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Objectives: The UK Prospective Diabetes Study (UKPDS) Outcomes Model (UKPDS-OM) developed using 30-year (1977-2007) data from the UKPDS is widely used for health outcomes' projections and economic evaluations of therapies for patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D). Nevertheless, its reliability for contemporary UK T2D populations is unclear. We assessed the performance of version 2 of the model (UKPDS-OM2) using data from A Study of Cardiovascular Events in Diabetes (ASCEND), which followed participants with diabetes in the UK between 2005 and 2017.Methods: The UKPDS-OM2 was used to predict the occurrence of myocardial infarction (MI), other ischemic heart disease, stroke, cardiovascular (CV) death, and other death among the 14 569 participants with T2D in ASCEND, all without previous CV disease at study entry. Calibration (comparison of predicted and observed year-on-year cumulative incidence over 10 years) and discrimination (c-statistics) of the model were assessed for each endpoint. The percentage error in event rates at year 7 (mean duration of follow up) was used to quantify model bias.Results: The UKPDS-OM2 substantially overpredicted MI, stroke, CV death, and other death over the 10-year follow-up period (by 149%, 42%, 269%, and 52%, respectively, at year 7). Discrimination of the model for MI and other ischemic heart disease (c-statistics 0.58 and 0.60, respectively) was poorer than that for other outcomes (c-statistics ranging from 0.66 to 0.72).Conclusions: The UKPDS-OM2 substantially overpredicted risks of key CV outcomes and death in people with T2D in ASCEND. Appropriate adjustments or a new model may be required for assessments of long-term effects of treatments in contemporary T2D cohorts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The article discusses a study that discusses the role of a workplace-based risk assessment in improving a lifetime cardiovascular disease risk in male steelworkers in Great Britain. It informs that the study included a sample of male employees from a local steelworks in Carmarthenshire, South Wales, and undergone cardiovascular disease (CVD) and diabetes risk assessment and the results showed that workplace-based CVD initiatives were beneficial to shift workers.

Abstract: Background: Although low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is the primary lipid target for cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk reduction, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and triglycerides (TG) have also emerged as risk factors. This study evaluated attainment of goal/normal lipid levels in current clinical practice among high-risk patients following lipid-modifying therapy (LMT). Methods: Data for patients aged ≥35years and on LMT for ≥12months were identified from electronic medical records (United Kingdom and Sweden) and extracted from medical charts (Canada and Spain). High CVD risk was defined according to the Adult Treatment Panel III guidelines. An index period was defined, from January 1995–July 2008, during which patients received an initial LMT prescription. Prevalence of lipid abnormalities was assessed 12months before and after the index date. Multivariate logistic regressions evaluated predictors of attaining goal/normal lipid levels. Results: Among 12,768 high-risk patients, 75% had elevated LDL-C, 37% low HDL-C, and 30% elevated TG before LMT. Despite therapy (97% statins only), 23% had elevated LDL-C, 36% low HDL-C, 16% elevated TG, and 17% had ≥2 abnormal lipid levels. Framingham risk score >20% (Odds Ratio, 95% confidence interval: 0.37,0.31–0.43), diabetes (0.75,0.64–0.88), hypertension (1.26,1.09–1.46), current smoker (0.82,0.70–0.95) and increased body mass index (0.95,0.94–0.96) were associated with the likelihood of attaining ≥2 normal lipid levels (vs. LDL-C goal only). Conclusion: Current approaches to lipid management improve LDL-C goal attainment; however, control of multiple lipid risk factors remains poor. Patients may benefit from more comprehensive approaches to lipid management, which treat multiple lipid abnormalities, as suggested in clinical guidelines. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]

Abstract: Here the impact of APOE genotype on CHD risk in UK adults is reported, along with an analysis of APOE genotype×BMI/age/sex interactions. APOE genotype had a significant impact on fasting total:LDL-cholesterol (TC:LDL-C) ratio, triglycerides, % HDL3, and the Framingham 10-year CVD risk score (P <0.05), with an overall trend towards lower and higher risk in E2- and E4-carriers, respectively, relative to the wild-type E3/E3 genotype. A greater impact of genotype on TC:HDL-C was observed in females, which explained 16% of the variability in this outcome versus 6% in males. APOE genotype was also associated with plasma C-reactive protein and adhesion molecule concentrations (P <0.05), with significant genotype×BMI interactions observed. Our observations indicate that the association between the APOE genotype and CHD risk is unlikely to be homogenous and highlights the risk of inaccurate estimations of genotype–phenotype associations in population subgroups without appropriate stratification for sex and adiposity. [Copyright &y& Elsevier]