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Background: The shift of focus towards disease-controlling treatments to prevent DD progression at an early stage underlines the need for objective and reliable measurements that can monitor and predict the course of disease. Ultrasound has been studied as a potential tool for this purpose. This study examined to what extent echogenicity of early DD nodules predicts clinical progression., Methods: Sonographic assessments of Dupuytren's nodules were performed by the same observer on 151 participants as part of an ongoing prospective cohort study on the course of DD. Echogenicity was assessed by determining the greyness of a nodule relative to the surrounding tissue, using ImageJ software. Progression of disease was defined as 1) an increase in total passive extension deficit (TPED) of ≥15 degrees and 2) surgical intervention of the examined ray, both occurring after the sonographic assessment. The associations between echogenicity and time to progression were estimated using Cox-regression models., Results: The association between echogenicity and time to TPED progression showed that for every additional decrease of 1% in relative greyness (darker image) of a nodule, the risk of TPED progression during follow-up increases by 3.4% (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.966, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.935-0.966). Similarly, echogenicity was also associated with time to surgical intervention (HR = 0.967, 95% CI: 0.938-0.997), which indicates a higher risk for surgery during follow-up for darker nodules., Conclusions: These results suggest that echogenicity is predictive of the prognosis of the early stages of DD and might potentially be used as a prognostic imaging biomarker in the future., Competing Interests: Declaration of Competing Interest PW was member of a Safety and Efficacy Review Board of Fidia ltd, Milan, Italy. PW is member of the scientific advisory board of the International Dupuytren Society, and PW and DB are both members of the scientific advisory board of the Dutch Dupuytren Society. These interests are not related to the submitted work. All other authors declare no potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article., (Copyright © 2023 British Association of Plastic, Reconstructive and Aesthetic Surgeons. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Purpose: In the future, it is expected that treatment of Dupuytren disease (DD) may shift toward control of early disease. Ultrasound might be an accurate method to measure the outcome of such treatment. The aim of this study was to assess the reliability of sonographic measurement of palmar nodules., Methods: Fifty patients with nodules characteristic for early disease were assessed with ultrasound by 2 observers. Four different aspects of DD nodules were measured in the transversal and sagittal planes, width, depth, circumference, and area. The intra- and interobserver reliabilities were calculated using the intraclass correlation coefficient (ICC). The standard error of measurement (SEM) and the smallest detectable change (SDC) were also calculated for each aspect., Results: The intraobserver reliability was good (ICC, 0.724 [0.562-0.833] to 0.886 [0.808-0.934]), except for width in the sagittal direction (ICC, 0.671 [0.484-0.799]). The interobserver reliability was moderate (ICC, 0.385 [0.126-0.596] to 0.757 [0.538-0.869]). The intraobserver ICCs of area were highest (transverse, 0.847 [0.744-0.893]; sagittal, 0.886 [0.808-0.934]). The SEM and SDC of area were 6.1 and 16.9 mm 2 in the transverse and 8.0 and 22.2 mm 2 in the sagittal plane., Conclusions: The intraobserver reliability of sonographic assessment of DD nodules is good. The measurement of area is the most reliable and is, therefore, recommended for future studies. However, even single-observer measurements have a clear dispersion, and a change beyond 16.9 (61%) and 22.2 mm 2 (79%) has to be observed in the transverse and sagittal planes, respectively, before it can be considered as regression or progression., Clinical Relevance: Repeated ultrasonographic measurements in DD should ideally be done by a single observer, using area of the nodule in the sagittal plane. Change beyond 16.9 (transverse) and 22.2 (sagittal) mm2 can be considered as a real change in nodule size., (Copyright © 2020 American Society for Surgery of the Hand. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)