1. Climate Change Assessments: Confidence, Probability, and Decision
- Author
-
Richard Bradley, Brian Hill, Casey Helgeson, Haldemann, Antoine, Department of Archaeology, University of Reading (UOR), and HEC Paris Research Paper Series
- Subjects
History ,021103 operations research ,010504 meteorology & atmospheric sciences ,Management science ,Perspective (graphical) ,0211 other engineering and technologies ,Climate change ,Vroom–Yetton decision model ,B Philosophy (General) ,02 engineering and technology ,01 natural sciences ,Philosophy ,History and Philosophy of Science ,[SHS.GESTION]Humanities and Social Sciences/Business administration ,[SHS.GESTION] Humanities and Social Sciences/Business administration ,Psychology ,0105 earth and related environmental sciences - Abstract
The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change has developed a novel framework for assessing and communicating uncertainty in the findings published in its periodic assessment reports. But how should these uncertainty assessments inform decisions? We take a formal decision-making perspective to investigate how scientific input formulated in the IPCC’s novel framework might inform decisions in a principled way through a normative decision model.
- Published
- 2017