from any cause other than stroke was considered in this calculation.ConclusionsIn 2016, the global lifetime risk of stroke from the age of 25 years onward was approximately 25% among both men and women. There was geographic variation in the lifetime risk of stroke, with the highest risks in East Asia, Central Europe, and Eastern Europe. (Funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.).
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- 2018
16. Global, Regional, and Country-Specific Lifetime Risks of Stroke, 1990 and 2016.
- Author
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GBD 2016 Lifetime Risk of Stroke Collaborators, Feigin, Valery L, Nguyen, Grant, Cercy, Kelly, Johnson, Catherine O, Alam, Tahiya, Parmar, Priyakumari G, Abajobir, Amanuel A, Abate, Kalkidan H, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abejie, Ayenew N, Abyu, Gebre Y, Ademi, Zanfina, Agarwal, Gina, Ahmed, Muktar B, Akinyemi, Rufus O, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Aminde, Leopold N, Amlie-Lefond, Catherine, Ansari, Hossein, Asayesh, Hamid, Asgedom, Solomon W, Atey, Tesfay M, Ayele, Henok T, Banach, Maciej, Banerjee, Amitava, Barac, Aleksandra, Barker-Collo, Suzanne L, Bärnighausen, Till, Barregard, Lars, Basu, Sanjay, Bedi, Neeraj, Behzadifar, Masoud, Béjot, Yannick, Bennett, Derrick A, Bensenor, Isabela M, Berhe, Derbew F, Boneya, Dube J, Brainin, Michael, Campos-Nonato, Ismael R, Caso, Valeria, Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Rivas, Jacquelin C, Catalá-López, Ferrán, Christensen, Hanne, Criqui, Michael H, Damasceno, Albertino, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, Davletov, Kairat, de Courten, Barbora, deVeber, Gabrielle, Dokova, Klara, Edessa, Dumessa, Endres, Matthias, Faraon, Emerito JA, Farvid, Maryam S, Fischer, Florian, Foreman, Kyle, Forouzanfar, Mohammad H, Gall, Seana L, Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye T, Geleijnse, Johanna M, Gillum, Richard F, Giroud, Maurice, Goulart, Alessandra C, Gupta, Rahul, Gupta, Rajeev, Hachinski, Vladimir, Hamadeh, Randah R, Hankey, Graeme J, Hareri, Habtamu A, Havmoeller, Rasmus, Hay, Simon I, Hegazy, Mohamed I, Hibstu, Desalegn T, James, Spencer L, Jeemon, Panniyammakal, John, Denny, Jonas, Jost B, Jóźwiak, Jacek, Kalani, Rizwan, Kandel, Amit, Kasaeian, Amir, Kengne, Andre P, Khader, Yousef S, Khan, Abdur R, Khang, Young-Ho, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kim, Daniel, Kim, Yun J, Kivimaki, Mika, Kokubo, Yoshihiro, Kolte, Dhaval, Kopec, Jacek A, Kosen, Soewarta, Kravchenko, Michael, Krishnamurthi, Rita, Kumar, G Anil, and Lafranconi, Alessandra
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GBD 2016 Lifetime Risk of Stroke Collaborators ,Humans ,Incidence ,Cause of Death ,Risk ,Age Distribution ,Sex Distribution ,Socioeconomic Factors ,Adult ,Aged ,Aged ,80 and over ,Middle Aged ,Female ,Male ,Stroke ,Global Health ,Global Burden of Disease ,Brain Disorders ,Aging ,Prevention ,2.4 Surveillance and distribution ,General & Internal Medicine ,Medical and Health Sciences - Abstract
BackgroundThe lifetime risk of stroke has been calculated in a limited number of selected populations. We sought to estimate the lifetime risk of stroke at the regional, country, and global level using data from a comprehensive study of the prevalence of major diseases.MethodsWe used the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2016 estimates of stroke incidence and the competing risks of death from any cause other than stroke to calculate the cumulative lifetime risks of first stroke, ischemic stroke, or hemorrhagic stroke among adults 25 years of age or older. Estimates of the lifetime risks in the years 1990 and 2016 were compared. Countries were categorized into quintiles of the sociodemographic index (SDI) used in the GBD Study, and the risks were compared across quintiles. Comparisons were made with the use of point estimates and uncertainty intervals representing the 2.5th and 97.5th percentiles around the estimate.ResultsThe estimated global lifetime risk of stroke from the age of 25 years onward was 24.9% (95% uncertainty interval, 23.5 to 26.2); the risk among men was 24.7% (95% uncertainty interval, 23.3 to 26.0), and the risk among women was 25.1% (95% uncertainty interval, 23.7 to 26.5). The risk of ischemic stroke was 18.3%, and the risk of hemorrhagic stroke was 8.2%. In high-SDI, high-middle-SDI, and low-SDI countries, the estimated lifetime risk of stroke was 23.5%, 31.1% (highest risk), and 13.2% (lowest risk), respectively; the 95% uncertainty intervals did not overlap between these categories. The highest estimated lifetime risks of stroke according to GBD region were in East Asia (38.8%), Central Europe (31.7%), and Eastern Europe (31.6%), and the lowest risk was in eastern sub-Saharan Africa (11.8%). The mean global lifetime risk of stroke increased from 22.8% in 1990 to 24.9% in 2016, a relative increase of 8.9% (95% uncertainty interval, 6.2 to 11.5); the competing risk of death from any cause other than stroke was considered in this calculation.ConclusionsIn 2016, the global lifetime risk of stroke from the age of 25 years onward was approximately 25% among both men and women. There was geographic variation in the lifetime risk of stroke, with the highest risks in East Asia, Central Europe, and Eastern Europe. (Funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation.).
- Published
- 2018
17. Endocrine therapy use in the twenty-first century: usage rates and temporal trends illustrate opportunities for improvement for South Carolina Medicaid women.
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Bedi, Julie S, Mayo, Rachel M, Truong, Khoa, Chen, Liwei, Dickes, Lori, Sherrill, Windsor W, and Jones, Karyn
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Humans ,Breast Neoplasms ,Tamoxifen ,Antineoplastic Agents ,Hormonal ,Aromatase Inhibitors ,SEER Program ,Adult ,Aged ,Middle Aged ,African Americans ,Medicaid ,United States ,South Carolina ,Female ,Medication Adherence ,Cancer Survivors ,Aromatase inhibitors ,Breast cancer ,Endocrine therapy ,Survivorship ,Black or African American ,Breast Cancer ,Clinical Research ,Cancer ,Clinical Sciences ,Oncology and Carcinogenesis ,Oncology & Carcinogenesis - Abstract
PurposeThis study examines endocrine therapy (ET) non-initiation, non-adherence, and duration by age, race, temporal trend for South Carolina Medicaid-enrolled women diagnosed with estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer between 2000 and 2014 (N = 3830).MethodsAge, race, relative risk, and median duration of ET use were compared. Temporal trends in ET non-initiation, non-adherence, and duration were observed using linear and logistic regression models, controlling for age and race.ResultsFifty-three percent of women in the sample did not initiate ET, with highest non-initiation rates among African Americans and survivors under age 50. Of those who did initiate ET, 42% were non-adherent with a median ET usage duration of 37 months. Twenty-one percent of initiators continued taking ET for 5 years or more. There was no change in the odds of ET non-initiation from 2000 to 2004 (OR 1.02, p = 0.67). The odds of ET non-initiation decreased from 2005 to 2009 (OR 0.81, p
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- 2018
18. Endocrine therapy use in the twenty-first century: usage rates and temporal trends illustrate opportunities for improvement for South Carolina Medicaid women.
- Author
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Bedi, Julie S, Mayo, Rachel M, Truong, Khoa, Chen, Liwei, Dickes, Lori, Sherrill, Windsor W, and Jones, Karyn
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Humans ,Breast Neoplasms ,Tamoxifen ,Antineoplastic Agents ,Hormonal ,Aromatase Inhibitors ,SEER Program ,Adult ,Aged ,Middle Aged ,African Americans ,Medicaid ,United States ,South Carolina ,Female ,Medication Adherence ,Cancer Survivors ,Aromatase inhibitors ,Breast cancer ,Endocrine therapy ,Survivorship ,Antineoplastic Agents ,Hormonal ,Clinical Research ,Cancer ,Breast Cancer ,Oncology and Carcinogenesis ,Clinical Sciences ,Oncology & Carcinogenesis - Abstract
PurposeThis study examines endocrine therapy (ET) non-initiation, non-adherence, and duration by age, race, temporal trend for South Carolina Medicaid-enrolled women diagnosed with estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer between 2000 and 2014 (N = 3830).MethodsAge, race, relative risk, and median duration of ET use were compared. Temporal trends in ET non-initiation, non-adherence, and duration were observed using linear and logistic regression models, controlling for age and race.ResultsFifty-three percent of women in the sample did not initiate ET, with highest non-initiation rates among African Americans and survivors under age 50. Of those who did initiate ET, 42% were non-adherent with a median ET usage duration of 37 months. Twenty-one percent of initiators continued taking ET for 5 years or more. There was no change in the odds of ET non-initiation from 2000 to 2004 (OR 1.02, p = 0.67). The odds of ET non-initiation decreased from 2005 to 2009 (OR 0.81, p
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- 2018
19. Alcohol use and burden for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
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Griswold, Max G, Fullman, Nancy, Hawley, Caitlin, Arian, Nicholas, Zimsen, Stephanie RM, Tymeson, Hayley D, Venkateswaran, Vidhya, Tapp, Austin Douglas, Forouzanfar, Mohammad H, Salama, Joseph S, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abate, Degu, Abay, Solomon M, Abbafati, Cristiana, Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi, Abebe, Zegeye, Aboyans, Victor, Abrar, Mohammed Mehdi, Acharya, Pawan, Adetokunboh, Olatunji O, Adhikari, Tara Ballav, Adsuar, Jose C, Afarideh, Mohsen, Agardh, Emilie Elisabet, Agarwal, Gina, Aghayan, Sargis Aghasi, Agrawal, Sutapa, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Akibu, Mohammed, Akinyemiju, Tomi, Akseer, Nadia, Asfoor, Deena H Al, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alahdab, Fares, Alam, Khurshid, Albujeer, Ammar, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Ali, Raghib, Ali, Syed Danish, Alijanzadeh, Mehran, Aljunid, Syed Mohamed, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Allebeck, Peter, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amare, Azmeraw T, Aminde, Leopold N, Ammar, Walid, Amoako, Yaw Ampem, Amul, Gianna Gayle Herrera, Andrei, Catalina Liliana, Angus, Colin, Ansha, Mustafa Geleto, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Aremu, Olatunde, Ärnlöv, Johan, Artaman, Al, Aryal, Krishna K, Assadi, Reza, Ausloos, Marcel, Avila-Burgos, Leticia, Avokpaho, Euripide F, Awasthi, Ashish, Ayele, Henok Tadesse, Ayer, Rakesh, Ayuk, Tambe B, Azzopardi, Peter S, Badali, Hamid, Badawi, Alaa, Banach, Maciej, Barker-Collo, Suzanne Lyn, Barrero, Lope H, Basaleem, Huda, Baye, Estifanos, Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad, Bedi, Neeraj, Béjot, Yannick, Belachew, Abate Bekele, Belay, Saba Abraham, Bennett, Derrick A, Bensenor, Isabela M, Bernabe, Eduardo, Bernstein, Robert S, Beyene, Addisu Shunu, Beyranvand, Tina, Bhaumik, Soumyadeeep, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Biadgo, Belete, Bijani, Ali, Bililign, Nigus, Birlik, Sait Mentes, Birungi, Charles, Bizuneh, Hailemichael, Bjerregaard, Peter, Bjørge, Tone, Borges, Guilherme, Bosetti, Cristina, Boufous, Soufiane, Bragazzi, Nicola Luigi, Brenner, Hermann, and Butt, Zahid A
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Epidemiology ,Public Health ,Health Sciences ,Women's Health ,Alcoholism ,Alcohol Use and Health ,Substance Misuse ,Prevention ,Behavioral and Social Science ,Aging ,2.4 Surveillance and distribution ,Stroke ,Cancer ,Oral and gastrointestinal ,Good Health and Well Being ,Adolescent ,Adult ,Age Distribution ,Aged ,Aged ,80 and over ,Alcohol Drinking ,Cause of Death ,Commerce ,Female ,Global Burden of Disease ,Global Health ,Humans ,Male ,Middle Aged ,Observational Studies as Topic ,Population Surveillance ,Prevalence ,Prospective Studies ,Quality-Adjusted Life Years ,Retrospective Studies ,Risk Assessment ,Risk Factors ,Sex Distribution ,Young Adult ,GBD 2016 Alcohol Collaborators ,Medical and Health Sciences ,General & Internal Medicine ,Biomedical and clinical sciences ,Health sciences - Abstract
BackgroundAlcohol use is a leading risk factor for death and disability, but its overall association with health remains complex given the possible protective effects of moderate alcohol consumption on some conditions. With our comprehensive approach to health accounting within the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016, we generated improved estimates of alcohol use and alcohol-attributable deaths and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 195 locations from 1990 to 2016, for both sexes and for 5-year age groups between the ages of 15 years and 95 years and older.MethodsUsing 694 data sources of individual and population-level alcohol consumption, along with 592 prospective and retrospective studies on the risk of alcohol use, we produced estimates of the prevalence of current drinking, abstention, the distribution of alcohol consumption among current drinkers in standard drinks daily (defined as 10 g of pure ethyl alcohol), and alcohol-attributable deaths and DALYs. We made several methodological improvements compared with previous estimates: first, we adjusted alcohol sales estimates to take into account tourist and unrecorded consumption; second, we did a new meta-analysis of relative risks for 23 health outcomes associated with alcohol use; and third, we developed a new method to quantify the level of alcohol consumption that minimises the overall risk to individual health.FindingsGlobally, alcohol use was the seventh leading risk factor for both deaths and DALYs in 2016, accounting for 2·2% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 1·5-3·0) of age-standardised female deaths and 6·8% (5·8-8·0) of age-standardised male deaths. Among the population aged 15-49 years, alcohol use was the leading risk factor globally in 2016, with 3·8% (95% UI 3·2-4·3) of female deaths and 12·2% (10·8-13·6) of male deaths attributable to alcohol use. For the population aged 15-49 years, female attributable DALYs were 2·3% (95% UI 2·0-2·6) and male attributable DALYs were 8·9% (7·8-9·9). The three leading causes of attributable deaths in this age group were tuberculosis (1·4% [95% UI 1·0-1·7] of total deaths), road injuries (1·2% [0·7-1·9]), and self-harm (1·1% [0·6-1·5]). For populations aged 50 years and older, cancers accounted for a large proportion of total alcohol-attributable deaths in 2016, constituting 27·1% (95% UI 21·2-33·3) of total alcohol-attributable female deaths and 18·9% (15·3-22·6) of male deaths. The level of alcohol consumption that minimised harm across health outcomes was zero (95% UI 0·0-0·8) standard drinks per week.InterpretationAlcohol use is a leading risk factor for global disease burden and causes substantial health loss. We found that the risk of all-cause mortality, and of cancers specifically, rises with increasing levels of consumption, and the level of consumption that minimises health loss is zero. These results suggest that alcohol control policies might need to be revised worldwide, refocusing on efforts to lower overall population-level consumption.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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- 2018
20. Measuring performance on the Healthcare Access and Quality Index for 195 countries and territories and selected subnational locations: a systematic analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
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Collaborators, GBD 2016 Healthcare Access and Quality, Fullman, Nancy, Yearwood, Jamal, Abay, Solomon M, Abbafati, Cristiana, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abdela, Jemal, Abdelalim, Ahmed, Abebe, Zegeye, Abebo, Teshome Abuka, Aboyans, Victor, Abraha, Haftom Niguse, Abreu, Daisy MX, Abu-Raddad, Laith J, Adane, Akilew Awoke, Adedoyin, Rufus Adesoji, Adetokunboh, Olatunji, Adhikari, Tara Ballav, Afarideh, Mohsen, Afshin, Ashkan, Agarwal, Gina, Agius, Dominic, Agrawal, Anurag, Agrawal, Sutapa, Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmad, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Akibu, Mohammed, Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola, Akinyemiju, Tomi F, Akseer, Nadia, Lami, Faris Hasan Al, Alahdab, Fares, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alam, Khurshid, Alam, Tahiya, Alasfoor, Deena, Albittar, Mohammed I, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Al-Eyadhy, Ayman, Ali, Syed Danish, Alijanzadeh, Mehran, Aljunid, Syed M, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Alla, François, Allebeck, Peter, Allen, Christine, Alomari, Mahmoud A, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Alsharif, Ubai, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amare, Azmeraw T, Amenu, Kebede, Ammar, Walid, Amoako, Yaw Ampem, Anber, Nahla, Andrei, Catalina Liliana, Androudi, Sofia, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Araújo, Valdelaine EM, Aremu, Olatunde, Ärnlöv, Johan, Artaman, Al, Aryal, Krishna Kumar, Asayesh, Hamid, Asfaw, Ephrem Tsegay, Asgedom, Solomon Weldegebreal, Asghar, Rana Jawad, Ashebir, Mengistu Mitiku, Asseffa, Netsanet Abera, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Atre, Sachin R, Atteraya, Madhu S, Avila-Burgos, Leticia, Avokpaho, Euripide Frinel G Arthur, Awasthi, Ashish, Quintanilla, Beatriz Paulina Ayala, Ayalew, Animut Alebel, Ayele, Henok Tadesse, Ayer, Rakesh, Ayuk, Tambe Betrand, Azzopardi, Peter, Azzopardi-Muscat, Natasha, Babalola, Tesleem Kayode, Badali, Hamid, Badawi, Alaa, Banach, Maciej, Banerjee, Amitava, Banstola, Amrit, Barber, Ryan M, Barboza, Miguel A, Barker-Collo, Suzanne L, Bärnighausen, Till, Barquera, Simon, Barrero, Lope H, Bassat, Quique, Basu, Sanjay, Baune, Bernhard T, Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad, and Bedi, Neeraj
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Health Services and Systems ,Public Health ,Health Sciences ,Clinical Research ,Biodefense ,Prevention ,Vaccine Related ,Good Health and Well Being ,Communicable Diseases ,Global Burden of Disease ,Health Services Accessibility ,Humans ,Noncommunicable Diseases ,Quality of Health Care ,Wounds and Injuries ,GBD 2016 Healthcare Access and Quality Collaborators ,Medical and Health Sciences ,General & Internal Medicine ,Biomedical and clinical sciences ,Health sciences - Abstract
BackgroundA key component of achieving universal health coverage is ensuring that all populations have access to quality health care. Examining where gains have occurred or progress has faltered across and within countries is crucial to guiding decisions and strategies for future improvement. We used the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) to assess personal health-care access and quality with the Healthcare Access and Quality (HAQ) Index for 195 countries and territories, as well as subnational locations in seven countries, from 1990 to 2016.MethodsDrawing from established methods and updated estimates from GBD 2016, we used 32 causes from which death should not occur in the presence of effective care to approximate personal health-care access and quality by location and over time. To better isolate potential effects of personal health-care access and quality from underlying risk factor patterns, we risk-standardised cause-specific deaths due to non-cancers by location-year, replacing the local joint exposure of environmental and behavioural risks with the global level of exposure. Supported by the expansion of cancer registry data in GBD 2016, we used mortality-to-incidence ratios for cancers instead of risk-standardised death rates to provide a stronger signal of the effects of personal health care and access on cancer survival. We transformed each cause to a scale of 0-100, with 0 as the first percentile (worst) observed between 1990 and 2016, and 100 as the 99th percentile (best); we set these thresholds at the country level, and then applied them to subnational locations. We applied a principal components analysis to construct the HAQ Index using all scaled cause values, providing an overall score of 0-100 of personal health-care access and quality by location over time. We then compared HAQ Index levels and trends by quintiles on the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a summary measure of overall development. As derived from the broader GBD study and other data sources, we examined relationships between national HAQ Index scores and potential correlates of performance, such as total health spending per capita.FindingsIn 2016, HAQ Index performance spanned from a high of 97·1 (95% UI 95·8-98·1) in Iceland, followed by 96·6 (94·9-97·9) in Norway and 96·1 (94·5-97·3) in the Netherlands, to values as low as 18·6 (13·1-24·4) in the Central African Republic, 19·0 (14·3-23·7) in Somalia, and 23·4 (20·2-26·8) in Guinea-Bissau. The pace of progress achieved between 1990 and 2016 varied, with markedly faster improvements occurring between 2000 and 2016 for many countries in sub-Saharan Africa and southeast Asia, whereas several countries in Latin America and elsewhere saw progress stagnate after experiencing considerable advances in the HAQ Index between 1990 and 2000. Striking subnational disparities emerged in personal health-care access and quality, with China and India having particularly large gaps between locations with the highest and lowest scores in 2016. In China, performance ranged from 91·5 (89·1-93·6) in Beijing to 48·0 (43·4-53·2) in Tibet (a 43·5-point difference), while India saw a 30·8-point disparity, from 64·8 (59·6-68·8) in Goa to 34·0 (30·3-38·1) in Assam. Japan recorded the smallest range in subnational HAQ performance in 2016 (a 4·8-point difference), whereas differences between subnational locations with the highest and lowest HAQ Index values were more than two times as high for the USA and three times as high for England. State-level gaps in the HAQ Index in Mexico somewhat narrowed from 1990 to 2016 (from a 20·9-point to 17·0-point difference), whereas in Brazil, disparities slightly increased across states during this time (a 17·2-point to 20·4-point difference). Performance on the HAQ Index showed strong linkages to overall development, with high and high-middle SDI countries generally having higher scores and faster gains for non-communicable diseases. Nonetheless, countries across the development spectrum saw substantial gains in some key health service areas from 2000 to 2016, most notably vaccine-preventable diseases. Overall, national performance on the HAQ Index was positively associated with higher levels of total health spending per capita, as well as health systems inputs, but these relationships were quite heterogeneous, particularly among low-to-middle SDI countries.InterpretationGBD 2016 provides a more detailed understanding of past success and current challenges in improving personal health-care access and quality worldwide. Despite substantial gains since 2000, many low-SDI and middle-SDI countries face considerable challenges unless heightened policy action and investments focus on advancing access to and quality of health care across key health services, especially non-communicable diseases. Stagnating or minimal improvements experienced by several low-middle to high-middle SDI countries could reflect the complexities of re-orienting both primary and secondary health-care services beyond the more limited foci of the Millennium Development Goals. Alongside initiatives to strengthen public health programmes, the pursuit of universal health coverage hinges upon improving both access and quality worldwide, and thus requires adopting a more comprehensive view-and subsequent provision-of quality health care for all populations.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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- 2018
21. Prediction of psychosis across protocols and risk cohorts using automated language analysis
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Corcoran, Cheryl M, Carrillo, Facundo, Fernández-Slezak, Diego, Bedi, Gillinder, Klim, Casimir, Javitt, Daniel C, Bearden, Carrie E, and Cecchi, Guillermo A
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Biomedical and Clinical Sciences ,Clinical Sciences ,Brain Disorders ,Clinical Research ,Mental Health ,Serious Mental Illness ,Schizophrenia ,Aetiology ,2.1 Biological and endogenous factors ,Mental health ,Good Health and Well Being ,Automated language analysis ,prediction of psychosis ,semantic coherence ,syntactic complexity ,high-risk youths ,machine learning ,Psychiatry ,Clinical sciences ,Health services and systems - Abstract
Language and speech are the primary source of data for psychiatrists to diagnose and treat mental disorders. In psychosis, the very structure of language can be disturbed, including semantic coherence (e.g., derailment and tangentiality) and syntactic complexity (e.g., concreteness). Subtle disturbances in language are evident in schizophrenia even prior to first psychosis onset, during prodromal stages. Using computer-based natural language processing analyses, we previously showed that, among English-speaking clinical (e.g., ultra) high-risk youths, baseline reduction in semantic coherence (the flow of meaning in speech) and in syntactic complexity could predict subsequent psychosis onset with high accuracy. Herein, we aimed to cross-validate these automated linguistic analytic methods in a second larger risk cohort, also English-speaking, and to discriminate speech in psychosis from normal speech. We identified an automated machine-learning speech classifier - comprising decreased semantic coherence, greater variance in that coherence, and reduced usage of possessive pronouns - that had an 83% accuracy in predicting psychosis onset (intra-protocol), a cross-validated accuracy of 79% of psychosis onset prediction in the original risk cohort (cross-protocol), and a 72% accuracy in discriminating the speech of recent-onset psychosis patients from that of healthy individuals. The classifier was highly correlated with previously identified manual linguistic predictors. Our findings support the utility and validity of automated natural language processing methods to characterize disturbances in semantics and syntax across stages of psychotic disorder. The next steps will be to apply these methods in larger risk cohorts to further test reproducibility, also in languages other than English, and identify sources of variability. This technology has the potential to improve prediction of psychosis outcome among at-risk youths and identify linguistic targets for remediation and preventive intervention. More broadly, automated linguistic analysis can be a powerful tool for diagnosis and treatment across neuropsychiatry.
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- 2018
22. Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
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Collaborators, GBD 2016 Risk Factors, Gakidou, Emmanuela, Afshin, Ashkan, Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abbafati, Cristiana, Abbas, Kaja M, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abdulle, Abdishakur M, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Aboyans, Victor, Abu-Raddad, Laith J, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen ME, Abyu, Gebre Yitayih, Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi, Adetokunboh, Olatunji, Afarideh, Mohsen, Agrawal, Anurag, Agrawal, Sutapa, Ahmadieh, Hamid, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Aichour, Amani Nidhal, Aichour, Ibtihel, Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola, Akseer, Nadia, Alahdab, Fares, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alam, Khurshid, Alam, Noore, Alam, Tahiya, Alasfoor, Deena, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Ali, Komal, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Alla, François, Allebeck, Peter, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Alsharif, Ubai, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amare, Azmeraw T, Amini, Erfan, Ammar, Walid, Amoako, Yaw Ampem, Ansari, Hossein, Antó, Josep M, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Anwari, Palwasha, Arian, Nicholas, Ärnlöv, Johan, Artaman, Al, Aryal, Krishna Kumar, Asayesh, Hamid, Asgedom, Solomon Weldegebreal, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Avila-Burgos, Leticia, Avokpaho, Euripide Frinel G Arthur, Awasthi, Ashish, Azzopardi, Peter, Bacha, Umar, Badawi, Alaa, Balakrishnan, Kalpana, Ballew, Shoshana H, Barac, Aleksandra, Barber, Ryan M, Barker-Collo, Suzanne L, Bärnighausen, Till, Barquera, Simon, Barregard, Lars, Barrero, Lope H, Batis, Carolina, Battle, Katherine E, Baumgarner, Blair R, Baune, Bernhard T, Beardsley, Justin, Bedi, Neeraj, Beghi, Ettore, Bell, Michelle L, Bennett, Derrick A, Bennett, James R, Bensenor, Isabela M, Berhane, Adugnaw, Berhe, Derbew Fikadu, Bernabé, Eduardo, Betsu, Balem Demtsu, Beuran, Mircea, Beyene, Addisu Shunu, Bhansali, Anil, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Bicer, Burcu Kucuk, Bikbov, Boris, Birungi, Charles, Biryukov, Stan, Blosser, Christopher D, Boneya, Dube Jara, Bou-Orm, Ibrahim R, Brauer, Michael, and Breitborde, Nicholas JK
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Epidemiology ,Health Sciences ,Prevention ,Aetiology ,2.2 Factors relating to the physical environment ,Good Health and Well Being ,Adolescent ,Adult ,Aged ,Aged ,80 and over ,Air Pollution ,Body Mass Index ,Cause of Death ,Child ,Child ,Preschool ,Communicable Diseases ,Disabled Persons ,Environmental Health ,Female ,Global Burden of Disease ,Humans ,Infant ,Infant ,Newborn ,Life Expectancy ,Male ,Metabolic Diseases ,Middle Aged ,Noncommunicable Diseases ,Occupational Diseases ,Quality-Adjusted Life Years ,Risk Assessment ,Sex Distribution ,Smoking ,Water Supply ,Young Adult ,GBD 2016 Risk Factors Collaborators ,Medical and Health Sciences ,General & Internal Medicine ,Biomedical and clinical sciences ,Health sciences - Abstract
BackgroundThe Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) provides a comprehensive assessment of risk factor exposure and attributable burden of disease. By providing estimates over a long time series, this study can monitor risk exposure trends critical to health surveillance and inform policy debates on the importance of addressing risks in context.MethodsWe used the comparative risk assessment framework developed for previous iterations of GBD to estimate levels and trends in exposure, attributable deaths, and attributable disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs), by age group, sex, year, and location for 84 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks from 1990 to 2016. This study included 481 risk-outcome pairs that met the GBD study criteria for convincing or probable evidence of causation. We extracted relative risk (RR) and exposure estimates from 22 717 randomised controlled trials, cohorts, pooled cohorts, household surveys, census data, satellite data, and other sources, according to the GBD 2016 source counting methods. Using the counterfactual scenario of theoretical minimum risk exposure level (TMREL), we estimated the portion of deaths and DALYs that could be attributed to a given risk. Finally, we explored four drivers of trends in attributable burden: population growth, population ageing, trends in risk exposure, and all other factors combined.FindingsSince 1990, exposure increased significantly for 30 risks, did not change significantly for four risks, and decreased significantly for 31 risks. Among risks that are leading causes of burden of disease, child growth failure and household air pollution showed the most significant declines, while metabolic risks, such as body-mass index and high fasting plasma glucose, showed significant increases. In 2016, at Level 3 of the hierarchy, the three leading risk factors in terms of attributable DALYs at the global level for men were smoking (124·1 million DALYs [95% UI 111·2 million to 137·0 million]), high systolic blood pressure (122·2 million DALYs [110·3 million to 133·3 million], and low birthweight and short gestation (83·0 million DALYs [78·3 million to 87·7 million]), and for women, were high systolic blood pressure (89·9 million DALYs [80·9 million to 98·2 million]), high body-mass index (64·8 million DALYs [44·4 million to 87·6 million]), and high fasting plasma glucose (63·8 million DALYs [53·2 million to 76·3 million]). In 2016 in 113 countries, the leading risk factor in terms of attributable DALYs was a metabolic risk factor. Smoking remained among the leading five risk factors for DALYs for 109 countries, while low birthweight and short gestation was the leading risk factor for DALYs in 38 countries, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa and South Asia. In terms of important drivers of change in trends of burden attributable to risk factors, between 2006 and 2016 exposure to risks explains an 9·3% (6·9-11·6) decline in deaths and a 10·8% (8·3-13·1) decrease in DALYs at the global level, while population ageing accounts for 14·9% (12·7-17·5) of deaths and 6·2% (3·9-8·7) of DALYs, and population growth for 12·4% (10·1-14·9) of deaths and 12·4% (10·1-14·9) of DALYs. The largest contribution of trends in risk exposure to disease burden is seen between ages 1 year and 4 years, where a decline of 27·3% (24·9-29·7) of the change in DALYs between 2006 and 2016 can be attributed to declines in exposure to risks.InterpretationIncreasingly detailed understanding of the trends in risk exposure and the RRs for each risk-outcome pair provide insights into both the magnitude of health loss attributable to risks and how modification of risk exposure has contributed to health trends. Metabolic risks warrant particular policy attention, due to their large contribution to global disease burden, increasing trends, and variable patterns across countries at the same level of development. GBD 2016 findings show that, while it has huge potential to improve health, risk modification has played a relatively small part in the past decade.FundingThe Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation, Bloomberg Philanthropies.
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- 2017
23. SMAD4 Loss Is Associated with Cetuximab Resistance and Induction of MAPK/JNK Activation in Head and Neck Cancer Cells
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Ozawa, Hiroyuki, Ranaweera, Ruchira S, Izumchenko, Evgeny, Makarev, Eugene, Zhavoronkov, Alex, Fertig, Elana J, Howard, Jason D, Markovic, Ana, Bedi, Atul, Ravi, Rajani, Perez, Jimena, Le, Quynh-Thu, Kong, Christina S, Jordan, Richard C, Wang, Hao, Kang, Hyunseok, Quon, Harry, Sidransky, David, and Chung, Christine H
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Rare Diseases ,Genetics ,Dental/Oral and Craniofacial Disease ,Cancer ,Infectious Diseases ,Aetiology ,2.1 Biological and endogenous factors ,Aged ,Animals ,Antibodies ,Monoclonal ,Humanized ,Cell Line ,Tumor ,Cetuximab ,Drug Resistance ,Neoplasm ,ErbB Receptors ,Female ,Gene Expression Regulation ,Neoplastic ,Head and Neck Neoplasms ,Humans ,MAP Kinase Kinase 1 ,Mice ,Middle Aged ,Neoplasm Recurrence ,Local ,Papillomaviridae ,Protein Kinase Inhibitors ,Smad4 Protein ,Xenograft Model Antitumor Assays ,Oncology and Carcinogenesis ,Oncology & Carcinogenesis - Abstract
Purpose: We previously demonstrated an association between decreased SMAD4 expression and cetuximab resistance in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC). The purpose of this study was to further elucidate the clinical relevance of SMAD4 loss in HNSCC.Experimental Design: SMAD4 expression was assessed by IHC in 130 newly diagnosed and 43 patients with recurrent HNSCC. Correlative statistical analysis with clinicopathologic data was also performed. OncoFinder, a bioinformatics tool, was used to analyze molecular signaling in TCGA tumors with low or high SMAD4 mRNA levels. The role of SMAD4 was investigated by shRNA knockdown and gene reconstitution of HPV-negative HNSCC cell lines in vitro and in vivoResults: Our analysis revealed that SMAD4 loss was associated with an aggressive, HPV-negative, cetuximab-resistant phenotype. We found a signature of prosurvival and antiapoptotic pathways that were commonly dysregulated in SMAD4-low cases derived from TCGA-HNSCC dataset and an independent oral cavity squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) cohort obtained from GEO. We show that SMAD4 depletion in an HNSCC cell line induces cetuximab resistance and results in worse survival in an orthotopic mouse model in vivo We implicate JNK and MAPK activation as mediators of cetuximab resistance and provide the foundation for the concomitant EGFR and JNK/MAPK inhibition as a potential strategy for overcoming cetuximab resistance in HNSCCs with SMAD4 loss.Conclusions: Our study demonstrates that loss of SMAD4 expression is a signature characterizing the cetuximab-resistant phenotype and suggests that SMAD4 expression may be a determinant of sensitivity/resistance to EGFR/MAPK or EGFR/JNK inhibition in HPV-negative HNSCC tumors. Clin Cancer Res; 23(17); 5162-75. ©2017 AACR.
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- 2017
24. Global, regional, and national disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) for 333 diseases and injuries and healthy life expectancy (HALE) for 195 countries and territories, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
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Collaborators, GBD 2016 DALYs and HALE, Hay, Simon I, Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abbafati, Cristiana, Abbas, Kaja M, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi, Abdulle, Abdishakur M, Abebo, Teshome Abuka, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Aboyans, Victor, Abu-Raddad, Laith J, Ackerman, Ilana N, Adedeji, Isaac A, Adetokunboh, Olatunji, Afshin, Ashkan, Aggarwal, Rakesh, Agrawal, Sutapa, Agrawal, Anurag, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Aichour, Amani Nidhal, Aichour, Ibtihel, Aiyar, Sneha, Akinyemiju, Tomi F, Akseer, Nadia, Al Lami, Faris Hasan, Alahdab, Fares, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alam, Khurshid, Alam, Noore, Alam, Tahiya, Alasfoor, Deena, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Ali, Raghib, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Alkaabi, Juma M, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Alla, François, Allebeck, Peter, Allen, Christine, Al-Maskari, Fatma, AlMazroa, Mohammad AbdulAziz, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Alsharif, Ubai, Alsowaidi, Shirina, Althouse, Benjamin M, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amare, Azmeraw T, Amini, Erfan, Ammar, Walid, Amoako, Yaw Ampem, Ansha, Mustafa Geleto, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Anwari, Palwasha, Ärnlöv, Johan, Arora, Megha, Artaman, Al, Aryal, Krishna Kumar, Asgedom, Solomon W, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Atnafu, Niguse Tadele, Avila-Burgos, Leticia, Avokpaho, Euripide Frinel G Arthur, Awasthi, Ashish, Awasthi, Shally, Azarpazhooh, Mahmoud Reza, Azzopardi, Peter, Babalola, Tesleem Kayode, Bacha, Umar, Badawi, Alaa, Balakrishnan, Kalpana, Bannick, Marlena S, Barac, Aleksandra, Barker-Collo, Suzanne L, Bärnighausen, Till, Barquera, Simon, Barrero, Lope H, Basu, Sanjay, Battista, Robert, Battle, Katherine E, Baune, Bernhard T, Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad, Beardsley, Justin, Bedi, Neeraj, Béjot, Yannick, Bekele, Bayu Begashaw, Bell, Michelle L, Bennett, Derrick A, Bennett, James R, Bensenor, Isabela M, Benson, Jennifer, Berhane, Adugnaw, Berhe, Derbew Fikadu, Bernabé, Eduardo, Betsu, Balem Demtsu, Beuran, Mircea, and Beyene, Addisu Shunu
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Epidemiology ,Public Health ,Health Sciences ,Clinical Research ,Behavioral and Social Science ,Prevention ,Social Determinants of Health ,Burden of Illness ,2.4 Surveillance and distribution ,Good Health and Well Being ,Adult ,Age Distribution ,Aged ,Aged ,80 and over ,Cause of Death ,Communicable Diseases ,Disabled Persons ,Female ,Global Burden of Disease ,Global Health ,Humans ,Life Expectancy ,Male ,Middle Aged ,Noncommunicable Diseases ,Quality-Adjusted Life Years ,Residence Characteristics ,Sex Distribution ,Wounds and Injuries ,GBD 2016 DALYs and HALE Collaborators ,Medical and Health Sciences ,General & Internal Medicine ,Biomedical and clinical sciences ,Health sciences - Abstract
BackgroundMeasurement of changes in health across locations is useful to compare and contrast changing epidemiological patterns against health system performance and identify specific needs for resource allocation in research, policy development, and programme decision making. Using the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016, we drew from two widely used summary measures to monitor such changes in population health: disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) and healthy life expectancy (HALE). We used these measures to track trends and benchmark progress compared with expected trends on the basis of the Socio-demographic Index (SDI).MethodsWe used results from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 for all-cause mortality, cause-specific mortality, and non-fatal disease burden to derive HALE and DALYs by sex for 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2016. We calculated DALYs by summing years of life lost and years of life lived with disability for each location, age group, sex, and year. We estimated HALE using age-specific death rates and years of life lived with disability per capita. We explored how DALYs and HALE differed from expected trends when compared with the SDI: the geometric mean of income per person, educational attainment in the population older than age 15 years, and total fertility rate.FindingsThe highest globally observed HALE at birth for both women and men was in Singapore, at 75·2 years (95% uncertainty interval 71·9-78·6) for females and 72·0 years (68·8-75·1) for males. The lowest for females was in the Central African Republic (45·6 years [42·0-49·5]) and for males was in Lesotho (41·5 years [39·0-44·0]). From 1990 to 2016, global HALE increased by an average of 6·24 years (5·97-6·48) for both sexes combined. Global HALE increased by 6·04 years (5·74-6·27) for males and 6·49 years (6·08-6·77) for females, whereas HALE at age 65 years increased by 1·78 years (1·61-1·93) for males and 1·96 years (1·69-2·13) for females. Total global DALYs remained largely unchanged from 1990 to 2016 (-2·3% [-5·9 to 0·9]), with decreases in communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) disease DALYs offset by increased DALYs due to non-communicable diseases (NCDs). The exemplars, calculated as the five lowest ratios of observed to expected age-standardised DALY rates in 2016, were Nicaragua, Costa Rica, the Maldives, Peru, and Israel. The leading three causes of DALYs globally were ischaemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and lower respiratory infections, comprising 16·1% of all DALYs. Total DALYs and age-standardised DALY rates due to most CMNN causes decreased from 1990 to 2016. Conversely, the total DALY burden rose for most NCDs; however, age-standardised DALY rates due to NCDs declined globally.InterpretationAt a global level, DALYs and HALE continue to show improvements. At the same time, we observe that many populations are facing growing functional health loss. Rising SDI was associated with increases in cumulative years of life lived with disability and decreases in CMNN DALYs offset by increased NCD DALYs. Relative compression of morbidity highlights the importance of continued health interventions, which has changed in most locations in pace with the gross domestic product per person, education, and family planning. The analysis of DALYs and HALE and their relationship to SDI represents a robust framework with which to benchmark location-specific health performance. Country-specific drivers of disease burden, particularly for causes with higher-than-expected DALYs, should inform health policies, health system improvement initiatives, targeted prevention efforts, and development assistance for health, including financial and research investments for all countries, regardless of their level of sociodemographic development. The presence of countries that substantially outperform others suggests the need for increased scrutiny for proven examples of best practices, which can help to extend gains, whereas the presence of underperforming countries suggests the need for devotion of extra attention to health systems that need more robust support.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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- 2017
25. Global, regional, and national age-sex specific mortality for 264 causes of death, 1980–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
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Collaborators, GBD 2016 Causes of Death, Naghavi, Mohsen, Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu, Abbafati, Cristiana, Abbas, Kaja M, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Aboyans, Victor, Adetokunboh, Olatunji, Afshin, Ashkan, Agrawal, Anurag, Ahmadi, Alireza, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Aichour, Amani Nidhal, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Aichour, Ibtihel, Aiyar, Sneha, Alahdab, Fares, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alam, Khurshid, Alam, Noore, Alam, Tahiya, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Al-Eyadhy, Ayman, Ali, Syed Danish, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Alkaabi, Juma M, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Alla, François, Allebeck, Peter, Allen, Christine, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Alsharif, Ubai, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amare, Azmeraw T, Amini, Erfan, Ammar, Walid, Amoako, Yaw Ampem, Anber, Nahla, Andersen, Hjalte H, Andrei, Catalina Liliana, Androudi, Sofia, Ansari, Hossein, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Anwari, Palwasha, Ärnlöv, Johan, Arora, Megha, Artaman, Al, Aryal, Krishna Kumar, Asayesh, Hamid, Asgedom, Solomon W, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Avila-Burgos, Leticia, Avokpaho, Euripide Frinel G, Awasthi, Ashish, Babalola, Tesleem Kayode, Bacha, Umar, Balakrishnan, Kalpana, Barac, Aleksandra, Barboza, Miguel A, Barker-Collo, Suzanne L, Barquera, Simon, Barregard, Lars, Barrero, Lope H, Baune, Bernhard T, Bedi, Neeraj, Beghi, Ettore, Béjot, Yannick, Bekele, Bayu Begashaw, Bell, Michelle L, Bennett, James R, Bensenor, Isabela M, Berhane, Adugnaw, Bernabé, Eduardo, Betsu, Balem Demtsu, Beuran, Mircea, Bhatt, Samir, Biadgilign, Sibhatu, Bienhoff, Kelly, Bikbov, Boris, Bisanzio, Donal, Bourne, Rupert RA, Breitborde, Nicholas JK, Bulto, Lemma Negesa Bulto, Bumgarner, Blair R, Butt, Zahid A, Cahuana-Hurtado, Lucero, Cameron, Ewan, Campuzano, Julio Cesar, Car, Josip, Cárdenas, Rosario, Carrero, Juan Jesus, Carter, Austin, Casey, Daniel C, Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Catalá-López, Ferrán, Charlson, Fiona J, Chibueze, Chioma Ezinne, and Chimed-Ochir, Odgerel
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Pediatric ,Clinical Research ,Infant Mortality ,Infectious Diseases ,2.4 Surveillance and distribution ,Aetiology ,Infection ,Cardiovascular ,Good Health and Well Being ,Adolescent ,Adult ,Age Distribution ,Aged ,Aged ,80 and over ,Cause of Death ,Child ,Child ,Preschool ,Communicable Diseases ,Disasters ,Female ,Global Burden of Disease ,Global Health ,Humans ,Infant ,Infant ,Newborn ,Male ,Middle Aged ,Noncommunicable Diseases ,Nutrition Disorders ,Pregnancy ,Pregnancy Complications ,Socioeconomic Factors ,Wounds and Injuries ,Young Adult ,GBD 2016 Causes of Death Collaborators ,Medical and Health Sciences ,General & Internal Medicine - Abstract
BackgroundMonitoring levels and trends in premature mortality is crucial to understanding how societies can address prominent sources of early death. The Global Burden of Disease 2016 Study (GBD 2016) provides a comprehensive assessment of cause-specific mortality for 264 causes in 195 locations from 1980 to 2016. This assessment includes evaluation of the expected epidemiological transition with changes in development and where local patterns deviate from these trends.MethodsWe estimated cause-specific deaths and years of life lost (YLLs) by age, sex, geography, and year. YLLs were calculated from the sum of each death multiplied by the standard life expectancy at each age. We used the GBD cause of death database composed of: vital registration (VR) data corrected for under-registration and garbage coding; national and subnational verbal autopsy (VA) studies corrected for garbage coding; and other sources including surveys and surveillance systems for specific causes such as maternal mortality. To facilitate assessment of quality, we reported on the fraction of deaths assigned to GBD Level 1 or Level 2 causes that cannot be underlying causes of death (major garbage codes) by location and year. Based on completeness, garbage coding, cause list detail, and time periods covered, we provided an overall data quality rating for each location with scores ranging from 0 stars (worst) to 5 stars (best). We used robust statistical methods including the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) to generate estimates for each location, year, age, and sex. We assessed observed and expected levels and trends of cause-specific deaths in relation to the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a summary indicator derived from measures of average income per capita, educational attainment, and total fertility, with locations grouped into quintiles by SDI. Relative to GBD 2015, we expanded the GBD cause hierarchy by 18 causes of death for GBD 2016.FindingsThe quality of available data varied by location. Data quality in 25 countries rated in the highest category (5 stars), while 48, 30, 21, and 44 countries were rated at each of the succeeding data quality levels. Vital registration or verbal autopsy data were not available in 27 countries, resulting in the assignment of a zero value for data quality. Deaths from non-communicable diseases (NCDs) represented 72·3% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 71·2-73·2) of deaths in 2016 with 19·3% (18·5-20·4) of deaths in that year occurring from communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional (CMNN) diseases and a further 8·43% (8·00-8·67) from injuries. Although age-standardised rates of death from NCDs decreased globally between 2006 and 2016, total numbers of these deaths increased; both numbers and age-standardised rates of death from CMNN causes decreased in the decade 2006-16-age-standardised rates of deaths from injuries decreased but total numbers varied little. In 2016, the three leading global causes of death in children under-5 were lower respiratory infections, neonatal preterm birth complications, and neonatal encephalopathy due to birth asphyxia and trauma, combined resulting in 1·80 million deaths (95% UI 1·59 million to 1·89 million). Between 1990 and 2016, a profound shift toward deaths at older ages occurred with a 178% (95% UI 176-181) increase in deaths in ages 90-94 years and a 210% (208-212) increase in deaths older than age 95 years. The ten leading causes by rates of age-standardised YLL significantly decreased from 2006 to 2016 (median annualised rate of change was a decrease of 2·89%); the median annualised rate of change for all other causes was lower (a decrease of 1·59%) during the same interval. Globally, the five leading causes of total YLLs in 2016 were cardiovascular diseases; diarrhoea, lower respiratory infections, and other common infectious diseases; neoplasms; neonatal disorders; and HIV/AIDS and tuberculosis. At a finer level of disaggregation within cause groupings, the ten leading causes of total YLLs in 2016 were ischaemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, lower respiratory infections, diarrhoeal diseases, road injuries, malaria, neonatal preterm birth complications, HIV/AIDS, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and neonatal encephalopathy due to birth asphyxia and trauma. Ischaemic heart disease was the leading cause of total YLLs in 113 countries for men and 97 countries for women. Comparisons of observed levels of YLLs by countries, relative to the level of YLLs expected on the basis of SDI alone, highlighted distinct regional patterns including the greater than expected level of YLLs from malaria and from HIV/AIDS across sub-Saharan Africa; diabetes mellitus, especially in Oceania; interpersonal violence, notably within Latin America and the Caribbean; and cardiomyopathy and myocarditis, particularly in eastern and central Europe. The level of YLLs from ischaemic heart disease was less than expected in 117 of 195 locations. Other leading causes of YLLs for which YLLs were notably lower than expected included neonatal preterm birth complications in many locations in both south Asia and southeast Asia, and cerebrovascular disease in western Europe.InterpretationThe past 37 years have featured declining rates of communicable, maternal, neonatal, and nutritional diseases across all quintiles of SDI, with faster than expected gains for many locations relative to their SDI. A global shift towards deaths at older ages suggests success in reducing many causes of early death. YLLs have increased globally for causes such as diabetes mellitus or some neoplasms, and in some locations for causes such as drug use disorders, and conflict and terrorism. Increasing levels of YLLs might reflect outcomes from conditions that required high levels of care but for which effective treatments remain elusive, potentially increasing costs to health systems.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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- 2017
26. Measuring progress and projecting attainment on the basis of past trends of the health-related Sustainable Development Goals in 188 countries: an analysis from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
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Collaborators, GBD 2016 SDG, Fullman, Nancy, Barber, Ryan M, Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abbafati, Cristiana, Abbas, Kaja M, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi, Abdulle, Abdishakur M, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Aboyans, Victor, Abu-Raddad, Laith J, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen ME, Adedeji, Isaac Akinkunmi, Adetokunboh, Olatunji, Afshin, Ashkan, Agrawal, Anurag, Agrawal, Sutapa, Kiadaliri, Aliasghar Ahmad, Ahmadieh, Hamid, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Aichour, Amani Nidhal, Aichour, Ibtihel, Aiyar, Sneha, Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola, Akseer, Nadia, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alam, Khurshid, Alam, Noore, Alasfoor, Deena, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Alla, François, Allebeck, Peter, Allen, Christine, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Alsharif, Ubai, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amare, Azmeraw T, Amini, Erfan, Ammar, Walid, Ansari, Hossein, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Anwari, Palwasha, Arora, Megha, Artaman, Al, Aryal, Krishna Kumar, Asayesh, Hamid, Asgedom, Solomon Weldegebreal, Assadi, Reza, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Atre, Sachin R, Avila-Burgos, Leticia, Avokpaho, Euripide Frinel G Arthur, Awasthi, Ashish, Azzopardi, Peter, Bacha, Umar, Badawi, Alaa, Balakrishnan, Kalpana, Bannick, Marlena S, Barac, Aleksandra, Barker-Collo, Suzanne L, Bärnighausen, Till, Barrero, Lope H, Basu, Sanjay, Battle, Katherine E, Baune, Bernhard T, Beardsley, Justin, Bedi, Neeraj, Beghi, Ettore, Béjot, Yannick, Bell, Michelle L, Bennett, Derrick A, Bennett, James R, Bensenor, Isabela M, Berhane, Adugnaw, Berhe, Derbew Fikadu, Bernabé, Eduardo, Betsu, Balem Demtsu, Beuran, Mircea, Beyene, Addisu Shunu, Bhala, Neeraj, Bhansali, Anil, Bhatt, Samir, Bhutta, Zulfiqar A, Bicer, Burcu Kucuk, Bidgoli, Hassan Haghparast, Bikbov, Boris, Bilal, Arebu I, Birungi, Charles, Biryukov, Stan, Bizuayehu, Habtamu Mellie, Blosser, Christopher D, Boneya, Dube Jara, Bose, Dipan, and Bou-Orm, Ibrahim R
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Infectious Diseases ,Pediatric ,Prevention ,Rare Diseases ,Good Health and Well Being ,Adolescent ,Adult ,Child ,Child Abuse ,Sexual ,Child ,Preschool ,Conservation of Natural Resources ,Female ,Global Burden of Disease ,Global Health ,Health Status ,Health Status Indicators ,Humans ,Infant ,Infant Mortality ,Infant ,Newborn ,Male ,Middle Aged ,Noncommunicable Diseases ,Quality-Adjusted Life Years ,Sex Offenses ,Young Adult ,GBD 2016 SDG Collaborators ,Medical and Health Sciences ,General & Internal Medicine - Abstract
BackgroundThe UN's Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are grounded in the global ambition of "leaving no one behind". Understanding today's gains and gaps for the health-related SDGs is essential for decision makers as they aim to improve the health of populations. As part of the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016), we measured 37 of the 50 health-related SDG indicators over the period 1990-2016 for 188 countries, and then on the basis of these past trends, we projected indicators to 2030.MethodsWe used standardised GBD 2016 methods to measure 37 health-related indicators from 1990 to 2016, an increase of four indicators since GBD 2015. We substantially revised the universal health coverage (UHC) measure, which focuses on coverage of essential health services, to also represent personal health-care access and quality for several non-communicable diseases. We transformed each indicator on a scale of 0-100, with 0 as the 2·5th percentile estimated between 1990 and 2030, and 100 as the 97·5th percentile during that time. An index representing all 37 health-related SDG indicators was constructed by taking the geometric mean of scaled indicators by target. On the basis of past trends, we produced projections of indicator values, using a weighted average of the indicator and country-specific annualised rates of change from 1990 to 2016 with weights for each annual rate of change based on out-of-sample validity. 24 of the currently measured health-related SDG indicators have defined SDG targets, against which we assessed attainment.FindingsGlobally, the median health-related SDG index was 56·7 (IQR 31·9-66·8) in 2016 and country-level performance markedly varied, with Singapore (86·8, 95% uncertainty interval 84·6-88·9), Iceland (86·0, 84·1-87·6), and Sweden (85·6, 81·8-87·8) having the highest levels in 2016 and Afghanistan (10·9, 9·6-11·9), the Central African Republic (11·0, 8·8-13·8), and Somalia (11·3, 9·5-13·1) recording the lowest. Between 2000 and 2016, notable improvements in the UHC index were achieved by several countries, including Cambodia, Rwanda, Equatorial Guinea, Laos, Turkey, and China; however, a number of countries, such as Lesotho and the Central African Republic, but also high-income countries, such as the USA, showed minimal gains. Based on projections of past trends, the median number of SDG targets attained in 2030 was five (IQR 2-8) of the 24 defined targets currently measured. Globally, projected target attainment considerably varied by SDG indicator, ranging from more than 60% of countries projected to reach targets for under-5 mortality, neonatal mortality, maternal mortality ratio, and malaria, to less than 5% of countries projected to achieve targets linked to 11 indicator targets, including those for childhood overweight, tuberculosis, and road injury mortality. For several of the health-related SDGs, meeting defined targets hinges upon substantially faster progress than what most countries have achieved in the past.InterpretationGBD 2016 provides an updated and expanded evidence base on where the world currently stands in terms of the health-related SDGs. Our improved measure of UHC offers a basis to monitor the expansion of health services necessary to meet the SDGs. Based on past rates of progress, many places are facing challenges in meeting defined health-related SDG targets, particularly among countries that are the worst off. In view of the early stages of SDG implementation, however, opportunity remains to take actions to accelerate progress, as shown by the catalytic effects of adopting the Millennium Development Goals after 2000. With the SDGs' broader, bolder development agenda, multisectoral commitments and investments are vital to make the health-related SDGs within reach of all populations.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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- 2017
27. Global, regional, and national incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability for 328 diseases and injuries for 195 countries, 1990–2016: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2016
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Collaborators, GBD 2016 Disease and Injury Incidence and Prevalence, Vos, Theo, Abajobir, Amanuel Alemu, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Abbafati, Cristiana, Abbas, Kaja M, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abdulkader, Rizwan Suliankatchi, Abdulle, Abdishakur M, Abebo, Teshome Abuka, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Aboyans, Victor, Abu-Raddad, Laith J, Ackerman, Ilana N, Adamu, Abdu Abdullahi, Adetokunboh, Olatunji, Afarideh, Mohsen, Afshin, Ashkan, Agarwal, Sanjay Kumar, Aggarwal, Rakesh, Agrawal, Anurag, Agrawal, Sutapa, Ahmadieh, Hamid, Ahmed, Muktar Beshir, Aichour, Miloud Taki Eddine, Aichour, Amani Nidhal, Aichour, Ibtihel, Aiyar, Sneha, Akinyemi, Rufus Olusola, Akseer, Nadia, Al Lami, Faris Hasan, Alahdab, Fares, Al-Aly, Ziyad, Alam, Khurshid, Alam, Noore, Alam, Tahiya, Alasfoor, Deena, Alene, Kefyalew Addis, Ali, Raghib, Alizadeh-Navaei, Reza, Alkerwi, Ala'a, Alla, François, Allebeck, Peter, Allen, Christine, Al-Maskari, Fatma, Al-Raddadi, Rajaa, Alsharif, Ubai, Alsowaidi, Shirina, Altirkawi, Khalid A, Amare, Azmeraw T, Amini, Erfan, Ammar, Walid, Amoako, Yaw Ampem, Andersen, Hjalte H, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Anwari, Palwasha, Ärnlöv, Johan, Artaman, Al, Aryal, Krishna Kumar, Asayesh, Hamid, Asgedom, Solomon W, Assadi, Reza, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Atnafu, Niguse Tadele, Atre, Sachin R, Avila-Burgos, Leticia, Avokphako, Euripide Frinel G Arthur, Awasthi, Ashish, Bacha, Umar, Badawi, Alaa, Balakrishnan, Kalpana, Banerjee, Amitava, Bannick, Marlena S, Barac, Aleksandra, Barber, Ryan M, Barker-Collo, Suzanne L, Bärnighausen, Till, Barquera, Simon, Barregard, Lars, Barrero, Lope H, Basu, Sanjay, Battista, Bob, Battle, Katherine E, Baune, Bernhard T, Bazargan-Hejazi, Shahrzad, Beardsley, Justin, Bedi, Neeraj, Beghi, Ettore, Béjot, Yannick, Bekele, Bayu Begashaw, Bell, Michelle L, Bennett, Derrick A, Bensenor, Isabela M, Benson, Jennifer, Berhane, Adugnaw, Berhe, Derbew Fikadu, Bernabé, Eduardo, Betsu, Balem Demtsu, Beuran, Mircea, and Beyene, Addisu Shunu
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Biomedical and Clinical Sciences ,Epidemiology ,Public Health ,Clinical Sciences ,Health Sciences ,Neurosciences ,Women's Health ,Behavioral and Social Science ,Mental Health ,Burden of Illness ,Aging ,Brain Disorders ,2.4 Surveillance and distribution ,Good Health and Well Being ,Adolescent ,Adult ,Age Distribution ,Aged ,Aged ,80 and over ,Cause of Death ,Child ,Child ,Preschool ,Communicable Diseases ,Disabled Persons ,Female ,Global Burden of Disease ,Global Health ,Humans ,Incidence ,Infant ,Infant ,Newborn ,Male ,Middle Aged ,Noncommunicable Diseases ,Prevalence ,Sex Distribution ,Wounds and Injuries ,Young Adult ,GBD 2016 Disease and Injury Incidence and Prevalence Collaborators ,Medical and Health Sciences ,General & Internal Medicine ,Biomedical and clinical sciences ,Health sciences - Abstract
BackgroundAs mortality rates decline, life expectancy increases, and populations age, non-fatal outcomes of diseases and injuries are becoming a larger component of the global burden of disease. The Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2016 (GBD 2016) provides a comprehensive assessment of prevalence, incidence, and years lived with disability (YLDs) for 328 causes in 195 countries and territories from 1990 to 2016.MethodsWe estimated prevalence and incidence for 328 diseases and injuries and 2982 sequelae, their non-fatal consequences. We used DisMod-MR 2.1, a Bayesian meta-regression tool, as the main method of estimation, ensuring consistency between incidence, prevalence, remission, and cause of death rates for each condition. For some causes, we used alternative modelling strategies if incidence or prevalence needed to be derived from other data. YLDs were estimated as the product of prevalence and a disability weight for all mutually exclusive sequelae, corrected for comorbidity and aggregated to cause level. We updated the Socio-demographic Index (SDI), a summary indicator of income per capita, years of schooling, and total fertility rate. GBD 2016 complies with the Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting (GATHER).FindingsGlobally, low back pain, migraine, age-related and other hearing loss, iron-deficiency anaemia, and major depressive disorder were the five leading causes of YLDs in 2016, contributing 57·6 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 40·8-75·9 million [7·2%, 6·0-8·3]), 45·1 million (29·0-62·8 million [5·6%, 4·0-7·2]), 36·3 million (25·3-50·9 million [4·5%, 3·8-5·3]), 34·7 million (23·0-49·6 million [4·3%, 3·5-5·2]), and 34·1 million (23·5-46·0 million [4·2%, 3·2-5·3]) of total YLDs, respectively. Age-standardised rates of YLDs for all causes combined decreased between 1990 and 2016 by 2·7% (95% UI 2·3-3·1). Despite mostly stagnant age-standardised rates, the absolute number of YLDs from non-communicable diseases has been growing rapidly across all SDI quintiles, partly because of population growth, but also the ageing of populations. The largest absolute increases in total numbers of YLDs globally were between the ages of 40 and 69 years. Age-standardised YLD rates for all conditions combined were 10·4% (95% UI 9·0-11·8) higher in women than in men. Iron-deficiency anaemia, migraine, Alzheimer's disease and other dementias, major depressive disorder, anxiety, and all musculoskeletal disorders apart from gout were the main conditions contributing to higher YLD rates in women. Men had higher age-standardised rates of substance use disorders, diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, cancers, and all injuries apart from sexual violence. Globally, we noted much less geographical variation in disability than has been documented for premature mortality. In 2016, there was a less than two times difference in age-standardised YLD rates for all causes between the location with the lowest rate (China, 9201 YLDs per 100 000, 95% UI 6862-11943) and highest rate (Yemen, 14 774 YLDs per 100 000, 11 018-19 228).InterpretationThe decrease in death rates since 1990 for most causes has not been matched by a similar decline in age-standardised YLD rates. For many large causes, YLD rates have either been stagnant or have increased for some causes, such as diabetes. As populations are ageing, and the prevalence of disabling disease generally increases steeply with age, health systems will face increasing demand for services that are generally costlier than the interventions that have led to declines in mortality in childhood or for the major causes of mortality in adults. Up-to-date information about the trends of disease and how this varies between countries is essential to plan for an adequate health-system response.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation, and the National Institute on Aging and the National Institute of Mental Health of the National Institutes of Health.
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- 2017
28. Retrotransposons Are the Major Contributors to the Expansion of the Drosophila ananassae Muller F Element.
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Leung, Wilson, Shaffer, Christopher D, Chen, Elizabeth J, Quisenberry, Thomas J, Ko, Kevin, Braverman, John M, Giarla, Thomas C, Mortimer, Nathan T, Reed, Laura K, Smith, Sheryl T, Robic, Srebrenka, McCartha, Shannon R, Perry, Danielle R, Prescod, Lindsay M, Sheppard, Zenyth A, Saville, Ken J, McClish, Allison, Morlock, Emily A, Sochor, Victoria R, Stanton, Brittney, Veysey-White, Isaac C, Revie, Dennis, Jimenez, Luis A, Palomino, Jennifer J, Patao, Melissa D, Patao, Shane M, Himelblau, Edward T, Campbell, Jaclyn D, Hertz, Alexandra L, McEvilly, Maddison F, Wagner, Allison R, Youngblom, James, Bedi, Baljit, Bettincourt, Jeffery, Duso, Erin, Her, Maiye, Hilton, William, House, Samantha, Karimi, Masud, Kumimoto, Kevin, Lee, Rebekah, Lopez, Darryl, Odisho, George, Prasad, Ricky, Robbins, Holly Lyn, Sandhu, Tanveer, Selfridge, Tracy, Tsukashima, Kara, Yosif, Hani, Kokan, Nighat P, Britt, Latia, Zoellner, Alycia, Spana, Eric P, Chlebina, Ben T, Chong, Insun, Friedman, Harrison, Mammo, Danny A, Ng, Chun L, Nikam, Vinayak S, Schwartz, Nicholas U, Xu, Thomas Q, Burg, Martin G, Batten, Spencer M, Corbeill, Lindsay M, Enoch, Erica, Ensign, Jesse J, Franks, Mary E, Haiker, Breanna, Ingles, Judith A, Kirkland, Lyndsay D, Lorenz-Guertin, Joshua M, Matthews, Jordan, Mittig, Cody M, Monsma, Nicholaus, Olson, Katherine J, Perez-Aragon, Guillermo, Ramic, Alen, Ramirez, Jordan R, Scheiber, Christopher, Schneider, Patrick A, Schultz, Devon E, Simon, Matthew, Spencer, Eric, Wernette, Adam C, Wykle, Maxine E, Zavala-Arellano, Elizabeth, McDonald, Mitchell J, Ostby, Kristine, Wendland, Peter, DiAngelo, Justin R, Ceasrine, Alexis M, Cox, Amanda H, Docherty, James EB, Gingras, Robert M, Grieb, Stephanie M, Pavia, Michael J, Personius, Casey L, Polak, Grzegorz L, Beach, Dale L, and Cerritos, Heaven L
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Chromosomes ,Animals ,Drosophila ,Wolbachia ,Histones ,Retroelements ,Codon ,Gene Expression Profiling ,Protein Processing ,Post-Translational ,Base Composition ,Base Sequence ,Genes ,Insect ,Female ,genome size ,heterochromatin ,retrotransposons ,Genetics ,Human Genome ,Generic health relevance - Abstract
The discordance between genome size and the complexity of eukaryotes can partly be attributed to differences in repeat density. The Muller F element (∼5.2 Mb) is the smallest chromosome in Drosophila melanogaster, but it is substantially larger (>18.7 Mb) in D. ananassae To identify the major contributors to the expansion of the F element and to assess their impact, we improved the genome sequence and annotated the genes in a 1.4-Mb region of the D. ananassae F element, and a 1.7-Mb region from the D element for comparison. We find that transposons (particularly LTR and LINE retrotransposons) are major contributors to this expansion (78.6%), while Wolbachia sequences integrated into the D. ananassae genome are minor contributors (0.02%). Both D. melanogaster and D. ananassae F-element genes exhibit distinct characteristics compared to D-element genes (e.g., larger coding spans, larger introns, more coding exons, and lower codon bias), but these differences are exaggerated in D. ananassae Compared to D. melanogaster, the codon bias observed in D. ananassae F-element genes can primarily be attributed to mutational biases instead of selection. The 5' ends of F-element genes in both species are enriched in dimethylation of lysine 4 on histone 3 (H3K4me2), while the coding spans are enriched in H3K9me2. Despite differences in repeat density and gene characteristics, D. ananassae F-element genes show a similar range of expression levels compared to genes in euchromatic domains. This study improves our understanding of how transposons can affect genome size and how genes can function within highly repetitive domains.
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- 2017
29. Global, Regional, and National Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases for 10 Causes, 1990 to 2015
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Roth, Gregory A, Johnson, Catherine, Abajobir, Amanuel, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Abyu, Gebre, Ahmed, Muktar, Aksut, Baran, Alam, Tahiya, Alam, Khurshid, Alla, François, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amrock, Stephen, Ansari, Hossein, Ärnlöv, Johan, Asayesh, Hamid, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Avila-Burgos, Leticia, Awasthi, Ashish, Banerjee, Amitava, Barac, Aleksandra, Bärnighausen, Till, Barregard, Lars, Bedi, Neeraj, Ketema, Ezra Belay, Bennett, Derrick, Berhe, Gebremedhin, Bhutta, Zulfiqar, Bitew, Shimelash, Carapetis, Jonathan, Carrero, Juan Jesus, Malta, Deborah Carvalho, Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos Andres, Castillo-Rivas, Jacqueline, Catalá-López, Ferrán, Choi, Jee-Young, Christensen, Hanne, Cirillo, Massimo, Cooper, Leslie, Criqui, Michael, Cundiff, David, Damasceno, Albertino, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, Davletov, Kairat, Dharmaratne, Samath, Dorairaj, Prabhakaran, Dubey, Manisha, Ehrenkranz, Rebecca, Zaki, Maysaa El Sayed, Faraon, Emerito Jose A, Esteghamati, Alireza, Farid, Talha, Farvid, Maryam, Feigin, Valery, Ding, Eric L, Fowkes, Gerry, Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye, Gillum, Richard, Gold, Audra, Gona, Philimon, Gupta, Rajeev, Habtewold, Tesfa Dejenie, Hafezi-Nejad, Nima, Hailu, Tesfaye, Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa, Hankey, Graeme, Hassen, Hamid Yimam, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Havmoeller, Rasmus, Hay, Simon I, Horino, Masako, Hotez, Peter J, Jacobsen, Kathryn, James, Spencer, Javanbakht, Mehdi, Jeemon, Panniyammakal, John, Denny, Jonas, Jost, Kalkonde, Yogeshwar, Karimkhani, Chante, Kasaeian, Amir, Khader, Yousef, Khan, Abdur, Khang, Young-Ho, Khera, Sahil, Khoja, Abdullah T, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kim, Daniel, Kolte, Dhaval, Kosen, Soewarta, Krohn, Kristopher J, Kumar, G Anil, Kwan, Gene F, Lal, Dharmesh Kumar, Larsson, Anders, Linn, Shai, Lopez, Alan, Lotufo, Paulo A, and Razek, Hassan Magdy Abd El
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Prevention ,Cardiovascular ,Burden of Illness ,Heart Disease ,Aging ,Aetiology ,2.4 Surveillance and distribution ,Good Health and Well Being ,Adult ,Aged ,Cardiovascular Diseases ,Cause of Death ,Female ,Global Health ,Humans ,Life Expectancy ,Male ,Middle Aged ,Morbidity ,Prevalence ,Prospective Studies ,Retrospective Studies ,Risk Assessment ,Risk Factors ,Sex Distribution ,Survival Rate ,Young Adult ,cause of death ,epidemiology ,global health ,Cardiorespiratory Medicine and Haematology ,Public Health and Health Services ,Cardiovascular System & Hematology - Abstract
BackgroundThe burden of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) remains unclear in many regions of the world.ObjectivesThe GBD (Global Burden of Disease) 2015 study integrated data on disease incidence, prevalence, and mortality to produce consistent, up-to-date estimates for cardiovascular burden.MethodsCVD mortality was estimated from vital registration and verbal autopsy data. CVD prevalence was estimated using modeling software and data from health surveys, prospective cohorts, health system administrative data, and registries. Years lived with disability (YLD) were estimated by multiplying prevalence by disability weights. Years of life lost (YLL) were estimated by multiplying age-specific CVD deaths by a reference life expectancy. A sociodemographic index (SDI) was created for each location based on income per capita, educational attainment, and fertility.ResultsIn 2015, there were an estimated 422.7 million cases of CVD (95% uncertainty interval: 415.53 to 427.87 million cases) and 17.92 million CVD deaths (95% uncertainty interval: 17.59 to 18.28 million CVD deaths). Declines in the age-standardized CVD death rate occurred between 1990 and 2015 in all high-income and some middle-income countries. Ischemic heart disease was the leading cause of CVD health lost globally, as well as in each world region, followed by stroke. As SDI increased beyond 0.25, the highest CVD mortality shifted from women to men. CVD mortality decreased sharply for both sexes in countries with an SDI >0.75.ConclusionsCVDs remain a major cause of health loss for all regions of the world. Sociodemographic change over the past 25 years has been associated with dramatic declines in CVD in regions with very high SDI, but only a gradual decrease or no change in most regions. Future updates of the GBD study can be used to guide policymakers who are focused on reducing the overall burden of noncommunicable disease and achieving specific global health targets for CVD.
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- 2017
30. Global, Regional, and National Burden of Cardiovascular Diseases for 10 Causes, 1990 to 2015.
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Roth, Gregory A, Johnson, Catherine, Abajobir, Amanuel, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Abyu, Gebre, Ahmed, Muktar, Aksut, Baran, Alam, Tahiya, Alam, Khurshid, Alla, François, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amrock, Stephen, Ansari, Hossein, Ärnlöv, Johan, Asayesh, Hamid, Atey, Tesfay Mehari, Avila-Burgos, Leticia, Awasthi, Ashish, Banerjee, Amitava, Barac, Aleksandra, Bärnighausen, Till, Barregard, Lars, Bedi, Neeraj, Belay Ketema, Ezra, Bennett, Derrick, Berhe, Gebremedhin, Bhutta, Zulfiqar, Bitew, Shimelash, Carapetis, Jonathan, Carrero, Juan Jesus, Malta, Deborah Carvalho, Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos Andres, Castillo-Rivas, Jacqueline, Catalá-López, Ferrán, Choi, Jee-Young, Christensen, Hanne, Cirillo, Massimo, Cooper, Leslie, Criqui, Michael, Cundiff, David, Damasceno, Albertino, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, Davletov, Kairat, Dharmaratne, Samath, Dorairaj, Prabhakaran, Dubey, Manisha, Ehrenkranz, Rebecca, El Sayed Zaki, Maysaa, Faraon, Emerito Jose A, Esteghamati, Alireza, Farid, Talha, Farvid, Maryam, Feigin, Valery, Ding, Eric L, Fowkes, Gerry, Gebrehiwot, Tsegaye, Gillum, Richard, Gold, Audra, Gona, Philimon, Gupta, Rajeev, Habtewold, Tesfa Dejenie, Hafezi-Nejad, Nima, Hailu, Tesfaye, Hailu, Gessessew Bugssa, Hankey, Graeme, Hassen, Hamid Yimam, Abate, Kalkidan Hassen, Havmoeller, Rasmus, Hay, Simon I, Horino, Masako, Hotez, Peter J, Jacobsen, Kathryn, James, Spencer, Javanbakht, Mehdi, Jeemon, Panniyammakal, John, Denny, Jonas, Jost, Kalkonde, Yogeshwar, Karimkhani, Chante, Kasaeian, Amir, Khader, Yousef, Khan, Abdur, Khang, Young-Ho, Khera, Sahil, Khoja, Abdullah T, Khubchandani, Jagdish, Kim, Daniel, Kolte, Dhaval, Kosen, Soewarta, Krohn, Kristopher J, Kumar, G Anil, Kwan, Gene F, Lal, Dharmesh Kumar, Larsson, Anders, Linn, Shai, Lopez, Alan, Lotufo, Paulo A, and El Razek, Hassan Magdy Abd
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Humans ,Cardiovascular Diseases ,Life Expectancy ,Morbidity ,Prevalence ,Cause of Death ,Survival Rate ,Risk Assessment ,Risk Factors ,Retrospective Studies ,Prospective Studies ,Sex Distribution ,Adult ,Aged ,Middle Aged ,Female ,Male ,Young Adult ,Global Health ,cause of death ,epidemiology ,global health ,Cardiovascular System & Hematology ,Cardiorespiratory Medicine and Haematology ,Public Health and Health Services - Abstract
BackgroundThe burden of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) remains unclear in many regions of the world.ObjectivesThe GBD (Global Burden of Disease) 2015 study integrated data on disease incidence, prevalence, and mortality to produce consistent, up-to-date estimates for cardiovascular burden.MethodsCVD mortality was estimated from vital registration and verbal autopsy data. CVD prevalence was estimated using modeling software and data from health surveys, prospective cohorts, health system administrative data, and registries. Years lived with disability (YLD) were estimated by multiplying prevalence by disability weights. Years of life lost (YLL) were estimated by multiplying age-specific CVD deaths by a reference life expectancy. A sociodemographic index (SDI) was created for each location based on income per capita, educational attainment, and fertility.ResultsIn 2015, there were an estimated 422.7 million cases of CVD (95% uncertainty interval: 415.53 to 427.87 million cases) and 17.92 million CVD deaths (95% uncertainty interval: 17.59 to 18.28 million CVD deaths). Declines in the age-standardized CVD death rate occurred between 1990 and 2015 in all high-income and some middle-income countries. Ischemic heart disease was the leading cause of CVD health lost globally, as well as in each world region, followed by stroke. As SDI increased beyond 0.25, the highest CVD mortality shifted from women to men. CVD mortality decreased sharply for both sexes in countries with an SDI >0.75.ConclusionsCVDs remain a major cause of health loss for all regions of the world. Sociodemographic change over the past 25 years has been associated with dramatic declines in CVD in regions with very high SDI, but only a gradual decrease or no change in most regions. Future updates of the GBD study can be used to guide policymakers who are focused on reducing the overall burden of noncommunicable disease and achieving specific global health targets for CVD.
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- 2017
31. Duration of Androgen Deprivation in Locally Advanced Prostate Cancer: Long-Term Update of NRG Oncology RTOG 9202
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Lawton, Colleen AF, Lin, Xiaolei, Hanks, Gerald E, Lepor, Herbert, Grignon, David J, Brereton, Harmar D, Bedi, Meena, Rosenthal, Seth A, Zeitzer, Kenneth L, Venkatesan, Varagur M, Horwitz, Eric M, Pisansky, Thomas M, Kim, Harold, Parliament, Matthew B, Rabinovitch, Rachel, Roach, Mack, Kwok, Young, Dignam, James J, and Sandler, Howard M
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Biomedical and Clinical Sciences ,Clinical Sciences ,Oncology and Carcinogenesis ,Clinical Research ,Urologic Diseases ,Prostate Cancer ,Cancer ,Aging ,Clinical Trials and Supportive Activities ,Evaluation of treatments and therapeutic interventions ,6.1 Pharmaceuticals ,Good Health and Well Being ,Adenocarcinoma ,Adult ,Aged ,Aged ,80 and over ,Androgen Antagonists ,Combined Modality Therapy ,Disease-Free Survival ,Flutamide ,Follow-Up Studies ,Goserelin ,Humans ,Male ,Middle Aged ,Prostate-Specific Antigen ,Prostatic Neoplasms ,Time Factors ,Treatment Outcome ,Other Physical Sciences ,Oncology & Carcinogenesis ,Oncology and carcinogenesis ,Theoretical and computational chemistry ,Medical and biological physics - Abstract
PurposeTrial RTOG 9202 was a phase 3 randomized trial designed to determine the optimal duration of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) when combined with definitive radiation therapy (RT) in the treatment of locally advanced nonmetastatic adenocarcinoma of the prostate. Long-term follow-up results of this study now available are relevant to the management of this disease.Methods and materialsMen (N=1554) with adenocarcinoma of the prostate (cT2c-T4, N0-Nx) with a prostate-specific antigen (PSA)
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- 2017
32. Duration of Androgen Deprivation in Locally Advanced Prostate Cancer: Long-Term Update of NRG Oncology RTOG 9202.
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Lawton, Colleen AF, Lin, Xiaolei, Hanks, Gerald E, Lepor, Herbert, Grignon, David J, Brereton, Harmar D, Bedi, Meena, Rosenthal, Seth A, Zeitzer, Kenneth L, Venkatesan, Varagur M, Horwitz, Eric M, Pisansky, Thomas M, Kim, Harold, Parliament, Matthew B, Rabinovitch, Rachel, Roach, Mack, Kwok, Young, Dignam, James J, and Sandler, Howard M
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Humans ,Adenocarcinoma ,Prostatic Neoplasms ,Flutamide ,Androgen Antagonists ,Goserelin ,Prostate-Specific Antigen ,Disease-Free Survival ,Treatment Outcome ,Combined Modality Therapy ,Follow-Up Studies ,Time Factors ,Adult ,Aged ,Aged ,80 and over ,Middle Aged ,Male ,and over ,Oncology & Carcinogenesis ,Clinical Sciences ,Oncology and Carcinogenesis ,Other Physical Sciences - Abstract
PurposeTrial RTOG 9202 was a phase 3 randomized trial designed to determine the optimal duration of androgen deprivation therapy (ADT) when combined with definitive radiation therapy (RT) in the treatment of locally advanced nonmetastatic adenocarcinoma of the prostate. Long-term follow-up results of this study now available are relevant to the management of this disease.Methods and materialsMen (N=1554) with adenocarcinoma of the prostate (cT2c-T4, N0-Nx) with a prostate-specific antigen (PSA)
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- 2017
33. Coronary atherosclerosis in indigenous South American Tsimane: a cross-sectional cohort study
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Kaplan, Hillard, Thompson, Randall C, Trumble, Benjamin C, Wann, L Samuel, Allam, Adel H, Beheim, Bret, Frohlich, Bruno, Sutherland, M Linda, Sutherland, James D, Stieglitz, Jonathan, Rodriguez, Daniel Eid, Michalik, David E, Rowan, Chris J, Lombardi, Guido P, Bedi, Ram, Garcia, Angela R, Min, James K, Narula, Jagat, Finch, Caleb E, Gurven, Michael, and Thomas, Gregory S
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Heart Disease - Coronary Heart Disease ,Heart Disease ,Cardiovascular ,Prevention ,Clinical Research ,Nutrition ,Atherosclerosis ,Aging ,2.1 Biological and endogenous factors ,Aetiology ,Good Health and Well Being ,Adult ,Age Distribution ,Aged ,Aged ,80 and over ,Anthropometry ,Bolivia ,Cohort Studies ,Coronary Angiography ,Coronary Artery Disease ,Cross-Sectional Studies ,Female ,Humans ,Inflammation Mediators ,Life Style ,Lipids ,Male ,Middle Aged ,Risk Factors ,Severity of Illness Index ,Tomography ,X-Ray Computed ,Medical and Health Sciences ,General & Internal Medicine - Abstract
BackgroundConventional coronary artery disease risk factors might potentially explain at least 90% of the attributable risk of coronary artery disease. To better understand the association between the pre-industrial lifestyle and low prevalence of coronary artery disease risk factors, we examined the Tsimane, a Bolivian population living a subsistence lifestyle of hunting, gathering, fishing, and farming with few cardiovascular risk factors, but high infectious inflammatory burden.MethodsWe did a cross-sectional cohort study including all individuals who self-identified as Tsimane and who were aged 40 years or older. Coronary atherosclerosis was assessed by coronary artery calcium (CAC) scoring done with non-contrast CT in Tsimane adults. We assessed the difference between the Tsimane and 6814 participants from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA). CAC scores higher than 100 were considered representative of significant atherosclerotic disease. Tsimane blood lipid and inflammatory biomarkers were obtained at the time of scanning, and in some patients, longitudinally.FindingsBetween July 2, 2014, and Sept 10, 2015, 705 individuals, who had data available for analysis, were included in this study. 596 (85%) of 705 Tsimane had no CAC, 89 (13%) had CAC scores of 1-100, and 20 (3%) had CAC scores higher than 100. For individuals older than age 75 years, 31 (65%) Tsimane presented with a CAC score of 0, and only four (8%) had CAC scores of 100 or more, a five-fold lower prevalence than industrialised populations (p≤0·0001 for all age categories of MESA). Mean LDL and HDL cholesterol concentrations were 2·35 mmol/L (91 mg/dL) and 1·0 mmol/L (39·5 mg/dL), respectively; obesity, hypertension, high blood sugar, and regular cigarette smoking were rare. High-sensitivity C-reactive protein was elevated beyond the clinical cutoff of 3·0 mg/dL in 360 (51%) Tsimane participants.InterpretationDespite a high infectious inflammatory burden, the Tsimane, a forager-horticulturalist population of the Bolivian Amazon with few coronary artery disease risk factors, have the lowest reported levels of coronary artery disease of any population recorded to date. These findings suggest that coronary atherosclerosis can be avoided in most people by achieving a lifetime with very low LDL, low blood pressure, low glucose, normal body-mass index, no smoking, and plenty of physical activity. The relative contributions of each are still to be determined.FundingNational Institute on Aging, National Institutes of Health; St Luke's Hospital of Kansas City; and Paleocardiology Foundation.
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- 2017
34. Development of a High-Efficiency Transformation Method and Implementation of Rational Metabolic Engineering for the Industrial Butanol Hyperproducer Clostridium saccharoperbutylacetonicum Strain N1-4
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Herman, Nicolaus A, Li, Jeffrey, Bedi, Ripika, Turchi, Barbara, Liu, Xiaoji, Miller, Michael J, and Zhang, Wenjun
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Genetics ,Biofuels ,Butanols ,Clostridium ,Fermentation ,Metabolic Engineering ,ABE fermentation ,biofuel ,genetics ,Microbiology - Abstract
While a majority of academic studies concerning acetone, butanol, and ethanol (ABE) production by Clostridium have focused on Clostridium acetobutylicum, other members of this genus have proven to be effective industrial workhorses despite the inability to perform genetic manipulations on many of these strains. To further improve the industrial performance of these strains in areas such as substrate usage, solvent production, and end product versatility, transformation methods and genetic tools are needed to overcome the genetic intractability displayed by these species. In this study, we present the development of a high-efficiency transformation method for the industrial butanol hyperproducer Clostridium saccharoperbutylacetonicum strain N1-4 (HMT) ATCC 27021. Following initial failures, we found that the key to creating a successful transformation method was the identification of three distinct colony morphologies (types S, R, and I), which displayed significant differences in transformability. Working with the readily transformable type I cells (transformation efficiency, 1.1 × 106 CFU/μg DNA), we performed targeted gene deletions in C. saccharoperbutylacetonicum N1-4 using a homologous recombination-mediated allelic exchange method. Using plasmid-based gene overexpression and targeted knockouts of key genes in the native acetone-butanol-ethanol (ABE) metabolic pathway, we successfully implemented rational metabolic engineering strategies, yielding in the best case an engineered strain (Clostridium saccharoperbutylacetonicum strain N1-4/pWIS13) displaying an 18% increase in butanol titers and 30% increase in total ABE titer (0.35 g ABE/g sucrose) in batch fermentations. Additionally, two engineered strains overexpressing aldehyde/alcohol dehydrogenases (encoded by adh11 and adh5) displayed 8.5- and 11.8-fold increases (respectively) in batch ethanol production. This paper presents the first steps toward advanced genetic engineering of the industrial butanol producer Clostridium saccharoperbutylacetonicum strain N1-4 (HMT). In addition to providing an efficient method for introducing foreign DNA into this species, we demonstrate successful rational engineering for increasing solvent production. Examples of future applications of this work include metabolic engineering for improving desirable industrial traits of this species and heterologous gene expression for expanding the end product profile to include high-value fuels and chemicals.
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- 2017
35. Patients Undergoing Shoulder Stabilization Surgery Have Elevated Shoulder Activity Compared With Sex- and Age-Matched Healthy Controls
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Brophy, Robert H, Hettrich, Carolyn M, Ortiz, Shannon, Baumgarten, Keith M, Bedi, Asheesh, Bishop, Julie Y, Bollier, Matthew J, Bravman, Jonathan T, Carey, James L, Cox, Charlie L, Dunn, Warren, Feeley, Brian T, Jones, Grant L, Kelly, John D, Kuhn, John E, Benjamin, C, Marx, Robert G, Miller, Bruce S, Sennett, Brian J, Smith, Matthew V, Wright, Rick W, Zhang, Alan, and Wolf, Brian R
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Aging ,Prevention ,Patient Safety ,Clinical Research ,MOON Shoulder Instability Group ,activity level ,instability ,labral tear ,shoulder ,stabilization surgery ,Clinical Sciences ,Human Movement and Sports Sciences - Abstract
Shoulder activity level may be a risk factor for shoulder instability, an indication for surgical intervention, and a risk factor for failure of operative stabilization. Patients undergoing shoulder stabilization surgery have a higher activity level compared with sex- and age-matched healthy controls. Cross-sectional study. Level 2. Patients undergoing shoulder stabilization surgery aged 18 to 50 years were prospectively enrolled. As part of data collection, patients completed a previously validated shoulder activity scale, which generates a score reporting frequency of activity ranging from 0 (least active) to 20 (most active). The activity level of these patients was compared with sex- and age-matched norms for a healthy population with no history of shoulder disorders. A total of 409 subjects (343 male, 66 female) undergoing shoulder instability surgery completed the activity scale. Seventy-seven percent of patients had higher shoulder activity level than sex- and age-matched controls. Seventy-nine percent aged 18 to 30 years had a higher shoulder activity level than controls, with an identical distribution for men (79%) and women (79%). Among patients aged 31 to 50 years, 70% had higher activity than controls. However, men were more likely to have a higher activity level than controls (72%) versus women (59%). In patients aged 18 to 30 years, median activity level for instability patients was 14 in men compared with 10 in controls, and 13 in women compared with 8 in controls. In patients aged 31 to 50 years, median activity level was 13 in men compared with 10 in controls and 10 in women compared with 8 in controls. Patients undergoing shoulder stabilization surgery have a higher activity level than sex- and age-matched healthy controls. Shoulder activity is especially elevated in younger, male instability patients.
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- 2017
36. Global, regional, and national comparative risk assessment of 79 behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks or clusters of risks in 188 countries, 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013
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Collaborators, GBD 2013 Risk Factors, Forouzanfar, Mohammad H, Alexander, Lily, Anderson, H Ross, Bachman, Victoria F, Biryukov, Stan, Brauer, Michael, Burnett, Richard, Casey, Daniel, Coates, Matthew M, Cohen, Aaron, Delwiche, Kristen, Estep, Kara, Frostad, Joseph J, Astha, KC, Kyu, Hmwe H, Moradi-Lakeh, Maziar, Ng, Marie, Slepak, Erica Leigh, Thomas, Bernadette A, Wagner, Joseph, Aasvang, Gunn Marit, Abbafati, Cristiana, Ozgoren, Ayse Abbasoglu, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abera, Semaw F, Aboyans, Victor, Abraham, Biju, Abraham, Jerry Puthenpurakal, Abubakar, Ibrahim, Abu-Rmeileh, Niveen ME, Aburto, Tania C, Achoki, Tom, Adelekan, Ademola, Adofo, Koranteng, Adou, Arsène K, Adsuar, José C, Afshin, Ashkan, Agardh, Emilie E, Khabouri, Mazin J Al, Lami, Faris H Al, Alam, Sayed Saidul, Alasfoor, Deena, Albittar, Mohammed I, Alegretti, Miguel A, Aleman, Alicia V, Alemu, Zewdie A, Alfonso-Cristancho, Rafael, Alhabib, Samia, Ali, Raghib, Ali, Mohammed K, Alla, François, Allebeck, Peter, Allen, Peter J, Alsharif, Ubai, Alvarez, Elena, Alvis-Guzman, Nelson, Amankwaa, Adansi A, Amare, Azmeraw T, Ameh, Emmanuel A, Ameli, Omid, Amini, Heresh, Ammar, Walid, Anderson, Benjamin O, Antonio, Carl Abelardo T, Anwari, Palwasha, Cunningham, Solveig Argeseanu, Arnlöv, Johan, Arsenijevic, Valentina S Arsic, Artaman, Al, Asghar, Rana J, Assadi, Reza, Atkins, Lydia S, Atkinson, Charles, Avila, Marco A, Awuah, Baffour, Badawi, Alaa, Bahit, Maria C, Bakfalouni, Talal, Balakrishnan, Kalpana, Balalla, Shivanthi, Balu, Ravi Kumar, Banerjee, Amitava, Barber, Ryan M, Barker-Collo, Suzanne L, Barquera, Simon, Barregard, Lars, Barrero, Lope H, Barrientos-Gutierrez, Tonatiuh, Basto-Abreu, Ana C, Basu, Arindam, Basu, Sanjay, Basulaiman, Mohammed O, Ruvalcaba, Carolina Batis, Beardsley, Justin, Bedi, Neeraj, Bekele, Tolesa, Bell, Michelle L, Benjet, Corina, and Bennett, Derrick A
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Nutrition ,Prevention ,Clinical Research ,2.2 Factors relating to the physical environment ,Aetiology ,Good Health and Well Being ,Environmental Exposure ,Female ,Global Health ,Health Behavior ,Humans ,Male ,Metabolic Diseases ,Nutritional Status ,Occupational Diseases ,Occupational Exposure ,Risk Assessment ,Risk Factors ,Sanitation ,GBD 2013 Risk Factors Collaborators ,Medical and Health Sciences ,General & Internal Medicine - Abstract
BackgroundThe Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factor study 2013 (GBD 2013) is the first of a series of annual updates of the GBD. Risk factor quantification, particularly of modifiable risk factors, can help to identify emerging threats to population health and opportunities for prevention. The GBD 2013 provides a timely opportunity to update the comparative risk assessment with new data for exposure, relative risks, and evidence on the appropriate counterfactual risk distribution.MethodsAttributable deaths, years of life lost, years lived with disability, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) have been estimated for 79 risks or clusters of risks using the GBD 2010 methods. Risk-outcome pairs meeting explicit evidence criteria were assessed for 188 countries for the period 1990-2013 by age and sex using three inputs: risk exposure, relative risks, and the theoretical minimum risk exposure level (TMREL). Risks are organised into a hierarchy with blocks of behavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks at the first level of the hierarchy. The next level in the hierarchy includes nine clusters of related risks and two individual risks, with more detail provided at levels 3 and 4 of the hierarchy. Compared with GBD 2010, six new risk factors have been added: handwashing practices, occupational exposure to trichloroethylene, childhood wasting, childhood stunting, unsafe sex, and low glomerular filtration rate. For most risks, data for exposure were synthesised with a Bayesian meta-regression method, DisMod-MR 2.0, or spatial-temporal Gaussian process regression. Relative risks were based on meta-regressions of published cohort and intervention studies. Attributable burden for clusters of risks and all risks combined took into account evidence on the mediation of some risks such as high body-mass index (BMI) through other risks such as high systolic blood pressure and high cholesterol.FindingsAll risks combined account for 57·2% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 55·8-58·5) of deaths and 41·6% (40·1-43·0) of DALYs. Risks quantified account for 87·9% (86·5-89·3) of cardiovascular disease DALYs, ranging to a low of 0% for neonatal disorders and neglected tropical diseases and malaria. In terms of global DALYs in 2013, six risks or clusters of risks each caused more than 5% of DALYs: dietary risks accounting for 11·3 million deaths and 241·4 million DALYs, high systolic blood pressure for 10·4 million deaths and 208·1 million DALYs, child and maternal malnutrition for 1·7 million deaths and 176·9 million DALYs, tobacco smoke for 6·1 million deaths and 143·5 million DALYs, air pollution for 5·5 million deaths and 141·5 million DALYs, and high BMI for 4·4 million deaths and 134·0 million DALYs. Risk factor patterns vary across regions and countries and with time. In sub-Saharan Africa, the leading risk factors are child and maternal malnutrition, unsafe sex, and unsafe water, sanitation, and handwashing. In women, in nearly all countries in the Americas, north Africa, and the Middle East, and in many other high-income countries, high BMI is the leading risk factor, with high systolic blood pressure as the leading risk in most of Central and Eastern Europe and south and east Asia. For men, high systolic blood pressure or tobacco use are the leading risks in nearly all high-income countries, in north Africa and the Middle East, Europe, and Asia. For men and women, unsafe sex is the leading risk in a corridor from Kenya to South Africa.InterpretationBehavioural, environmental and occupational, and metabolic risks can explain half of global mortality and more than one-third of global DALYs providing many opportunities for prevention. Of the larger risks, the attributable burden of high BMI has increased in the past 23 years. In view of the prominence of behavioural risk factors, behavioural and social science research on interventions for these risks should be strengthened. Many prevention and primary care policy options are available now to act on key risks.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
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- 2015
37. Pyrroloquinoline quinone increases the expression and activity of Sirt1 and -3 genes in HepG2 cells
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Zhang, Jian, Meruvu, Sunitha, Bedi, Yudhishtar Singh, Chau, Jason, Arguelles, Andrix, Rucker, Robert, and Choudhury, Mahua
- Subjects
Biomedical and Clinical Sciences ,Nutrition and Dietetics ,Genetics ,DNA-Binding Proteins ,Gene Expression ,Hep G2 Cells ,Humans ,Mitochondria ,Mitochondrial Proteins ,NAD ,Nicotinamide Phosphoribosyltransferase ,Nuclear Respiratory Factor 1 ,PPAR gamma ,PQQ Cofactor ,Sirtuin 1 ,Sirtuin 3 ,Transcription Factors ,Sirtuins ,Pyrroloquinoline quinone ,Metabolic syndrome ,Aging ,Mitochondrial biogenesis regulators ,Nutrition & Dietetics ,Nutrition and dietetics - Abstract
Sirtuin (Sirt) 1 and Sirt 3 are nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide ((+))-dependent protein deacetylases that are important to a number of mitochondrial-related functions; thus, identification of sirtuin activators is important. Herein, we hypothesize that pyrroloquinoline quinone (PQQ) can act as a Sirt1/Sirt3 activator. In HepG2 cell cultures, PQQ increased the expression of Sirt1 and Sirt3 gene, protein, and activity levels (P < .05). We also observed a significant increase in nicotinamide phosphoribosyltransferase gene expression (as early as 18 hours) and increased NAD(+) activity at 24 hours. In addition, targets of Sirt1 and Sirt3 (peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor γ coactivator 1α, nuclear respiratory factor 1 and 2, and mitochondrial transcription factor A) were increased at 48 hours. This is the first report that demonstrates PQQ as an activator of Sirt1 and Sirt3 expression and activity, making it an attractive therapeutic agent for the treatment of metabolic diseases and for healthy aging. Based on our study and the available data in vivo, PQQ has the potential to serve as a therapeutic nutraceutical, when enhancing mitochondrial function.
- Published
- 2015
38. Pyrroloquinoline quinone increases the expression and activity of Sirt1 and -3 genes in HepG2 cells.
- Author
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Zhang, Jian, Meruvu, Sunitha, Bedi, Yudhishtar Singh, Chau, Jason, Arguelles, Andrix, Rucker, Robert, and Choudhury, Mahua
- Subjects
Mitochondria ,Humans ,PQQ Cofactor ,NAD ,DNA-Binding Proteins ,Mitochondrial Proteins ,PPAR gamma ,Transcription Factors ,Gene Expression ,Nuclear Respiratory Factor 1 ,Nicotinamide Phosphoribosyltransferase ,Sirtuin 1 ,Sirtuin 3 ,Hep G2 Cells ,Aging ,Metabolic syndrome ,Mitochondrial biogenesis regulators ,Pyrroloquinoline quinone ,Sirtuins ,Genetics ,Nutrition and Dietetics ,Nutrition & Dietetics - Abstract
Sirtuin (Sirt) 1 and Sirt 3 are nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide ((+))-dependent protein deacetylases that are important to a number of mitochondrial-related functions; thus, identification of sirtuin activators is important. Herein, we hypothesize that pyrroloquinoline quinone (PQQ) can act as a Sirt1/Sirt3 activator. In HepG2 cell cultures, PQQ increased the expression of Sirt1 and Sirt3 gene, protein, and activity levels (P < .05). We also observed a significant increase in nicotinamide phosphoribosyltransferase gene expression (as early as 18 hours) and increased NAD(+) activity at 24 hours. In addition, targets of Sirt1 and Sirt3 (peroxisome proliferator-activated receptor γ coactivator 1α, nuclear respiratory factor 1 and 2, and mitochondrial transcription factor A) were increased at 48 hours. This is the first report that demonstrates PQQ as an activator of Sirt1 and Sirt3 expression and activity, making it an attractive therapeutic agent for the treatment of metabolic diseases and for healthy aging. Based on our study and the available data in vivo, PQQ has the potential to serve as a therapeutic nutraceutical, when enhancing mitochondrial function.
- Published
- 2015
39. Global, regional, and national levels and causes of maternal mortality during 1990–2013: a systematic analysis for the Global Burden of Disease Study 2013
- Author
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Kassebaum, Nicholas J, Bertozzi-Villa, Amelia, Coggeshall, Megan S, Shackelford, Katya A, Steiner, Caitlyn, Heuton, Kyle R, Gonzalez-Medina, Diego, Barber, Ryan, Huynh, Chantal, Dicker, Daniel, Templin, Tara, Wolock, Timothy M, Ozgoren, Ayse Abbasoglu, Abd-Allah, Foad, Abera, Semaw Ferede, Abubakar, Ibrahim, Achoki, Tom, Adelekan, Ademola, Ademi, Zanfina, Adou, Arsène Kouablan, Adsuar, José C, Agardh, Emilie E, Akena, Dickens, Alasfoor, Deena, Alemu, Zewdie Aderaw, Alfonso-Cristancho, Rafael, Alhabib, Samia, Ali, Raghib, Al Kahbouri, Mazin J, Alla, François, Allen, Peter J, AlMazroa, Mohammad A, Alsharif, Ubai, Alvarez, Elena, Alvis-Guzmán, Nelson, Amankwaa, Adansi A, Amare, Azmeraw T, Amini, Hassan, Ammar, Walid, Antonio, Carl AT, Anwari, Palwasha, Arnlöv, Johan, Arsenijevic, Valentina S Arsic, Artaman, Ali, Asad, Majed Masoud, Asghar, Rana J, Assadi, Reza, Atkins, Lydia S, Badawi, Alaa, Balakrishnan, Kalpana, Basu, Arindam, Basu, Sanjay, Beardsley, Justin, Bedi, Neeraj, Bekele, Tolesa, Bell, Michelle L, Bernabe, Eduardo, Beyene, Tariku J, Bhutta, Zulfiqar, Bin Abdulhak, Aref, Blore, Jed D, Basara, Berrak Bora, Bose, Dipan, Breitborde, Nicholas, Cárdenas, Rosario, Castañeda-Orjuela, Carlos A, Castro, Ruben Estanislao, Catalá-López, Ferrán, Cavlin, Alanur, Chang, Jung-Chen, Che, Xuan, Christophi, Costas A, Chugh, Sumeet S, Cirillo, Massimo, Colquhoun, Samantha M, Cooper, Leslie Trumbull, Cooper, Cyrus, da Costa Leite, Iuri, Dandona, Lalit, Dandona, Rakhi, Davis, Adrian, Dayama, Anand, Degenhardt, Louisa, De Leo, Diego, del Pozo-Cruz, Borja, Deribe, Kebede, Dessalegn, Muluken, deVeber, Gabrielle A, Dharmaratne, Samath D, Dilmen, Uğur, Ding, Eric L, Dorrington, Rob E, Driscoll, Tim R, Ermakov, Sergei Petrovich, Esteghamati, Alireza, Faraon, Emerito Jose A, Farzadfar, Farshad, Felicio, Manuela Mendonca, Fereshtehnejad, Seyed-Mohammad, and de Lima, Graça Maria Ferreira
- Subjects
2.4 Surveillance and distribution ,Aetiology ,Infection ,Reproductive health and childbirth ,Good Health and Well Being ,Age Distribution ,Cause of Death ,Female ,Global Health ,HIV Infections ,Humans ,Maternal Mortality ,Models ,Statistical ,Organizational Objectives ,Pregnancy ,Pregnancy Complications ,Infectious ,Risk Factors ,Socioeconomic Factors ,Time Factors ,Medical and Health Sciences ,General & Internal Medicine - Abstract
BackgroundThe fifth Millennium Development Goal (MDG 5) established the goal of a 75% reduction in the maternal mortality ratio (MMR; number of maternal deaths per 100,000 livebirths) between 1990 and 2015. We aimed to measure levels and track trends in maternal mortality, the key causes contributing to maternal death, and timing of maternal death with respect to delivery.MethodsWe used robust statistical methods including the Cause of Death Ensemble model (CODEm) to analyse a database of data for 7065 site-years and estimate the number of maternal deaths from all causes in 188 countries between 1990 and 2013. We estimated the number of pregnancy-related deaths caused by HIV on the basis of a systematic review of the relative risk of dying during pregnancy for HIV-positive women compared with HIV-negative women. We also estimated the fraction of these deaths aggravated by pregnancy on the basis of a systematic review. To estimate the numbers of maternal deaths due to nine different causes, we identified 61 sources from a systematic review and 943 site-years of vital registration data. We also did a systematic review of reports about the timing of maternal death, identifying 142 sources to use in our analysis. We developed estimates for each country for 1990-2013 using Bayesian meta-regression. We estimated 95% uncertainty intervals (UIs) for all values.Findings292,982 (95% UI 261,017-327,792) maternal deaths occurred in 2013, compared with 376,034 (343,483-407,574) in 1990. The global annual rate of change in the MMR was -0·3% (-1·1 to 0·6) from 1990 to 2003, and -2·7% (-3·9 to -1·5) from 2003 to 2013, with evidence of continued acceleration. MMRs reduced consistently in south, east, and southeast Asia between 1990 and 2013, but maternal deaths increased in much of sub-Saharan Africa during the 1990s. 2070 (1290-2866) maternal deaths were related to HIV in 2013, 0·4% (0·2-0·6) of the global total. MMR was highest in the oldest age groups in both 1990 and 2013. In 2013, most deaths occurred intrapartum or postpartum. Causes varied by region and between 1990 and 2013. We recorded substantial variation in the MMR by country in 2013, from 956·8 (685·1-1262·8) in South Sudan to 2·4 (1·6-3·6) in Iceland.InterpretationGlobal rates of change suggest that only 16 countries will achieve the MDG 5 target by 2015. Accelerated reductions since the Millennium Declaration in 2000 coincide with increased development assistance for maternal, newborn, and child health. Setting of targets and associated interventions for after 2015 will need careful consideration of regions that are making slow progress, such as west and central Africa.FundingBill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
- Published
- 2014
40. Imaging Algorithms for Evaluating Suspected Rotator Cuff Disease: Society of Radiologists in Ultrasound Consensus Conference Statement
- Author
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Nazarian, Levon N, Jacobson, Jon A, Benson, Carol B, Bancroft, Laura W, Bedi, Asheesh, McShane, John M, Miller, Theodore T, Parker, Laurence, Smith, Jay, Steinbach, Lynne S, Teefey, Sharlene A, Thiele, Ralf G, Tuite, Michael J, Wise, James N, and Yamaguchi, Ken
- Subjects
Pain Research ,Bioengineering ,Clinical Research ,Physical Injury - Accidents and Adverse Effects ,Biomedical Imaging ,Generic health relevance ,Musculoskeletal ,Algorithms ,Diagnostic Imaging ,Humans ,Rotator Cuff ,Shoulder Pain ,Medical and Health Sciences ,Nuclear Medicine & Medical Imaging - Abstract
The Society of Radiologists in Ultrasound convened a panel of specialists from a variety of medical disciplines to reach a consensus about the recommended imaging evaluation of painful shoulders with clinically suspected rotator cuff disease. The panel met in Chicago, Ill, on October 18 and 19, 2011, and created this consensus statement regarding the roles of radiography, ultrasonography (US), computed tomography (CT), CT arthrography, magnetic resonance (MR) imaging, and MR arthrography. The consensus panel consisted of two co-moderators, a facilitator, a statistician and health care economist, and 10 physicians who have specialty expertise in shoulder pain evaluation and/or treatment. Of the 13 physicians on the panel, nine were radiologists who were chosen to represent a broad range of skill sets in diagnostic imaging, different practice types (private and academic), and different geographical regions of the United States. Five of the radiologists routinely performed musculoskeletal US as part of their practice and four did not. There was also one representative from each of the following clinical specialties: rheumatology, physical medicine and rehabilitation, orthopedic surgery, and nonoperative sports medicine. The goal of this conference was to construct several algorithms with which to guide the imaging evaluation of suspected rotator cuff disease in patients with a native rotator cuff, patients with a repaired rotator cuff, and patients who have undergone shoulder replacement. The panel hopes that these recommendations will lead to greater uniformity in rotator cuff imaging and more cost-effective care for patients suspected of having rotator cuff abnormality.
- Published
- 2013
41. Fractional deep dermal ablation induces tissue tightening
- Author
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Rahman, Zakia, MacFalls, Heather, Jiang, Kerrie, Chan, Kin F, Kelly, Kristen, Tournas, Joshua, Stumpp, Oliver F, Bedi, Vikramaditya, and Zachary, Christopher
- Subjects
Biomedical and Clinical Sciences ,Clinical Sciences ,Clinical Research ,Adult ,Aged ,Cosmetic Techniques ,Dermatologic Surgical Procedures ,Humans ,Laser Therapy ,Middle Aged ,Pilot Projects ,Skin Aging ,fractional deep dermal ablation ,ablative resurfacing ,fractional photothermolysis ,photodamage ,CO2 laser ,Dermatology & Venereal Diseases ,Clinical sciences ,Dentistry - Abstract
Background and objectiveDue to the significant risk profile associated with traditional ablative resurfacing, a safer and less invasive treatment approach known as fractional deep dermal ablation (FDDA) was recently developed. We report the results of the first clinical investigation of this modality for treatment of photodamaged skin.Study design/materials and methodsTwenty-four subjects received treatments on the inner forearm with a prototype fractional CO(2) laser device (Reliant Technologies Inc., Mountain View, CA) at settings of 5-40 mJ/MTZ and 400 MTZ/cm(2). Clinical and histological effects were assessed by study investigators 1 week, 1 month, and 3 months following treatment. Thirty subjects were then enrolled in a multi-center study for treatment of photodamage using the same device. Subjects received 1-2 treatments on the face and neck, with energies ranging from 10 to 40 mJ/MTZ and densities ranging from 400 to 1,200 MTZ/cm(2). Study investigators assessed severity of post-treatment responses during follow-up visits 48 hours, 1 week, 1 month, and 3 months following treatment. Using a standard quartile improvement scale (0-4), subjects and investigators assessed improvement in rhytides, pigmentation, texture, laxity and overall appearance 1 and 3 months post-treatment.ResultsClinical and histologic results demonstrated that fractional delivery of a 10,600 nm CO(2) laser source offers an improved safety profile with respect to traditional ablative resurfacing, while still effectively resurfacing epidermal and dermal tissue. Forearm and facial treatments were well-tolerated with no serious adverse events observed. Eighty-three percent of subjects exhibited moderate or better overall improvement (50-100%), according to study investigator quartile scoring.ConclusionsFDDA treatment is a safe and promising new approach for resurfacing of epidermal and deep dermal tissue targets.
- Published
- 2009
42. Fractional deep dermal ablation induces tissue tightening.
- Author
-
Rahman, Zakia, MacFalls, Heather, Jiang, Kerrie, Chan, Kin F, Kelly, Kristen, Tournas, Joshua, Stumpp, Oliver F, Bedi, Vikramaditya, and Zachary, Christopher
- Subjects
Humans ,Cosmetic Techniques ,Pilot Projects ,Skin Aging ,Adult ,Aged ,Middle Aged ,Laser Therapy ,Dermatologic Surgical Procedures ,fractional deep dermal ablation ,ablative resurfacing ,fractional photothermolysis ,photodamage ,CO2 laser ,Dermatology & Venereal Diseases ,Clinical Sciences - Abstract
Background and objectiveDue to the significant risk profile associated with traditional ablative resurfacing, a safer and less invasive treatment approach known as fractional deep dermal ablation (FDDA) was recently developed. We report the results of the first clinical investigation of this modality for treatment of photodamaged skin.Study design/materials and methodsTwenty-four subjects received treatments on the inner forearm with a prototype fractional CO(2) laser device (Reliant Technologies Inc., Mountain View, CA) at settings of 5-40 mJ/MTZ and 400 MTZ/cm(2). Clinical and histological effects were assessed by study investigators 1 week, 1 month, and 3 months following treatment. Thirty subjects were then enrolled in a multi-center study for treatment of photodamage using the same device. Subjects received 1-2 treatments on the face and neck, with energies ranging from 10 to 40 mJ/MTZ and densities ranging from 400 to 1,200 MTZ/cm(2). Study investigators assessed severity of post-treatment responses during follow-up visits 48 hours, 1 week, 1 month, and 3 months following treatment. Using a standard quartile improvement scale (0-4), subjects and investigators assessed improvement in rhytides, pigmentation, texture, laxity and overall appearance 1 and 3 months post-treatment.ResultsClinical and histologic results demonstrated that fractional delivery of a 10,600 nm CO(2) laser source offers an improved safety profile with respect to traditional ablative resurfacing, while still effectively resurfacing epidermal and dermal tissue. Forearm and facial treatments were well-tolerated with no serious adverse events observed. Eighty-three percent of subjects exhibited moderate or better overall improvement (50-100%), according to study investigator quartile scoring.ConclusionsFDDA treatment is a safe and promising new approach for resurfacing of epidermal and deep dermal tissue targets.
- Published
- 2009
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