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Background: Patients with early-stage non–small-cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC) may benefit from treatments based on more accurate prognosis. A 15-gene prognostic classifier for NSCLC was identified from mRNA expression profiling of tumor samples from the NCIC CTG JBR.10 trial. In this study, we assessed its value in an independent set of cases. Methods: Expression profiling was performed on RNA from frozen, resected tumor tissues corresponding to 181 stage I and II NSCLC cases collected at University Health Network (UHN181). Kaplan–Meier methodology was used to estimate 5-year overall survival probabilities, and the prognostic effect of the classifier was assessed using the log-rank test. A Cox proportional hazards model evaluated the signature's effect adjusting for clinical prognostic factors. Results: Expression data of the 15-gene classifier stratified UHN181 cases into high- and low-risk subgroups with significantly different overall survival (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.92; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.15–3.23; p = 0.012). In a subgroup analysis, this classifier predicted survival in 127 stage I patients (HR = 2.17; 95% CI, 1.12–4.20; p = 0.018) and the smaller subgroup of 48 stage IA patients (HR = 5.61; 95% CI, 1.19–26.45; p = 0.014). The signature was prognostic for both adenocarcinoma and squamous cell carcinoma cases (HR = 1.76, p = 0.058; HR=4.19, p = 0.045, respectively). Conclusion: The prognostic accuracy of a 15-gene classifier was validated in an independent cohort of 181 early-stage NSCLC samples including stage IA cases and in different NSCLC histologic subtypes.

Complete resection of early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is potentially curative, yet approximately 50% of patients are at risk for developing metastatic recurrence. Met, the receptor for hepatocyte growth factor (HGF) is a receptor tyrosine kinase with demonstrated roles in regulating cellular proliferation, motility, morphogenesis, and apoptosis. Met receptor and its ligand, HGF, are commonly overexpressed in NSCLC, and their overexpression has been associated with poor prognosis, which could potentially involve a paracrine and/or autocrine activation loop. However, there is as yet no direct evidence that HGF-Met signaling directly promotes metastasis in NSCLC cells. Using retroviral transduction, we overexpressed the human c-met and hgf complementary DNA, alone or in combination in the NCI-H460 human large cell carcinoma cell line. The HGF/Met co-overexpressing (H460-HGF/Met) cells demonstrated enhanced tumorigenicity in xenograft SCID mice. When these cells are implanted orthotopically into the lungs of nude rats, only the H460-HGF/Met cells showed higher spontaneous metastases to distant organs including bone, brain, and kidney. These results provide evidence that autocrine overactivation of the Met- HGF loop enhances systemic metastases in NSCLC. Targeted interference of this loop may potentially be an effective adjuvant therapy to improve survival of early-stage NSCLC patients.