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On 1st and 2nd February 2015, the central and eastern Mediterranean, as well as parts of the Black Sea, were affected by an extreme desert dust outbreak. This exceptional dust event took place under the prevalence of a strong southwesterly airflow over the region, with maximum wind speeds up to 70 (36 ms−1) and 35 knots (18 ms−1) at 700 hPa and at mean sea-level pressure, respectively. Based on MODIS-Terra/Aqua aerosol optical depth (AOD) retrievals, the intensity of the transported dust loads maximized over the central Mediterranean (4.2) while very high AODs (up to 2.5) were recorded over Greece and the Black Sea. In addition, according to in-situ measurements obtained at Finokalia (Crete, southern Greece), the maximum PM10 concentrations reached up to 758 μgr m−3 (maximum levels for 2015). Through the implementation of the WRF-Chem model, the clear-sky direct radiative effects (DREs) have been computed for the SW, LW and NET (SW + LW) radiation, at the top of the atmosphere (TOA), within the atmosphere (ATM) as well as for the downwelling (SURF) and the absorbed (NETSURF) radiation at the ground. According to our simulations, during daytime, the instantaneous NET DREs reach down to −278.1 Wm−2 (Solar Zenith Angle (SZA) = 53°) and − 252.2 Wm−2 for SURF and NETSURF, respectively, indicating a strong surface cooling, while the corresponding values for ATM can be as large as 147.3 Wm−2 (SZA = 50°) revealing a strong atmospheric warming. At TOA, the computed DREs vary from −120.1 Wm−2 (planetary cooling; SZA = 51°) to 59.4 Wm−2 (planetary warming; SZA = 64°) being negative and positive over dark and bright surfaces, respectively. During nighttime, reverse effects of lower magnitude are found at all levels of the Earth-Atmosphere system. At a regional scale, throughout the forecast period, the clear-sky NET DREs range from −16.60 Wm−2 to −0.76 Wm−2, from −46.18 Wm−2 to 16.11 Wm−2, from −32.31 Wm−2 to 13.70 Wm−2 and from −14.63 Wm−2 to 20.40 Wm−2 for TOA, SURF, NETSURF and ATM, respectively. As a response to the perturbation of the surface radiation budget, the 2 m air temperature decreases/increases by up to 1.5 °C (5.3 °C) during daytime/nighttime. Moreover, at noon, the low-level dust layer (up to 3 km above sea level), cools (heats) the lowest troposphere by up to 0.5 °C (1.4 °C) over land (sea). At night, the temperature of the atmospheric layers where the dust aerosols are confined decreases (by up to −1.8 °C), whereas a warming effect (by up to 2.8 °C) is evident in the air masses beneath the dust layer. Through the inclusion of dust-radiation interactions in the numerical simulations, the model's predictive skill in terms of reproducing the downwelling SW radiation at the ground is improved. This is justified via the comparison of the RADON (dust-radiation interactions are activated) and RADOFF (dust-radiation interactions are deactivated) outputs against cloud-free observations derived by 31 NOAAN stations. More specifically, from RADOFF to RADON, the bias reduces from 157.63 to 26.02 Wm−2 and the slope decreases from 1.25 to 0.98. On the contrary, the evaluation analysis of the temperature at 2 m does not reveal a remarkably better performance of the RADON run, particularly during sunlight hours, reflecting thus the predominance of first order model errors over the expected improvements attributed to dust-radiation interactions.

The spatio-temporal regime of lightning strokes over the broader Greek area is studied using 15-day ZEUS cloud-to-ground lightning data for a 10-year period (2005–14). The multivariate statistical method Factor Analysis (S-mode and T-mode) is applied on the mean intra-annual variation of lightning in order to reveal: i) the main modes of intra-annual variation of lighting activity that correspond to specific sub-regions of the Greek area and ii) the main characteristic patterns of strokes prevailing during specific periods of the year (“seasons”). According to the results there are three main modes of intra-annual variation: a) the continental one with maximum lightning activity in early summer, b) the Ionian Sea one with maximum in early autumn and c) the Aegean Sea one with maxima in middle autumn and late May. Also, according to the patterns of strokes, three main “seasons” are found: a) the summer one (early May–middle August) with highest lightning activity over the continental regions of the country due to the atmospheric instability associated with the intense land heating and the persistence of cool upper air masses, b) the winter one (middle December–middle February) with the maximum of lightning activity over the sea where instability is high due to the frequent prevalence of cold air masses over the warm sea-surface and the associated passages of Mediterranean depressions and c) the autumn one (early September–middle October) with maximum over northwestern Greece associated with the early cold season low pressure systems, the warm sea body of Ionian Sea and the essential role of topography.

Mediterranean thunderstorms climatology is analyzed for a 10-year period from 2005 to 2014. For this analysis, we applied a clustering method to the cloud-to-ground lightning stroke dataset, derived from the ZEUS detection system, operated by the National Observatory of Athens. Results showed that the annual days of thunderstorm occurrence are dependent on the diurnal cycle of insolation and on the underlying topographic features. Therefore, the majority of thunderstorms occur over land in spring and summer, while winter and autumn thunderstorms tend to occur over the sea. On average, winter thunderstorms are less frequent and of lower intensity than the ones of summer, but last longer, tend to attain larger sizes and are associated with significantly higher velocity. Regardless the season, all thunderstorms tend to propagate towards the east, while their speed is higher in winter and autumn. In particular, for thunderstorms occurring over land, we found that the higher the duration of the lifetime of a thunderstorm, the earlier in the day it is expected to occur. Mediterranean thunderstorms size and duration have been found to be correlated, while a linear relation was determined between thunderstorms intensity and rainfall over the Mediterranean region, where the rain yield was estimated to be about 1.8 108 kg of rainfall per CG lightning.

An intense and fast moving convective line that crossed Massif Central/Cevennes-Vivarais area (south France) during the field campaign of Hydrological Cycle in Mediterranean Experiment (HyMeX) — Special Observing Period 1 (SOP1) is examined. The mesoscale analysis demonstrates a complex convective system with a V-shape in the Infrared (IR) satellite imagery and a squall line pattern on the radar imagery. Ground stations observed up to 60 mm h− 1 of rain accumulation, while the lightning activity, as observed by 4 detection networks, was also exceptionally high. The Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model was used to simulate this convective episode and sensitivity tests were performed with various microphysics and convective parameterization schemes. Satellite data from Meteosat SEVIRI Rapid Scanning Service were used in conjunction with radar, lightning and rain gauge data to conclude on the best simulation for which WRF model exhibits a rather precise and realistic distribution and evolution of the precipitation patterns. Finally, a study of the microphysics was performed indicating the interconnection of graupel with lightning activity, confirming recent results, compared against a sophisticated hydrometeor classification radar algorithm and lightning data.

The Cloud-Aerosol Lidar with Orthogonal Polarization (CALIOP) instrument on board the Cloud-Aerosol Lidar and Infrared Pathfinder Satellite Observations (CALIPSO) satellite has been utilized for the first time in a study regarding lightning activity modulation due to aerosols. Lightning activity observations, obtained by the ZEUS long range Lightning Detection Network, European Centre for Medium range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Convective Available Potential Energy (CAPE) data and Cloud Fraction (CF) retrieved by MODIS on board Aqua satellite have been combined with CALIPSO CALIOP data over the Mediterranean basin and for the period March to November, from 2007 to 2014. The results indicate that lightning activity is enhanced during days characterized by higher Aerosol Optical Depth (AOD) values, compared to days with no lightning. This study contributes to existing studies on the link between lightning activity and aerosols, which have been based just on columnar AOD satellite retrievals, by performing a deeper analysis into the effect of aerosol profiles and aerosol types. Correlation coefficients of R = 0.73 between the CALIPSO AOD and the number of lightning strikes detected by ZEUS and of R = 0.93 between ECMWF CAPE and lightning activity are obtained. The analysis of extinction coefficient values at 532 nm indicates that at an altitudinal range exists, between 1.1 km and 2.9 km, where the values for extinction coefficient of lightning-active and non-lightning-active cases are statistically significantly different. Finally, based on the CALIPSO aerosol subtype classification, we have investigated the aerosol conditions of lightning-active and non-lightning-active cases. According to the results polluted dust aerosols are more frequently observed during non-lightning-active days, while dust and smoke aerosols are more abundant in the atmosphere during the lightning-active days.

The FLIRE DSS is a web-based Decision Support System for the combined forest and flood risk management and planning. State of the art tools and models have been used in order to enable Civil Protection agencies and local stakeholders to take advantage of web based DSS with no need of local complex infrastructure and maintenance. Civil protection agencies can predict the behavior of a fire event using real time data and in that way to plan its efficient elimination. Also, they can implement what-if scenarios for areas prone to fire and thus develop plans for forest fire management. Flood services include flood maps and flood-related warnings; these become available to relevant authorities for visualization and further analysis on a daily basis. Real time weather data from ground stations provide the necessary inputs for the calculation of the fire model in real time and a high resolution weather forecast grid support flood modeling and what-if scenarios for the fire modeling. The innovations of the FLIRE DSS are the use of common Earth Observation (EO) data as the backbone of the system to produce data for the support of fire and flood models, the common use of weather related information, the distributed architecture of the system and the web-based access of it with no need for installation of dedicated software. All these can be accessed by all means of computer sources like PC, laptop, Smartphone and tablet either by normal network connection or by using 3G and 4G cellular network. The latter is important for the accessibility of the FLIRE DSS during firefighting or rescue operations during flood events. FLIRE DSS can be easily transferred to other areas with similar characteristics due to its robust architecture and its flexibility. Display Omitted The FLIRE DSS, a web-based Decision Support System, provides a web platform for the management of fire and flood cases in urban and periurban areas.Collect once - use for many rule is applied for the input data which are used for the fire and flood models.What-if scenarios can be applied for the case of fire and flood for an efficient planning during the high risk periods.The innovation aspects of the system is the use of hypertemporal Earth Observation data for fire and flood model support.

The Axios Valley, located in central-northern Greece, is surrounded by complex topography that plays a significant role in the modification of wind flow, both in terms of speed and direction. The characteristic wind regime of this valley is Vardaris, a northwesterly wind that prevails in this region, especially during the cold period of the year. Vardaris is well known for its consistent direction and high intensity, as well as for the effective advection of cold and dry air, often resulting to significant damages in local infrastructures and agriculture. A field campaign under the name AXIOS took place during the period from November 2007 through May 2008 in order to examine this particular wind flow. The analysis of the in situ observational data, which was funded by the research program THESPIA-KRIPIS, showed that topography plays a key role in intensifying Vardaris, generating gusts that approximated 30 m s− 1 during the experimental period. The air temperature and humidity fields were also found to be significantly influenced. In addition to the observational study, an intense Vardaris episode was simulated with the Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model at high horizontal resolution. Results revealed that the model was able to reproduce the favorable environmental conditions that lead to Vardaris occurrence, providing a useful insight on the physical mechanisms explaining its structure.

In the framework of this study, the effect of aerosols on lightning activity has been investigated for the first time over the broader Mediterranean Sea. Atmospheric optical depth data retrieved by MODIS on board Aqua satellite and cloud to ground lightning activity data provided by ZEUS network operated by the National Observatory of Athens were analyzed for a time period spanning from 01/01/2005 up to 31/12/2013. The results indicate the importance of aerosols in lightning modulation. The mean aerosol optical depth (AOD) values of the days with lightning activity were found to be higher than the mean seasonal AOD in 90% of the under study domain. Furthermore, the increasing rate of lightning activity with increasing aerosol loading was found to be more pronounced during summertime and for AOD values up to 0.4. Additionally, the spatial analysis showed that the percentage of days with lightning activity during summertime is increasing with increasing AOD. Finally, time series showed similar temporal behavior between AOD seasonal anomalies and days with lightning activity differences. Both the spatial and temporal analysis showed that lightning activity is correlated to AOD, a characteristic consistent for all seasons.

Lightning activity is analysed in a sector covering the Eastern Mediterranean (16–32°E, 34–46°N) for the years 2005–2014. The study is based on the use of cloud-to-ground (CG) lightning activity data retrieved from ZEUS system, operated by the National Observatory of Athens, and examines the seasonal, diurnal and spatial variability of the lightning activity. The effect of elevation, terrain slope, vegetation cover and convective available potential energy (CAPE) on the distribution of the CG lightning strokes is also investigated. Lightning is modulated by the diurnal cycle of insolation and the underlying topographic features of the region. The lightning strokes are more numerous over the mainland than over the sea. CG lightning activity is dominant over the land and the coastal areas during spring and summer while during the coldest period of the year it is dominant over the sea. The maximum value of lightning activity is observed in June and mostly in the afternoon. The orography and the terrain slope affect the distribution of lightning. During the warmest period of the year, the forested areas have an increased “lightning yield”. The number of CG lightning strokes increases with increasing CAPE and the high correlation between them indicates that CAPE values could be used as a proxy for the presence of lightning activity, at least over the eastern Mediterranean region.

The objective of the following paper is to identify weather-related thresholds for wildfire danger, i.e., the potential extent of fire, based on local weather conditions. The target area is Greece, a wildfire prone Mediterranean country which experienced on average 2000 wildfires annually over the last two decades. Initially, the Fire Weather Index (FWI) component of the Canadian Fire Weather Index (FWI) System (FWI System) adopted by the European Forest Fire Information System (EFFIS), is evaluated with respect to its wildfire danger predictive ability. Hence, weather and wildfire data at municipality level and on a daily basis, for the period 2000–2016 are exploited. The analysis showed that the FWI thresholds proposed by EFFIS for assessing the level of fire danger in Europe are too low for the case of Greece and, therefore, are not representative of the country's fire weather conditions. Two statistical approaches, cluster analysis and non-linear least-squares regression, are subsequently applied to determine the most appropriate FWI thresholds for discrete levels of wildfire danger. The results are presented in 4 sets of FWI thresholds and they are further evaluated on the basis of verification measures. All sets of FWI thresholds were found to significantly improve the predictability of wildfire danger compared to the EFFIS fire danger class thresholds. In particular, two of them were found to meet selected performance requirements for a balanced predictive performance, namely a reduced overestimation of wildfire danger and increased reliability in danger classification. The results are expected to have significant practical implications for wildfire prevention and risk mitigation strategies implemented by the forest fire control agencies of the country.

In this work the impact of topography on the distribution and the amount of precipitation in Epirus, NW Greece is investigated, during the cold period of the year. A precipitation event with typical wintertime characteristics is considered. In the selected case, extended and heavy precipitation over Epirus is caused by a low pressure system centred northwest of Epirus and moving southeastwards, generating southerly winds over the Ionian Sea. The case is simulated by applying the numerical meteorological model MM5 in a high resolution grid (2 × 2km). Various sensitivity tests are performed, searching for the model initialization time and the convective parameterization scheme (CPS) leading to the best simulation of the observed event. Then, the model is applied again incorporating modified data of topography, in order to study the differentiations in the fields of the most important meteorological parameters, which are directly related with precipitation. The topography is modified with two ways: either by reducing the height of the mountains (type RT) or by elevating the terrain height (type ET). The results show that in the RT type, the precipitation field appears more homogeneous, with weaker maxima on the windward sides and above the mountain ridges. As a consequence, less rain falls in these areas and humid air passes easier to the lee sides reducing rain shadows. In the ET type, rain increases in the windward coastal zone of Epirus while it is reduced in the inland areas where less humid air is available. Generally, the modification of topography changes the flows near the surface, causing a displacement of the convergence zones and thus a new distribution of vertical velocities, which, combined with the new water vapour field, has a direct impact on precipitation.

The aim of this paper is to investigate the occurrence of a cloudband associated with a cold front over the maritime area south from the Greek Peninsula. This cloudband was clearly evident on the infrared satellite picture, oriented nearly parallel to the frontal surface. The relevance of Conditional Symmetric Instability as a possible mechanism for the formation of this band is investigated through model simulations. The model analysis was performed with the three dimensional non-hydrostatic Colorado State University — Regional Atmospheric Modelling System (CSU-RAMS). Inspection of the moist potential vorticity pattern within a cross-section perpendicular to the cloudband supported the hypothesis that Conditional Symmetric Instability was the mechanism which favoured the band formation at the leading edge of the cold frontal surface.

Research flights have been performed over the Greater Athens Area (GAA) and southwards over the Island of Aegina and east of Peloponnisos in order to investigate the evolution of an ozone episode over GAA and the transportation of the urban pollution plume southwards from the Athens region. During the 3 day period of 6 July to 8 July 1994, the GAA was under the influence of an ozone episode with ground-level noontime concentrations of more than 120 ppbv. Upper-air ozone concentrations measured during the flights were as high as 135 ppbv. The interaction of the weak synoptic conditions over the area along with the development of a mesoscale thermal circulation created poor dispersion conditions during the period of interest and resulted in elevated ozone levels. The primary pollutants emitted in the GAA during the night and early morning hours, were funneled out to the Saronic Gulf and southwards along the southwestern Aegean Sea, near the coast of east Peloponnisos. Under the influence of strong sunlight these primary pollutants continued to undergo photochemical reaction giving rise to elevated ozone levels tens of kilometers downwind of the pollution emission sources. Further evidence of the photochemically-aged air masses was the high correlation (R2 = 0.8) observed between NOy, and ozone. The ozone production efficiency in these transported air masses reached a value of close to six.