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This study proposes a new methodology to quantify the efficiency dynamics of a port over time. While efficiency evaluation has gained full attention in port management, researchers conducting related studies are challenged by temporal variations observed in the collected data. Existing approaches have almost exclusively relied on multivariate normal distributional assumptions of the input and output data, but empirical evidence from real data shows that the port operations data demonstrate long-tail distributions and violate the distributional assumptions. In addition, many existing models are intractable (non-convex) or lack interpretability. Motivated by these challenges, we develop an optimization-based approach for efficiency measurement under uncertainty that is compatible with the conventional non-parametric method. In particular, inspired by the coherent risk measure, we create a risk-based index to measure the efficiency of any operating unit by comparing its observations against a benchmark that is guaranteed to be production possible under a certain risk level. To facilitate the computation of the index, we develop a risk-based port efficiency evaluation (RPE) model, which can be reformulated as an exponential cone program (ECP) and solved efficiently by off-the-shelf solvers. We test our model for a multipurpose port on a real dataset of 3,394 observations showing the proposed approach's merits. We find that the port productivity peaks on Tuesday and Saturday and troughs on Friday. We also provide evidence for the Chinese New Year effect from a port management perspective and draw managerial insights from the study. • This study provides an analytical tool to quantify port efficiency dynamics over time. • A new approach for efficiency measurement under uncertainty is developed. • The model does not require parametric distributional assumptions. • The model can be formulated as an exponential cone program and solved efficiently. • We provide evidence for the Chinese New Year effect and draw managerial insights. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: In economic terms, resilience in farming has to do with the capacity of a farm business to survive various risks and other shocks. Despite its importance, resilience has seldom been directly considered in evaluations of economic sustainability. A whole-farm stochastic simulation model over a 6-year planning horizon was used to analyse organic and conventional cropping systems using a model of a representative farm in Eastern Norway. The relative economic sustainability of alternative systems under changing assumptions about future technology and price regimes was examined in terms of financial survival to the end of the planning period. The same alternatives were also compared in terms of stochastic efficiency. To model the risk of business failure adequately there is a need to deal with the risk of bankruptcy, and a modification of traditional analysis was used for that purpose. The organic farming system was found to be somewhat less economically sustainable than the conventional system, especially if the organic price premiums and the organic area payments were to be phased out. The results illustrate possible conflicts between pursuit of risk efficiency and economic sustainability. The model developed could be used to support farmers’ choices between farming systems as well as to help policy makers develop more sharply targeted policies. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]