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The quantitative relationship of incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) to lifetime cumulative risk factor exposure is not well understood. Using CARDIA (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults) study data, we examined the quantitative associations of cumulative exposure over time to multiple, simultaneously operating risk factors with CVD incidence and the incidence of its components. Regression models were developed quantifying the influence of the time course and severity of multiple CVD risk factors, operating simultaneously, on risk of incident CVD. The outcomes were incident CVD and the incidence of its components: coronary heart disease, stroke, and congestive heart failure. Our study included 4,958 asymptomatic adults enrolled in CARDIA from 1985 to 1986 (ages 18 to 30 years) who were followed for 30 years. Risk of incident CVD depends on the time course and severity of a series of independent risk factors, the impact of which is mediated by their effects on individual CVD components after age 40 years. Cumulative exposure (AUC vs time) to low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and triglycerides was independently associated with risk of incident CVD. Of the blood pressure variables, areas under the mean arterial pressure vs time curve and the pulse pressure vs time curve were strongly and independently associated with incident CVD risk. The quantitative description of the link between risk factors and CVD informs the construction of individualized CVD mitigation strategies, design of primary prevention trials, and assessment of public health impact of risk factor-based interventions. [Display omitted] [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) increases with increasing low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) concentration and exposure duration. Area under the LDL-C versus age curve is a possible risk parameter. Data-based demonstration of this metric is unavailable and whether the time course of area accumulation modulates risk is unknown.Objectives: Using CARDIA (Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults) study data, we assessed the relationship of area under LDL-C versus age curve to incident CVD event risk and modulation of risk by time course of area accumulation-whether risk increase for the same area increment is different at different ages.Methods: This prospective study included 4,958 asymptomatic adults age 18 to 30 years enrolled from 1985 to 1986. The outcome was a composite of nonfatal coronary heart disease, stroke, transient ischemic attack, heart failure hospitalization, cardiac revascularization, peripheral arterial disease intervention, or cardiovascular death.Results: During a median 16-year follow-up after age 40 years, 275 participants had an incident CVD event. After adjustment for sex, race, and traditional risk factors, both area under LDL-C versus age curve and time course of area accumulation (slope of LDL-C curve) were significantly associated with CVD event risk (hazard ratio: 1.053; p < 0.0001 per 100 mg/dl × years; hazard ratio: 0.797 per mg/dl/year; p = 0.045, respectively).Conclusions: Incident CVD event risk depends on cumulative prior exposure to LDL-C and, independently, time course of area accumulation. The same area accumulated at a younger age, compared with older age, resulted in a greater risk increase, emphasizing the importance of optimal LDL-C control starting early in life. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD) events, including coronary heart disease and stroke, are the most frequent cause of death and major disability in the world. Current American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association primary prevention guidelines are mainly on the basis of randomized controlled trials of statin-based low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C)-lowering therapy for primary prevention of ASCVD events. Despite the clear demonstration of statin-based LDL-C lowering, substantial 10-year and lifetime risks of incident ASCVD continue. Although the 10-year risk is low in young and middle-aged adults who would not be treated according to current guidelines, they ultimately account for most incident ASCVD. If statin-based LDL-C lowering were initiated in them at an age before complex coronary plaques are common in the population, a substantial reduction in lifetime risk of incident coronary heart disease might be achieved. We examine this hypothesis and introduce the design of a currently recruiting trial to address it. (Eliminate Coronary Artery Disease [ECAD]; NCT02245087). [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study assesses demographic and clinical variables associated with perioperative and late stroke in diabetes mellitus patients after multivessel coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). Future Revascularization Evaluation in Patients with Diabetes Mellitus: Optimal Management of Multivessel Disease (FREEDOM) is the largest randomized trial of diabetic patients undergoing multivessel CABG. FREEDOM patients had improved survival free of death, myocardial infarction, or stroke and increased overall survival after CABG compared to percutaneous intervention. However, the stroke rate was greater following CABG than percutaneous intervention. We studied predictors of stroke in CABG-treated patients analyzing separately overall, perioperative (≤30 days after surgery), and late (>30 days after surgery) stroke. For long-term outcomes (overall stroke and late stroke), Cox proportional hazards regression was used, accounting for time to event, and logistic regression was used for perioperative stroke. Independent perioperative stroke predictors were previous stroke (odds ratio [OR] 6.96, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.43 to 33.96; p=0.02), warfarin use (OR 10.26, 95% CI 1.10 to 96.03; p = 0.02), and surgery outside the United States or Canada (OR 9.81, 95% CI 1.28 to 75.40; p = 0.03). Independent late stroke predictors: renal insufficiency (hazard ratio [HR] 3.57, 95% CI 1.01 to 12.64; p = 0.048), baseline low-density lipoprotein ≥105 mg/dl (HR 3.28, 95% CI 1.19 to 9.02; p = 0.02), and baseline diastolic blood pressure (each 1 mm Hg increase reduces stroke hazard by 5%;HR0.95, 95% CI 0.91 to 0.99; p=0.03). There was no overlap between predictors of perioperative versus late stroke. In conclusion, late post-CABG strokes were associated with well-described risk factors. Nearly half of the strokes were perioperative. Independent risk factors for perioperative stroke: previous stroke, previous warfarin use, and CABG performed outside the United States or Canada. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The leading cause of major morbidity and mortality in most countries around the world is atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease, most commonly caused by thrombotic occlusion of a high-risk coronary plaque resulting in myocardial infarction or cardiac death, or embolization from a high-risk carotid plaque resulting in stroke. The lesions prone to result in such clinical events are termed vulnerable or high-risk plaques, and their identification may lead to the development of pharmacological and mechanical intervention strategies to prevent such events. Autopsy studies from patients dying of acute myocardial infarction or sudden death have shown that such events typically arise from specific types of atherosclerotic plaques, most commonly the thin-cap fibroatheroma. However, the search in human beings for vulnerable plaques before their becoming symptomatic has been elusive. Recently, the PROSPECT (Providing Regional Observations to Study Predictors of Events in the Coronary Tree) study demonstrated that coronary plaques that are likely to cause future cardiac events, regardless of angiographic severity, are characterized by large plaque burden and small lumen area and/or are thin-cap fibroatheromas verified by radiofrequency intravascular ultrasound imaging. This study opened the door to identifying additional invasive and noninvasive imaging modalities that may improve detection of high-risk atherosclerotic lesions and patients. Beyond classic risk factors, novel biomarkers and genetic profiling may identify those patients in whom noninvasive imaging for vulnerable plaque screening, followed by invasive imaging for risk confirmation is warranted, and in whom future pharmacological and/or device-based focal or regional therapies may be applied to improve long-term prognosis. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Background: Common locations of death in patients with congestive heart failure (CHF) are unknown. In the SCD-HeFT, mortality of patients with CHF was assessed after randomization to an implantable cardioverter/defibrillator (ICD), amiodarone, or placebo. The aim of this study was to evaluate the location of deaths in SCD-HeFT. Methods: Among SCD-HeFT patients whose location of death was identified, we used logistic regression to assess the relationship of randomized treatment arm and other baseline predictors with the location of death. Cause of death was adjudicated by a therapy-blinded events committee. Results: In SCD-HeFT, 666 (26%) of 2521 patients died. Of the 604 (91%) for whom location of death was known, 58% died in hospital and 29% died at home. Patients randomized to receive an ICD were less likely to die at home than patients randomized to placebo (P = .002). Fewer patients randomized to ICDs died; even fewer randomized to ICDs died at home. Age, sex, etiology of heart failure, left ventricular ejection fraction, and New York Heart Association functional class were not associated with location of death. Sudden cardiac death represented 52% of all out-of-hospital deaths but in hospital deaths exceeded out-of-hospital deaths. Conclusion: Deaths in SCD-HeFT, a well-treated CHF population, were most often in hospital. ICDs were associated with lower total and sudden death rates at home and in hospital. Development of methods to identify which patients will not respond to optimal treatment, including an ICD, remain a challenge. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Arterial stiffness, as evidenced by increased pulse pressure (PP), is associated with adverse cardiovascular events. However, the prognostic importance of PP in patients who have undergone revascularization is unknown. We examined the prognostic importance of PP and predictors of increased PP in patients entered into the Balloon Angioplasty Revascularization Investigation (BARI). Estimated correlation and standardized regression coefficients were reported, indicating the relative magnitude of independent effects of baseline characteristics on PP. The independent association of PP and outcome over 5 years was determined. Baseline characteristics independently associated with PP were higher mean arterial pressure, older age, female sex, noncoronary vascular disease, history of diabetes mellitus, and history of hypertension (p <0.001 for all). Cox regression covariates significantly associated with time to death were age, smoking, male gender, diabetes history, congestive heart failure, and baseline use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors, diuretic, or digitalis. When PP was added to the model, it was found to be an independent predictor of time to death (p = 0.008). When PP and mean arterial pressure were added to the model, PP remained significantly associated with time to death (p = 0.033). When renal disease and noncoronary vascular disease were added to the model, the relative risk declined from 1.07 to 1.04 and the association was no longer statistically significant. Thus, increased PP is directly and independently associated with mean arterial pressure, hypertension, age > or =65 years, diabetes mellitus, and the presence of noncoronary vascular disease, and inversely associated with a history of myocardial infarction. After coronary revascularization, PP, reflecting arterial stiffness, is independently associated with total mortality. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A substantial number of patients present with medically refractory angina who are not candidates for angioplasty or bypass surgery. The creation of channels between the myocardium and the ventricular blood pool has been performed after thoracotomy with excellent relief of symptoms but has been associated with high perioperative mortality. We investigated the safety of a nonoperative, percutaneous technique for channel creation. Twenty-seven patients with angina and coronary anatomy not amenable to revascularization with coronary angioplasty or bypass surgery underwent percutaneous transluminal myocardial revascularization (PTMR). Energy from a Holmium:yttrium-aluminum-garnet (YAG) laser was directed through a fiber enclosed in a catheter to the ventricular myocardium creating channels between the blood pool and the myocardium. On average, 17 +/- 4 channels were formed per patient. There were no procedure-related deaths, episodes of tamponade, or other complications except for an increase in creatine phosphokinase in 1 patient. Immediately after the procedure, there was no worsening of regional wall motion function in any patient, but rather improvement in some. All patients were discharged alive after a hospital stay of 1.8 +/- 1.5 days. Mean Canadian Cardiovascular Society functional class declined from 3.6 +/- 0.5 before the procedure to 0.65 +/- 0.8 at 30 days after the procedure (p < 0.01). For 12 patients eligible for 6-month follow-up, mean functional class was 0.94 +/- 0.97. At 6-month stress testing, 9 of these 12 had no electrocardiographic evidence of ischemia. Thus, PTMR can be performed safely in the cardiac catheterization laboratory with a complication rate lower than that reported in surgical series and with excellent near-term symptomatic relief. The long-term effect of PTMR on mortality and relief of angina as well as its safety and effectiveness compared with the surgical approach remains to be defined. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Discusses the effect of antithrombotic therapy on sudden cardiac death risk in patients with congestive heart failure. Covariates for the analysis; Incidence rate of sudden cardiac death; Reduction in the risk of sudden cardiac death.

Abstract: Hypertension affects 30–40% of the adult population in the developed world and is a major risk factor for stroke, myocardial infarction, heart failure, and kidney failure. Though the importance of controlling hypertension is well recognized, only about 50% of patients in the United States actually attain guideline recommended blood pressure goals. Limiting factors include patient noncompliance, suboptimal application of effective medication, and true medication resistance. Renal sympathetic denervation has been used to treat resistant hypertension and appears to be safe and effective and to produce durable results. We hypothesize that renal sympathetic denervation will produce similar results across the spectrum of hypertension severity for which pharmacologic therapy is currently indicated and propose that this is an important hypothesis to be tested in suitably powered randomized trials. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Background: Coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) are used for coronary revascularization in patients with multivessel and left main coronary artery disease. Stroke is among the most feared complications of revascularization. Due to its infrequency, studies with large numbers of patients are required to detect differences in stroke rates between CABG and PCI.Objectives: This study sought to compare rates of stroke after CABG and PCI and the impact of procedural stroke on long-term mortality.Methods: We performed a collaborative individual patient-data pooled analysis of 11 randomized clinical trials comparing CABG with PCI using stents; ERACI II (Argentine Randomized Study: Coronary Angioplasty With Stenting Versus Coronary Bypass Surgery in Patients With Multiple Vessel Disease) (n = 450), ARTS (Arterial Revascularization Therapy Study) (n = 1,205), MASS II (Medicine, Angioplasty, or Surgery Study) (n = 408), SoS (Stent or Surgery) trial (n = 988), SYNTAX (Synergy Between Percutaneous Coronary Intervention With Taxus and Cardiac Surgery) trial (n = 1,800), PRECOMBAT (Bypass Surgery Versus Angioplasty Using Sirolimus-Eluting Stent in Patients With Left Main Coronary Artery Disease) trial (n = 600), FREEDOM (Comparison of Two Treatments for Multivessel Coronary Artery Disease in Individuals With Diabetes) trial (n = 1,900), VA CARDS (Coronary Artery Revascularization in Diabetes) (n = 198), BEST (Bypass Surgery Versus Everolimus-Eluting Stent Implantation for Multivessel Coronary Artery Disease) (n = 880), NOBLE (Percutaneous Coronary Angioplasty Versus Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting in Treatment of Unprotected Left Main Stenosis) trial (n = 1,184), and EXCEL (Evaluation of Xience Versus Coronary Artery Bypass Surgery for Effectiveness of Left Main Revascularization) trial (n = 1,905). The 30-day and 5-year stroke rates were compared between CABG and PCI using a random effects Cox proportional hazards model, stratified by trial. The impact of stroke on 5-year mortality was explored.Results: The analysis included 11,518 patients randomly assigned to PCI (n = 5,753) or CABG (n = 5,765) with a mean follow-up of 3.8 ± 1.4 years during which a total of 293 strokes occurred. At 30 days, the rate of stroke was 0.4% after PCI and 1.1% after CABG (hazard ratio [HR]: 0.33; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.20 to 0.53; p < 0.001). At 5-year follow-up, stroke remained significantly lower after PCI than after CABG (2.6% vs. 3.2%; HR: 0.77; 95% CI: 0.61 to 0.97; p = 0.027). Rates of stroke between 31 days and 5 years were comparable: 2.2% after PCI versus 2.1% after CABG (HR: 1.05; 95% CI: 0.80 to 1.38; p = 0.72). No significant interactions between treatment and baseline clinical or angiographic variables for the 5-year rate of stroke were present, except for diabetic patients (PCI: 2.6% vs. CABG: 4.9%) and nondiabetic patients (PCI: 2.6% vs. CABG: 2.4%) (p for interaction = 0.004). Patients who experienced a stroke within 30 days of the procedure had significantly higher 5-year mortality versus those without a stroke, both after PCI (45.7% vs. 11.1%, p < 0.001) and CABG (41.5% vs. 8.9%, p < 0.001).Conclusions: This individual patient-data pooled analysis demonstrates that 5-year stroke rates are significantly lower after PCI compared with CABG, driven by a reduced risk of stroke in the 30-day post-procedural period but a similar risk of stroke between 31 days and 5 years. The greater risk of stroke after CABG compared with PCI was confined to patients with multivessel disease and diabetes. Five-year mortality was markedly higher for patients experiencing a stroke within 30 days after revascularization. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Objectives The aims of this study were to assess the prognostic value of cardiac troponin I levels, measured with a new high-sensitivity assay, in low-risk patients with stable coronary artery disease (CAD) and to contrast its determinants and prognostic merit with that of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-TnT). Background New, highly sensitive cardiac troponin assays permit evaluation of the association between troponin levels and outcomes in patients with stable CAD. Methods High-sensitivity cardiac troponin I (hs-TnI) levels at baseline were assessed in 3,623 patients with stable CAD and preserved systolic function enrolled in the PEACE (Prevention of Events With Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitor Therapy) trial. Results In total, 98.5% of patients had hs-TnI concentrations higher than the detection level (1.2 pg/ml). hs-TnI correlated moderately with hs-TnT (r = 0.44) and N-terminal pro–B-type natriuretic peptide (r = 0.39) but only weakly with age (r = 0.17) and estimated glomerular filtration rate (r = −0.11). During a median follow-up period of 5.2 years, 203 patients died of cardiovascular causes or were hospitalized for heart failure, and 209 patients had nonfatal myocardial infarctions. In analyses adjusting for conventional risk markers, N-terminal pro–B-type natriuretic peptide, and hs-TnT, hs-TnI levels in the fourth compared with the 3 lower quartiles were associated with the incidence of cardiovascular death or heart failure (hazard ratio: 1.88; 95% confidence interval: 1.33 to 2.66; p < 0.001). There was a significant, albeit weaker association with nonfatal myocardial infarction (hazard ratio: 1.44; 95% confidence interval: 1.03 to 2.01; p = 0.031). In the same models, hs-TnT concentrations were associated with the incidence of cardiovascular death or heart failure but not of myocardial infarction. Conclusions In patients with stable CAD, hs-TnI concentrations are associated with cardiovascular risk independently of conventional risk markers and hs-TnT. (Prevention of Events With Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibitor Therapy [PEACE]; NCT00000558 ) [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Although sudden cardiac death (SCD) has been extensively studied in patients with coronary artery disease (CAD) and low ejection fraction, prediction of SCD among individuals with preserved left ventricular systolic function is less well understood. We randomized 8,290 patients with stable CAD with preserved left ventricular systolic function to trandolapril or placebo in a secondary coronary prevention trial, and we used Cox proportional hazards models to identify independent baseline predictors of SCD during 4.8 year follow-up (median). Using a risk scoring algorithm based on simple clinical characteristics, we were able to distinguish individuals at higher risk for SCD. Independent determinants of SCD included age (p <0.001), current angina pectoris (p = 0.002), ejection fraction >40% to <50% (as opposed to >50%) (p <0.001), and diuretic (p <0.001) and digitalis use (p <0.001). Negative predictors included having prior coronary revascularization (p = 0.01) and being female (p = 0.02) or Caucasian (p = 0.006). Trandolapril neither increased nor decreased SCD. Thus, among patients with stable CAD with preserved left ventricular systolic function receiving current standard-of-care including coronary revascularization, clinical characteristics can identify individuals at higher risk for SCD. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Objectives: The purpose of this study was to assess the association between B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and the incidence of specific cardiovascular events in low-risk patients with stable coronary disease, the incremental prognostic information obtained from these two biomarkers compared with traditional risk factors, and their ability to identify patients who may benefit from angiotensin-converting enzyme (ACE) inhibition. Background: The prognostic value of BNPs in low-risk patients with stable coronary artery disease remains unclear. Methods: Baseline plasma BNP and NT-proBNP concentrations were measured in 3,761 patients with stable coronary artery disease and preserved left ventricular function participating in the PEACE (Prevention of Events With Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme Inhibition) study, a placebo-controlled trial of trandolapril. Multivariable Cox regression was used to assess the association between natriuretic peptide concentrations and the incidence of cardiovascular mortality, fatal or nonfatal myocardial infarction, heart failure, and stroke. Results: The BNP and NT-proBNP levels were strongly related to the incidence of cardiovascular mortality, heart failure, and stroke but not to myocardial infarction. In multivariable models, BNP remained associated with increased risk of heart failure, whereas NT-proBNP remained associated with increased risk of cardiovascular mortality, heart failure, and stroke. By C-statistic calculations, BNP and NT-proBNP significantly improved the predictive accuracy of the best available model for incident heart failure, and NT-proBNP also improved the model for cardiovascular death. The magnitude of effect of ACE inhibition on the likelihood of experiencing cardiovascular end points was similar, regardless of either BNP or NT-proBNP baseline concentrations. Conclusions: In low-risk patients with stable coronary artery disease and preserved ventricular function, BNPs provide strong and incremental prognostic information to traditional risk factors. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]