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Self-rated health (SRH) is a marker of future health and a possible predictor of future multimorbidity, which is a major challenge for population health and health care. There is a lack of studies on adolescent SRH and patterns of health problems across the transitional period from adolescence to early adulthood. Therefore, this study aimed to identify groups of people with similar health problems in early adulthood and explore the predictive value of adolescent SRH on the group classification after a period of 10-19 years. Data from 8828 adolescents participating in the Young HUNT-1 survey (1995-1997) were linked to the Norwegian registry of general practitioner (GP) claims, which includes diagnoses recorded in GP consultations in 2006-2014. We used latent class analysis (LCA) to identify groups of patients with similar health problems in early adulthood and explored SRH as a predictor of class membership using latent class regression, adjusting for baseline chronic disease, frequency of health care attendance, sex and age. The mean age at baseline was 16 years, and 50% of the participants were female. SRH was reported as very good by 28%, good by 61% and not good by 11%. We identified five groups of patient classification ( classes ): Healthy (35%), Infections and general problems (26%), Musculoskeletal problems (21%), Psychological problems (6%) and Multi-illness (13%). We found a gradual increase in the probability of belonging to the Healthy class with better SRH, and an inverse pattern for the Psychological and Multi-illness classes. This pattern remained after adjusting for baseline variables. In conclusion, there is a clear association between adolescent SRH and the risk of having multi-illness in early adulthood, seen as a proxy for later multimorbidity. This finding warrants greater attention to SRH in adolescence as a possible indicator in targeted prevention of future health problems., Competing Interests: None declared by all the authors., (© 2020 The Authors.)

Background: Self-rated health (SRH), which is frequently used in epidemiological research, has consistently been shown to be a strong predictor of morbidity and mortality, even after controlling for demographic, social and medical risk factors. However, less is known about the relationship between SRH and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in young adulthood., Objective: To investigate SRH in young people (13-35 years-old) as a predictor of all-cause mortality in young adulthood (deaths before age 54) and examine the associated causes of death., Methods: We used data from two large population-based cohort studies (N = 23,679): Young-HUNT1 (1995-1997, persons 13 to 20 years old, participation rate = 90%) and HUNT2 (1995-1997, persons 20 to 35 years old, participation rate = 70%). These data were linked to the Norwegian Cause of Death Registry up to 2014, and 247 deaths were identified. Other predictors we examined included age, gender, baseline smoking, physical activity and physical and mental disability., Results: Participants reporting 'not so good'/'poor' SRH had approximately twice the risk of death compared to those reporting 'good' or 'very good' SRH at baseline. The association between low SRH and risk of death was attenuated when the models were adjusted for other predictors, but remained statistically significant. The causes of death differed somewhat between SRH levels. Most of the deaths for people reporting 'very good' SRH at baseline were mostly due to neoplasms (34%) and other external causes (30%). The causes of death were more varied for people reporting 'not so good'/'poor' SRH, with suicide (23%), other external causes (21%) and other/unknown causes of death (17%) being the most frequent causes., Conclusion: SRH predicts all-cause mortality in young adulthood, with poor SRH being associated with death in young adulthood. The findings also indicate different causes of death for different SRH. This knowledge is important for identifying groups at risk for later disease, which can potentially be used to prevent morbidity in the adult population.

Self-rated health (SRH) is a commonly used health indicator predicting morbidity and mortality in a range of populations. However, the relationship between SRH and medication is not well established. The aim of this study was to examine adolescent SRH as a predictor for prescribed medication later in young adulthood. Eighteen years' prospective data from the Nord-Trøndelag Health Study (HUNT) and the Norwegian Prescription Database (NorPD) were analyzed. Baseline data, gathered from 8982 adolescents (mean age 16.0 years) in the Young-HUNT I survey (1995-1997), were linked to individual data from NorPD, including information on all medications prescribed in 2013-2014. Gender-stratified negative binomial regression models were used to investigate the association between SRH and medication, also adjusted for age, baseline self-reported medicine use, physical and mental disability, smoking, and physical activity. Based on the Anatomical Therapeutic Chemical (ATC) Classification System, total consumption and consumption related to various ATC groups were examined. The adjusted analyses showed a dose-response relationship for females, with poorer SRH predicting higher average medication for both total consumption and for the ATC groups "Musculoskeletal system" (M), "Nervous system" (N; Analgesics (N02), Opioids (N02A)) and "Respiratiory system" (R). The predictive power of SRH, as well as the role of the adjustment factors, varies by gender and drug groups. This knowledge is important in order to identify risks for later disease and to capture pathological changes before and beyond the disease diagnosis, potentially preventing morbidity in the adult population.