1. Exploring clustering of leprosy in the Comoros and Madagascar: A geospatial analysis.
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Ortuño-Gutiérrez, Nimer, Mzembaba, Aboubacar, Ramboarina, Stéphanie, Andriamira, Randrianantoandro, Baco, Abdallah, Braet, Sofie, Younoussa, Assoumani, Cauchoix, Bertrand, Salim, Zahara, Amidy, Mohamed, Grillone, Saverio, Rasamoelina, Tahinamandranto, Cambau, Emmanuelle, Geluk, Annemieke, de Jong, Bouke C., Richardus, Jan Hendrik, and Hasker, Epco
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HANSEN'S disease , *SCAN statistic , *DOCUMENT clustering , *SOCIAL networks - Abstract
• We report leprosy prevalence and clustering from an extensive population dataset. • Of 455 leprosy patients, 44% belonged to high prevalent clusters. • In new leprosy patients, 38% resided ≤25 m of another leprosy patient. • Leprosy risk decreased progressively with distance to the nearest leprosy patient. • Risk ratios varied from 7.3 in residents at the same household and 1.7 at 75–<100 m. To identify patterns of spatial clustering of leprosy. We performed a baseline survey for a trial on post-exposure prophylaxis for leprosy in Comoros and Madagascar. We screened 64 villages, door-to-door, and recorded results of screening, demographic data and geographic coordinates. To identify clusters, we fitted a purely spatial Poisson model using Kulldorff's spatial scan statistic. We used a regular Poisson model to assess the risk of contracting leprosy at the individual level as a function of distance to the nearest known leprosy patient. We identified 455 leprosy patients; 200 (44.0%) belonged to 2735 households included in a cluster. Thirty-eight percent of leprosy patients versus 10% of the total population live ≤25 m from another leprosy patient. Risk ratios for being diagnosed with leprosy were 7.3, 2.4, 1.8, 1.4 and 1.7, for those at the same household, at 1–<25 m, 25–<50 m, 50–<75 m and 75–<100 m as/from a leprosy patient, respectively, compared to those living at ≥100 m. We documented significant clustering of leprosy beyond household level, although 56% of cases were not part of a cluster. Control measures need to be extended beyond the household, and social networks should be further explored. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2021
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