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The article reports that large body of scientific literature that is based on empirical data and physically based and, cited proxy-based paleolimnological evidence and argued that the regulation of Peace River has not played a role in the reduced. Topics include the events are essential to the sustenance of perched basins in the Peace Sector of the Peace–Athabasca Delta, and the relevant literature indicates that a drying trend was first noticed after construction of the Bennett Dam.

A recent study of dynamic ice breakup processes and their erosional potential in the Lower Athabasca River concluded that breakup can result in very large sediment loads, which cannot be predicted at present. As a first step towards building suitable modelling capability, a user-friendly, public-domain, ice jam model is calibrated and validated using 2013 and 2014 water level measurements as well as historical data sets by others. The calibrated model is shown to reliably compute the profiles of different ice jams occurring in a 60 km reach that extends both above and below Fort McMurray. The model also enabled development of an ice jam stage-flow relationship for the city of Fort McMurray, which can help assess present and future, climate-modified, flood risk. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Bridge infrastructure assets should be planned, designed, constructed, and operated to account for the physical processes that may occur over their service lives. In ice-affected rivers, this includes the interaction of bridge infrastructure with river ice. Advancements in river-ice science and modelling of ice processes in ice-covered rivers have enhanced the abilities of civil/hydrotechnical engineers to plan, design, and construct bridges in and along rivers with seasonal ice covers. In this paper, an overview is presented of ice-related considerations with respect to bridges. The bottom-chord elevation of the bridge superstructure with respect to water and ice levels, pier design to withstand ice forces, the waterway opening for ice passage, ice-induced scour, and research needs are discussed. However, as outlined in the paper, research on ice loads and passage at bridge sites and on hydroclimatic and ice conditions that led to bridge damage and failure remains needed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The writer systematically refutes all of the discussers' criticisms and supplies more details on the rigour of his "slope-based" frequency analysis. He also identifies key flaws of alternative and conflicting statistical interpretations proposed by the two discussion teams; and provides detailed documentation of the large uncertainty associated with paleolimnological assessments of ice-jam flood frequency. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Major ice jams that occasionally form in lower Peace River generate extensive flooding, which helps replenish the perched basins of Peace-Athabasca Delta, a Ramsar wetland of international importance and a UNESCO World Heritage Site. This complex and dynamic ecosystem has experienced prolonged dry periods since the late 1960s, coincident with the construction of the W.A.C. Bennett hydroelectric dam in British Columbia. Physically-based and paleolimnological studies differ with respect to the impact of regulation on flood frequency. This issue is examined herein, based entirely on the historical record of observed ice-jam flood events. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The spring flow of the Mackenzie River into its delta drives the breakup ice jamming and consequent flooding and replenishment of the thousands of lakes on the delta plain. Daily flows for related studies are presently furnished by Water Survey of Canada, based on the records of a hydrometric station located close to the delta entrance. The relative proximity of the Beaufort Sea affects the local water surface slope, amplifying uncertainties that are normally associated with under-ice flow estimates. It is shown that gauge-derived spring flows often do not agree with other evidence, such as past discharge measurements, flows at the next upstream gauge, and hydraulic computations for the 2008 event. This appears to result in inconsistencies between spring flow hydrograph and observed severity of ice breakup. Options for improving spring flow estimates are discussed and installation of an auxiliary water-level gauge near Point Separation is recommended as a practical choice. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A unique feature that has been detected in the course of past morphological studies of Mackenzie delta channels, and which is of particular concern to the design of pipeline crossings, is the frequent occurrence of very deep scour holes. A recent survey along East Channel revealed many additional holes, with maximum depths ranging from 13 to 37 m. Using the results of recent and past surveys, an inventory of known scour holes and associated morphological parameters is developed. Most holes occur near bends, and often next to recesses in the channel boundaries, known as scour bays. It is shown that presence of scour bays indicates deeper-than-expected holes while repeat surveys of three holes indicate stability. Previously postulated formative mechanisms of bay-associated holes are critically examined; scour under ice jams is eliminated while lake capture is considered likely. Practical implications of the present findings are discussed and research needs outlined. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Ice processes in general, and ice jams in particular, play a dominant role in the hydrologic regime of Canadian rivers, often causing extreme floods and affecting the life cycle of many aquatic, terrestrial, and avian species. Various numerical models have been developed to help simulate the formation and consequences of these very dynamic and often destructive jam events. To test and compare the performance of existing models, a series of three tests have been devised and coordinated by a task force appointed by the Committee on River Ice Processes and the Environment (CRIPE). The results indicate that the overall performance of the models is good when calibration data are available, but considerably more varied when the models are applied in uncalibrated or 'blind' mode. However, the diversity of results in the blind mode may be attributed more to the variations in perceptions of the physical processes by the users, as compared to the mechanics of the numerical computations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

A hydrologic extreme that can be partly generated by ice effects is low winter flow, which is known for potential impacts on water quality and quantity of rivers receiving effluent discharges or industrial withdrawals. Flow abstraction caused by hydraulic storage during the upstream propagation of an ice cover is quantified using the equations of continuity for ice and water. The flow abstraction is shown to increase with increasing ice concentration, but to decrease with increasing ice cover thickness. Numerical values are consistent with winter abstractions indicated by flow data from Canadian hydrometric stations. The present results further suggest that low-flow conditions in winter should generally improve, or at least not deteriorate, under a warmer climate. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The breakup of the winter ice cover is a brief but seminal event in the regime of northern rivers, and in the life cycle of river and basin ecosystems. Breakup ice jams can cause extreme flood events, with major impacts on riverside communities, aquatic life, infrastructure, navigation, and hydropower generation. Related concerns are underscored by the issue of climate change and the faster warming that is predicted for northern parts of the globe. Advances in knowledge of breakup processes and related topics, achieved over the past 15 years or so, are outlined. They pertain to breakup initiation and ice-jam formation, ice-jam properties and numerical modelling of ice jams, waves generated by ice-jam releases, forecasting and mitigation methods, sediment transport, ecological aspects, and climate-change impacts. Major knowledge gaps are associated with the dynamic interaction of moving ice with the flow and with the stationary ice cover. Increasing computing capacity and remote sensing sophistication are expected to provide effective means for bridging these gaps. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The passage of river ice during the breakup event can have several effects on bridge structures. Design for ice passage at bridges has largely been empirical, such as the determination of superstructure clearance requirements based on historical stage data. As hydrologic and river ice processes in rivers are modified by climatic change, the use of empirical methods based on past observations and measurements could become less reliable. To advance beyond empiricism, it is necessary to develop rational design criteria based on a thorough understanding of the factors governing the interaction between bridges and ice. This concern applies especially during the breakup event when river flows, velocities, and hydrodynamic forces are usually higher and moving ice is thicker and stronger than during freeze-up. This paper provides guidance on the design of bridges to minimize ice impacts on the structure during the breakup period. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Surges are the most violent and spectacular events that occur during the ice breakup. Upon the release of an ice jam, water and ice held by the jam are suddenly free to move. The resulting surge generates increased water stages and higher flow velocities, such that the water wave and ice run pose a risk to downstream structures, people, and aquatic life. Climate-induced changes to river ice processes, such as enhanced mid-winter jamming or increased spring flows, could result in more frequent occurrence of major and damaging surges. To address a dearth of related quantitative data, a remote water-level reporting method has been developed and used to obtain field measurements on ice-jam generated surges. The results are consistent with the few available data but only partly conform to existing theories. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Upon the release of an ice jam, a wave or surge results that generates increased water stages and much higher flow velocities, posing various risks to local river ecology as well as to river structures and riverside communities. The temporal waveform can be easily measured, using water-level sensors, but the hydrodynamic characteristics of the surge, such as celerity, flow velocity, discharge, and shear stress, remain difficult to determine. An analytical method to deduce these parameters is developed herein, based on the equations of motion and plausible approximations for natural stream geometry. Preliminary comparisons with recent field measurements show promising results and demonstrate the degree to which a surge can magnify hydrodynamic forces. The methodology can be used in various applications, such as assessing the severity of a breakup event, estimating flow discharge during the passage of a wave, or evaluating scour potential in ecologically sensitive reaches and at river crossings. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Presents a case study of midwinter ice jams on the upper Saint John River in Canada. Background on the environmental effects of ice breakup and jamming; Analysis of several ice breakup and jamming events in the area during the 1990s; Results and implications for planning flood control measures.

Discusses climatic factors and impacts relative to river ice engineering and science. Background on climatic change; Description of responses to climatic change; Details on probable changes to ice breakup processes.

The article discusses several inconsistencies in the treatment of the angle of internal friction in the modelling of dynamic ice-jam processes. It highlights the laboratory test conducted by researchers G. W. Timco and A. M. Cornett to eliminate uncertainties and errors arising from limitations of the study "Ice and sedimentation processes in the Saint John River, Canada." It is concluded that the findings concerning the spatial variability of the angle of internal friction is tenuous.

The discovery of vast quantities of hydrocarbons during exploration of the Mackenzie Delta has led to the detection of numerous anomalous deep holes in various delta channels in the past four decades. The proposed pipeline crossing from the Mackenzie Delta to northern Alberta has renewed interest in studying the stability of these deep holes. The main goal of this research project was to study ice-covered flow velocity and bed shear stress distributions using a previously calibrated computational fluid dynamics (CFD) model for a 30 m deep hole in the East Channel of the Mackenzie Delta to provide an initial assessment of its stability. In this study, a previously developed 3D CFD model using the FLUENT code with the renormalization group theory (RNG) k-ε turbulence closure model with nonequilibrium wall functions was adapted to represent ice-covered flow conditions for the study reach. The numerical model was applied to simulate four flow conditions (500, 720, and 1000 m3/s along with a moving ice cover during a flow rate of 720 m3/s). Results indicated that a single vortex was formed near the inner bend above the hole and deposition may be a key process occurring during ice-covered flow conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Mackenzie River has several anomalous deep scour holes in a number of river channels in its delta. Proposed gas pipeline crossings have renewed interest in studying the stability of these scour holes. The main goal of this research project was to study flow velocity and bed shear stress distributions for a 30 m deep hole in the East Channel of the Mackenzie Delta as a first step toward assessing the stability of the scour hole and the risk of its migration during various flow conditions. In this study, a three-dimensional (3D) finite element flow model, FLUENT, using the renormalization group (RNG) k-ε turbulence model (where k is the turbulent kinetic energy and ε is the turbulence dissipation rate) was set up for the scour hole and calibrated using detailed measurements of 3D flow velocities, obtained with an acoustic doppler current profiler. The numerical model was then applied to predict flow velocity and bed shear stress distributions in and around the scour hole for three flow conditions (720, 1000, and 1400 m3/s). Results indicate that two vortices are formed in the river elbow above the scour hole. As the flow rate changed, the sizes of the vortices varied. The region upstream of the hole experienced the greatest magnitudes of bed shear stress. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Oil sands development in the lower Athabasca River watershed has raised considerable public and scientific concerns regarding perceived effects on environmental health. To address this issue for tributaries and the mainstem of the Athabasca River in the Athabasca Oil Sands Region, the Water Component of the Joint Oil Sands Monitoring (JOSM) plan produced monitoring assessments for seven integrated themes: atmospheric deposition, tributary water quality, river mainstem water quality, groundwater quality and quantity, water quality and quantity modelling, benthic invertebrate condition, and fish health. Our review integrates and synthesizes the large and diverse datasets assembled in the seven JOSM theme assessments to (i) evaluate possible environmental effects based on known sources and candidate proximal causes and (ii) determine the importance of cause-and-effect pathways related to contaminant, sediment, and nutrient inputs. Although JOSM research identified ecological effects that appear to be associated with contaminant exposure, the source of this exposure is confounded by co-location of, and inability to differentiate between, oil sands operations (principally released by atmospheric emission) and inputs from the natural bitumen outcrops (e.g., erosional material transported by surface and groundwater flows). Nutrient enrichment from treated municipal sewage effluent was the dominant ecological effect observed for the mainstem Athabasca River, associated with increased fish size and changes in invertebrate assemblages, likely because this pollution source is discharged directly into the river. If the direct release of treated oil sands process water occurs in the future, then the potential ecological impact of these direct industry releases will need to be evaluated carefully. The ecological causal assessment method proved to be a useful tool for better understanding how stressor sources relate to ecological effects through candidate proximate causes. Factors that confound our ability to assess the ecological effects of oil sands development focus on our inability to adequately differentiate between contaminants supplied from natural and anthropogenic contaminant sources. Our causal synthesis identifies options for changes in future monitoring to better anticipate and detect degradation in the ecosystem health of the lower Athabasca River and its tributaries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]