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Abstract: The Zambezi River is the fourth largest river in Africa (after the Congo, Nile, and Niger), and it is the largest African river flowing into the Indian Ocean. The lower Zambezi in Mozambique is influenced by the presence of two very large reservoirs (Kariba dam and Cahora Bassa dam) that have modified the natural seasonal flows, as well as the sediment balance and morphology of the river. In particular, downstream of the Cahora Bassa reservoir down to the delta, no negligible effects are reported to take place, such as local scour, bank collapse, and shoreline progressive erosion (Davies et al., 2000; Beilfuss and Dos Santos, 2001). In order to quantify and possibly mitigate these effects, a simplified numerical model of the sediment transport and erosion/sedimentation phenomena along the lower Zambezi has been developed, capable to deal with the scanty and uncertain data available. Indeed, besides the systematic flow records at the dam sites and few occasional measurements of turbidity and bottom granulometry, only the Digital Elevation Model (DEM) of the river will be used for the model. The objective of this paper is to predict the present and future effects of the presence of the Kariba and Cahora Bassa dams on the downstream morphology, integrating the few coarse and nonsimultaneous data, somehow improving their overall quality. The model reproduces the time and space propagation of the disturbances, that confirm, with more generality, the qualitative response of the river to the constructions of dams, anticipated by various geomorphologists. In fact, the reduction of waterflow seems to have an immediate effect downstream by initially fostering the sediment deposition. Subsequently, the total interception of sediment by the dam slowly takes over and inverts this tendency. A slightly smaller aggradation (or slightly larger degradation) rate with respect to the natural conditions (no dams) seems to represent the dominant effect of damming in the long term evolution of the lower Zambezi. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abstract: This model is based on the concept of transport concentration, defined as the time-averaged concentration in a given location of a lagoon, which determines the long-term net transport of sediments as the sum of a dispersive and an advective flux. Dispersive net flux of sediments is due to the alternate components of the tidal flow, while the advective net flux of sediments is due to the residual (Eulerian) component of the tidal, fluvial and littoral flow and possibly to the asymmetry between flow and ebb tide. The long-term deposition (or erosion) rate in a given location is expressed as proportional to the difference between the local transport concentration and the local equilibrium concentration, depending in turn on the local stirring action by waves and currents. The two-dimensional model is able to reproduce the ontogeny of a tidal lagoon as a consequence of a breaching of the littoral dune line. During the ontogenetic phase, the system tends rapidly toward a quasi-equilibrium condition apparently characterized by a stable planimetric configuration of the channel network. The structure of the channels and their watersheds is qualitatively similar to the Venice Lagoon''s ones. After the relatively fast ontogenetic phase, the subsequent morphological evolution of the bottom continues at a slower pace until a stable bathymetric configuration of the lagoon is reached. The model is able to reproduce the morphological effects of subsequent perturbations of natural or anthropogenic origin. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]