1. Theoretical Basis for an Edge-based, mHealth App to Guide Self-Management of Recurrent Medical Conditions
- Author
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Sheana Bull, Susan L. Moore, Farnoush Banaei-Kashani, Michael A. Rosenberg, and Alexander M. Kaizer
- Subjects
Data collection ,Computer science ,Bayesian probability ,Validity ,Odds ratio ,Simulated patient ,3. Good health ,03 medical and health sciences ,Exact test ,0302 clinical medicine ,Statistics ,030212 general & internal medicine ,mHealth ,030217 neurology & neurosurgery ,Event (probability theory) - Abstract
The N-of-1 approach has been applied by patients and providers in the management of a number of recurrent medical conditions, such as recurrent low back pain, migraine headaches, and depression. The basis of this approach is that through careful assessment of environmental exposures and/or medications, often in a trial-and-error methodology, factors can be identified that are positively or negatively associated with recurrence. When combined with technology advances in the form of mHealth applications, this approach holds great promise to improve the efficiency of treatment, and to provide the opportunity for patients to become active participants in their own care. However, much work is needed to understand which types of conditions lend themselves to such an approach, based on patterns of recurrence and association with exposures. In this study, we examined the statistical properties of an mHealth application called the iMTracker, designed for self-management of chronic recurrent medical conditions. We examined the impact of duration of data collection, patterns of recurrence of the primary outcome, and strength of association of a possible associated risk factor (trigger or suppressor), and impact of an intervention on the power of our approach to identify a significant association for possible modification. Using simulation studies of varying effect sizes and durations of data collection, we found that ~90 days of data collection was sufficient to identify associated risk factors with odds ratio (OR > 5.0) at power of 80%, with an absolute event rate of 50% being optimal. We then examined power calculations based on Fishers exact test for proportions to examine the power of this approach to assess the impact of an intervention on the proportion of days with the recurrent outcome, and found that 90 days was also sufficient to detect a decrease of 20% in the rate of the primary outcome, but that shorter data periods could be used to identify stronger effect sizes, down to 15 days with a 90% reduction in rate. We also examined use of an analysis based on Bayesian statistics, which showed general agreement with the frequentist approach, and we created a web-based tool to allow users to perform their own power calculations prior to using the app. Although work remains to be done to explore the effect of autocorrelation and seasonality and trends in data, this study demonstrates that the N-of-1 approach employed in the iMTracker app for self-management of recurrent medical conditions is statistically feasible, given the right conditions.
- Published
- 2020
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