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Background & Aims: Recurrent primary biliary cholangitis (rPBC) develops in approximately 30% of patients and negatively impacts graft and overall patient survival after liver transplantation (LT). There is a lack of data regarding the response rate to ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) in rPBC. We evaluated a large, international, multi-center cohort to assess the performance of PBC scores in predicting the risk of graft and overall survival after LT in patients with rPBC., Methods: A total of 332 patients with rPBC after LT were evaluated from 28 centers across Europe, North and South America. The median age at the time of rPBC was 58.0 years [IQR 53.2-62.6], and 298 patients (90%) were female. The biochemical response was measured with serum levels of alkaline phosphatase (ALP) and bilirubin, and Paris-2, GLOBE and UK-PBC scores at 1 year after UDCA initiation., Results: During a median follow-up of 8.7 years [IQR 4.3-12.9] after rPBC diagnosis, 52 patients (16%) had graft loss and 103 (31%) died. After 1 year of UDCA initiation the histological stage at rPBC (hazard ratio [HR] 3.97, 95% CI 1.36-11.55, p = 0.01), use of prednisone (HR 3.18, 95% CI 1.04-9.73, p = 0.04), ALP xULN (HR 1.59, 95% CI 1.26-2.01, p <0.001), Paris-2 criteria (HR 4.14, 95% CI 1.57-10.92, p = 0.004), GLOBE score (HR 2.82, 95% CI 1.71-4.66, p <0.001), and the UK-PBC score (HR 1.06, 95% CI 1.03-1.09, p <0.001) were associated with graft survival in the multivariate analysis. Similar results were observed for overall survival., Conclusion: Patients with rPBC and disease activity, as indicated by standard PBC risk scores, have impaired outcomes, supporting efforts to treat recurrent disease in similar ways to pre-transplant PBC., Impact and Implications: One in three people who undergo liver transplantation for primary biliary cholangitis develop recurrent disease in their new liver. Patients with recurrent primary biliary cholangitis and incomplete response to ursodeoxycholic acid, according to conventional prognostic scores, have worse clinical outcomes, with higher risk of graft loss and mortality in similar ways to the disease before liver transplantation. Our results supportsupport efforts to treat recurrent disease in similar ways to pre-transplant primary biliary cholangitis., (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Treatment outcomes for people living with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) are limited by a lack of specific therapies, as well as limited well-validated prognostic tools and clinical trial endpoints. We sought to identify predictors of outcome for people living with AIH., Methods: We evaluated the clinical course of people with AIH across 11 Canadian centres. Biochemical changes were analysed using linear mixed-effect and logistic regression. Clinical outcome was dynamically modelled using time-varying Cox proportional hazard modelling and landmark analysis., Results: In 691 patients (median age 49 years, 75.4% female), with a median follow-up of 6 years (25th-75th percentile, 2.5-11), 118 clinical events occurred. Alanine aminotransferase (ALT) normalisation occurred in 63.8% of the cohort by 12 months. Older age at diagnosis (odd ratio [OR] 1.19, 95% CI 1.06-1.35) and female sex (OR 1.94, 95% CI 1.18-3.19) were associated with ALT normalisation at 6 months, whilst baseline cirrhosis status was associated with reduced chance of normalisation at 12 months (OR 0.52, 95% CI 0.33-0.82). Baseline total bilirubin, aminotransferases, and IgG values, as well as initial prednisone dose, did not predict average ALT reduction. At baseline, older age (hazard ratio [HR] 1.25, 95% CI 1.12-1.40), cirrhosis at diagnosis (HR 3.67, 95% CI 2.48-5.43), and elevated baseline total bilirubin (HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.17-1.58) increased the risk of clinical events. Prolonged elevations in ALT (HR 1.07, 95% CI 1.00-1.13) and aspartate aminotransferase (HR 1.13, 95% CI 1.06-1.21), but not IgG (HR 1.01, 95% CI 0.95-1.07), were associated with higher risk of clinical events. Higher ALT at 6 months was associated with worse clinical event-free survival., Conclusion: In people living with AIH, sustained elevated aminotransferase values, but not IgG, are associated with poorer long-term outcomes. Biochemical response and long-term survival are not associated with starting prednisone dose., Impact and Implications: Using clinical data from multiple Canadian liver clinics treating autoimmune hepatitis (AIH), we evaluate treatment response and clinical outcomes. For the first time, we apply mixed-effect and time-varying survival statistical methods to rigorously examine treatment response and the impact of fluctuating liver biochemistry on clinical event-free survival. Key to the study impact, our data is 'real-world', represents a diverse population across Canada, and uses continuous measurements over follow-up. Our results challenge the role of IgG as a marker of treatment response and if normalisation of IgG should remain an important part of the definition of biochemical remission. Our analysis further highlights that baseline markers of disease severity may not prognosticate early treatment response. Additionally, the initial prednisone dose may be less relevant for achieving aminotransferase normalisation. This is important for patients and treating clinicians given the relevance and importance of side effects., (Copyright © 2024 The Authors. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Objectives: International infectious disease/obstetrical societies have recently recommended universal hepatitis C virus (HCV) prenatal screening and these same recommendations are forthcoming in Canada. At present, there is no formal analysis of universal HCV screening or linkage to care of pregnant people in Ontario. The objectives of our study were to determine the seroprevalence of HCV using 2 different methods to evaluate universal screening, as well as identify opportunities that may improve linkage to care., Methods: To assess seroprevalence in a large urban area, we aimed to test 12 000 de-identified samples submitted for prenatal HIV testing in the catchment area of Toronto Public Health for HCV antibodies. Then, to assess the seroprevalence as well as the operational impact and follow-up in a real-world setting, we completed a Quality Improvement Project (QIP) for 1 year at a large tertiary care obstetrical centre in London, Ontario., Results: From 2019 to 2021, 11 999 de-identified samples were screened from Toronto with a seroprevalence of 0.40 (95% CI 0.29-0.53). In London, 5771 people were screened in 2021 with a seroprevalence of 0.55% (95% CI 0.38-0.78). Taken together, those aged 26-35 years had the highest positivity; in the QIP, 9% had no documented risk factor, and 59% of individuals were not linked to the next step in HCV care., Conclusions: HCV prenatal seroprevalence in Ontario is comparable to hepatitis B virus, and ∼15-30-fold higher than HIV. Diagnosis in pregnancy is critical to facilitate referrals for treatment between pregnancies and could increase screening among children born to positive women., (Crown Copyright © 2024. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is an immune-mediated cholestatic liver disease for which there is an unmet need to understand the cellular composition of the affected liver and how it underlies disease pathogenesis. We aimed to generate a comprehensive atlas of the PSC liver using multi-omic modalities and protein-based functional validation., Methods: We employed single-cell and single-nucleus RNA sequencing (47,156 cells and 23,000 nuclei) and spatial transcriptomics (one sample by 10x Visium and five samples with Nanostring GeoMx DSP) to profile the cellular ecosystem in 10 PSC livers. Transcriptomic profiles were compared to 24 neurologically deceased donor livers (107,542 cells) and spatial transcriptomics controls, as well as 18,240 cells and 20,202 nuclei from three PBC livers. Flow cytometry was performed to validate PSC-specific differences in immune cell phenotype and function., Results: PSC explants with parenchymal cirrhosis and prominent periductal fibrosis contained a population of cholangiocyte-like hepatocytes that were surrounded by diverse immune cell populations. PSC-associated biliary, mesenchymal, and endothelial populations expressed chemokine and cytokine transcripts involved in immune cell recruitment. Additionally, expanded CD4 + T cells and recruited myeloid populations in the PSC liver expressed the corresponding receptors to these chemokines and cytokines, suggesting potential recruitment. Tissue-resident macrophages, by contrast, were reduced in number and exhibited a dysfunctional and downregulated inflammatory response to lipopolysaccharide and interferon-γ stimulation., Conclusions: We present a comprehensive atlas of the PSC liver and demonstrate an exhaustion-like phenotype of myeloid cells and markers of chronic cytokine expression in late-stage PSC lesions. This atlas expands our understanding of the cellular complexity of PSC and has potential to guide the development of novel treatments., Impact and Implications: Primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC) is a rare liver disease characterized by chronic inflammation and irreparable damage to the bile ducts, which eventually results in liver failure. Due to a limited understanding of the underlying pathogenesis of disease, treatment options are limited. To address this, we sequenced healthy and diseased livers to compare the activity, interactions, and localization of immune and non-immune cells. This revealed that hepatocytes lining PSC scar regions co-express cholangiocyte markers, whereas immune cells infiltrate the scar lesions. Of these cells, macrophages, which typically contribute to tissue repair, were enriched in immunoregulatory genes and demonstrated a lack of responsiveness to stimulation. These cells may be involved in maintaining hepatic inflammation and could be a target for novel therapies., (Copyright © 2024 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Sub-Saharan African (SSA) ethnicity has been associated with a higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among individuals with chronic hepatitis B in cross-sectional studies. However, the incidence of HCC and performance of HCC risk scores in this population are unknown., Methods: We conducted an international multicenter retrospective cohort study of all consecutive HBV-monoinfected individuals of SSA or Afro-Surinamese (AS) ethnicity managed at sites in the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and Spain. We assessed the 5- and 10-year cumulative incidences of HCC in the overall study population, among different clinically relevant subgroups and across (m)PAGE-B subgroups. Next, we explored the different risk factors for HCC., Results: During a median follow-up of 8 years, we analyzed 1,473 individuals of whom 34 developed HCC. The 5- and 10-year cumulative incidences of HCC were 1% and 2.4%. The 10-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 0.7% among individuals without advanced fibrosis at baseline, compared to 12.1% among individuals with advanced fibrosis (p <0.001). Higher age (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.05), lower platelet count (aHR 0.98), lower albumin level (aHR 0.90) and higher HBV DNA log10 (aHR 1.21) were significantly associated with HCC development. The 10-year cumulative incidence of HCC was 0.5% among individuals with a low PAGE-B score, compared to 2.9% in the intermediate- and 15.9% in the high-risk groups (p <0.001)., Conclusions: In this unique international multicenter cohort of SSA and AS individuals with chronic hepatitis B, we observed 5- and 10-year cumulative HCC risks of 1% and 2.4%, respectively. The risk of HCC was negligible for individuals without advanced fibrosis at baseline, and among individuals with low baseline (m)PAGE-B scores. These findings can be used to guide HCC surveillance strategies., Impact and Implications: Sub-Saharan African ethnicity has been associated with a higher risk of hepatocellular carcinoma among individuals with chronic hepatitis B. In this international multicenter cohort study of sub-Saharan African and Afro-Surinamese individuals living with chronic hepatitis B in Europe, we observed 5- and 10-year cumulative incidences of hepatocellular carcinoma of 1% and 2.4%, respectively. The risk was negligible among individuals without advanced fibrosis and a low baseline (m)PAGE-B score. These findings can be used to guide HCC surveillance strategies in this population., (Copyright © 2023 The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background: Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)-associated hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a rising indication for liver transplantation. This unique population, with multiple comorbidities, has potential for worse post-transplant outcomes. We compared post-transplant survival of NASH and non-NASH HCC patients using a large cohort., Methods: Adults transplanted for HCC between 2008 and 2018, from United Network for Organ Sharing (UNOS) and University Health Network (UHN) databases were divided into two populations: NASH and non-NASH. Recipient characteristics and post-transplant survival were compared. Subgroup analyses were performed within and beyond Milan criteria., Results: 2071 of 20,672 (10.0%) patients underwent transplantation for NASH HCC, with annual proportional increase of 1.2%UHN (p = 0.02) and 1.3%UNOS (p < 0.001). The 1-,3-,5-year post-transplant survival were 90.8%, 83.9%, 76.3% NASH HCC versus 91.9%, 82.1%, 74.9% non-NASH HCC (p = 0.94). No survival differences were observed in populations within or beyond Milan. Competing-risk analysis demonstrated no differences in risk for cardiovascular-related death (HR1.24, 95%CI 0.87-1.55, p = 0.16), or HCC recurrence-related death (HR1.21, 95%CI 0.89-1.65, p = 0.23). NASH HCC patients had lower risk of liver-related deaths (HR0.57, 95%CI 0.34-0.98, p = 0.04)., Discussion: NASH HCC is a rising indication for liver transplantation. Despite demographic differences, no post-transplantation survival differences were observed between NASH and non-NASH HCC. This justifies equivalent organ allocation, irrespective of NASH status., Competing Interests: Conflicts of interest None declared., (Copyright © 2023 International Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Association Inc. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) has been shown to predict outcomes of patients with primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) in small-size studies. We aimed to validate the prognostic value of LSM in a large cohort study., Methods: We performed an international, multicentre, retrospective follow-up study of 3,985 patients with PBC seen at 23 centres in 12 countries. Eligibility criteria included at least 1 reliable LSM by VCTE and a follow-up ≥ 1 year. Independent derivation (n = 2,740) and validation (n = 568) cohorts were built. The primary endpoint was time to poor clinical outcomes defined as liver-related complications, liver transplantation, or death. Hazard ratios (HRs) with CIs were determined using a time-dependent multivariable Cox regression analysis., Results: LSM was independently associated with poor clinical outcomes in the derivation (5,324 LSMs, mean follow-up 5.0 ± 3.1 years) and validation (1,470 LSMs, mean follow-up 5.0 ± 2.8 years) cohorts: adjusted HRs (95% CI) per additional kPa were 1.040 (1.026-1.054) and 1.042 (1.029-1.056), respectively (p <0.0001 for both). Adjusted C-statistics (95% CI) at baseline were 0.83 (0.79-0.87) and 0.92 (0.89-0.95), respectively. Between 5 and 30 kPa, the log-HR increased as a monotonic function of LSM. The predictive value of LSM was stable in time. LSM improved the prognostic ability of biochemical response criteria, fibrosis scores, and prognostic scores. The 8 kPa and 15 kPa cut-offs optimally separated low-, medium-, and high-risk groups. Forty percent of patients were at medium to high risk according to LSM., Conclusions: LSM by VCTE is a major, independent, validated predictor of PBC outcome. Its value as a surrogate endpoint for clinical benefit in PBC should be considered., Lay Summary: Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is a chronic autoimmune disease, wherein the body's immune system mistakenly attacks the bile ducts. PBC progresses gradually, so surrogate markers (markers that predict clinically relevant outcomes like the need for a transplant or death long before the event occurs) are often needed to expedite the drug development and approval process. Herein, we show that liver stiffness measurement is a strong predictor of clinical outcomes and could be a useful surrogate endpoint in PBC trials., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest Dr. Corpechot reports receiving grants from Arrow and Intercept France, consulting fees from Intercept France, Inventiva Pharma, Cymabay and Genkyotex, and fees for teaching from Intercept France and GlaxoSmithKline France; Dr. Chazouillères, receiving grant support from Aptalis, fees for teaching from Mayoly Spindler, consulting fees from Genfit, and fees for teaching and consulting fees from Intercept; Dr. Schramm, receiving lecture fees from Falk Pharma; Dr. Dumortier, receiving consulting and teaching fees from Intercept France; Dr. Parés, receiving grant funding, speaking fees, and advisory board fees from Intercept, advisory board fees and speaking fees from Novartis, and speaking fees from CymaBay and Inova Diagnostics; Dr. Bruns reports receiving advisory board fees from Intercept, Grifols and Sobi and receiving speaking fees from Falk Foundation, Abbvie, CSL Behring, Intercept, Merck and Gilead. No other potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported. Please refer to the accompanying ICMJE disclosure forms for further details., (Copyright © 2022 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background: The use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) in patients with intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma (iCCA) is increasing. The objective of this study was to compare the 30-day post-operative complications and length-of-stay (LOS) between patients undergoing hepatectomy for iCCA with and without NAC., Methods: A retrospective study was conducted using the ACS-NSQIP database queried from 2014 to 2018. Patients with NAC receipt were propensity-score matched into 1:3 ratio with controls using the greedy-matching algorithm and a caliper of 0.2. Logistic and Poisson regression models were used to estimate the effect sizes., Results: A total of 1508 patients who underwent hepatectomy for iCCA were included. 706 patients remained after matching and balance were achieved. The NAC group had 110 (60.1%) complications vs. 289 (55.3%) complications in the non-NAC group (p = 0.29). NAC was not associated with worse 30-day postoperative complications [OR 1.24, 95% CI: 0.87-1.76; p = 0.24]. Post-operative LOS in the NAC group was 8.56 days (mean, SD 7.4) vs. non-NAC group 9.27 days (mean, SD 8.41, p = 0.32). NAC was not associated with longer post-operative LOS [RR 0.93, 95% CI:0.80, 1.08; p = 0.32]., Conclusion: NAC may be safely administered without increasing the risk of 30-day complications or post-operative hospital LOS., Competing Interests: Declaration of interests None of the authors have any conflicts of interest., (Copyright © 2022 International Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Association Inc. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Autoimmune hepatitis can recur after liver transplantation (LT), though the impact of recurrence on patient and graft survival has not been well characterized. We evaluated a large, international, multicenter cohort to identify the probability and risk factors associated with recurrent AIH and the association between recurrent disease and patient and graft survival., Methods: We included 736 patients (77% female, mean age 42±1 years) with AIH who underwent LT from January 1987 through June 2020, among 33 centers in North America, South America, Europe and Asia. Clinical data before and after LT, biochemical data within the first 12 months after LT, and immunosuppression after LT were analyzed to identify patients at higher risk of AIH recurrence based on histological diagnosis., Results: AIH recurred in 20% of patients after 5 years and 31% after 10 years. Age at LT ≤42 years (hazard ratio [HR] 3.15; 95% CI 1.22-8.16; p = 0.02), use of mycophenolate mofetil post-LT (HR 3.06; 95% CI 1.39-6.73; p = 0.005), donor and recipient sex mismatch (HR 2.57; 95% CI 1.39-4.76; p = 0.003) and high IgG pre-LT (HR 1.04; 95% CI 1.01-1.06; p = 0.004) were associated with higher risk of AIH recurrence after adjusting for other confounders. In multivariate Cox regression, recurrent AIH (as a time-dependent covariate) was significantly associated with graft loss (HR 10.79, 95% CI 5.37-21.66, p <0.001) and death (HR 2.53, 95% CI 1.48-4.33, p = 0.001)., Conclusion: Recurrence of AIH following transplant is frequent and is associated with younger age at LT, use of mycophenolate mofetil post-LT, sex mismatch and high IgG pre-LT. We demonstrate an association between disease recurrence and impaired graft and overall survival in patients with AIH, highlighting the importance of ongoing efforts to better characterize, prevent and treat recurrent AIH., Lay Summary: Recurrent autoimmune hepatitis following liver transplant is frequent and is associated with some recipient features and the type of immunosuppressive medications use. Recurrent autoimmune hepatitis negatively affects outcomes after liver transplantation. Thus, improved measures are required to prevent and treat this condition., Competing Interests: Conflicts of interest These authors disclose the following: A.J. Montano-Loza has served on advisory boards for Intercept Pharmaceuticals. B.E. Hansen reports grants from Intercept Pharmaceuticals and Zambon Nederland B.V. and consulting work for Intercept Pharmaceuticals and Novartis. A.E. Kremer reports consulting work for CymaBay, GSK, Intercept Pharmaceuticals, and Mirum and grants from Intercept Pharmaceuticals. A. Parés consults for Intercept and Novartis. A. Floreani reports consulting activities for Intercept Pharmaceuticals. A. Mason consults for, is on the speakers' bureau of, and received grants from Intercept. He received grants from Merk. The remaining authors disclose no conflicts. Please refer to the accompanying ICMJE disclosure forms for further details., (Copyright © 2022 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: A beneficial effect of bezafibrate (BZF) on symptoms and biochemical features of primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) has been reported in patients with an incomplete response to ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA), but long-term effects on survival remain unknown. In Japan, BZF has been used as a de facto second-line therapy for PBC since 2000. Herein, we compared the survival rates between patients treated with and those without BZF in a large nationwide Japanese PBC cohort., Methods: All consecutively registered patients of this cohort who started UDCA therapy from 2000 onwards and had a follow-up ≥1 year were included. Association between BZF exposure and mortality or need for liver transplantation (LT) was assessed using time-dependent, multivariable-and propensity score-adjusted Cox proportional hazards models. Clinical benefit was quantified using the number needed to treat (NNT)., Results: Of 3,908 eligible patients, 3,162 (81%) received UDCA only and 746 (19%) UDCA and BZF over 17,360 and 3,932 patient-years, respectively. During follow-up, 183 deaths (89 liver-related) and 21 LT were registered. Exposure to combination therapy was associated with a significant decrease in all-cause and liver-related mortality or need for LT (adjusted hazard ratios: 0.3253, 95% CI 0.1936-0.5466 and 0.2748, 95% CI 0.1336-0.5655, respectively; p <0.001 for both). This association was consistent across various risk groups at baseline. The NNTs with combination therapy to prevent 1 additional death or LT over 5, 10, and 15 years were 29 (95% CI 22-46), 14 (10-22), and 8 (6-15), respectively., Conclusions: In a large retrospective cohort study of treatment effects in patients with PBC, the addition of BZF to UDCA was associated with improved prognosis., Lay Summary: The long-term efficacy of bezafibrate (BZF) on liver transplantation (LT) - free survival in patients with PBC and an incomplete response to ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) remains to be determined. In this Japanese nationwide retrospective cohort study, the use of UDCA-BZF combination therapy, compared to UDCA alone, was associated with a lower risk of all-cause and liver-related mortality or need for LT. These results indicate that BZF is so far the only drug in PBC to have demonstrated efficacy in improving symptoms, biochemical markers, and long-term outcomes., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest Dr. A. Tanaka reports receiving consultant fees from EA Pharma, GlaxoSmithKline, and Gilead Sciences; B.E. Hansen receiving unrestricted grants and consultant fees from Intercept, Cymabay, Calliditas, Albireo, Mirum, and consultant fees from ChemoMab and Genfi; Dr. O. Chazouillères, receiving grant support from Aptalis, fees for teaching from Mayoly Spindler, consulting fees from Genfit, and fees for teaching and consulting fees from Intercept; Dr. C. Corpechot receiving grants from Arrow and Intercept France, consulting fees from Intercept France, Inventiva Pharma and Genkyotex, and fees for teaching from Intercept France and GlaxoSmithKline France; No other potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported. Please refer to the accompanying ICMJE disclosure forms for further details., (Copyright © 2021 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

While rare diseases collectively affect ~300 million people worldwide, the prevalence of each disease concerns a relatively small number of patients. Usually, only limited data with regard to natural history are available. Multicenter initiatives are needed to aggregate data and answer clinically relevant research questions. In 2017, we launched the NAtural course and Prognosis of PFIC and Effect of biliary Diversion (NAPPED) consortium. In three years, NAPPED created a global network focused on rare genetic liver diseases in the Progressive Familial Intrahepatic Cholestasis (PFIC) spectrum. During these years, we have learned important lessons which we feel should be taken into account when initiating and leading a global consortium. First, it is essential to 'keep it simple' from the start. Research questions, case report forms (CRFs) and data acquisition should be limited and clear to stay focused and keep the workload low for new participants. Secondly, early rewards and research output are needed to keep momentum and motivation. Quick output can only follow a clean and simple design. Thirdly, the leading team should be in touch and accessible. Ideally, an involved PhD-candidate is appointed as primary contact person. Lastly, be inclusive and actively involve all participants the consortium's course. Global consortia are critical for personalized medicine in rare diseases. Also, they are essential for setting up trials to investigate generic drugs and personalized therapies. We hope to herewith stimulate others that are starting (or are planning to start) a global consortium, ultimately to help improve the care for patients with a rare disease., (Copyright © 2021. Published by Elsevier Masson SAS.)

Background: Immunothrombosis and coagulopathy in the lung microvasculature may lead to lung injury and disease progression in coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). We aim to identify biomarkers of coagulation, endothelial function, and fibrinolysis that are associated with disease severity and may have prognostic potential., Methods: We performed a single-center prospective study of 14 adult COVID-19(+) intensive care unit patients who were age- and sex-matched to 14 COVID-19(-) intensive care unit patients, and healthy controls. Daily blood draws, clinical data, and patient characteristics were collected. Baseline values for 10 biomarkers of interest were compared between the three groups, and visualized using Fisher's linear discriminant function. Linear repeated-measures mixed models were used to screen biomarkers for associations with mortality. Selected biomarkers were further explored and entered into an unsupervised longitudinal clustering machine learning algorithm to identify trends and targets that may be used for future predictive modelling efforts., Results: Elevated D-dimer was the strongest contributor in distinguishing COVID-19 status; however, D-dimer was not associated with survival. Variable selection identified clot lysis time, and antigen levels of soluble thrombomodulin (sTM), plasminogen activator inhibitor-1 (PAI-1), and plasminogen as biomarkers associated with death. Longitudinal multivariate k-means clustering on these biomarkers alone identified two clusters of COVID-19(+) patients: low (30%) and high (100%) mortality groups. Biomarker trajectories that characterized the high mortality cluster were higher clot lysis times (inhibited fibrinolysis), higher sTM and PAI-1 levels, and lower plasminogen levels., Conclusions: Longitudinal trajectories of clot lysis time, sTM, PAI-1, and plasminogen may have predictive ability for mortality in COVID-19., (© 2021 International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis.)

Background: To date, only monoclonal antibodies have been shown to be effective for outpatients with COVID-19. Interferon lambda-1 is a type III interferon involved in innate antiviral responses with activity against respiratory pathogens. We aimed to investigate the safety and efficacy of peginterferon lambda in the treatment of outpatients with mild-to-moderate COVID-19., Methods: In this double-blind, placebo-controlled trial, outpatients with laboratory-confirmed COVID-19 were randomly assigned to a single subcutaneous injection of peginterferon lambda 180 μg or placebo within 7 days of symptom onset or first positive swab if asymptomatic. Participants were randomly assigned (1:1) using a computer-generated randomisation list created with a randomisation schedule in blocks of four. At the time of administration, study nurses received a sealed opaque envelope with the treatment allocation number. The primary endpoint was the proportion of patients who were negative for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) RNA on day 7 after the injection, analysed by a χ 2 test following an intention-to-treat principle. Prespecified analysis of the primary endpoint, adjusted for baseline viral load, using bivariate logistic regression was done. The trial is now complete. This trial is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04354259., Findings: Between May 18, and Sept 4, 2020, we recruited 30 patients per group. The decline in SARS-CoV-2 RNA was greater in those treated with peginterferon lambda than placebo from day 3 onwards, with a difference of 2·42 log copies per mL at day 7 (p=0·0041). By day 7, 24 (80%) participants in the peginterferon lambda group had an undetectable viral load, compared with 19 (63%) in the placebo group (p=0·15). After controlling for baseline viral load, patients in the peginterferon lambda group were more likely to have undetectable virus by day 7 than were those in the placebo group (odds ratio [OR] 4·12 [95% CI 1·15-16·73; p=0·029). Of those with baseline viral load above 10 6 copies per mL, 15 (79%) of 19 patients in the peginterferon lambda group had undetectable virus on day 7, compared with six (38%) of 16 in the placebo group (OR 6·25 [95% CI 1·49-31·06]; p=0·012). Peginterferon lambda was well tolerated, and adverse events were similar between groups with mild and transient aminotransferase, concentration increases more frequently observed in the peginterferon lambda group. Two individuals met the threshold of grade 3 increase, one in each group, and no other grade 3 or 4 laboratory adverse events were reported., Interpretation: Peginterferon lambda accelerated viral decline in outpatients with COVID-19, increasing the proportion of patients with viral clearance by day 7, particularly in those with high baseline viral load. Peginterferon lambda has potential to prevent clinical deterioration and shorten duration of viral shedding., Funding: The Toronto COVID-19 Action Initiative, University of Toronto, and the Ontario First COVID-19 Rapid Research Fund, Toronto General & Western Hospital Foundation., (Copyright © 2021 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: HCV-infected patients with cirrhosis achieve high sustained virological response (SVR) rates with direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) even after hepatic decompensation. We aimed to assess the clinical outcome following DAAs among patients with compensated and decompensated cirrhosis in relation to SVR and changes in model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score., Methods: Consecutive DAA-treated chronic HCV-infected patients with cirrhosis from 4 hepatology clinics were included. The primary endpoint in survival analyses was clinical disease progression, defined as liver failure, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplantation or death., Results: In total, 868 patients were included with a median age of 59 (IQR 54-65) years; 719 (83%) with Child-Pugh A cirrhosis and 149 (17%) with Child-Pugh B/C cirrhosis. SVR was attained by 647 (90%) Child-Pugh A patients and 120 (81%) Child-Pugh B/C patients. During a median follow-up of 28 (IQR 20-36) months, 102 (14%) Child-Pugh A patients and 96 (64%) Child-Pugh B/C patients experienced clinical disease progression. SVR was independently associated with an improved event-free survival in patients with Child-Pugh A cirrhosis (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.47; 95% CI 0.27-0.82, p = 0.007), but not in patients with Child-Pugh B/C cirrhosis (adjusted HR 1.23; 95% CI 0.67-2.26; p = 0.51). Twelve weeks post-DAAs, 28 (19%) patients with Child-Pugh B/C cirrhosis had ≥2-point MELD decline, but their 2-year event-free survival did not differ from those with a stable MELD (47.9%; 95% CI 28.7-67.1 vs. 48.9%; 95% CI 38.1-59.7, respectively, p = 0.99)., Conclusions: Among patients with chronic HCV infection, DAA-induced SVR was associated with a reduced risk of clinical disease progression in patients with Child-Pugh A cirrhosis but not in patients with Child-Pugh B/C cirrhosis. In Child-Pugh B/C cirrhosis, a ≥2-point MELD decline did not translate into improved clinical outcome., Lay Summary: Chronic HCV infection can be cured with antiviral therapy. In this study, we evaluated the long-term effects of antiviral therapy on liver-related complications in patients with cirrhosis. Our results suggest that patients with compensated cirrhosis who were cured of their HCV infection have a lower rate of complications. In contrast, the rate of complications was not related to virological cure among those with decompensated cirrhosis. While these patients seem to remain in need of liver transplantation, antiviral therapy may lower their priority on the liver transplantation waiting list., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest LK, RdM no disclosures. RM received financial compensation for consultancy from AbbVie. AR received grants from AbbVie, Allergen, Assembly, Celgene, Gilead Sciences and Janssen, grants from AbbVie Gilead Sciences, Janssen, Novartis, Merck, and Springbanks. MM BMS, Gilead, Merck (MSD) and AbbVie. MC received personal fees from Abbvie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead Sciences, Janssen-Cilag, Roche, Merck, MSD, Biogen, Falk Foundation, Boehringer Ingelheim, Siemens, and Spring Bank, grants from Roche. HW Grants and personal fees form Gilead Sciences, Abbott, Roche Diagnostics, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Novartis, Roche Diagnostics, Merck Sharp and Dohme, Eiger and Falk and Falk Foundation, personal pfees from Siemens and Janssen, investigator for transgene, non-financial support from MYR-GmbH. RJdK is a consultant and speaker for AbbVie, BMS, Gilead, Janssen, Merck, and Norgine and received grants from Abbvie, Gilead, Janssen, and BMS. HLAJ has received personal fees for consulting from Arbutus, Gilead, Janssen, MedImmune, Merck, Roche, Vir Biotechnology, Viral Clinics, Enyo, Arena, and GlaxoSmithKline, and research support from AbbVie, Arbutus, Bristol Myers Squibb, Gilead, Janssen, MedImmune, Merck, and Roche. BEH has received personal fees for consulting from Intercept, Cymabay, Mirum, Albireo, Chemomab, and Caliditas, and research support from Intercept, Cymabay, Mirum, and Albireo. JJF has received personal fees for consulting from AbbVie, Enanta, Gilead, Janssen, and Roche, and research funding from AbbVie, Abbott, Gilead, and FUJIFILM Wako Chemicals. AJM received financial compensation for lecture activities for Zambon and research funding from Gilead, MSD, AbbVie and Zambon All authors declare no competing interests. Please refer to the accompanying ICMJE disclosure forms for further details., (Copyright © 2020 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence after liver resection (LR) adversely affects prognosis but is difficult to predict. Aberrant expression of Polo-Like Kinase 4 (PLK-4) is implicated in several adult malignancies. We sought to evaluate the prognostic value of PLK-4 expression in HCC after curative-intent LR., Methods: Patients undergoing LR for HCC between July-2015 and November-2017 at our centre were retrospectively identified. PLK-4 expression was measured in tumour and adjacent non-tumour liver tissue using quantitative RT-PCR. Disease-free survival (DFS) was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier and Cox proportional hazard models., Results: A total of 145 patients were identified. Patients were divided according to PLK-4 expression (high: n = 58, low: n = 87) by generating a receiver operating characteristic curve for recurrence with an area under the curve of 0.72 (95% CI: 0.6-0.8). Recurrence and death rates were similar between groups. In patients without mVI, low PLK-4 expression was associated with worse actuarial DFS (low 1-, 3-, 5-year 83%, 60%, 47% vs. high 91%, 81%, 81%; p = 0.02). In patients without mVI, high PLK-4 expression was an independent predictor of survival (HR 0.3, 95% CI: 0.1-1.0; p = 0.04)., Conclusion: PLK-4 represents a biomarker for good prognosis in patients with HCC who do not have mVI. This could aid clinical decision making for adjuvant clinical trials., (Copyright © 2020 International Hepato-Pancreato-Biliary Association Inc. Published by Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: A recent study in Asian patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) reported that the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) was lower in patients treated with tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) than entecavir (ETV), but this finding remains controversial. We aimed to identify any differences in HCC incidence, or other patient outcomes, between patients receiving TDF or ETV in the well monitored, multicenter European PAGE-B cohort., Methods: We included 1,935 Caucasians with CHB, with or without compensated cirrhosis, treated with ETV (n = 772) or TDF (n = 1,163) monotherapy. Mean follow-up was 7.1 ± 3.0 years from ETV/TDF onset., Results: The 5-year cumulative HCC incidence was 5.4% in ETV- and 6.0% in TDF-treated patients (log-rank, p = 0.321), with no significant difference in any patient subgroup (with or without cirrhosis, naïve or experienced to oral antiviral(s) [total, with or without cirrhosis]). In multivariable Cox regression analyses, the hazard of HCC was similar between ETV- and TDF-treated patients after adjustment for several HCC risk factors. ETV- and TDF-treated patients had similar rates of on-therapy biochemical and virological remission, HBsAg loss, liver transplantation and/or death. Elastographic reversion of cirrhosis at year 5 (liver stiffness <12 kPa) was observed in 245/347 (70.6%) patients with pretreatment cirrhosis, being more frequent in TDF- than ETV- treated patients (73.8% vs. 61.5%, p = 0.038)., Conclusion: In Caucasian patients with CHB, with or without cirrhosis, long-term ETV or TDF monotherapy is associated with similar HCC risk, rates of biochemical/virological remission, HBsAg loss and liver transplantation or death, but elastographic reversion of cirrhosis at year 5 was more frequent with TDF., Lay Summary: In a large cohort of Caucasians with chronic hepatitis B treated with entecavir (ETV) or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) monotherapy, cumulative rates of hepatocellular carcinoma did not differ (up to 12 years). Nor did rates of biochemical/virological remission, HBsAg loss and liver transplantation or death. However, elastographic reversion of cirrhosis at year 5 was more frequent in TDF- than ETV-treated patients with pretreatment cirrhosis., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest GV Papatheodoridis: advisor/lecturer for Abbvie, Dicerna, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Ipsen, Janssen, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Roche, Spring Bank; research grants Abbvie, Gilead. GN Dalekos: advisor/lecturer for Abbvie, Bayer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, Janssen, Novartis, Roche; grant support from Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, Roche. R Idilman: Nothing to declare. V Sypsa: advisor/lecturer for Abbvie, Gilead, Janssen; research grants from Abbvie, Gilead. F van Boemmel: advisor/lecturer for Abbvie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, Janssen, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Novartis, Roche; research grants from Bristol- Myers Squibb, Gilead, Janssen, Roche, Siemens; consultant for Abbvie, Gilead, Roche. M Buti: advisor/lecturer for Abbvie, Arbutus, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, Glaxo Smith-Kleine, Merck, Roche, Spring Bank. JL Calleja: advisor/lecturer for Abbvie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, Janssen, Merck. J Goulis: advisor/lecturer for Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Roche; research grant from Bristol-Myers Squibb. S Manolakopoulos: advisor/lecturer for Abbvie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Novartis, Roche; grants from Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead. A Loglio: lecturer for Gilead, MYR Pharmaceuticals. M Papatheodoridi: Nothing to declare. N Gatselis: advisor for Gilead. R Veelken: Nothing to declare. M Lopez-Gomez: Nothing to declare. BE Hansen: Nothing to declare. S Savvidou: Nothing to declare. A Kourikou: Nothing to declare. I Vlachogiannakos: advisor/lecturer for Abbvie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Novartis, Roche. K Galanis: Nothing to declare. C Yurdaydin: speaker's bureau and/or advisor for AbbVie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, Merck, Roche; research grant from Bristol-Myers Squibb. R Esteban: advisor/lecturer for Abbvie, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Janssen, Merck, Novartis. HLA Janssen: consultant for and grants from AbbVie, Arbutus, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Enyo, Gilead Sciences, Janssen, Medimmune, Merck, Roche, Vir Biotechnology Inc., Viroclinics. T Berg: advisor/consultant/lecturer for Abbvie, Alexion, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Janssen, Merck Sharp & Dohme/Merck, Novartis, Roche, and Vertex; Research support from Abbvie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, Janssen, Merck Sharp & Dohme/Merck, Novartis and Roche. P Lampertico: speaking bureau/advisor for Abbvie, Eiger, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Merck/Merck Sharp & Dohme, MYR Pharma, Roche. Please refer to the accompanying ICMJE disclosure forms for further details., (Copyright © 2020 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background Mortality in acute respiratory failure remains high despite the use of lung-protective ventilation. Recent studies have shown an association between baseline ventilation parameters (driving pressure or mechanical power) and outcomes for patients with acute respiratory distress syndrome. Strategies focused on limiting these parameters have been proposed to further improve outcomes. However, it remains unknown whether driving pressure and mechanical power should be limited over the entire duration of mechanical ventilation and in all patients with acute respiratory failure. We aimed to estimate the association between exposure to different intensities of mechanical ventilation over time and intensive care unit (ICU) mortality in patients with acute respiratory failure., Methods: In this registry-based, prospective cohort study, we obtained data from the Toronto Intensive Care Observational Registry, which includes all patients receiving mechanical ventilation for 4 h or more in nine ICUs that are affiliated with the University of Toronto (Toronto, ON, Canada). We included all adult (≥18 years) patients who received invasive mechanical ventilation between April 11, 2014, and June 5, 2019. Patients were excluded if they received treatment with extracorporeal life support. The primary outcome was ICU mortality. Bayesian joint models were used to estimate the strength of associations, accounting for informative censoring due to death during follow-up., Findings: Of 13 939 patients recorded in the registry, 13 408 (96·2%) were eligible for descriptive analysis. The primary analysis comprised 7876 (58·7%) patients with complete baseline characteristics, and a secondary analysis included all 13 408 patients after multiple imputation in the joint model analysis. 2409 (18·0%) of 13 408 patients died in the ICU. After adjustment for baseline characteristics, including age and severity of illness, a significant increase in the hazard of death was found to be associated with each daily increment in driving pressure (hazard ratio 1·064, 95% credible interval 1·057-1·071) or mechanical power (hazard ratio 1·060, 95% credible interval 1·053-1·066). These associations persisted over the duration of mechanical ventilation., Interpretation: Cumulative exposure to higher intensities of mechanical ventilation was harmful, even for short durations. Limiting exposure to driving pressure or mechanical power should be evaluated in further studies as promising ventilation strategies to reduce mortality in patients with acute respiratory failure., Funding: Canadian Institutes of Health Research., (Copyright © 2020 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Recurrence of primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) after liver transplantation (LT) is frequent and can impair graft and patient survival. Ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) is the current standard therapy for PBC. We investigated the effect of preventive exposure to UDCA on the incidence and long-term consequences of PBC recurrence after LT., Methods: We performed a retrospective cohort study in 780 patients transplanted for PBC, between 1983-2017 in 16 centers (9 countries), and followed-up for a median of 11 years. Among them, 190 received preventive UDCA (10-15 mg/kg/day). The primary outcome was histological evidence of PBC recurrence. The secondary outcomes were graft loss, liver-related death, and all-cause death. The association between preventive UDCA and outcomes was quantified using multivariable-adjusted Cox and restricted mean survival time (RMST) models., Results: While recurrence of PBC significantly shortened graft and patient survival, preventive exposure to UDCA was associated with reduced risk of PBC recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.41; 95% CI 0.28-0.61; p <0.0001), graft loss (aHR 0.33; 95% CI 0.13-0.82; p <0.05), liver-related death (aHR 0.46; 95% CI 0.22-0.98; p <0.05), and all-cause death (aHR 0.69; 95% CI 0.49-0.96; p <0.05). On RMST analysis, preventive UDCA led to a survival gain of 2.26 years (95% CI 1.28-3.25) over a period of 20 years. Exposure to cyclosporine rather than tacrolimus had a complementary protective effect alongside preventive UDCA, reducing the cumulative incidence of PBC recurrence and all-cause death., Conclusions: Preventive UDCA after LT for PBC is associated with a reduced risk of disease recurrence, graft loss, and death. A regimen combining cyclosporine and preventive UDCA is associated with the lowest risk of PBC recurrence and mortality., Lay Summary: Recurrence of primary biliary cholangitis after liver transplantation is frequent and can impair graft and patient survival. We performed the largest international study of transplanted patients with primary biliary cholangitis to date. Preventive administration of ursodeoxycholic acid after liver transplantation was associated with reduced risk of disease recurrence, graft loss, liver-related and all-cause mortality. A regimen combining cyclosporine and preventive ursodeoxycholic acid was associated with the best outcomes., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest Dr. Corpechot reports receiving grants from Arrow and Intercept France, consulting fees from Intercept France, Inventiva Pharma and Genkyotex, and fees for teaching from Intercept France and GlaxoSmithKline France; Dr. Chazouillères, receiving grant support from Aptalis, fees for teaching from Mayoly Spindler, consulting fees from Genfit, and fees for teaching and consulting fees from Intercept; Dr. Schramm, receiving lecture fees from Falk Pharma; Dr. Reuken, receiving lecture fees from CSL Behring, consulting fees from Boston Scientific, and travel expenses from Merz Pharmaceuticals; Dr. Rauchfuss, receiving lecture fees from Chiesi, Novartis, Roche and Astellas; Dr. Verhelst, receiving travel grants from Falk Pharma; Dr. Bruns, receiving lecture fees from AbbVie, Norgine, Intercept Pharmaceuticals, and Falk Pharma, and consulting fees from Intercept Pharmaceuticals; Dr. Cazzagon receiving consulting fees from Intercept Pharmaceuticals. No other potential conflict of interest relevant to this article was reported. Please refer to the accompanying ICMJE disclosure forms for further details., (Copyright © 2020 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Mutations in ABCB11 can cause deficiency of the bile salt export pump (BSEP), leading to cholestasis and end-stage liver disease. Owing to the rarity of the disease, the associations between genotype and natural history, or outcomes following surgical biliary diversion (SBD), remain elusive. We aimed to determine these associations by assembling the largest genetically defined cohort of patients with severe BSEP deficiency to date., Methods: This multicentre, retrospective cohort study included 264 patients with homozygous or compound heterozygous pathological ABCB11 mutations. Patients were categorized according to genotypic severity (BSEP1, BSEP2, BSEP3). The predicted residual BSEP transport function decreased with each category., Results: Genotype severity was strongly associated with native liver survival (NLS, BSEP1 median 20.4 years; BSEP2, 7.0 years; BSEP3, 3.5 years; p <0.001). At 15 years of age, the proportion of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma was 4% in BSEP1, 7% in BSEP2 and 34% in BSEP3 (p = 0.001). SBD was associated with significantly increased NLS (hazard ratio 0.50; 95% CI 0.27-0.94: p = 0.03) in BSEP1 and BSEP2. A serum bile acid concentration below 102 μmol/L or a decrease of at least 75%, each shortly after SBD, reliably predicted NLS of ≥15 years following SBD (each p <0.001)., Conclusions: The genotype of severe BSEP deficiency strongly predicts long-term NLS, the risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma, and the chance that SBD will increase NLS. Serum bile acid parameters shortly after SBD can predict long-term NLS., Lay Summary: This study presents data from the largest genetically defined cohort of patients with severe bile salt export pump deficiency to date. The genotype of patients with severe bile salt export pump deficiency is associated with clinical outcomes and the success of therapeutic interventions. Therefore, genotypic data should be used to guide personalized clinical care throughout childhood and adulthood in patients with this disease., Competing Interests: Conflicts of interest Daan B.E. van Wessel: [nothing to disclose], Richard J. Thompson [consultancy for Shire, Albireo, Mirum, Horizon Pharmaceuticals, Sana Biotechnology, GenerationBio, Retrophin and Qing Bile Therapeutics], Emmanuel M. Gonzales [Consultant for CTRS and Mirum Pharmaceuticals], Irena Jankowska [nothing to disclose], Tassos Grammatikopoulos [nothing to disclose], Agustina Kadaristiana [nothing to disclose], Patryk Lipiński [nothing to disclose], Piotr Czubkowski [nothing to disclose], Nathalie Rock [nothing to disclose] Emmanuel Jacquemin [nothing to disclose], Anne Spraul [nothing to disclose], Etienne M. Sokal [founder and CSMO of Promethera Biosciences], Mohammad Shagrani [nothing to disclose], Dieter Broering [nothing to disclose], Talal Algoufi [nothing to disclose], Nejat Mazhar [nothing to disclose], Emanuele Nicastro [nothing to disclose] Deirdre Kelly [Consultant for Albireo], Gabriela Nebbia [nothing to disclose], Henrik Arnell [consultant for Albireo and Mirum Pharmaceuticals], Björn Fischler [has attended one advisory board meeting with Albireo in 2016], Jan Hulscher [nothing to disclose], Daniele Serranti [nothing to disclose], Cigdem Arikan [nothing to disclose], Esra Polat [nothing to disclose], Dominique Debray [consultant for Alexion pharmaceuticals], Florence Lacaille [nothing to disclose], Cristina Goncalves [nothing to disclose], Loreto Hierro [nothing to disclose], Gema Muñoz Bartolo [nothing to disclose], Yael Mozer-Glassberg [nothing to disclose], Amer Azaz [nothing to disclose], Jernej Brecelj [nothing to disclose], Antal Dezsőfi [nothing to disclose], Pier Luigi Calvo [nothing to disclose], Enke Grabhorn [nothing to disclose], Ekkehard Sturm [nothing to disclose] Wendy van der Woerd [nothing to disclose], Binita Kamath [consultant for Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Shire and DCI], Jian-She Wang [nothing to disclose], Liting Li [nothing to disclose], Özlem Durmaz [nothing to disclose], Zerrin Onal [nothing to disclose], Ton Bunt [nothing to disclose], Bettina Hansen [consultant for Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Albireo AB, Chemomab, Calliditas, Intercept, Cyma Bay, unrestricted grants from Cyma bay, Intercept, Mirum and Albireo], Henkjan J. Verkade [Consultant for Danone/Nutricia Research, Ausnutria BV, Albireo AB, GMP+Orphan, Mirum Pharmaceuticals, Intercept and Vivet]. Please refer to the accompanying ICMJE disclosure forms for further details., (Copyright © 2020 European Association for the Study of the Liver. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may develop in patients with chronic hepatitis (CHB) even after 5 years of oral therapy and cannot be easily predicted. We assessed predictors of HCC development and the need for HCC surveillance in this setting., Methods: Of 1,951 adult Caucasians with CHB included in the PAGE-B cohort, 1,427 (73%) had completed >5 years of follow-up under therapy without developing HCC by year 5. Median follow-up was 8.4 years from treatment onset. Points-based risk scores were developed to predict HCC risk after year 5., Results: In years 5-12, HCC was diagnosed in 33/1,427 (2.3%) patients with cumulative incidences of 2.4%, 3.2% and 3.8% at 8, 10 and 12 years, respectively. Older age or age >50 years, baseline cirrhosis and liver stiffness (LSM) ≥12 kPa at year 5 were independently associated with increased HCC risk. The HCC incidence was lower in non-cirrhotics than cirrhotics at baseline with year-5 LSM <12; among cirrhotics at baseline, it was lower in those with year-5 LSM <12 than ≥12 kPa. CAGE-B score was based on age at year 5 and baseline cirrhosis in relation to LSM at year 5 and SAGE-B score was based only on age and LSM at year 5 (c-index = 0.809-0.814, 0.805-0.806 after bootstrap validation). Both scores offered 100% negative predictive values for HCC development in their low risk groups., Conclusions: In Caucasians with CHB, the HCC risk after the first 5 years of antiviral therapy depends on age, baseline cirrhosis status and LSM at year 5. CAGE-B and particularly SAGE-B represent simple and reliable risk scores for HCC prediction and surveillance beyond year 5 of therapy., Lay Summary: In Caucasians with chronic hepatitis B, the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma after the first 5 years of entecavir or tenofovir therapy depends on age, baseline cirrhosis status and liver stiffness at year 5, which can provide simple and reliable risk scores for hepatocellular carcinoma prediction and surveillance beyond year 5. In patients with cirrhosis at baseline, liver stiffness <12 kPa at year 5 is associated with lower HCC risk, but surveillance may be still required., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest GV Papatheodoridis: advisor/lecturer for Abbvie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Dicerna, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Ipsen, Janssen, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Roche, Spring Bank; research grants Abbvie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead. V Sypsa: advisor/lecturer for Abbvie, Gilead; research grants from Abbvie, Gilead. GN Dalekos: advisor/lecturer for Abbvie, Bayer, Genkyotex, Gilead, Ipsen, Janssen, Novartis, Pfizer, Roche; research grants from Abbvie, Gilead. C Yurdaydin: speaker's bureau and/or advisor for AbbVie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, Merck, Roche; research grant from Bristol-Myers Squibb. F van Boemmel: advisor/lecturer for Abbvie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, Janssen, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Novartis, Roche; research grants from Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, Janssen, Roche, Siemens; consultant for Abbvie, Gilead, Roche. M Buti: advisor/lecturer for Abbvie, Arbutus, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, Glaxo Smith-Kleine, Merck, Roche, Spring Bank. JL Calleja: advisor/lecturer for Abbvie , Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, Janssen, Merck. H Chi: Nothing to declare. J Goulis: advisor/lecturer for Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Roche; research grant from Gilead. S Manolakopoulos: advisor/lecturer for Abbvie, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Ipsen, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Novartis, Roche; research grants from Abbvie, Gilead. A Loglio: advisor/lecturer for Gilead, MYR Pharma. T Voulgaris: Nothing to declare. N Gatselis: Nothing to declare. O Keskın: Nothing to declare. R Veelken: Nothing to declare. M Lopez-Gomez: Nothing to declare. BE Hansen: Nothing to declare. S Savvidou: Nothing to declare. A Kourikou: Nothing to declare. I Vlachogiannakos: advisor/lecturer for Abbvie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, Merck Sharp & Dohme, Novartis, Roche. K Galanis: Nothing to declare. R Idilman: Nothing to declare. R Esteban: advisor/lecturer for Abbvie, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Janssen, Merck, Novartis. HLA Janssen: consultant for and grants from AbbVie, Arbutus, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Enyo, Gilead Sciences, Janssen, Medimmune, Merck, Roche, Vir Biotechnology Inc., Viroclinics. T Berg: advisor/consultant/lecturer for Abbvie, Alexion, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Janssen, Merck Sharp & Dohme/Merck, Novartis, Roche, and Vertex; Research support from Abbvie, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, Janssen, Merck Sharp & Dohme/Merck, Novartis and Roche. P Lampertico: speaking bureau/advisor for Abbvie, Eiger, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Gilead, GlaxoSmithKline, Merck/Merck Sharp & Dohme, MYR Pharma, Roche. Please refer to the accompanying ICMJE disclosure forms for further details., (Copyright © 2020 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Recently the Amsterdam-Oxford model (AOM) was introduced as a prognostic model to assess the risk of death and/or liver transplantation (LT) in primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC). We aimed to validate and assess the utility of the AOM., Methods: Clinical and laboratory data were collected from the time of PSC diagnosis until the last visit or time of LT or death. The AOM was calculated at yearly intervals following PSC diagnosis. Discriminatory performance was assessed by calculation of the C-statistic and prediction accuracy by comparing the predicted survival with the observed survival in Kaplan-Meier estimates. A grid search was performed to identify the most discriminatory AOM threshold., Results: A total of 534 patients with PSC and a mean (SD) age of 39.2 (13.1) years were included. The diagnosis was large duct PSC in 466 (87%), PSC with features of autoimmune hepatitis in 52 (10%) and small-duct PSC in 16 (3%). During the median (IQR) follow-up of 7.8 (4.0-12.6) years, 167 patients underwent LT and 65 died. The median LT-free survival was 13.2 (11.8-14.7) years. The C-statistic of the AOM ranged from 0.67 at baseline to 0.75 at 5 years of follow-up. The difference between the predicted and observed survival ranged from -1.6% at 1 year to + 3.9% at 5 years of follow-up. Patients that developed AOM scores >2.0 were at significant risk of LT or death (time-dependent hazard ratio 4.09; 95% CI 2.99-5.61)., Conclusions: In this large cohort of patients with PSC, the AOM showed an adequate discriminative performance and good prediction accuracy at PSC diagnosis and during follow-up. This study further validates the AOM as a valuable risk stratification tool in PSC and extends its utility., Lay Summary: In our study we assessed whether the Amsterdam-Oxford model (AOM) is able to correctly estimate the risk of liver transplantation or death in patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC). This model uses 7 objective and readily available variables to estimate prognosis for individual patients at the time of PSC diagnosis. The AOM may aid in patient counselling and timing of diagnostic procedures or therapeutic interventions for complications of liver disease. We confirm that the model works well at PSC diagnosis, but also when the AOM is recalculated at different timepoints during follow-up, greatly improving the applicability of the model in clinical practice and for individual patients., (Copyright © 2019 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: The clinical efficacy of ursodeoxycholic acid (UDCA) in primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) remains subject to debate as definitive randomized controlled trials are lacking. We aimed to determine whether UDCA prolongs liver transplant (LT)-free survival in patients with PBC., Methods: This international cohort study included patients from the Global PBC Study Group database, originating from 8 countries in Europe and North America. Both UDCA-treated and untreated patients were included. LT and death were assessed as a combined endpoint through Cox regression analyses, with inverse probability treatment weighting (IPTW)., Results: In the 3,902 patients included, the mean (SD) age was 54.3 (11.9) years, 3,552 patients (94.0%) were female, 3,529 patients (90.4%) were treated with UDCA and 373 patients (9.6%) were not treated. The median (interquartile range) follow-up was 7.8 (4.1-12.1) years. In total, 721 UDCA-treated patients and 145 untreated patients died or underwent LT. After IPTW, the 10-year cumulative LT-free survival was 79.7% (95% CI 78.1-81.2) among UDCA-treated patients and 60.7% (95% CI 58.2-63.4) among untreated patients (p <0.001). UDCA was associated with a statistically significant reduced risk of LT or death (hazard ratio 0.46, 95% CI 0.40-0.52; p <0.001). The hazard ratio remained statistically significant in all stages of disease. Patients classified as inadequate biochemical responders after 1 year of UDCA had a lower risk of LT or death than patients who were not treated (adjusted hazard ratio 0.56; 95% CI 0.45-0.69; p <0.001)., Conclusion: The use of UDCA improves LT-free survival among patients with PBC, regardless of the disease stage and the observed biochemical response. These findings support UDCA as the current universal standard of care in PBC., Lay Summary: In this international multicenter study of 3,902 patients with primary biliary cholangitis, we found that treatment with ursodeoxycholic acid is associated with prolonged liver transplant-free survival. This association was significant, irrespective of sex, age, or disease stage. The survival benefit remained statistically significant in patients with an incomplete biochemical response to ursodeoxycholic acid therapy., (Copyright © 2019 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: There are conflicting reports on the outcomes after live donor liver transplantation in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). We aimed to compare the survival of patients with HCC, with a potential live donor (pLDLT) at listing vs. no potential donor (pDDLT), on an intention-to-treat basis., Methods: All patients with HCC listed for liver transplantation between 2000-2015 were included. The pLDLT group was comprised of recipients with a potential live donor identified at listing. Patients without a live donor were included in the pDDLT group. Survival was assessed by the Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariable Cox regression was applied to identify potential predictors of mortality., Results: A total of 219 patients were included in the pLDLT group and 632 patients in the pDDLT group. In the pLDLT group, 57 patients (26%) were beyond the UCSF criteria whereas 119 patients (19%) in the pDDLT group were beyond (p = 0.02). Time on the waiting list was shorter for the pLDLT than the pDDLT group (4.8 [2.9-8.5] months vs. 6.2 [3.0-12.0] months, respectively, p = 0.02). The dropout rate was 32/219 (14.6%) in the pLDLT and 174/632 (27.5%) in the pDDLT group, p <0.001. The 1-, 3- and 5-year intention-to-treat survival rates were 86%, 72% and 68% in the pLDLT vs. 82%, 63% and 57% in the pDDLT group, p = 0.02. Having a potential live donor was a protective factor for death (hazard ratio [HR] 0.67; 95% CI 0.53-0.86). Waiting times of 9-12 months (HR 1.53; 95% CI 1.02-2.31) and ≥12 months (HR 1.69; 95% CI 1.23-2.32) were predictors of death., Conclusion: Having a potential live donor at listing was associated with a significant decrease in the risk of death in patients with HCC in this intention-to-treat analysis. This benefit is related to a lower dropout rate and a shorter waiting period., Lay Summary: Liver transplantation (LT) offers the best chance of survival for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma and can be performed using grafts from deceased donors or live donors. In this work, we aimed to assess the differences in survival after live donor LT when compared to deceased donor LT. We studied 219 patients listed for live donor LT and 632 patients listed for deceased donor LT. Patients who had a potential live donor at the time of listing had a higher survival rate. Therefore, being listed for a live donor LT was a protective factor against death., (Copyright © 2019 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: The effects of long-term antiviral therapy on survival have not been adequately assessed in chronic hepatitis B (CHB). In this 10-centre, ongoing cohort study, we evaluated the probability of survival and factors affecting survival in Caucasian CHB patients who received long-term entecavir/tenofovir therapy., Methods: We included 1,951 adult Caucasians with CHB, with or without compensated cirrhosis and without hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) at baseline, who received entecavir/tenofovir for ≥12 months (median, six years). Kaplan-Meier estimates of cumulative survival over time were obtained. Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) were calculated by comparing death rates with those in the Human Mortality Database., Results: The one-, five-, and eight-year cumulative probabilities were 99.7, 95.9, and 94.1% for overall survival, 99.9, 98.3, and 97.4% for liver-related survival, and 99.9, 97.8, and 95.8% for transplantation-free liver-related survival, respectively. Overall mortality was independently associated with older age and HCC development, liver-related mortality was associated with HCC development only, and transplantation-free liver-related mortality was independently associated with HCC development and lower platelet levels at baseline. Baseline cirrhosis was not independently associated with any type of mortality. Compared with the general population, in all CHB patients mortality was not significantly different (SMR 0.82), whereas it was lower in patients without HCC regardless of baseline cirrhosis (SMR 0.58) and was higher in patients who developed HCC (SMR 3.09)., Conclusion: Caucasian patients with CHB and compensated liver disease who receive long-term entecavir/tenofovir therapy have excellent overall and liver-related eight-year survival, which is similar to that of the general population. HCC is the main factor affecting their overall mortality, and is the only factor affecting their liver-related mortality., Lay Summary: Caucasian patients with chronic hepatitis B with or without compensated cirrhosis who receive long-term entecavir or tenofovir therapy have excellent overall eight-year survival, which is similar to that of the general population. Hepatocellular carcinoma is the main factor affecting their overall mortality, and is the only factor affecting liver-related mortality in this setting., (Copyright © 2018 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Primary biliary cholangitis (PBC) is a slowly progressive chronic cholestatic liver disease that, in a subgroup of patients, may result in liver failure or death. The definition of specific risk profiles, i.e. risk stratification, is of critical importance for the identification of these subgroups and thereby the targeting of care. Over the last few years large multicentre cohort studies have improved our knowledge regarding factors associated with progressive disease. Stratification based on biochemical response to ursodoxycholic acid provides a readily available measure to identify groups that might benefit from additional therapies to further improve prognosis. In addition, serum total bilirubin and alkaline phosphatase are now considered the most robustly validated biomarkers of long-term outcome in PBC and are used as endpoints in clinical trials. The GLOBE score and UK-PBC risk score enable us to quantify the risk of future events for the individual patient, allowing more individualized risk prediction. In this review, we discuss both established prognostic factors and newly developed tools to estimate prognosis in PBC, highlighting their strengths, limitations and applicability in clinical practice., (Copyright © 2018 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Current guidelines recommend biannual surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in all patients with cirrhosis, regardless of etiology. However, HCC incidence is not well established for many causes of cirrhosis. We aimed to assess the disease-specific incidence of HCC in a large cohort of patients with cirrhosis and to develop a scoring system to predict HCC risk., Methods: A derivation cohort of patients with cirrhosis diagnosed by biopsy or non-invasive measures was identified through retrospective chart review. The disease-specific incidence of HCC was calculated according to etiology of cirrhosis. Factors associated with HCC were identified through multivariable Cox regression and used to develop a scoring system to predict HCC risk. The scoring system was evaluated in an external cohort for validation., Results: Of 2,079 patients with cirrhosis and ≥6months follow-up, 226 (10.8%) developed HCC. The 10-year cumulative incidence of HCC varied by etiologic category from 22% in patients with viral hepatitis, to 16% in those with steatohepatitis and 5% in those with autoimmune liver disease (p<0.001). By multivariable Cox regression, age, sex, etiology and platelets were associated with HCC. Points were assigned in proportion to each hazard ratio to create the Toronto HCC Risk Index (THRI). The 10-year cumulative HCC incidence was 3%, 10% and 32% in the low-risk (<120points), medium-risk (120-240) and high-risk (>240) groups respectively, values that remained consistent after internal validation. External validation was performed on a cohort of patients with primary biliary cirrhosis, hepatitis B viral and hepatitis C viral cirrhosis (n=1,144), with similar predictive ability (Harrell's c statistic 0.77) in the validation and derivation cohorts., Conclusion: HCC incidence varies markedly by etiology of cirrhosis. The THRI, using readily available clinical and laboratory parameters, has good predictive ability for HCC in patients with cirrhosis, and has been validated in an external cohort. This risk score may help to guide recommendations regarding HCC surveillance among patients with cirrhosis., Lay Summary: HCC incidence varies markedly depending on the underlying cause of cirrhosis. Herein, using readily available clinical and laboratory parameters we describe a risk score, THRI, which has a good predictive ability for HCC in patients with cirrhosis, and has been validated in an external cohort. This risk score may help to guide recommendations regarding HCC surveillance among patients with cirrhosis., (Copyright © 2017 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Coffee and tea have been proposed to limit the progression of liver fibrosis in established liver disease, but it is unknown if this is also true for subclinical fibrosis. We therefore aimed to evaluate whether coffee and tea consumption are associated with liver stiffness in the general population., Methods: The Rotterdam Study is an ongoing prospective population-based cohort. We included participants who underwent transient elastography, ultrasound and completed a food frequency questionnaire. Coffee and tea consumption were categorized into no, moderate (>0-3), or frequent (⩾3) intake (cups/day), and tea further into green, black and herbal tea (no/any). Significant fibrosis was defined as liver stiffness measurements (LSM) ⩾8.0kPa. We performed regression analyses relating coffee and tea intake with fibrosis, steatosis and log-transformed LSM and adjusted for energy, sugar and creamer intake, age, gender, BMI, steatosis/LSM, HOMA-IR, ALT, alcohol, smoking, soda, healthy diet index and physical activity., Results: We included 2,424 participants (age 66.5±7.4; 43% male) of whom 5.2% had LSM ⩾8.0kPa and 34.6% steatosis. Proportion of LSM ⩾8.0kPa decreased with higher coffee consumption (7.8%, 6.9% and 4.1% for no, moderate and frequent respectively; P trend =0.006). This inverse association was confirmed in multivariable regression (OR mod 0.75, 95% CI 0.33-1.67; OR freq 0.39, 95% CI 0.18-0.86; p=0.005). Amongst tea consumers, only herbal tea consumers (36.3%) had lower log-transformed LSM after adjustment (Beta-0.05, 95% CI-0.08;-0.02, p=0.001). Subtypes of tea were associated with steatosis in univariate but not multivariable analysis., Conclusions: In the general population, frequent coffee and herbal tea consumption were inversely related with liver stiffness but not steatosis. Longitudinal analyses, as well as studies validating and unravelling underlying mechanisms are needed., Lay Summary: The Rotterdam Study is a large ongoing population study of suburban inhabitants of Rotterdam in whom data on liver stiffness, as proxy for liver fibrosis, presence of fatty liver on ultrasound and detailed information on coffee and tea consumption were obtained in 2,424 participants. The consumption of herbal tea and daily consumption of three or more cups of coffee was related to the presence of lower liver stiffness, independent of a great number of other lifestyle and environmental factors. Previous studies have found a protective effect of coffee on established liver disease and we now show for the first time that this effect is already measurable in the general population., (Copyright © 2017 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is reduced but not eradicated among patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-induced advanced hepatic fibrosis who attained sustained viral response (SVR). We aimed to assess the risk of cirrhosis-related complications in this specific group of patients., Methods: Data from previously reported Western cohort studies including patients with chronic HCV infection and bridging fibrosis or cirrhosis who attained SVR were pooled for survival analyses on the individual patient level. The primary endpoint was HCC and the secondary endpoint was clinical disease progression, defined as liver failure, HCC or death., Results: Included were 1000 patients with SVR. Median age was 52.7 (IQR 45.1-59.7) years, 676 (68%) were male and 842 (85%) had cirrhosis. Median follow-up was 5.7 (IQR 2.9-8.0) years. Fifty-one patients developed HCC and 101 had clinical disease progression. The cumulative 8-year HCC incidence was 1.8 (95% CI 0.0-4.3) among patients with bridging fibrosis and 8.7% (95% CI 6.0-11.4) among those with cirrhosis (p=0.058). Within the cirrhosis group, the 8-year HCC incidence was 2.6% (95% CI 0.0-5.5) among patients <45years, 9.7% (95% CI 5.8-13.6) among patients from 45-60years, and 12.2% (95% CI 5.3-19.1) among patients >60years of age at start of therapy (p=0.006). Multivariable Cox analyses indicated that higher age, lower platelet count and diabetes mellitus were independently associated with development of HCC. After 8years 4.2% (95% CI 0.1-8.3) of patients with bridging fibrosis and 15.8% (95% CI 12.3-19.3) of patients with cirrhosis experienced clinical disease progression (p=0.007)., Conclusions: Patients with HCV-induced cirrhosis and SVR showed an annual risk of approximately 1% for HCC and 2% for clinical disease progression. Therefore, to prevent HCC surveillance, chronic HCV infection should preferably be treated before cirrhosis has developed., Lay Summary: Patients with cirrhosis who were able to eradicate their chronic HCV infection remain at substantial risk of primary liver cancer. The risk of liver cancer increases with higher age, laboratory makers suggesting more severe liver disease, and presence of diabetes mellitus. Also after successful antiviral therapy patients with HCV-induced cirrhosis should thus remain included in follow-up for early detection of liver cancer., (Copyright © 2016 European Association for the Study of the Liver. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Co-inhibitory receptor-ligand interactions fine-tune immune responses by negatively regulating T cell functions. Our aim is to examine the involvement of co-inhibitory receptor-ligand pair PD-1/PD-L1 in regulating rejection after liver transplantation (LT) in humans., Methods: PD-L1/PD-1 expression in liver allograft was determined by immunohistochemistry or flow cytometry, and the effect of blockade was studied using graft-infiltrating T cells ex vivo. Five single nucleotide polymorphisms within PD-1 and PD-L1 genes were genotyped in 528 LT recipients and 410 donors, and associations with both early (⩽6months) and late (>6months) acute rejection were analyzed using Cox proportional-hazards regression model. The effect of PD-L1 rs4143815 on PD-L1 expression was analyzed using donor hepatic leukocytes., Results: PD-L1 was expressed by hepatocytes, cholangiocytes and along the sinusoids in post-transplant liver allografts, and PD-1 was abundantly expressed on allograft-infiltrating T cells. PD-L1 blockade enhanced allogeneic proliferative responses of graft-infiltrating T cells. In the genetic association analysis, donor PD-L1 rs4143815 (CC/CG vs. GG; HR=0.230; p=0.002) and recipient PD-1 rs11568821 (AA/AG vs. GG; HR=3.739; p=0.004) were associated with acute rejection late after LT in multivariate analysis. Recipients carrying the PD-1 rs11568821 A allele who were transplanted with liver grafts of PD-L1 rs4143815 GG homozygous donors showed the highest risk for late acute rejection. PD-L1 rs4143815 is associated with differential PD-L1 expression on donor hepatic dendritic cells upon IFN-γ stimulation., Conclusion: Our data suggest that interplay between donor PD-L1 and recipient PD-1 counter-regulates rejection activity against liver grafts in humans., (Copyright © 2016 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Risk scores for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) developed in Asians offer poor-moderate predictability in Caucasian patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). This nine center cohort study aimed to develop and validate an accurate HCC risk score in Caucasian CHB patients treated with the current oral antivirals, entecavir/tenofovir., Methods: We included 1815 adult Caucasians with CHB and no HCC at baseline who received entecavir/tenofovir for ⩾12 months. Using data from eight centers (derivation dataset, n=1325), a HCC risk score was developed based on multivariable Cox models and points system for simplification. Harrell's c-index was used as discrimination, bootstrap for internal validation and the data from the 9(th) and largest center (validation dataset, n=490) for external validation., Results: The 5-year cumulative HCC incidence rates were 5.7% and 8.4% in the derivation and validation dataset, respectively. In the derivation dataset, age, gender, platelets and cirrhosis were independently associated with HCC. The PAGE-B score was developed based on age, gender and platelets (c-index=0.82, 0.81 after bootstrap validation). The addition of cirrhosis did not substantially improve the discrimination (c-index=0.84). The predictability of PAGE-B score was similar (c-index=0.82) in the validation dataset. Patients with PAGE-B ⩽9, 10-17, ⩾18 had 5-year cumulative HCC incidence rates of 0%, 3%, 17% in the derivation and 0%, 4%, 16% in the validation dataset., Conclusion: PAGE-B, which is based only on baseline patients' age, gender and platelets, represents a simple and reliable score for prediction of the 5-year HCC risk in Caucasian CHB patients under entecavir/tenofovir., (Copyright © 2015 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: The coagulation system is known to be involved in fibrogenesis in patients with liver disease. We investigated whether common genetic prothrombotic risk factors are associated with an increased risk of fibrosis in the general population., Methods: This investigation was part of the Rotterdam Study, an ongoing, population-based cohort study. Liver stiffness (LS) was measured using transient elastography (Fibroscan) and associated with single nucleotide polymorphisms determining blood group type and presence of the Factor V Leiden (FVL) mutation or prothrombin G20210A gene variant., Results: Reliable LS measurements and genetic data were obtained from 1055 Caucasian participants. LS ⩾8.0 kPa, suggestive of clinically relevant fibrosis, was observed in 101 subjects (9.6%). Presence of FVL or prothrombin G20210A was independently associated with an increased risk of LS ⩾8.0 kPa (OR 2.09, 95%CI 1.07-4.07, p=0.03). Combination of blood group type non-O and the FVL mutation or prothrombin G20210A variant resulted in an even higher risk of LS ⩾8.0 kPa (OR 3.36, 95%CI 1.50-7.56, p=0.003). Presence of the FVL mutation or prothrombin G20210A variant in participants with blood group non-O was associated with a predicted probability of 14.3% (7.7-23.8) of LS ⩾8.0 kPa., Conclusions: Participants carrying the FVL mutation or prothrombin G20210A variant have an increased risk of clinically relevant liver fibrosis, which is even higher in blood group type non-O carriers. The fact that genetic prothrombotic risk factors are associated with an increased risk of liver fibrosis suggests that coagulation plays an important role in fibrogenesis in the general population., (Copyright © 2015 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

In the treatment of chronic hepatitis B (CHB), the ultimate goal is preventing hepatitis B virus (HBV)-associated liver disease, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Recently published studies show that in CHB patients treated with the currently recommended first-line nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) entecavir or tenofovir, annual HCC incidences range from 0.01% to 1.4% in non-cirrhotic patients, and from 0.9% to 5.4% in those with cirrhosis. In Asian studies including matched untreated controls, current NA therapy consistently resulted in a significantly lower HCC incidence in patients with cirrhosis, amounting to an overall HCC risk reduction of ∼30%; in non-cirrhotic patients, HCC risk reduction was overall ∼80%, but this was only observed in some studies. For patients of Caucasian origin, no appropriate comparative studies are available to date to evaluate the impact of NA treatment on HCC. Achievement of a virologic response under current NA therapy was associated with a lower HCC risk in Asian, but not Caucasian studies. Studies comparing entecavir or tenofovir with older NAs generally found no difference in HCC risk reduction between agents, except for one study which used no rescue therapy in patients developing lamivudine resistance. Overall, these data indicate that with the current, potent NAs, HCC risk can be reduced but not eliminated, probably due to risk factors that are not amenable to change by antiviral therapy, or events that may have taken place before treatment initiation. Validated pre- and on-therapy HCC risk calculators that inform the best practice for HCC surveillance and facilitate patient counseling would be of great practical value., (Copyright © 2015 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in Caucasian patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB), treated with entecavir (ETV) or tenofovir (TDF), is unclear. We evaluated the incidence and predictors of HCC and the accuracy of existing HCC risk scores in Caucasian CHB patients receiving ETV/TDF., Methods: This large, multicentre, retrospective cohort study included 1666 adult Caucasian CHB patients under ETV/TDF for 39 months. CHB without cirrhosis, compensated and decompensated cirrhosis were present in 67%, 39%, and 3% of patients, respectively. The predictability of baseline parameters and three risk scores (GAG-HCC, CU-HCC, and REACH-B), developed in Asian patients, was assessed., Results: The cumulative probability of HCC was 1.3%, 3.4%, and 8.7% at year-1, year-3, and year-5 after ETV/TDF onset. Older age and lower platelets were strong independent HCC predictors in the total population and in the subgroups of cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic patients, while liver disease severity was an independent HCC predictor in the total population and in the cirrhotics. GAG-HCC, CU-HCC, and REACH-B risk scores were associated with HCC development only in the univariable but not in the multivariable analyses and offered poor to modest predictability., Conclusions: HCC can still develop in Caucasian CHB patients treated with ETV/TDF. Besides the well-known predictors of HCC, such as older age, male gender and more advanced liver disease, lower platelets represent an independent factor of higher HCC risk. The applicability and predictability of HCC risk scores developed in Asian patients are poor or modest in Caucasian CHB patients, for whom different risk scores are required., (Copyright © 2014 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Pegylated interferon is still the backbone of hepatitis C treatment and may cause thrombocytopenia, leading to dose reductions, early discontinuation, and eventually worse clinical outcome. We assessed associations between interferon-induced thrombocytopenia and bleeding complications, interferon dose reductions, early treatment discontinuation, as well as SVR and long-term clinical outcome., Methods: All consecutive patients with chronic HCV infection and biopsy-proven advanced hepatic fibrosis (Ishak 4-6) who initiated interferon-based therapy between 1990 and 2003 in 5 large hepatology units in Europe and Canada were included., Results: Overall, 859 treatments were administered to 546 patients. Baseline platelets (in 10(9)/L) were normal (⩾150) in 394 (46%) treatments; thrombocytopenia was moderate (75-149) in 324 (38%) and severe (<75) in 53 (6%) treatments. Thrombocytopenia-induced interferon dose reductions occurred in 3 (1%); 46 (16%), and 15 (30%) treatments respectively (p<0.001); interferon was discontinued due to thrombocytopenia in 1 (<1%), 8 (3%), and in 8 (16%) treatments respectively (p<0.001). In total, 104 bleeding events were reported during 53 treatments. Only two severe bleeding complications occurred. Multivariate analysis showed that cirrhosis and a platelet count below 50 were associated with on-treatment bleeding. Within thrombocytopenic patients, patients attaining SVR had a lower occurrence of liver failure (p<0.001), hepatocellular carcinoma (p<0.001), liver related death or liver transplantation (p<0.001), and all-cause mortality (p=0.001) compared to patients without SVR., Conclusions: Even in thrombocytopenic patients with chronic HCV infection and advanced hepatic fibrosis, on-treatment bleedings are generally mild. SVR was associated with a marked reduction in cirrhosis-related morbidity and mortality, especially in patients with baseline thrombocytopenia., (Copyright © 2014 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

While patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection are treated in order to prevent liver-related morbidity and mortality, we rely on sustained virological response (SVR) as a virological biomarker to evaluate treatment efficacy in both clinical practice as well as in drug development. However, conclusive evidence for the clinical benefit of antiviral therapy or validity of SVR as surrogate marker, as derived from trials randomizing patients to a treatment or control arm, is lacking. In fact, the Hepatitis C Antiviral Long-term Treatment Against Cirrhosis (HALT-C) trial recently showed an increased mortality rate among interferon-treated patients compared to untreated controls. Consequently, the recommendation to treat patients with chronic HCV infection was challenged. Here, we argue that the possible harmful effect of long-term low-dose pegylated interferon mono therapy, as was observed in the HALT-C trial cohort, cannot be extrapolated to potentially curative short-term treatment regimens. Furthermore, we discuss SVR as a surrogate biomarker, based on numerous studies which indicated an association between SVR and improvements in health-related quality of life, hepatic inflammation and fibrosis, and portal pressure as well as a reduced risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver failure and mortality., (Copyright © 2013. Published by Elsevier B.V.)

Background & Aims: Ischemic-type biliary lesions (ITBL) are the second most common cause of graft loss after liver transplantation. Though the exact pathophysiology of ITBL is unknown, bile duct injury during graft preservation is considered to be a major cause. Here we investigated whether the release of cholangiocyte-derived microRNAs (CDmiRs) during graft preservation is predictive of the development of ITBL after liver transplantation., Methods: Graft preservation solutions (perfusates) and paired liver biopsies collected at the end of cold ischemia were analysed by RT-qPCR for CDmiR-30e, CDmiR-222, and CDmiR-296 and hepatocyte-derived miRNAs (HDmiRs) HDmiR-122 and HDmiR-148a. MicroRNAs in perfusates were evaluated on their stability by incubation and fractionation experiments. MicroRNA profiles in perfusates from grafts that developed ITBL (n=20) and grafts without biliary strictures (n=37) were compared., Results: MicroRNAs in perfusates were proven to be stable and protected against degradation by interacting proteins. Ratios between HDmiRs/CDmiRs were significantly higher in perfusates obtained from grafts that developed ITBL (p<0.01) and were identified as an independent risk factor by multivariate analysis (p<0.01, HR: 6.89). The discriminative power of HDmiRs/CDmiRs in perfusates was validated by analysis of separate brain death- (DBD) and cardiac death donors (DBD; p ≤ 0.016) and was superior to expression in liver biopsies (C=0.77 in perfusates vs. C<0.50 in biopsies)., Conclusions: This study demonstrates that differential release of CDmiRs during graft preservation is predictive of the development of ITBL after liver transplantation. This provides new evidence for the link between graft-related bile duct injury and the risk for later development of ITBL., (Copyright © 2013 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Serum levels of interferon-gamma inducible protein 10 (IP-10) are a marker for immune activity, and may predict response to peginterferon (PegIFN) therapy in chronic hepatitis B., Methods: IP-10 was measured at baseline and on-treatment week 12 in 210 HBeAg-positive patients treated with PegIFN for 52 weeks. Response to treatment was assessed at 6 months post-treatment and defined as HBeAg loss, combined response (HBeAg loss with HBV DNA <10,000 c/ml) or HBsAg loss., Results: Median baseline IP-10 levels were 158 pg/ml. Higher baseline IP-10 was associated with more HBV DNA, HBeAg and HBsAg decline from week 4 onwards, and IP-10 was higher in patients who achieved HBeAg loss (p=0.001) and combined response (p=0.052). A combination of high IP-10 (>150 pg/ml) with absence of precore (PC) and core promoter (BCP) mutants strongly predicted combined response and HBsAg loss: 48% of patients with high IP-10 and no detectable mutants achieved a combined response (p<0.001). A minimal non-significant decline from baseline was observed to week 12 (0.015 log pg/ml, p=0.52 compared to baseline), but decline was somewhat more pronounced in patients who achieved HBeAg loss (0.05 logpg/ml, versus an increase of 0.05 in patients without HBeAg loss, p=0.04)., Conclusions: Higher pre-treatment IP-10 levels are associated with an increased probability of HBeAg loss after PegIFN therapy. A combination of high baseline IP-10 and absence of PC and BCP mutants identified patients with the highest probability of combined response and HBsAg loss. There appears little use for on-treatment quantification of IP-10 for prediction of response to PegIFN., (Copyright © 2013. Published by Elsevier B.V.)

Hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg) levels may predict response to peginterferon (PEG-IFN) but are also influenced by presence of precore (PC) and core promoter (BCP) mutants. HBeAg was measured in 214 patients treated with PEG-IFN±lamivudine for 52weeks. Patients were classified at baseline as wildtype (WT) or non-WT (detectable PC/BCP mutants). Combined response (HBeAg loss with HBV DNA<2000IU/mL), HBeAg response (HBeAg loss with HBV DNA>2000IU/mL) or non-response was assessed at week78. Mean baseline HBeAg levels were 2.65logIU/mL in combined responders, 2.48 in non-responders and 2.24 in HBeAg responders (p=0.034). Baseline HBeAg levels were not associated with combined response after stratification by WT/non-WT. Within the PEG-IFN monotherapy group (n=104), patients with HBeAg<1logIU/mL at week24 had a higher probability of combined response (29% versus 12%, p=0.041). After stratification by WT/non-WT, WT patients with HBeAg<1logIU/mL at week24 had a probability of combined response of 78% (versus 19% in patients with >1logIU/mL, p<0.001), whereas no difference in response rates was observed in non-WT patients (p=0.848). The relationship between HBeAg levels and response to PEG-IFN depends upon the presence of PC/BCP mutants. HBeAg levels should therefore not be routinely used to select patients for PEG-IFN, nor for monitoring of therapy., (Copyright © 2013 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: The prevalence of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) appears to increase with age. However, limited data are available concerning the prevalence of NAFLD in the elderly. Our aim was to determine the prevalence and risk factors of NAFLD in an elderly population., Methods: This study was based on participants in the population-based Rotterdam Study. Each participant was interviewed and had a clinical examination at the research center, including a fasting blood collection, liver ultrasonography, and anthropometric assessment. Ordinal and logistic regression analysis was used to assess associations between covariables and (severity of) NAFLD., Results: Data from 2811 participants (mean age 76.4 ± 6.0 years) were analyzed. The prevalence of NAFLD was 35.1%. The prevalence of NAFLD decreased with advancing age (p<0.001). In logistic regression analysis, age (OR 0.97; 95% CI 0.95-0.99; p<0.001), total physical activity level (OR 0.98, 95% CI 0.96-0.99; p=0.005), pack years of smoking (OR 1.01, 95% CI 1.00-1.01; p=0.02), waist circumference >88 cm for women and > 102 cm for men (OR 4.89; CI 4.00-5.96; p<0.001), fasting glucose ≥ 100 mg/dl or drug treatment for elevated blood glucose (OR 2.11, 95% CI 1.72-2.59; p<0.001), blood pressure ≥ 130/85 mmHg or drug treatment for elevated blood pressure (OR 1.80, 95% CI 1.08-3.01; p=0.03), and triglycerides ≥ 150 mg/dl or treatment with serum lipid reducing agents (OR 1.56, 95% CI 1.28-1.91; p<0.001) were associated with NAFLD., Conclusions: NAFLD is common in the elderly, although the prevalence decreases with advancing age. Further studies are warranted exploring potential factors contributing to this apparent positive selection effect in the elderly., (Copyright © 2012 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: It was recently demonstrated that none of the hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-negative patients without any serum hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) decline and with <2log hepatitis B virus (HBV) DNA decline at week 12 of a 48-week peginterferon alfa-2a (PEG-IFN) treatment course achieved a sustained response (SR). We aimed at validating this stopping rule in two independent trials., Methods: HBeAg-negative patients receiving 48 or 96 weeks of PEG-IFN in the phase III registration trial (N=85) and PegBeLiver study (N=75) were stratified according to the presence of any HBsAg decline and/or 2log HBV DNA decline at week 12. SR was defined as HBV DNA <2000IU/ml and normal alanine aminotransferase 24 weeks after treatment., Results: The original PARC trial included 102 patients (genotype A/D/other: 14/81/7), 25 (25%) had an SR. The validation dataset consisted of 160 patients (genotype A/B/C/D/other: 10/18/34/91/7), 57 (36%) achieved an SR. The stopping rule performed well across the two studies (p=0.001) and its negative predictive value [NPV] was 95% in the validation dataset harbouring genotypes A-D. Its performance was best for genotype D. Moreover, among the 34 patients treated for 96 weeks, none of the 7 (21%) without HBsAg decline and with <2log HBV DNA decline at week 12 achieved an SR (NPV 100%)., Conclusions: We confirmed in two independent studies that the combination of HBsAg and HBV DNA levels at week 12 identifies HBeAg-negative patients with a very low chance of SR to either 48 or 96 weeks of PEG-IFN therapy., (Copyright © 2012 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: We aimed to investigate serum hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) levels in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection during peginterferon (PEG-IFN) and entecavir (ETV) monotherapy., Methods: HBsAg was quantified (Abbott ARCHITECT) at baseline and during antiviral therapy (weeks 12, 24, 36, 48) in hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg-) positive patients treated with ETV (n=33) or PEG-IFN (n=61) and in HBeAg-negative patients treated with ETV (n=37) or PEG-IFN (n=69)., Results: Within the HBeAg-positive population, patients treated with PEG-IFN tended to have a steeper HBsAg decline than ETV-treated patients (mean decline 0.94 versus 0.38 log IU/ml at week 48, p=0.07 for comparison of the slope of HBsAg decline). The HBsAg decline was larger in those patients who became HBeAg negative, irrespective of the treatment regimen. A decline in HBsAg was confined to ETV-treated patients with elevated baseline alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels, whereas HBsAg decline was not associated with baseline ALT in patients treated with PEG-IFN. Within the HBeAg-negative population, PEG-IFN induced a significant HBsAg decline, while HBsAg did not decrease in ETV-treated patients (0.56 versus -0.10 log IU/ml, p<0.001). Both in HBeAg-positive and HBeAg-negative patients, the decline in serum HBV DNA was larger in patients who received ETV as compared to patients treated with PEG-IFN., Conclusions: In HBeAg-positive patients, the decline in serum HBsAg is mainly confined to patients who clear HBeAg, by either PEG-IFN or ETV treatment. In HBeAg-negative patients, PEG-IFN therapy resulted in a significant reduction in HBsAg levels, whereas HBsAg did not decrease in ETV-treated patients., (Copyright © 2010 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)

Background & Aims: Chronic HCV patients with baseline thrombocytopenia are often excluded from treatment with peginterferon alfa and ribavirin or undergo many dose reductions of peginterferon alfa. The aim of this study was to investigate the correlation between thrombocytopenia and the occurrence of bleedings during antiviral treatment for HCV infection., Methods: In this single center cohort study 2876 visits of 321 patients treated with peginterferon alfa and ribavirin were evaluated for thrombocytopenia, bleedings and dose reductions during HCV treatment., Results: Mean platelet count at baseline was 207,000/microl for non-cirrhotic patients (n=253) and 132,000/microl for cirrhotic patients (n=68). Mean platelet drop was 42% from 191,000 to 113,100/microl (range 8000-284,000/microl). Severe thrombocytopenia (platelet counts <50,000/microl) was observed in 30 patients (9.3%) at 166 visits and 9 patients developed platelet counts <25,000/microl at 15 visits. Forty-eight bleedings were observed in 27 patients (8.4%). Only one bleeding, due to gastrointestinal angiodysplasia, was defined as severe. However, this patient did not have severe thrombocytopenia at the time of bleeding. During visits, patients reported more minor bleedings when platelet counts were <50,000/microl compared to visits with platelet counts 50,000/microl (11.4% vs. 1.1%, p<0.001). In the multivariate analysis, platelet count of <50,000/microl was a significant predictor of bleeding (p<0.001)., Conclusions: Severe bleedings did not occur in patients with platelet counts below 50,000/microl; based on these findings, treatment with peginterferon alfa and ribavirin appears to be safe in patients with platelet counts below 50,000/microl although platelet counts below 25,000/microl were rare., (Copyright 2010 European Association for the Study of the Liver. Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.)