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Primary production dynamics are strongly associated with vertical density profiles, which dictate the depth of stratification and mixed layers. Climate change and artificial structures (e.g. windfarms) are likely to modify the strength of stratification and vertical distribution of nutrient fluxes, especially in shelf seas where fine scale processes are important drivers, affecting the vertical distribution of phytoplankton. To understand the effect of physical changes on primary production, identifying the linkage between density and phytoplankton profiles is essential. Here, the ecological relevance of eight density layers (DLs) obtained by multiple methods that define three different portions of the pycnocline (above, centre, below) was evaluated to identify a valuable proxy for subsurface Chlorophyll-a (Chl-a mg m-3) concentrations. The associations of subsurface Chl-a with surface and deep mixing were investigated by hypothesizing the occurrence at the same depth of any DL and the maximum Chl-a layer (DMC) using Spearman correlation, linear regression, and a Major Axis analysis. Out of 1237 observations of the water column exhibiting a pycnocline, 78 % reported DMCs above the bottom mixed layer depth (BMLD). This suggests that the BMLD is a boundary trapping Chl-a in shallow waters (≤ 120 m). BMLD constantly described Chl-a vertical distribution despite surface mixing indicators, suggesting a significant contribution of deep mixing processes in supporting subsurface production under specific conditions (e.g. prolonged stratification, tidal cycle, and bathymetry). Using BMLD for defining subsurface Chl-a could be a valuable tool for understanding the spatiotemporal variability of Chl-a in shelf seas, representing a potential variable for ecological assessments.

The aim of this work is to analyse the potential impacts of tidal energy extraction on the marine environment. We wanted to put them in the broader context of the possibly greater and global ecological threat of climate change. Here, we present how very large (hypothetical) tidal stream arrays and a ''business as usual'' future climate scenario can change the hydrodynamics of a seasonally stratified shelf sea, and consequently modify ecosystem habitats and animals’ behaviour.The Scottish Shelf Model, an unstructured grid three-dimensional ocean model, has been used to reproduce the present and the future state of the NW European continental shelf. While the marine biogeochemical model ERSEM (European Regional Seas Ecosystem Model) has been used to describe the corresponding biogeochemical conditions. Four scenarios have been modelled: present conditions and projected future climate in 2050, each with and without very large scale tidal stream arrays in Scottish Waters (UK). This allows us to evaluate the potential effect of climate change and large scale energy extraction on the hydrodynamics and biogeochemistry. We found that climate change and tidal energy extraction both act in the same direction, in terms of increasing stratification due to warming and reduced mixing, however, the effect of climate change is ten times larger. Additionally, the ecological costs and benefits of these contrasting pressures on mobile predator and prey marine species are evaluated using ecological statistical models.