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Before being used in clinical practice, a prediction model should be tested in patients whose data were not used in model development. Previously, we developed the AD F ICE_IT models for predicting any fall and recurrent falls, referred as Any_fall and Recur_fall. In this study, we externally validated the models and compared their clinical value to a practical screening strategy where patients are screened for falls history alone. Retrospective, combined analysis of 2 prospective cohorts. Data were included of 1125 patients (aged ≥65 years) who visited the geriatrics department or the emergency department. We evaluated the models' discrimination using the C-statistic. Models were updated using logistic regression if calibration intercept or slope values deviated significantly from their ideal values. Decision curve analysis was applied to compare the models' clinical value (ie, net benefit) against that of falls history for different decision thresholds. During the 1-year follow-up, 428 participants (42.7%) endured 1 or more falls, and 224 participants (23.1%) endured a recurrent fall (≥2 falls). C-statistic values were 0.66 (95% CI 0.63-0.69) and 0.69 (95% CI 0.65-0.72) for the Any_fall and Recur_fall models, respectively. Any_fall overestimated the fall risk and we therefore updated only its intercept whereas Recur_fall showed good calibration and required no update. Compared with falls history, Any_fall and Recur_fall showed greater net benefit for decision thresholds of 35% to 60% and 15% to 45%, respectively. The models performed similarly in this data set of geriatric outpatients as in the development sample. This suggests that fall-risk assessment tools that were developed in community-dwelling older adults may perform well in geriatric outpatients. We found that in geriatric outpatients the models have greater clinical value across a wide range of decision thresholds compared with screening for falls history alone. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Neck pain is one of the leading causes of disability in most countries and it is likely to increase further. Numerous prognostic models for people with neck pain have been developed, few have been validated. In a recent systematic review, external validation of three promising models was advised before they can be used in clinical practice. The purpose of this study was to externally validate three promising models that predict neck pain recovery in primary care. This validation cohort consisted of 1311 patients with neck pain of any duration who were prospectively recruited and treated by 345 manual therapists in the Netherlands. Outcome measures were disability (Neck Disability Index) and recovery (Global Perceived Effect Scale) post-treatment and at 1-year follow-up. The assessed models were an Australian Whiplash-Associated Disorders (WAD) model (Amodel), a multicenter WAD model (Mmodel), and a Dutch non-specific neck pain model (Dmodel). Models' discrimination and calibration were evaluated. The Dmodel and Amodel discriminative performance (AUC < 0.70) and calibration measures (slope largely different from 1) were poor. The Mmodel could not be evaluated since several variables nor their proxies were available. External validation of promising prognostic models for neck pain recovery was not successful and their clinical use cannot be recommended. We advise clinicians to underpin their current clinical reasoning process with evidence-based individual prognostic factors for recovery. Further research on finding new prognostic factors and developing and validating models with up-to-date methodology is needed for recovery in patients with neck pain in primary care. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background Protein intake recommendations advise ≥0.8 g/kg body weight (BW)/d, whereas experts propose a higher intake for older adults (1.0–1.2 g/kg BW/d). It is unknown whether optimal protein intake differs by sex or race. Objectives We examined the shape of sex- and race-specific associations of dietary protein intake with 3- and 6-y changes in appendicular lean mass (aLM) and gait speed and also 6-y incidence of mobility limitation in community-dwelling older men and women. Methods We used data on men (n  = 1163) and women (n  = 1237) aged 70–81 y of the Health, Aging, and Body Composition Study. Protein intake was assessed using an FFQ (1998–1999). aLM and gait speed were measured at baseline and at 3 and 6 y. Difficulty walking one-quarter mile or climbing stairs was measured every 6 mo over 6 y. Prospective associations were evaluated with linear and Cox regression models, comparing fit of models with and without spline functions. All analyses were stratified by sex and additionally by race. Results Mean ± SD protein intake was 0.94 ± 0.36 g/kg adjusted body weight (aBW)/d in men and 0.95 ± 0.36 g/kg aBW/d in women. There were no strong indications of nonlinear associations. In women, higher protein intake was associated with less aLM loss over 3 y (adjusted B per 0.1 g/kg aBW/d: 39.4; 95% CI: 11.6, 67.2), specifically in black women, but not over 6 y or with gait speed decline. In men, protein intake was not associated with changes in aLM and gait speed. Higher protein intake was associated with a lower risk of mobility limitation in men (adjusted HR per 1.0 g/kg aBW/d: 0.55; 95% CI: 0.34, 0.91) and women (adjusted HR: 0.56; 95% CI: 0.33, 0.94), specifically white women. Conclusions Associations between protein intake and physical outcomes may vary by sex and race. Therefore, it is important to consider sex and race in future studies regarding protein needs in older adults. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Evidence from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for the causal role of vitamin D on noncommunicable disease outcomes is inconclusive. Objective: The aim of this study was to investigate whether there are beneficial or harmful effects of cholecalciferol (vitamin D3) supplementation according to subgroups of remeasured serum 25- hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D] on cardiovascular and glucometabolic surrogate markers with the use of individual participant data (IPD) meta-analysis of RCTs. Design: Twelve RCTs (16 wk to 1 y of follow-up) were included. For standardization, 25(OH)D concentrations for all participants (n = 2994) at baseline and postintervention were remeasured in bio-banked serum samples with the use of a certified liquid chromatography-tandem mass spectrometry method traceable to a reference measurement procedure. IPD meta-analyses were performed according to subgroups of remeasured 25(OH)D. Main outcomes were blood pressure and glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c). Secondary outcomes were LDL, HDL, and total cholesterol and triglycerides; parathyroid hormone (PTH); fasting glucose, insulin, and C-peptide; and 2-h glucose. In secondary analyses, other potential effect modifiers were studied. Results: Remeasurement of 25(OH)D resulted in a lower mean 25(OH)D concentration in 10 of 12 RCTs. Vitamin D supplementation had no effect on the main outcomes of blood pressure and HbA1c. Supplementation resulted in 10-20% lower PTH concentrations, irrespective of the 25(OH)D subgroups. The subgroup analyses according to achieved 25(OH)D concentrations showed a significant decrease in LDL-cholesterol concentrations after vitamin D supplementation in 25(OH)D subgroups with <75, <100, and <125 nmol of -0.10 mmol/L (95% CI: -0.20, -0.00 mmol/L), -0.10 mmol/L (95% CI:-0.18,-0.02 mmol/L), and-0.07 mmol/L (95% CI: -0.14, -0.00 mmol/L), respectively. Patient features that modified the treatment effect could not be identified. Conclusions: For the main outcomes of blood pressure and HbA1c, the data support no benefit for vitamin D supplementation. For the secondary outcomes, in addition to its effect on PTH, we observed indications for a beneficial effect of vitamin D supplementation only on LDL cholesterol, which warrants further investigation. This trial was registered at www.clinicaltrials.gov as NCT02551835. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective to quantify to what extent evidence-based health behaviour topics relevant for pregnancy are discussed with clients during midwife-led prenatal booking visits and to assess the association of client characteristics with the extent of information provided. Design quantitative video analyses. Setting and participants 173 video recordings of prenatal booking visits with primary care midwives and clients in the Netherlands taking place between August 2010 and April 2011. Measurements thirteen topics regarding toxic substances, nutrition, maternal weight, supplements, and health promoting activities were categorized as either ‘never mentioned’, ‘briefly mentioned’, ‘basically explained’ or ‘extensively explained’. Rates on the extent of information provided were calculated for each topic and relationships between client characteristics and dichotomous outcomes of the extent of information provided were assessed using Generalized Linear Mixed Modelling. Findings our findings showed that women who did not take folic acid supplementation, who smoked, or had a partner who smoked, were usually provided basic and occasionally extensive explanations about these topics. The majority of clients were provided with no information on recommended weight gain (91.9%), fish promotion (90.8%), caffeine limitation (89.6%), vitamin D supplementation (87.3%), physical activity promotion (81.5%) and antenatal class attendance (75.7%) and only brief mention of alcohol (91.3%), smoking (81.5%), folic acid (58.4) and weight at the start of pregnancy (52.0%). The importance of a nutritious diet was generally either never mentioned (38.2%) or briefly mentioned (45.1%). Nulliparous women were typically given more information on most topics than multiparous women. Key conclusions and implications for practice: although additional information was generally provided about folic acid and smoking, when relevant for their clients, the majority of women were provided with little or no information about the other health behaviours examined in this study. Midwives may be able to improve prenatal health promotion by providing more extensive health behaviour information to their clients during booking visits. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objective To evaluate the effect of acute cardiac sympathectomy by thoracic epidural anesthesia on myocardial blood flow and microvascular function. Design A prospective observational study. Setting The study was conducted in a tertiary teaching hospital. Participants Ten patients with a mean age of 48 years (range 22-63 years) scheduled for thoracic surgery. Interventions Myocardial contrast echocardiography was used to study myocardial blood flow and microvascular responsiveness at rest, during adenosine-induced hyperemia, and after sympathetic stimulation by the cold pressor test. Repeated measurements were performed without and with thoracic epidural anesthesia. Measurements and Main Results An increased myocardial blood volume was observed with thoracic epidural anesthesia compared to baseline (from 0.08±0.02 to 0.10±0.03 mL/mL; p = 0.02). No difference existed in resting myocardial blood flow between baseline conditions and epidural anesthesia (0.85±0.24 v 1.03±0.27 mL/min/g, respectively). Hyperemia during thoracic epidural anesthesia increased myocardial blood flow to 4.31±1.07 mL/min/g (p = 0.0008 v baseline) and blood volume to 0.17±0.04 mL/mL (p = 0.005 baseline). After sympathetic stimulation, no difference in myocardial blood flow parameters was observed Conclusions Acute cardiac sympathectomy by thoracic epidural anesthesia increased the blood volume in the myocardial capillary system. Also, thoracic epidural anesthesia increased hyperemic myocardial blood flow, indicating augmented endothelial-independent vasodilator capacity of the myocardium. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives: To perform an external validation study of risk scores, identified through a systematic review, predicting outcome in community-acquired bacterial meningitis.Methods: MEDLINE and EMBASE were searched for articles published between January 1960 and August 2014. Performance was evaluated in 2108 episodes of adult community-acquired bacterial meningitis from two nationwide prospective cohort studies by the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), the calibration curve, calibration slope or Hosmer-Lemeshow test, and the distribution of calculated risks.Findings: Nine risk scores were identified predicting death, neurological deficit or death, or unfavorable outcome at discharge in bacterial meningitis, pneumococcal meningitis and invasive meningococcal disease. Most studies had shortcomings in design, analyses, and reporting. Evaluation showed AUCs of 0.59 (0.57-0.61) and 0.74 (0.71-0.76) in bacterial meningitis, 0.67 (0.64-0.70) in pneumococcal meningitis, and 0.81 (0.73-0.90), 0.82 (0.74-0.91), 0.84 (0.75-0.93), 0.84 (0.76-0.93), 0.85 (0.75-0.95), and 0.90 (0.83-0.98) in meningococcal meningitis. Calibration curves showed adequate agreement between predicted and observed outcomes for four scores, but statistical tests indicated poor calibration of all risk scores.Interpretation: One score could be recommended for the interpretation and design of bacterial meningitis studies. None of the existing scores performed well enough to recommend routine use in individual patient management. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Early identification of older people at risk of falling is the cornerstone of fall prevention. Many fall prediction tools exist but their external validity is lacking. External validation is a prerequisite before application in clinical practice. Models developed with electronic health record (EHR) data are especially challenging because of the uncontrolled nature of routinely collected data. We aimed to externally validate our previously developed and published prediction model for falls, using a large cohort of community-dwelling older people derived from primary care EHR data. Retrospective analysis of a prospective cohort drawn from EHR data. Pseudonymized EHR data were collected from individuals aged ≥65 years, who were enlisted in any of the participating 59 general practices between 2015 and 2020 in the Netherlands. Ten predictors were defined and obtained using the same methods as in the development study. The outcome was 1-year fall and was obtained from free text. Both reproducibility and transportability were evaluated. Model performance was assessed in terms of discrimination using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC-AUC), and in terms of calibration, using calibration-in-the-large, calibration slope and calibration plots. Among 39,342 older people, 5124 (13.4%) fell in the 1-year follow-up. The characteristics of the validation and the development cohorts were similar. ROC-AUCs of the validation and development cohort were 0.690 and 0.705, respectively. Calibration-in-the-large and calibration slope were 0.012 and 0.878, respectively. Calibration plots revealed overprediction for high-risk groups in a small number of individuals. Our previously developed prediction model for falls demonstrated good external validity by reproducing its predictive performance in the validation cohort. The implementation of this model in the primary care setting could be considered after impact assessment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

• This is the first prediction model for development of a niche, including important surgical factors, in a population with a first elective or emergency CS. • More attention should be paid to surgical factors (double-layer closure, less surgical experience, other suture material than Vicryl) given their effect on niche development. • Different factors contribute to development of a niche compared to development of a large niche. • This prediction model is, unfortunately, not usable in clinical practice due to lack of discriminative ability and accuracy. • Proper suturing and correct approximation rather than single- versus double-layer uterine closure could play an important role and needs attention during training of residents. • Clinicians should be aware that suture material influences niche development. To develop and internally validate a prognostic prediction model for development of a niche in the uterine scar after a first caesarean section (CS). Secondary analyses on data of a randomized controlled trial, performed in 32 hospitals in the Netherlands among women undergoing a first caesarean section. We used multivariable backward logistic regression. Missing data were handled using multiple imputation. Model performance was assessed by calibration and discrimination. Internal validation using bootstrapping techniques took place. The outcome was 'development of a niche in the uterus', defined as an indentation of ≥ 2 mm in the myometrium. We developed two models to predict niche development: in the total population and after elective CS. Patient related risk factors were: gestational age, twin pregnancy and smoking, and surgery related risk factors were double-layer closure and less surgical experience. Multiparity and Vicryl suture material were protective factors. The prediction model in women undergoing elective CS revealed similar results. After internal validation, Nagelkerke R2 ranged from 0.01 to 0.05 and was considered low; median area under the curve (AUC) ranged from 0.56 to 0.62, indicating failed to poor discriminative ability. The model cannot be used to accurately predict the development of a niche after a first CS. However, several factors seem to influence scar healing which indicates possibilities for future prevention such as surgical experience and suture material. The search for additional risk factors that play a role in development of a niche should be continued to improve the discriminative ability. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: Background: In this retrospective study we evaluated the epidemiological data and the clinical and radiographical differences between surgically and non-surgically treated patients with zygomatic complex fractures at their initial assessment in our clinic over a period of 5 years. More knowledge of the clinical similarities and/or differences between the non-surgical and the surgical group will provide us a more complete view and may help physicians to develop any future methods in clinical decision making or even methods in distinguishing patients benefiting from a surgical treatment. Methods: Surgically and non-surgically treated patients were included in the study, if clinical and radiographical confirmation of zygomatic complex fractures were present at initial assessment. The patient groups were divided into surgically treated zygomatic complex fractures, and non-surgically treated fractures, with and without displacement. The groups were compared according to age, gender, degree of fracture displacement and clinical signs. Results: In total 283 patients were diagnosed with zygomatic complex fractures, with a mean age of 43 years (±20 years) and a domination of male patients. The mean age was higher in the non-surgically treated group and contained more female patients. Overall type C fractures and the majority of the type B fractures were treated surgically. Only 2.1% of the type A fractures were treated surgically. Overall facial swelling and paraesthesia of the infraorbital nerve were found as most common clinical findings. Additionally, malar depression and extraoral steps were frequently found in the surgically treated group, as in the non-surgically treated group only facial swelling was found frequently, whether there was fracture displacement or not. The clinical characteristics 'extraoral steps', 'intraoral steps', and 'malar depression' were found to be significantly related to surgical treatment. Conclusion: Extraoral steps, intraoral steps, and malar depression were significantly related to surgical treatment. The group of non-surgically treated zygomatic complex fractures is a valuable group to investigate as this group also consists of patients with displaced fractures (i.e. surgical indication) and thus, could provide us more insight in future clinical decision methods. Therefore, we highly recommend more research of the non-surgically treated group. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Background: Vitamin D Status is currently diagnosed by measuring serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D [25(OH)D]. Objective: This study aimed to develop a risk profile that can be used to easily identify older individuals at high risk of vitamin D deficiency. Design: This study was performed within the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam, an ongoing cohort study in a representative sample of the Dutch older population (n = 1509 for the development sample and n = 1100 for the Validation sample). Prediction models for serum 25(OH)D concentrations <50 and <30 nmol/L were developed by using backward logistic regression. Risk scores were calculated by dividing the individual regression coefficients by the regression coefficient with the lowest β to create simple scores. Results: Serum 25(OH)D concentrations <50 and <30 nmol/L were present in 46.2% and 17.5% of participants, respectively. The model for the prediction of concentrations <50 nmol/L consisted of 13 easily assessable predictors, whereas the model for concentrations <30 nmol/L contained 10 predictors. The resulting areas under the curve (AUCs) were 0.78 and 0.80, respectively. The AUC in the ex-ternal Validation data set was 0.71 for the <50-nmol/L model. At a cutoff of 58 in total risk score (range: 8-97), the model predicted concentrations <50 nmol/L with a sensitivity of 61% and a specificity of 82%, whereas these values were 61% and 84%, respectively, at a cutoff of 110 in the total risk score (range: 6-204) in the model for concentrations <30 nmol/L. Conclusions: Two total risk scores, including 13 or 10 predictors that can easily be assessed, were developed and are able to predict serum 25(OH)D concentrations <50 and <30 nmol/L accurately. These risk scores may be useful in clinical practice to identify persons at risk of vitamin D deficiency. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives: The current study evaluates the incremental value of transluminal attenuation gradient (TAG), TAG with corrected contrast opacification (CCO), and TAG with exclusion of calcified coronary segments (ExC) over coronary computed tomography angiogram (CTA) alone using fractional flow reserve (FFR) as the gold standard. Background: TAG is defined as the contrast opacification gradient along the length of a coronary artery on a coronary CTA. Preliminary data suggest that TAG provides additional functional information. Interpretation of TAG is hampered by multiple heartbeat acquisition algorithms and coronary calcifications. Two correction models have been proposed based on either dephasing of contrast delivery by relating coronary density to corresponding descending aortic opacification (TAG-CCO) or excluding calcified coronary segments (TAG-ExC). Methods: Eighty-five patients with intermediate probability of coronary artery disease were prospectively included. All patients underwent step-and-shoot 256-slice coronary CTA. TAG, TAG-CCO, and TAG-ExC analyses were performed followed by invasive coronary angiography in conjunction with FFR measurements of all major coronary branches. Results: Thirty-four patients (40%) were diagnosed with hemodynamically-significant coronary artery disease (i.e., FFR ≤0.80). On a per-vessel basis (n = 253), 59 lesions (23%) were graded as hemodynamically significant, and the diagnostic accuracy of coronary CTA (diameter stenosis ≥50%) was 95%, 75%, 98%, and 54% for sensitivity, specificity, negative predictive value, and positive predictive value, respectively. TAG and TAG-ExC did not discriminate between vessels with or without hemodynamically significant lesions (–13.5 ± 17.1 HU [Hounsfield units] × 10 mm–1 vs. –11.6 ± 13.3 HU × 10 mm–1, p = 0.36; and 13.1 ± 15.9 HU × 10 mm–1 vs. –11.4 ± 11.7 HU × 10 mm–1, p = 0.77, respectively). TAG-CCO was lower in vessels with a hemodynamically-significant lesion (–0.050 ± 0.051 10 mm–1 vs. –0.036 ± 0.034 10 mm–1, p = 0.03) and TAG-ExC resulted in a slight improvement of the net reclassification index (0.021, p < 0.05). Conclusions: TAG did not provide incremental diagnostic value over 256-slice coronary CTA alone in assessing the hemodynamic consequences of a coronary stenosis. Correction for temporal nonuniformity of contrast delivery or exclusion of calcified coronary segments slightly enhanced the results. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Background Left ventricular segmental wall motion analysis is important for clinical decision making in cardiac diseases. Strain analysis with myocardial tissue tagging is the non-invasive gold standard for quantitative assessment, however, it is time-consuming. Cardiovascular magnetic resonance myocardial feature-tracking (CMR-FT) can rapidly perform strain analysis, because it can be employed with standard CMR cine-imaging. The aim is to validate segmental peak systolic circumferential strain (peak SCS) and time to peak systolic circumferential strain (T2P-SCS) analysed by CMR-FT against tissue tagging, and determine its intra and inter-observer variability. Methods Patients in whom both cine CMR and tissue tagging has been performed were selected. CMR-FT analysis was done using endocardial (CMR-FTendo) and mid-wall contours (CMR-FTmid). The Intra Class Correlation Coefficient (ICC) and Pearson correlation were calculated. Results 10 healthy volunteers, 10 left bundle branch block (LBBB) and 10 hypertrophic cardiomyopathy patients were selected. With CMR-FT all 480 segments were analyzable and with tissue tagging 464 segments. Significant differences in mean peak SCS values of the total study group were present between CMR-FTendo and tissue tagging (-23.8±9.9%vs-13.4±3.3%, p < 0.001). Differences were smaller between CMR-FTmid and tissue tagging (-16.4±6.1% vs -13.4±3.3%, p = 0.001). The ICC of the mean peak SCS of the total study group between CMR-FTendo and tissue tagging was low (0.19 (95%-CI-0.10-0.49), p = 0.02). Comparable results were seen between CMR-FTmid and tissue tagging. In LBBB patients, mean T2P-SCS values measured with CMR-FTendo and CMR-FTmid were 418±66 ms, 454±60 ms, which were longer than with tissue tagging, 376±55 ms, both p < 0.05. ICC of the mean T2P-SCS between CMR-FTendo and tissue tagging was 0.64 (95%-CI0.36-0.81), p < 0.001, this was better in the healthy volunteers and LBBB group, whereas the ICC between CMR-FTmid and tissue tagging was lower. The intra and inter-observer agreement of segmental peak SCS with CMR-FTmid was lower compared with tissue tagging; similar results were seen for segmental T2P-SCS. Conclusions The intra and inter-observer agreement of segmental peak SCS and T2P-SCS is substantially lower with CMR-FTmid compared with tissue tagging. Therefore, current segmental CMR- FTmid techniques are not yet applicable for clinical and research purposes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: Objective: Bladder scans are used extensively in adult urology to estimate urinary volumes. For children, smaller devices have been developed. Scarce literature shows conflicting results regarding the accuracy of measurements in children. The BladderScan® BVI 6200 has been developed to overcome some of the inaccuracies. We tested this device to see whether it can replace conventional ultrasound in a bladder retraining program. Patients and methods: 84 children (mean age 7.8 years) were included. Measurements with the BVI 6200 were compared to measurements with a graduated cylinder or with conventional ultrasound before and after micturition. All volumes were expressed in milliliters. The measured volumes were compared to each other in a Bland–Altman analysis. Results: Mean (bias) of the different measurements fell within 10% difference of measurements. The spread of the different measurements around the mean was however very large, with a broad spread of over- and under-estimations of different measured volumes. Conclusion: The BVI 6200 is not reliable enough to replace conventional ultrasound for measurements of bladder volumes. It is not advisable to use it in a bladder retraining program. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abstract: Objective: When designing prediction models by complete case analysis (CCA), missing information in either baseline (predictors) or outcomes may lead to biased results. Multiple imputation (MI) has been shown to be suitable for obtaining unbiased results. This study provides researchers with an empirical illustration of the use of MI in a data set on low back pain, by comparing MI with the more commonly used CCA. Effects will be shown of imputing missing information on the composition and performance of prognostic models, distinguishing imputation of missing values in baseline characteristics and outcome data. Methods: Data came from the Beliefs about Backpain cohort, a study of psychologic obstacles to recovery in primary care back pain patients in the United Kingdom. Candidate predictors included demographics, back pain characteristics, and psychologic variables. Complete case analysis was compared with MI within patients with complete outcome but missing baseline data (n = 809) and patients with missing baseline or outcome data (n = 1591). Multiple imputation was performed by a Multiple Imputation by Chained Equations procedure. Results: Cases with missing outcome data (n = 782, 49.1%) or with missing baseline data (n = 116, 8%) both differed from complete cases regarding the distribution of some predictors and more often had a poor outcome. When comparing CCA with MI, model composition showed to be affected. Conclusions: Complete case analysis can give biased results, even when only small amounts of data are missing. Now that MI is available in standard statistical software, we recommend that it be used to handle missing data. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abstract: We evaluated whether patients with self-reported whiplash differed in perceived pain, functional limitation and prognosis from patients with other painful neck complaints. Data from three Dutch trials and an English trial were used all evaluating conservative treatment in neck pain patients in primary care. All patients had non-specific neck pain. Information on any trauma or injury came from self-report at baseline. We compared frequencies of baseline variables and outcome at short-term and long term for whiplash and non-trauma neck pain patients separately. The total study population consisted of 804 neck pain patients. Of these patients 133 reported (16.5%) that an injury was the cause of their neck pain. In all trials there were 17–18% more male patients in the whiplash group. At follow-up pain decreased between 12 and 28%, function 10%, and 25–50% of patients recovered in all trials. Post-treatment improvements in pain, function and recovery were comparable between whiplash and non-trauma patients. We also found no different prognostic factors between whiplash and non-trauma patients. Overall we found in a population with mild to moderate pain no clinically relevant differences between patients with self-reported whiplash and patients with other painful neck complaints. The findings suggest that whiplash patients with mild to moderate pain should not be considered a specific subgroup of patients with non-specific neck pain. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Purpose: Eddy current induced velocity offsets are of concern for accuracy in cardiovascular magnetic resonance (CMR) volume flow quantification. However, currently known theoretical aspects of eddy current behavior have not led to effective guidelines for the optimization of flow quantification sequences. This study is aimed at identifying correlations between protocol parameters and the resulting velocity error in clinical CMR flow measurements in a multi-vendor study. Methods: Nine 1.5T scanners of three different types/vendors were studied. Measurements were performed on a large stationary phantom. Starting from a clinical breath-hold flow protocol, several protocol parameters were varied. Acquisitions were made in three clinically relevant orientations. Additionally, a time delay between the bipolar gradient and read-out, asymmetric versus symmetric velocity encoding, and gradient amplitude and slew rate were studied in adapted sequences as exploratory measurements beyond the protocol. Image analysis determined the worst-case offset for a typical great-vessel flow measurement. Results: The results showed a great variation in offset behavior among scanners (standard deviation among samples of 0.3, 0.4, and 0.9 cm/s for the three different scanner types), even for small changes in the protocol. Considering the absolute values, none of the tested protocol settings consistently reduced the velocity offsets below the critical level of 0.6 cm/s neither for all three orientations nor for all three scanner types. Using multilevel linear model analysis, oblique aortic and pulmonary slices showed systematic higher offsets than the transverse aortic slices (oblique aortic 0.6 cm/s, and pulmonary 1.8 cm/s higher than transverse aortic). The exploratory measurements beyond the protocol yielded some new leads for further sequence development towards reduction of velocity offsets; however those protocols were not always compatible with the time-constraints of breath-hold imaging and flow-related artefacts. Conclusions: This study showed that with current systems there was no generic protocol which resulted into acceptable flow offset values. Protocol optimization would have to be performed on a per scanner and per protocol basis. Proper optimization might make accurate (transverse) aortic flow quantification possible for most scanners. Pulmonary flow quantification would still need further (offline) correction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: Background context: The recovery of patients with chronic low back pain (LBP) is slow. Furthermore, it is recently proposed that chronic LBP needs a prognostic approach to determine who will develop clinically significant back pain. Therefore, it is imperative to identify prognostic factors that are mostly seen in chronic LBP patients at an early stage. This may give clinicians tailored advice to prevent chronicity or may refer to a specific intervention. Purpose: To investigate the contribution of demographic, work, clinical, and psychosocial variables, including new prognostic variables as changes in pain intensity and disability status, on the development of chronic LBP. Study design/setting: Prospective cohort data by merging data from three randomized trials (secondary analyses). Patient sample: Workers (n=628) on sick leave because of subacute nonspecific LBP. Outcome measures: Chronic LBP for longer than 6 months (functional measure). Methods: Potential prognostic variables were demographic, work, clinical, and psychosocial characteristics (self-report measures). We also included as prognostic variables a clinically relevant change in pain intensity and disability status. For the selection of variables and prognostic models, bootstrapping techniques were used in combination with multivariable logistic regression. The explained variance and discrimination were used to evaluate the clinical performance of the models. Results: The variables most strongly related to chronic LBP were as follows: no clinically relevant change in pain intensity and in disability status in the first 3 months, a higher pain intensity score at baseline, and a higher score for kinesiophobia. This prognostic model had a bootstrap-corrected explained variance of 37% and a discriminative ability (c index) of 0.80. Conclusions: Clinical-, work-, and psychosocial-related variables contribute to the development of chronic LBP. The most promising variables are a clinically relevant decrease in pain intensity and in disability status in the first 3 months. These variables are relevant for clinicians to advise their patients with respect to preventive measures or treatment strategies. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abstract: de Groot V, Beckerman H, Uitdehaag BM, Hintzen RQ, Minneboo A, Heymans MW, Lankhorst GJ, Polman CH, Bouter LM, on behalf of the Functional Prognostication and Disability (FuPro) Study Group. Physical and cognitive functioning after 3 years can be predicted using information from the diagnostic process in recently diagnosed multiple sclerosis. Objective: To predict functioning after 3 years in patients with recently diagnosed multiple sclerosis (MS). Design: Inception cohort with 3 years of follow-up. At baseline, predictors were obtained from medical history taking, neurologic examination, and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Setting: Neurology outpatient clinic. Participants: Patients with MS (N=156); 146 with complete follow-up. Interventions: Not applicable. Main Outcome Measures: Inability to walk at least 500m, impaired dexterity, cognitive impairments, incontinence, inability to drive a car or use public transportation, social dysfunction, and reliance on a disability pension. Results: Clinical prediction rules were constructed for the models that were well calibrated (sufficient agreement between predicted and observed outcomes, based on visual inspection of calibration curves) and that showed sufficient discrimination (area under the receiver operation characteristic curve >.70) after internal bootstrap validation. The models for the inability to walk at least 500m, impaired dexterity, and cognitive impairments were well calibrated. Discrimination was sufficient for all 7 models, except the one predicting social dysfunction (.67). The inability to walk at least 500m was predicted by the perceived ability to walk, impairment of the cerebellar tract, and the number of MRI lesions in the spinal cord. Impaired dexterity was predicted by the perceived ability to use the hands, impairments of the pyramidal, cerebellar, and sensory tracts, and the T2-weighted infratentorial lesion load. Cognitive impairment was predicted by age, gender, the perceived ability to concentrate, and the T2-weighted supratentorial lesion load. Conclusions: Inability to walk at least 500m, impaired dexterity, and cognitive impairments can be predicted with predictors that are derived from medical history taking, neurologic examination, and MRI shortly after a definite diagnosis of MS has been made. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abstract: Objective: To evaluate whether different categorization strategies for introducing continuous variables in multivariable logistic regression analysis results in prognostic models that differ in content and performance. Study Design and Setting: Backward multivariable logistic regression (P <0.05 and P <0.157) was performed with possible predictors for persistent complaints in patients with nonspecific neck pain. The continuous variables were introduced in the analysis in three separate ways: (1) continuous, (2) split into multiple categories, and (3) dichotomized. The different models were compared with regard to model content, goodness of fit, explained variation, and discriminative ability. We also compared the effect on performance of categorization before and after the selection procedure. Results: For P <0.05, the final model with continuous variables, containing five predictors, disagreed on three predictors with both categorization strategies. For P <0.157, the model with continuous variables, containing six predictors, disagreed on three predictors with the model containing stratified continuous variables and on six predictors compared with the model with dichotomized variables. The models in which the variables were kept continuous performed best. There was no clear difference in performance between categorization before and after the selection procedure. Conclusion: Categorization of continuous variables resulted in a different content and poorer performance of the final model. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Objectives: To study the onset and compare risk factors for pure depression (DEP), pure anxiety (ANX), and comorbid anxiety-depression (ANXDEP) in the aging population.Design: Prospective study with 3-year intervals over a 9-year period.Setting: Data of the Longitudinal Aging Study Amsterdam were used, which is a population-based study among older adults (55-85 years at baseline).Participants: Older adults free of depression and anxiety at baseline (N = 1,712).Measurements: Clinically relevant levels of depression and anxiety were measured with the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression scale> or =16 and Hospital Anxiety and Depression Scale > or =7, respectively. A broad range of potential sociodemographic, health, and psychosocial risk factors for anxiety and/or depression were examined by using polytomous logistic regression analyses.Results: Within 9 years, 184 subjects (10.8%) developed DEP, 93 (5.4%) ANX, and 103 (6.0%) ANXDEP. Concerning sociodemographics, higher age and lower educational level were predictors for DEP. Health indicators were predictive for DEP and ANXDEP but not for ANX. Depressive symptoms at baseline were predictive for DEP, whereas initial anxiety symptoms were predictive for ANX and ANXDEP. Neuroticism increased the risk of DEP and ANXDEP. Mixed effects of psychosocial variables were found: DEP was associated with recent widowhood, whereas ANX and ANXDEP were associated with other life events such as having an ill partner.Conclusion: Although onset of ANXDEP demonstrated communality in risk factors, comparing risk factors associated with DEP and ANX revealed more differences than similarities. This underlines the need to distinguish anxiety from depression in preventive strategies. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Summary: This paper describes five recent Dutch studies of the effectiveness of physical activity interventions carried out in diverse settings: general practice (GP), aged care facilities, and workplaces. The stage-based physical activity counselling carried out in the GP setting demonstrated a beneficial effect on the determinants of physical activity, but did not show any additional effect on physical activity behaviour, compared with standard physical activity advice. In contrast, the stage-based intervention through the workplace was effective in increasing physical activity, due mostly to an increase in vigorous-intensity activities. In the aged care setting, functional-skills training alone or in combination with resistance training showed functional improvement only in participants with high participation rates. Functional-skills training appeared to be more feasible than resistance training in this population of frail elderly. The two studies which aimed to promote earlier return-to-work among workers with sick leave due to non-specific low back pain also showed promising results. As a result, it was recommended that occupational physicians (OP) should refer workers with low back pain in the subacute phase of their sick leave to a low intensity intervention consisting of short meetings and exercises aimed at changing behaviour, and that the OPs contact other health care providers (GPs and physiotherapists) about the treatment strategy. Together, the results of these five Dutch studies suggest that it is feasible to successfully promote physical activity to groups of people in diverse places, with benefits in terms of both prevention and management of chronic disease and injury. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Objective: To describe the design of a randomized controlled trial (RCT), including a cost-effectiveness analysis, comparing high-intensity and low-intensity back schools with usual care in occupational health care. Design: RCT and cost-effectiveness analysis. Study Population: Employees sick-listed for a period of 3 to 6 weeks because of nonspecific low back pain. Interventions: High-intensity back school treatment consists of a training program based on the principles of cognitive- behavioral therapy. Low-intensity back school treatment is comparable to the original Swedish Back School. Usual care is provided by the occupational physician according to the Dutch guidelines for the occupational health treatment of patients with low back pain. Outcome Measures: Primary outcome measures are return to work, pain intensity, functional status, and general improvement. Secondary outcome measures are kinesiophobia and pain coping. The cost-effectiveness analysis includes the direct and indirect costs. The outcome measures are assessed before randomization and 3, 6, and 12 months after randomization. Conclusion: RCTs of different methodological quality have been conducted to examine the effectiveness of back schools in occupational health care. The large variation in type, content, and intensity of back schools has led to conflicting evidence. Therefore, 2 different forms of back schools are compared. Moreover, this is the first RCT to include a cost- effectiveness analysis comparing low-intensity and high-intensity back schools with usual care in occupational health care. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Introduction: The estimated incidence of non-accidental burns varies between 1-25% in children. Distinguishing non-accidental burns from accidental burns can be very complicated but is of utmost importance for prevention of future injuries. Several studies concerning non-accidental burns have been published, however a clear overview is lacking.Aim: To conduct a systematic review of the existing literature to identify the incidence and characteristics of burns due to intentional causes and neglect.Methods: The protocol of this systematic review was prospectively registered in an international database (PROSPERO, National Institute for Health Research, York, United Kingdom). We searched literature in electronic databases published from 1948 until July 2018 written in English, Dutch, German and French. Two researchers screened, selected and graded the included articles, using standard methodology. We included primary studies of confirmed non-accidental burns in children. We excluded literature reviews, case-reports and unpublished data. We extracted data regarding demographics, burn characteristics, Child Protective Services (CPS) referral information and parent/household characteristics.Results: 825 studies were screened, 17 were included. The incidence of non-accidental burns was pooled out of 10 studies and is 9.7%. Indicators raising a very high suspicion of intentional burns are deep partial thickness and full thickness burns, burns to the posterior trunk and burns caused by hot tap water. Indicators raising a high to moderate suspicion of an intentional cause are burns to buttocks, genital and legs, a younger age of the child, additional injuries such as cutaneous injuries/bruises and fractures. More commonly caused by accidents are burns to head, neck, anterior trunk, upper extremities and feet. Little data are available regarding burns as a result of neglect. Quality of studies was often low to moderate mostly due to a high heterogeneity. This review is mainly based on retrospective studies.Conclusion: From this review of the literature, the incidence of non-accidental burns in children was 9.7%. Indicators raising a very high suspicion of intentional burns are: location at the posterior trunk, deep partial thickness and full thickness burns and burns caused by hot tap water. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: The relationship between numerous risk factors and perioperative mortality after cardiovascular surgery has been studied extensively. While improved perioperative survival and fewer cardiovascular events have been related to statin therapy, its effect on long-term survival after aneurysm repair remains to be elucidated. The aim of this study is to determine the effect of statin therapy on long-term survival after open and endovascular aneurysm repair and to identify other cardiovascular and patient-related risk factors in this respect. Methods: A post-hoc analysis of a randomized trial comparing open and endovascular abdominal aortic aneurysm repair was performed. In this multicenter trial, 351 patients were randomly assigned to undergo either open abdominal aortic aneurysm repair or endovascular repair. Patients who were on lipid-lowering medication at their inclusion in the trial (n = 135) were compared with those who were not (n = 216). Results: During 6 years of follow-up, 118 (33.6%) patients died after randomization. Statin therapy, baseline characteristics, Society for Vascular Surgery/International Society for Cardiovascular Surgery risk factors, aneurysm size, reinterventions, antiplatelet or anticoagulant agents, and β-blockers were used to identify prognostic factors influencing survival. After identification of significant factors in a Kaplan-Meier analysis, a multivariable Cox regression analysis was applied. Statin therapy at inclusion in the trial was independently associated with better overall survival after open or endovascular aneurysm repair (hazard ratio [HR], 0.5; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.3-0.8; P = .004). Statins were especially associated with fewer cardiovascular deaths (HR, 0.4; 95% CI, 0.2-0.9; P = .025). Several risk factors were associated with poor survival after open and endovascular aneurysm repair: age >70 (HR, 3.4; 95% CI, 2.2-5.0; P < .001), a history of cardiac disease at baseline (HR, 1.9; 95% CI, 1.3-2.8; P = .001), and moderate/severe tobacco use (HR, 1.7; 95% CI, 1.2-2.5; P = .004). Gender, aneurysm size, the need for reintervention, pulmonary disease, renal disease, carotid disease, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, antiplatelet or anticoagulant agents, and β-blockers were not significantly associated with impaired long-term survival (P > .05). Conclusions: Despite the limitations of a post-hoc analysis of a prospectively maintained trial, we conclude that statin therapy at the beginning of the trial is independently associated with improved long-term survival after open or endovascular aneurysm repair, while age above 70 years, a history of cardiovascular disease, and tobacco use are associated with decreased long-term survival. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

The faecal immunochemical test (FIT) suffers from suboptimal performance and participation in colorectal cancer (CRC) screening. Urinary volatile organic compounds (VOCs) may be a useful alternative. We aimed to determine the diagnostic potential of urinary VOCs for CRC/adenomas. By relating VOCs to known pathways, we aimed to gain insight into the pathophysiology of colorectal neoplasia. A systematic search was performed in PubMed, EMBASE and Web of Science. Original studies on urinary VOCs for CRC/adenoma detection with a control group were included. QUADAS-2 tool was used for quality assessment. Meta-analysis was performed by adopting a bivariate model for sensitivity/specificity. Fagan's nomogram estimated the performance of combined FIT-VOC. Neoplasm-associated VOCs were linked to pathways using the KEGG database. Sixteen studies—involving 837 CRC patients and 1618 controls—were included; 11 performed chemical identification and 7 chemical fingerprinting. In all studies, urinary VOCs discriminated CRC from controls. Pooled sensitivity and specificity for CRC based on chemical fingerprinting were 84% (95% CI 73–91%) and 70% (95% CI 63–77%), respectively. The most distinctive individual VOC was butanal (AUC 0.98). The estimated probability of having CRC following negative FIT was 0.38%, whereas 0.09% following negative FIT-VOC. Combined FIT-VOC would detect 33% more CRCs. In total 100 CRC-associated urinary VOCs were identified; particularly hydrocarbons, carboxylic acids, aldehydes/ketones and amino acids, and predominantly involved in TCA-cycle or alanine/aspartate/glutamine/glutamate/phenylalanine/tyrosine/tryptophan metabolism, which is supported by previous research on (colorectal)cancer biology. The potential of urinary VOCs to detect precancerous adenomas or gain insight into their pathophysiology appeared understudied. Urinary VOCs hold potential for non-invasive CRC screening. Multicentre validation studies are needed, especially focusing on adenoma detection. Urinary VOCs elucidate underlying pathophysiologic processes. • Using urinary volatile organic compounds (VOCs), colorectal cancer (CRC) can be detected with 84% sensitivity and 70% specificity. • The most distinctive solitary urinary VOC was butanal, with an area under the curve of 0.98. • Combining FIT with urinary VOCs would detect 33% more CRCs. • VOCs elucidate underlying pathophysiologic processes. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: Introduction: The incidence of maxillofacial fractures varies widely between different countries. The large variability in reported incidence and aetiology is due to a variety of contributing factors, including environmental, cultural and socioeconomic factors. This retrospective report presents a study investigating the aetiology and incidence of patients with maxillofacial fractures in Amsterdam over a period of 10 years. Results: The study population consisted of 408 males and 171 females with a mean age of 35.9 (SD: ±16.3) years. The age group 20–29 years accounted for the largest subgroup in both sexes. The most common cause of the fractures was traffic related, followed by violence. There were mainly mandibular and zygomatic bone fractures in both males and females, accounting for approximately 80% of all fractures. The main fracture site of the mandible was the combination of mandibular body with mandibular condyle (66 patients; 26.8%), followed by the combination of bilateral condylar fracture and fracture of the symphysis (43 patients; 17.5%). In fractures of the upper 2/3 of the face, zygomatic bone fractures were most common. In patients with alcohol consumption the injury was mostly the result of violence. In conclusion, this report provides important data for the design of plans for injury prevention, as compared with previous studies. Violence related injuries are increasing whereas fractures caused by traffic accidents are decreasing. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abstract: The surgical treatment and complications of patients with mandibular fractures in Amsterdam over a period of 10 years are analysed. Between January 2000 and January 2009 225 patients were surgically treated for a mandibular fracture (mean age of 32.6 (SD±14.6) years). A total of 426 fracture lines were identified. Of 213 dentate patients 29 patients were treated primarily with intermaxillary fixation (IMF). IMF combined with osteosynthesis was performed on 99 patients. Seventy-nine patients received IMF only per-operatively to make open reduction and internal fixation (ORIF) possible. Of 12 edentulous patients three patients were treated with Gunning splints. Nine patients were treated by manual reduction and internal fixation. A total of 1965 screws and 442 plates were used. Sixty (26.7%) patients presented with complications, including (transient) hyposensibility of the lip and chin (34 patients), dysocclusion (15 patients), infected osteosynthesis material (six patients) and temporomandibular dysfunction (five patients). Four patients needed surgical retreatment for correction of a dysocclusion. The results of this report are partly in line with other studies and provide important data for improving the treatment of the fractured mandible. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

• Platinum-based CRT for HPV-neg HNSCC has unique treatment course and outcome pattern. • CRT is often too toxic, in ∼35% of patients the cisplatin-dose plan needed changes. • Switching to carboplatin when cisplatin is too toxic seems not beneficial for OS (HR 1.49 vs HR 1.59). • Development of DM was strongly associated with boosting method (SEQ vs SIB; OR 1.91). Definitive concomitant cisplatin-based chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is the current gold standard for most patients with advanced stage head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) of the pharynx and larynx. Since previous meta-analysis on CRT outcomes in HNSCC have been reported, advances have been made in radiotherapy techniques and clinical management, while HPV-status has been identified as a strong confounding prognostic factor in oropharyngeal cancer. Here, we present real-world outcome data from a large multicenter cohort of HPV-negative advanced stage HNSCC treated with CRT using contemporary IMRT-based techniques. Retrospective data were collected from a multicenter cohort of 513 patients treated with definitive concurrent platinum-based CRT with curative intent between January 2009 and August 2017. Only patients with HPV-negative advanced stage (III-IV) HNSCC were included. A prognostic model for outcome was developed based on clinical parameters and compared to TNM. Nearly half of the 513 patients (49%) had an oropharyngeal tumor, often locally advanced (73.3% T3-T4b) and with involvement of the regional lymph nodes (84%). Most patients (84%) received cisplatin as single agent. In total 66% received the planned number of cycles and 75% reached a cumulative cisplatin dose of ≥200 mg/m2. Locoregional control was achieved in 324 (63%) patients during follow-up, and no association with tumor sites was observed (p = 0.48). Overall survival at 5 year follow-up was 47%, with a better survival for laryngeal cancer (p = 0.02) compared to other sites. A model with clinical variables (gender, high pre-treatment weight loss, N2c/N3-stage and <200 mg/m2 dose of cisplatin) provided a noticeably stronger association with overall survival than TNM-staging (C- index 0.68 vs 0.55). Simultaneous Integrated Boosting (SIB) significantly outperformed Sequential Boosting (SEQ) to reduce the development of distant metastasis (SEQ vs SIB: OR 1.91 (1.11–3.26; p = 0.02). Despite advances in clinical management, more than a third of patients with HPV-negative HNSCC do not complete CRT treatment protocols due to cisplatin toxicity. A model that consists of clinical variables and treatment parameters including cisplatin dose provided the strongest association with overall survival. Since cisplatin toxicity is a major obstacle in completing definitive CRT, the development of alternative and less toxic radiosensitizers is therefore warranted to improve treatment results. The association of RT-boost technique with distant metastasis is an important finding and requires further study. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives The volume of a fibroid uterus before performing hysterectomy is typically estimated through bimanual examination and confirmed by ultrasonography. This study compares estimated volumes by bimanual examination and ultrasound examination with MRI and actual volumes obtained from histopathology, as gold standards. Study design We used data from a previous prospective randomized multi-center trial that compared hysterectomy and uterine artery embolization (UAE) for the treatment of symptomatic fibroids. All patients underwent bimanual vaginal examination and pelvic ultrasonography. Those women randomized to UAE received a pelvic MRI. For women randomized to hysterectomy, the exact uterine volume was based on histopathologic examination. We compared the calculated volumes based on ultrasound parameters and estimated volume based on bimanual examination with either the calculated volumes of the pelvic MRI parameters or the calculated volume based on the exact weight during histological examinations. Results Our study demonstrated poor agreement between ultrasound and bimanual examination compared with exact volume during histopathologic examination and MRI-based volume. The agreement within the patient group with uterine volume >233 g and >747 g was fair to good. For those women with a uterine volume between 233 and 747 g, the agreement was poor when comparing bimanual estimates with volume obtained from MRI or histolopathologic examination. Within this volume group, the agreement on uterine volume between ultrasound and MRI or histopathologic examination was fair. Conclusions Our study shows that uterine volume as estimated by ultrasound and bimanual examination can be used for small or large uteri. For uteri with an intermediate volume, bimanual examination and ultrasound are less reliable. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: Background and purpose: To evaluate the course of health-related quality of life (HRQOL) from diagnosis to 2years follow-up in patients with head and neck cancer (HNSCC) treated with chemoradiation (CRT). Materials and methods: 164 patients completed the EORTC QLQ-C30 and QLQ-H&N35 questionnaires 1week before and 6weeks and 6, 12, 18, and 24months after CRT. Patients were compared to a reference group. A linear mixed-model analysis was used to assess changes in HRQOL over time, and whether this was associated with age, gender, comorbidity, and tumor sublocation. Results: Significant differences for the majority of HRQOL scales were observed between patient and reference group at baseline, and follow-up. The course of HRQOL was different for survivors compared to non-survivors. In survivors, improvement over time was observed (in global quality of life, physical, role, and social function, fatigue, pain, swallowing, speech, social eating, and social contacts), while in non-survivors the pattern over time was either no changes in HRQOL or a deterioration (in physical function, social eating and contacts). In both survivors and non-survivors, emotional functioning improved after treatment, but deteriorated in the longer term. Patients with comorbidity reported worse physical function, and patients with oral/oropharyngeal cancer (compared to hypopharyngeal/laryngeal cancer) reported more oral pain and sexual problems, but fewer speech problems. Conclusions: The course of HRQOL of HNSCC patients during the first 2years after CRT is different for survivors compared to non-survivors and is associated with comorbidity and tumor subsite. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Objective: To evaluate the efficacy of computer-tailored nutrition education with objective outcome measures. Design: A 3-group randomized, controlled trial with posttests at 1 and 6 months post-intervention. Setting: Worksites and 2 neighborhoods in the urban area of Rotterdam. Participants: A convenience sample of healthy Dutch adults (n = 442). Interventions: A computer-tailored intervention delivered on CD-ROM; a computer-tailored intervention delivered in print; and a generic information condition. Main Outcome Measures: Blood lipids (total, high-density lipoprotein, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triacylglycerol) were measured by analyzing venous blood samples. Analysis: Linear mixed model procedure. Results: There were no significant differences among the 3 intervention groups in total cholesterol, high- density lipoprotein cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and triacylglycerol. Conclusions and Implications: Contrary to results based on self-report data, no effects of the computer-tailored interventions were found based on objective outcomes. This contradiction calls for a critical reflection on the use of computer-tailored nutrition education interventions and the need to improve those interventions. Furthermore, this study indicates that feasible methods are needed to objectively assess the impact of computer-tailored nutrition education interventions in free-living subjects. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Abstract: This study investigated the effectiveness of labeling foods with the Choices nutrition logo on influencing cafeteria menu selection and the behavioral determinants of menu choices in work site cafeterias in the Netherlands. A cluster randomized controlled trial was conducted. Intervention cafeterias (n=13), where the Choices logo was used to promote healthier eating for a 3-week period, were compared with control cafeterias (n=12), which offered the same menu without the logo. Sales data were collected daily for 9 weeks, from March to May 2009. In addition, employees from one intervention and one control company completed an online questionnaire at baseline and after the intervention (n=368) in which the behavioral determinants of food choice (ie, attitude, self-efficacy, and intention) and logo use were measured. Generalized estimating equation analyses, χ2 tests, t tests and linear regression analyses were performed. No nutritionally meaningful intervention effects were found in the sales of sandwiches, soups, snacks, fruit, and salads. Also, no significant differences in behavioral determinants were found. “Intention to eat healthier” and “paying attention to product information” were positively associated with self-reported consumption of foods with the Choices logo at lunch. The intervention did not have a significant effect on employees'' lunchtime food choices. Labeling healthy choices might be useful for health-conscious employees in the volitional phase of behavior change. Further research should focus on the possible health benefits of menu reformulation in the catering sector. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

In a prospective study on 134 women after their first cesarean section prognostic factors for developing an uterine niche (scar defect) measured with sonohysterography were evaluated. With multivariable logistic regression anlaysis the following prognostic factors were identified; enlarged cervical dilatation and induction of labour. Contractions before labour reduced the risk for niche development. The predictive value of the model made with this prognostic factors was low. The development of a niche is a multifactorial proces and more studies are needed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This systematic review and meta-analysis assesses the prevalence of protein-energy malnutrition risk across different health-care settings in European older adults, using 22 malnutrition screening tools recently validated for use in older adults. Systematic searches were performed in six electronic databases (2006 through 2017). Included were studies which reported malnutrition risk in adults aged ≥65y in Europe. Frequency of high and moderate malnutrition risk for each malnutrition screening tool was collated. Meta-analyses of malnutrition risk using a random-effects model were performed where data from at least 10 study samples were available. Of 21,465 studies, 196 studies were available for data extraction, representing 223 study samples from 24 European countries and 583,972 older adults. Pooled prevalence rates of high malnutrition risk across all countries and malnutrition screening tools were 28.0% (n = 127 study samples), 17.5% (n = 30), and 8.5% (n = 32), for the hospital, residential care and community settings respectively. Using meta-regression, prevalence rates were higher in adults aged >80y (p < 0.0001), in women (p = 0.03) and in patients with one or multiple comorbidities (p < 0.0001). Prevalence rates differed by country, from 15.2% in Spain to 37.7% in Switzerland, and by screening tool, from 14.9% using MNA-SF to 40.6% using NRS-2002. In conclusion, the prevalence of high malnutrition risk in European older adults varies widely between countries and across health-care settings. Malnutrition risk is associated with older age, gender and presence of disease. As prevalence rates differ depending on the screening tool used, the use of one preferred malnutrition screening tool per setting is strongly recommended. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Visual impairment in childhood often has life-long implications. To aim for the highest levels of functioning, participation, and quality of life and to ensure children's well-being, children should be entitled to the most effective rehabilitation programs. We review evidence for the effectiveness of rehabilitation interventions for children with visual impairment to improve skills and behavior, thereby improving participation and quality of life as an ultimate goal. Of the 441 potentially relevant articles identified, 66 studies met our inclusion criteria (i.e., 28 randomized controlled trials, 18 nonrandomized controlled trials, and 20 before-after comparisons). The results suggest that sports camps, prescription and training in the use of low vision devices, and oral hygiene programs might be effective in improving functioning and elements of participation and quality of life in children with visual impairment. Other interventions showed mixed or negative results. The results should be interpreted with caution because of moderate to high risk of bias and suboptimal reporting. Heterogeneity of results and the use of over 50 different outcome measures prevented a meta-analysis. Future studies should focus on promising interventions for which effectiveness is still unclear (e.g., mobility, social skills), with adequately designed methodology. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives Many studies examined predictors of depressive relapse/recurrence but no simple tool based on well-established risk factors is available that estimates the risk within an individual. We developed and validated such a prediction tool in remitted recurrently depressed individuals. Methods The tool was developed using data ( n  = 235) from a pragmatic randomised controlled trial in remitted recurrently depressed participants and externally validated using data ( n  = 209) from a similar randomised controlled trial of remitted recurrently depressed participants using maintenance antidepressants. Cox regression was used with time to relapse/recurrence within 2 years as outcome and well-established risk factors as predictors. Performance measures and absolute risk scores were calculated, a practically applicable risk score was created, and the tool was externally validated. Results The 2-year cumulative proportion relapse/recurrence was 46.2% in the validation dataset. The tool included number of previous depressive episodes, residual depressive symptoms, severity of the last depressive episode, and treatment. The C-statistic and calibration slope were 0.56 and 0.81 respectively. The tool stratified participants into relapse/recurrence risk classes of 37%, 55%, and 72%. The C-statistic and calibration slope in the external validation were 0.59 and 0.56 respectively, and Kaplan Meier curves showed that the tool could differentiate between risk classes. Conclusions This is the first study that developed a simple prediction tool based on well-established risk factors of depressive relapse/recurrence, estimating the individual risk. Since the overall performance of the model was poor, more studies are needed to enhance the performance before recommending implementation into clinical practice. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Hematopoietic cell transplantation (HCT) is associated with impaired physical and psychological functioning for some long-term survivors. A risk prediction model would help clinicians estimate their patients' physical and psychological functioning after HCT and determine when to refer to added supportive care when appropriate. The purpose of the present study was to develop risk prediction models for physical and psychological functioning in HCT survivors. This was a secondary analysis of data from a randomized controlled trial ( NCT00799461 ) that included 3- to 10-year HCT survivors. Risk predictions for physical and psychological functioning were developed by using backward logistic regression. The models were internally validated using bootstrapping techniques. Regression coefficients were converted into easy-to-use risk scores. Finally, the sensitivity, specificity, and positive and negative predictive values of the total risk score were calculated. The analyses included 489 survivors, with a mean age of 45.6 (SD, 12.4) years; 47% were female and with a mean of 6.1 years (SD, 2.0) after transplantation. Younger age, higher body mass index (BMI), no or part-time work, more comorbid diseases, autologous transplantation, and chronic graft-versus-host disease predicted impaired physical functioning. Female gender, younger age, higher BMI, not living with a partner, autologous transplantation, and chronic graft-versus-host disease predicted impaired psychological functioning. Although both models had predictive value for long-term functioning, diagnostic accuracy was moderate. For the physical functioning receiver operating characteristic, area under the curve (AUC) after internal validation was .74 with sensitivity 51.9 and specificity 82.8 at the optimal cut-off. For psychological functioning, AUC after internal validation was .69 with sensitivity 83.3 and specificity 42.9 at the optimal cut-off. We conclude that it is possible to predict long-term physical and psychological functioning with readily accessible, mostly pretransplantation predictors. The accuracy of the risk prediction models can be improved for use in clinical practice, potentially by adding pretransplantation patient-reported functioning and comorbidities. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background/purpose Treatment options for irresectable locoregional recurrent breast cancer in previously irradiated area are limited. Hyperthermia, elevating tumor temperature to 40–45 °C, sensitizes radio-and-chemotherapy. Four hundred and fourteen patients treated with reirradiation + hyperthermia (reRT + HT) in the AMC ( n =301) and the BVI ( n =113), from 1982 to 2005 were retrospectively analyzed for treatment response, locoregional control (LC) and prognostic factors for LC and toxicity. Patients/methods All patients received previous irradiation (median 50 Gy). reRT consisted of 8 × 4 Gy-2/week (AMC) or 12 × 3 Gy-4/week (BVI). Hyperthermia was added once (AMC)/twice (BVI) a week. Results Overall clinical response rate was 86%. The 3-year LC rate was 25%. The number of recurrence episodes, distant metastases (DM), tumor site, tumor size, time to recurrence and treatment year were significant for LC. Acute ⩾grade 3 toxicity occurred in 24% of patients. Actuarial late ⩾grade 3 toxicity was 23% at 3-years. In multivariable analysis reRT fraction dose was significantly related to late ⩾grade 3 toxicity. Conclusion reRT + HT is an effective curative and palliative treatment option for patients with irresectable locoregional recurrent breast cancer in previously irradiated area. Early referral, treatment of chest wall recurrences ⩽5 cm in the absence of distant metastases, provided the highest local control rates. The cumulative effects of past and present treatments should be accounted for by adjusting treatment protocol to minimize toxicity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Purpose The Ottawa ankle rules (OAR) brought about a reduction of radiographs on the Emergency Department (ED). However, still 50% of patients with ankle injuries undergo unnecessary radiography. Compared to the OAR, the Bernese ankle rule (BAR) has an acclaimed 84% reduction in radiography without loss of sensitivity. The primary aim of this study was to compare the diagnostic accuracy and reproducibility of both rules. Furthermore, the ability of triage nurses to accurately interpret the BAR was assessed. Methods Participants were assessed by both the ED resident and the triage nurse, applying the OAR and the BAR. After standardised data collection, ankle and foot radiographs were performed in all patients. Sensitivity and specificity of both tests applied by both observers were obtained and compared by McNemar's test. Reproducibility was calculated with Cohen's kappa. Results A total of 203 patients with ankle trauma were included. For the OAR obtained by the ED residents, the sensitivity and specificity were 0.97 and 0.29, respectively. For the BAR, the sensitivity and specificity of the ED residents were 0.69 and 0.45, respectively. For the triage nurses, the OAR sensitivity and specificity were 0.86 and 0.25, respectively. The BAR sensitivity and specificity for the nurses were 0.86 and 0.40, respectively. The reproducibility of the OAR was 0.45, and for the BAR, it was 0.48. Conclusion Both rules showed comparable reproducibility. Although the BAR showed a superior specificity compared to the OAR, its sensitivity was too low to promote clinical use. The triage nurses demonstrated too low sensitivity on both rules to allow safe application. Therefore, the OAR remain the decision rules of choice for ankle injuries despite its modest ‘ruling out’ capacity. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]