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Start Over Author "Blandi, L." Publisher elsevier b.v.
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1. 20-Year trends of hospitalisation among people with dementia: a region-wide retrospective cohort study from Lombardy, Italy.

Author

Blandi, L., Bertuccio, P., Amorosi, A., Clemens, T., Brand, H., and Odone, A.

Subjects
*DIAGNOSIS of dementia, *HEALTH policy, *TIME, *AGE distribution, *RETROSPECTIVE studies, *DEMENTIA patients, *SEX distribution, *DEMENTIA, *HOSPITAL care, *POPULATION health, *LONGITUDINAL method, *MEDICAL needs assessment, *OLD age
Abstract

The aim of this study was to investigate the trends of hospitalisations among people with dementia, linking region-wide hospital and demographic health records. A retrospective cohort study was conducted using hospitalisation health records from the Lombardy region in Italy. The study included people aged ≥65 years with a diagnosis of dementia who were hospitalised between 2002 and 2020 in Lombardy, which is the most populated region in Italy with 10 million inhabitants. Using data on resident population, this study computed rates of hospitalisation by calendar year, age, sex and cause of hospitalisation. In total, 340,144 hospitalised patients with dementia were included in the study. The rate of hospitalisation was 100.6 per 10,000 in 2002 and progressively decreased to 65.1 per 10,000 in 2020. The average age at hospitalisation in 2002 was 78.9 years for men and 81.8 years for women, which increased to 82.0 years and 84.2 years, respectively, in 2020. Respiratory diseases caused 10.4% of all hospitalisations in 2002 and grew steadily to 26.8% in 2020, becoming the leading cause of hospital admissions since 2017. Hospitalisation patterns for people with dementia have changed over the last 20 years, reflecting evolving epidemiological trends and the impact of healthcare policies. Region-wide administrative health record data analysis should be further utilised to explore the health needs of people with dementia and inform the planning, implementation and monitoring of effective prevention strategies in this population group. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Published
2023
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2. Use of hydroxychloroquine in hospitalised COVID-19 patients is associated with reduced mortality: Findings from the observational multicentre Italian CORIST study

Author

Castelnuovo, A, Costanzo, S, Antinori, A, Berselli, N, Blandi, L, Bruno, R, Cauda, R, Guaraldi, G, Menicanti, L, My, I, Parruti, G, Patti, G, Perlini, S, Santilli, F, Signorelli, C, Spinoni, E, Stefanini, G, Vergori, A, Ageno, W, Agodi, A, Aiello, L, Agostoni, P, Moghazi, S, Astuto, M, Aucella, F, Barbieri, G, Bartoloni, A, Bonaccio, M, Bonfanti, P, Cacciatore, F, Caiano, L, Cannata, F, Carrozzi, L, Cascio, A, Ciccullo, A, Cingolani, A, Cipollone, F, Colomba, C, Crosta, F, Pra, C, Danzi, G, D'Ardes, D, Donati, K, Giacomo, P, Gennaro, F, Tano, G, D'Offizi, G, Filippini, T, Fusco, F, Gentile, I, Gialluisi, A, Gini, G, Grandone, E, Grisafi, L, Guarnieri, G, Lamonica, S, Landi, F, Leone, A, Maccagni, G, Maccarella, S, Madaro, A, Mapelli, M, Maragna, R, Marra, L, Maresca, G, Marotta, C, Mastroianni, F, Mazzitelli, M, Mengozzi, A, Menichetti, F, Meschiari, M, Minutolo, F, Montineri, A, Mussinelli, R, Mussini, C, Musso, M, Odone, A, Olivieri, M, Pasi, E, Petri, F, Pinchera, B, Pivato, C, Poletti, V, Ravaglia, C, Rinaldi, M, Rognoni, A, Rossato, M, Rossi, I, Rossi, M, Sabena, A, Salinaro, F, Sangiovanni, V, Sanrocco, C, Scorzolini, L, Sgariglia, R, Simeone, P, Spinicci, M, Trecarichi, E, Venezia, A, Veronesi, G, Vettor, R, Vianello, A, Vinceti, M, Vocciante, L, De Caterina, R, Iacoviello, L, Castelnuovo A. D., Costanzo S., Antinori A., Berselli N., Blandi L., Bruno R., Cauda R., Guaraldi G., Menicanti L., My I., Parruti G., Patti G., Perlini S., Santilli F., Signorelli C., Spinoni E., Stefanini G. G., Vergori A., Ageno W., Agodi A., Aiello L., Agostoni P., Moghazi S. A., Astuto M., Aucella F., Barbieri G., Bartoloni A., Bonaccio M., Bonfanti P., Cacciatore F., Caiano L., Cannata F., Carrozzi L., Cascio A., Ciccullo A., Cingolani A., Cipollone F., Colomba C., Crosta F., Pra C. D., Danzi G. B., D'Ardes D., Donati K. D. G., Giacomo P. D., Gennaro F. D., Tano G. D., D'Offizi G., Filippini T., Fusco F. M., Gentile I., Gialluisi A., Gini G., Grandone E., Grisafi L., Guarnieri G., Lamonica S., Landi F., Leone A., Maccagni G., Maccarella S., Madaro A., Mapelli M., Maragna R., Marra L., Maresca G., Marotta C., Mastroianni F., Mazzitelli M., Mengozzi A., Menichetti F., Meschiari M., Minutolo F., Montineri A., Mussinelli R., Mussini C., Musso M., Odone A., Olivieri M., Pasi E., Petri F., Pinchera B., Pivato C. A., Poletti V., Ravaglia C., Rinaldi M., Rognoni A., Rossato M., Rossi I., Rossi M., Sabena A., Salinaro F., Sangiovanni V., Sanrocco C., Scorzolini L., Sgariglia R., Simeone P. G., Spinicci M., Trecarichi E. M., Venezia A., Veronesi G., Vettor R., Vianello A., Vinceti M., Vocciante L., De Caterina R., Iacoviello L., Castelnuovo, A, Costanzo, S, Antinori, A, Berselli, N, Blandi, L, Bruno, R, Cauda, R, Guaraldi, G, Menicanti, L, My, I, Parruti, G, Patti, G, Perlini, S, Santilli, F, Signorelli, C, Spinoni, E, Stefanini, G, Vergori, A, Ageno, W, Agodi, A, Aiello, L, Agostoni, P, Moghazi, S, Astuto, M, Aucella, F, Barbieri, G, Bartoloni, A, Bonaccio, M, Bonfanti, P, Cacciatore, F, Caiano, L, Cannata, F, Carrozzi, L, Cascio, A, Ciccullo, A, Cingolani, A, Cipollone, F, Colomba, C, Crosta, F, Pra, C, Danzi, G, D'Ardes, D, Donati, K, Giacomo, P, Gennaro, F, Tano, G, D'Offizi, G, Filippini, T, Fusco, F, Gentile, I, Gialluisi, A, Gini, G, Grandone, E, Grisafi, L, Guarnieri, G, Lamonica, S, Landi, F, Leone, A, Maccagni, G, Maccarella, S, Madaro, A, Mapelli, M, Maragna, R, Marra, L, Maresca, G, Marotta, C, Mastroianni, F, Mazzitelli, M, Mengozzi, A, Menichetti, F, Meschiari, M, Minutolo, F, Montineri, A, Mussinelli, R, Mussini, C, Musso, M, Odone, A, Olivieri, M, Pasi, E, Petri, F, Pinchera, B, Pivato, C, Poletti, V, Ravaglia, C, Rinaldi, M, Rognoni, A, Rossato, M, Rossi, I, Rossi, M, Sabena, A, Salinaro, F, Sangiovanni, V, Sanrocco, C, Scorzolini, L, Sgariglia, R, Simeone, P, Spinicci, M, Trecarichi, E, Venezia, A, Veronesi, G, Vettor, R, Vianello, A, Vinceti, M, Vocciante, L, De Caterina, R, Iacoviello, L, Castelnuovo A. D., Costanzo S., Antinori A., Berselli N., Blandi L., Bruno R., Cauda R., Guaraldi G., Menicanti L., My I., Parruti G., Patti G., Perlini S., Santilli F., Signorelli C., Spinoni E., Stefanini G. G., Vergori A., Ageno W., Agodi A., Aiello L., Agostoni P., Moghazi S. A., Astuto M., Aucella F., Barbieri G., Bartoloni A., Bonaccio M., Bonfanti P., Cacciatore F., Caiano L., Cannata F., Carrozzi L., Cascio A., Ciccullo A., Cingolani A., Cipollone F., Colomba C., Crosta F., Pra C. D., Danzi G. B., D'Ardes D., Donati K. D. G., Giacomo P. D., Gennaro F. D., Tano G. D., D'Offizi G., Filippini T., Fusco F. M., Gentile I., Gialluisi A., Gini G., Grandone E., Grisafi L., Guarnieri G., Lamonica S., Landi F., Leone A., Maccagni G., Maccarella S., Madaro A., Mapelli M., Maragna R., Marra L., Maresca G., Marotta C., Mastroianni F., Mazzitelli M., Mengozzi A., Menichetti F., Meschiari M., Minutolo F., Montineri A., Mussinelli R., Mussini C., Musso M., Odone A., Olivieri M., Pasi E., Petri F., Pinchera B., Pivato C. A., Poletti V., Ravaglia C., Rinaldi M., Rognoni A., Rossato M., Rossi I., Rossi M., Sabena A., Salinaro F., Sangiovanni V., Sanrocco C., Scorzolini L., Sgariglia R., Simeone P. G., Spinicci M., Trecarichi E. M., Venezia A., Veronesi G., Vettor R., Vianello A., Vinceti M., Vocciante L., De Caterina R., and Iacoviello L.

Abstract

Background: Hydroxychloroquine (HCQ) was proposed as potential treatment for COVID-19. Objective: We set-up a multicenter Italian collaboration to investigate the relationship between HCQ therapy and COVID-19 in-hospital mortality. Methods: In a retrospective observational study, 3,451 unselected patients hospitalized in 33 clinical centers in Italy, from February 19, 2020 to May 23, 2020, with laboratory-confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, were analyzed. The primary end-point in a time-to event analysis was in-hospital death, comparing patients who received HCQ with patients who did not. We used multivariable Cox proportional-hazards regression models with inverse probability for treatment weighting by propensity scores, with the addition of subgroup analyses. Results: Out of 3,451 COVID-19 patients, 76.3% received HCQ. Death rates (per 1,000 person-days) for patients receiving or not HCQ were 8.9 and 15.7, respectively. After adjustment for propensity scores, we found 30% lower risk of death in patients receiving HCQ (HR=0.70; 95%CI: 0.59 to 0.84; E-value=1.67). Secondary analyses yielded similar results. The inverse association of HCQ with inpatient mortality was particularly evident in patients having elevated C-reactive protein at entry. Conclusions: HCQ use was associated with a 30% lower risk of death in COVID-19 hospitalized patients. Within the limits of an observational study and awaiting results from randomized controlled trials, these data do not discourage the use of HCQ in inpatients with COVID-19.

Published
2020

3. Common cardiovascular risk factors and in-hospital mortality in 3,894 patients with COVID-19: survival analysis and machine learning-based findings from the multicentre Italian CORIST Study

Author

Di Castelnuovo, A, Bonaccio, M, Costanzo, S, Gialluisi, A, Antinori, A, Berselli, N, Blandi, L, Bruno, R, Cauda, R, Guaraldi, G, My, I, Menicanti, L, Parruti, A, Patti, G, Perlini, S, Santilli, F, Signorelli, C, Stefanini, G, Vergori, A, Abdeddaim, A, Ageno, W, Agodi, A, Agostoni, P, Aiello, L, Al Moghazi, S, Aucella, F, Barbieri, G, Bartoloni, A, Bologna, C, Bonfanti, P, Brancati, S, Cacciatore, F, Caiano, L, Cannata, F, Carrozzi, L, Cascio, A, Cingolani, A, Cipollone, F, Colomba, C, Crisetti, A, Crosta, F, Danzi, G, D'Ardes, D, de Gaetano Donati, K, Di Gennaro, F, Di Palma, G, Di Tano, G, Fantoni, M, Filippini, T, Fioretto, P, Fusco, F, Gentile, I, Grisafi, L, Guarnieri, G, Landi, F, Larizza, G, Leone, A, Maccagni, G, Maccarella, S, Mapelli, M, Maragna, R, Marcucci, R, Maresca, G, Marotta, C, Marra, L, Mastroianni, F, Mengozzi, A, Menichetti, F, Milic, J, Miurri, R, Montineri, A, Mussinelli, R, Mussini, C, Musso, M, Odone, A, Olivieri, M, Pasi, E, Petri, F, Pinchera, B, Pivato, C, Pizzi, R, Poletti, V, Raffaelli, F, Ravaglia, C, Righetti, G, Rognoni, A, Rossato, M, Rossi, M, Sabena, A, Salinaro, F, Sangiovanni, V, Sanrocco, C, Scarafino, A, Scorzolini, L, Sgariglia, R, Simeone, P, Spinoni, E, Torti, C, Trecarichi, E, Vezzani, F, Veronesi, G, Vettor, R, Vianello, A, Vinceti, M, De Caterina, R, Iacoviello, L, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto, Bonaccio, Marialaura, Costanzo, Simona, Gialluisi, Alessandro, Antinori, Andrea, Berselli, Nausicaa, Blandi, Lorenzo, Bruno, Raffaele, Cauda, Roberto, Guaraldi, Giovanni, My, Ilaria, Menicanti, Lorenzo, Parruti, Agostino, Patti, Giuseppe, Perlini, Stefano, Santilli, Francesca, Signorelli, Carlo, Stefanini, Giulio G., Vergori, Alessandra, Abdeddaim, Amina, Ageno, Walter, Agodi, Antonella, Agostoni, Piergiuseppe, Aiello, Luca, Al Moghazi, Samir, Aucella, Filippo, Barbieri, Greta, Bartoloni, Alessandro, Bologna, Carolina, Bonfanti, Paolo, Brancati, Serena, Cacciatore, Francesco, Caiano, Lucia, Cannata, Francesco, Carrozzi, Laura, Cascio, Antonio, Cingolani, Antonella, Cipollone, Francesco, Colomba, Claudia, Crisetti, Annalisa, Crosta, Francesco, Danzi, Gian Battista, D'Ardes, Damiano, de Gaetano Donati, Katleen, Di Gennaro, Francesco, Di Palma, Gisella, Di Tano, Giuseppe, Fantoni, Massimo, Filippini, Tommaso, Fioretto, Paola, Fusco, Francesco Maria, Gentile, Ivan, Grisafi, Leonardo, Guarnieri, Gabriella, Landi, Francesco, Larizza, Giovanni, Leone, Armando, Maccagni, Gloria, Maccarella, Sandro, Mapelli, Massimo, Maragna, Riccardo, Marcucci, Rossella, Maresca, Giulio, Marotta, Claudia, Marra, Lorenzo, Mastroianni, Franco, Mengozzi, Alessandro, Menichetti, Francesco, Milic, Jovana, Miurri, Rita, Montineri, Arturo, Mussinelli, Roberta, Mussini, Cristina, Musso, Maria, Odone, Anna, Olivieri, Marco, Pasi, Emanuela, Petri, Francesco, Pinchera, Biagio, Pivato, Carlo A., Pizzi, Roberto, Poletti, Venerino, Raffaelli, Francesca, Ravaglia, Claudia, Righetti, Giulia, Rognoni, Andrea, Rossato, Marco, Rossi, Marianna, Sabena, Anna, Salinaro, Francesco, Sangiovanni, Vincenzo, Sanrocco, Carlo, Scarafino, Antonio, Scorzolini, Laura, Sgariglia, Raffaella, Simeone, Paola Giustina, Spinoni, Enrico, Torti, Carlo, Trecarichi, Enrico Maria, Vezzani, Francesca, Veronesi, Giovanni, Vettor, Roberto, Vianello, Andrea, Vinceti, Marco, De Caterina, Raffaele, Iacoviello, Licia, Di Castelnuovo, A, Bonaccio, M, Costanzo, S, Gialluisi, A, Antinori, A, Berselli, N, Blandi, L, Bruno, R, Cauda, R, Guaraldi, G, My, I, Menicanti, L, Parruti, A, Patti, G, Perlini, S, Santilli, F, Signorelli, C, Stefanini, G, Vergori, A, Abdeddaim, A, Ageno, W, Agodi, A, Agostoni, P, Aiello, L, Al Moghazi, S, Aucella, F, Barbieri, G, Bartoloni, A, Bologna, C, Bonfanti, P, Brancati, S, Cacciatore, F, Caiano, L, Cannata, F, Carrozzi, L, Cascio, A, Cingolani, A, Cipollone, F, Colomba, C, Crisetti, A, Crosta, F, Danzi, G, D'Ardes, D, de Gaetano Donati, K, Di Gennaro, F, Di Palma, G, Di Tano, G, Fantoni, M, Filippini, T, Fioretto, P, Fusco, F, Gentile, I, Grisafi, L, Guarnieri, G, Landi, F, Larizza, G, Leone, A, Maccagni, G, Maccarella, S, Mapelli, M, Maragna, R, Marcucci, R, Maresca, G, Marotta, C, Marra, L, Mastroianni, F, Mengozzi, A, Menichetti, F, Milic, J, Miurri, R, Montineri, A, Mussinelli, R, Mussini, C, Musso, M, Odone, A, Olivieri, M, Pasi, E, Petri, F, Pinchera, B, Pivato, C, Pizzi, R, Poletti, V, Raffaelli, F, Ravaglia, C, Righetti, G, Rognoni, A, Rossato, M, Rossi, M, Sabena, A, Salinaro, F, Sangiovanni, V, Sanrocco, C, Scarafino, A, Scorzolini, L, Sgariglia, R, Simeone, P, Spinoni, E, Torti, C, Trecarichi, E, Vezzani, F, Veronesi, G, Vettor, R, Vianello, A, Vinceti, M, De Caterina, R, Iacoviello, L, Di Castelnuovo, Augusto, Bonaccio, Marialaura, Costanzo, Simona, Gialluisi, Alessandro, Antinori, Andrea, Berselli, Nausicaa, Blandi, Lorenzo, Bruno, Raffaele, Cauda, Roberto, Guaraldi, Giovanni, My, Ilaria, Menicanti, Lorenzo, Parruti, Agostino, Patti, Giuseppe, Perlini, Stefano, Santilli, Francesca, Signorelli, Carlo, Stefanini, Giulio G., Vergori, Alessandra, Abdeddaim, Amina, Ageno, Walter, Agodi, Antonella, Agostoni, Piergiuseppe, Aiello, Luca, Al Moghazi, Samir, Aucella, Filippo, Barbieri, Greta, Bartoloni, Alessandro, Bologna, Carolina, Bonfanti, Paolo, Brancati, Serena, Cacciatore, Francesco, Caiano, Lucia, Cannata, Francesco, Carrozzi, Laura, Cascio, Antonio, Cingolani, Antonella, Cipollone, Francesco, Colomba, Claudia, Crisetti, Annalisa, Crosta, Francesco, Danzi, Gian Battista, D'Ardes, Damiano, de Gaetano Donati, Katleen, Di Gennaro, Francesco, Di Palma, Gisella, Di Tano, Giuseppe, Fantoni, Massimo, Filippini, Tommaso, Fioretto, Paola, Fusco, Francesco Maria, Gentile, Ivan, Grisafi, Leonardo, Guarnieri, Gabriella, Landi, Francesco, Larizza, Giovanni, Leone, Armando, Maccagni, Gloria, Maccarella, Sandro, Mapelli, Massimo, Maragna, Riccardo, Marcucci, Rossella, Maresca, Giulio, Marotta, Claudia, Marra, Lorenzo, Mastroianni, Franco, Mengozzi, Alessandro, Menichetti, Francesco, Milic, Jovana, Miurri, Rita, Montineri, Arturo, Mussinelli, Roberta, Mussini, Cristina, Musso, Maria, Odone, Anna, Olivieri, Marco, Pasi, Emanuela, Petri, Francesco, Pinchera, Biagio, Pivato, Carlo A., Pizzi, Roberto, Poletti, Venerino, Raffaelli, Francesca, Ravaglia, Claudia, Righetti, Giulia, Rognoni, Andrea, Rossato, Marco, Rossi, Marianna, Sabena, Anna, Salinaro, Francesco, Sangiovanni, Vincenzo, Sanrocco, Carlo, Scarafino, Antonio, Scorzolini, Laura, Sgariglia, Raffaella, Simeone, Paola Giustina, Spinoni, Enrico, Torti, Carlo, Trecarichi, Enrico Maria, Vezzani, Francesca, Veronesi, Giovanni, Vettor, Roberto, Vianello, Andrea, Vinceti, Marco, De Caterina, Raffaele, and Iacoviello, Licia

Abstract

Background and aims: There is poor knowledge on characteristics, comorbidities and laboratory measures associated with risk for adverse outcomes and in-hospital mortality in European Countries. We aimed at identifying baseline characteristics predisposing COVID-19 patients to in-hospital death. Methods and results: Retrospective observational study on 3894 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection hospitalized from February 19th to May 23rd, 2020 and recruited in 30 clinical centres distributed throughout Italy. Machine learning (random forest)-based and Cox survival analysis. 61.7% of participants were men (median age 67 years), followed up for a median of 13 days. In-hospital mortality exhibited a geographical gradient, Northern Italian regions featuring more than twofold higher death rates as compared to Central/Southern areas (15.6% vs 6.4%, respectively). Machine learning analysis revealed that the most important features in death classification were impaired renal function, elevated C reactive protein and advanced age. These findings were confirmed by multivariable Cox survival analysis (hazard ratio (HR): 8.2; 95% confidence interval (CI) 4.6–14.7 for age ≥85 vs 18–44 y); HR = 4.7; 2.9–7.7 for estimated glomerular filtration rate levels <15 vs ≥ 90 mL/min/1.73 m2; HR = 2.3; 1.5–3.6 for C-reactive protein levels ≥10 vs ≤ 3 mg/L). No relation was found with obesity, tobacco use, cardiovascular disease and related-comorbidities. The associations between these variables and mortality were substantially homogenous across all sub-groups analyses. Conclusions: Impaired renal function, elevated C-reactive protein and advanced age were major predictors of in-hospital death in a large cohort of unselected patients with COVID-19, admitted to 30 different clinical centres all over Italy.

Published
2020

4. Common cardiovascular risk factors and in-hospital mortality in 3,894 patients with COVID-19: survival analysis and machine learning-based findings from the multicentre Italian CORIST Study

Author

Di Castelnuovo, A., Bonaccio, M., Costanzo, S., Gialluisi, A., Antinori, A., Berselli, N., Blandi, L., Bruno, Rosa Anna, Cauda, Roberto, Guaraldi, G., My, I., Menicanti, L., Parruti, G., Patti, G., Perlini, S., Santilli, F., Signorelli, C., Stefanini, G. G., Vergori, A., Abdeddaim, A., Ageno, W., Agodi, A., Agostoni, P., Aiello, L., Al Moghazi, S., Aucella, F., Barbieri, G., Bartoloni, A., Bologna, C., Bonfanti, P., Brancati, S., Cacciatore, F., Caiano, L., Cannata, F., Carrozzi, L., Cascio, A., Cingolani, Antonella, Cipollone, F., Colomba, C., Crisetti, A., Crosta, F., Danzi, G. B., D'Ardes, D., De Gaetano Donati, Katleen, Di Gennaro, F., Di Palma, G., Di Tano, G., Fantoni, Massimo, Filippini, T., Fioretto, P., Fusco, F. M., Gentile, I., Grisafi, L., Guarnieri, G., Landi, Francesco, Larizza, G., Leone, A., Maccagni, G., Maccarella, S., Mapelli, M., Maragna, R., Marcucci, R., Maresca, G., Marotta, C., Marra, L., Mastroianni, F., Mengozzi, A., Menichetti, F., Milic, J., Murri, Rita, Montineri, A., Mussinelli, R., Mussini, C., Musso, M., Odone, A., Olivieri, M., Pasi, E., Petri, F., Pinchera, B., Pivato, C. A., Pizzi, R., Poletti, V., Raffaelli, Francesca, Ravaglia, C., Righetti, G., Rognoni, A., Rossato, M., Rossi, M., Sabena, A., Salinaro, F., Sangiovanni, V., Sanrocco, C., Scarafino, A., Scorzolini, L., Sgariglia, R., Simeone, P. G., Spinoni, E., Torti, C., Trecarichi, Enrico Maria, Vezzani, F., Veronesi, G., Vettor, R., Vianello, A., Vinceti, M., De Caterina, R., Iacoviello, L., Bruno R., Cauda R. (ORCID:0000-0002-1498-4229), Cingolani A. (ORCID:0000-0002-3793-2755), de Gaetano Donati K., Fantoni M. (ORCID:0000-0001-6913-8460), Landi F. (ORCID:0000-0002-3472-1389), Murri R. (ORCID:0000-0003-4263-7854), Raffaelli F., Trecarichi E. M., Di Castelnuovo, A., Bonaccio, M., Costanzo, S., Gialluisi, A., Antinori, A., Berselli, N., Blandi, L., Bruno, Rosa Anna, Cauda, Roberto, Guaraldi, G., My, I., Menicanti, L., Parruti, G., Patti, G., Perlini, S., Santilli, F., Signorelli, C., Stefanini, G. G., Vergori, A., Abdeddaim, A., Ageno, W., Agodi, A., Agostoni, P., Aiello, L., Al Moghazi, S., Aucella, F., Barbieri, G., Bartoloni, A., Bologna, C., Bonfanti, P., Brancati, S., Cacciatore, F., Caiano, L., Cannata, F., Carrozzi, L., Cascio, A., Cingolani, Antonella, Cipollone, F., Colomba, C., Crisetti, A., Crosta, F., Danzi, G. B., D'Ardes, D., De Gaetano Donati, Katleen, Di Gennaro, F., Di Palma, G., Di Tano, G., Fantoni, Massimo, Filippini, T., Fioretto, P., Fusco, F. M., Gentile, I., Grisafi, L., Guarnieri, G., Landi, Francesco, Larizza, G., Leone, A., Maccagni, G., Maccarella, S., Mapelli, M., Maragna, R., Marcucci, R., Maresca, G., Marotta, C., Marra, L., Mastroianni, F., Mengozzi, A., Menichetti, F., Milic, J., Murri, Rita, Montineri, A., Mussinelli, R., Mussini, C., Musso, M., Odone, A., Olivieri, M., Pasi, E., Petri, F., Pinchera, B., Pivato, C. A., Pizzi, R., Poletti, V., Raffaelli, Francesca, Ravaglia, C., Righetti, G., Rognoni, A., Rossato, M., Rossi, M., Sabena, A., Salinaro, F., Sangiovanni, V., Sanrocco, C., Scarafino, A., Scorzolini, L., Sgariglia, R., Simeone, P. G., Spinoni, E., Torti, C., Trecarichi, Enrico Maria, Vezzani, F., Veronesi, G., Vettor, R., Vianello, A., Vinceti, M., De Caterina, R., Iacoviello, L., Bruno R., Cauda R. (ORCID:0000-0002-1498-4229), Cingolani A. (ORCID:0000-0002-3793-2755), de Gaetano Donati K., Fantoni M. (ORCID:0000-0001-6913-8460), Landi F. (ORCID:0000-0002-3472-1389), Murri R. (ORCID:0000-0003-4263-7854), Raffaelli F., and Trecarichi E. M.

Abstract

Background and aims: There is poor knowledge on characteristics, comorbidities and laboratory measures associated with risk for adverse outcomes and in-hospital mortality in European Countries. We aimed at identifying baseline characteristics predisposing COVID-19 patients to in-hospital death. Methods and results: Retrospective observational study on 3894 patients with SARS-CoV-2 infection hospitalized from February 19th to May 23rd, 2020 and recruited in 30 clinical centres distributed throughout Italy. Machine learning (random forest)-based and Cox survival analysis. 61.7% of participants were men (median age 67 years), followed up for a median of 13 days. In-hospital mortality exhibited a geographical gradient, Northern Italian regions featuring more than twofold higher death rates as compared to Central/Southern areas (15.6% vs 6.4%, respectively). Machine learning analysis revealed that the most important features in death classification were impaired renal function, elevated C reactive protein and advanced age. These findings were confirmed by multivariable Cox survival analysis (hazard ratio (HR): 8.2; 95% confidence interval (CI) 4.6–14.7 for age ≥85 vs 18–44 y); HR = 4.7; 2.9–7.7 for estimated glomerular filtration rate levels <15 vs ≥ 90 mL/min/1.73 m2; HR = 2.3; 1.5–3.6 for C-reactive protein levels ≥10 vs ≤ 3 mg/L). No relation was found with obesity, tobacco use, cardiovascular disease and related-comorbidities. The associations between these variables and mortality were substantially homogenous across all sub-groups analyses. Conclusions: Impaired renal function, elevated C-reactive protein and advanced age were major predictors of in-hospital death in a large cohort of unselected patients with COVID-19, admitted to 30 different clinical centres all over Italy.

Published
2020

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