1. Comparing multiple infection control measures in a nursing home setting: a simulation study.
- Author
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Li H, Sewell DK, Herman T, Pemmeraju SV, Segre AM, Miller AC, and Polgreen PM
- Subjects
- Humans, Computer Simulation, SARS-CoV-2, Presenteeism statistics & numerical data, Health Personnel, Nursing Homes, COVID-19 prevention & control, COVID-19 epidemiology, COVID-19 transmission, Infection Control methods
- Abstract
Objective: Compare the effectiveness of multiple mitigation measures designed to protect nursing home residents from infectious disease outbreaks., Design: Agent-based simulation study., Setting: Simulation environment of a small nursing home., Methods: We collected temporally detailed and spatially fine-grained location information from nursing home healthcare workers (HCWs) using sensor motes. We used these data to power an agent-based simulation of a COVID-19 outbreak using realistic time-varying estimates of infectivity and diagnostic sensitivity. Under varying community prevalence and transmissibility, we compared the mitigating effects of (i) regular screening and isolation, (ii) inter-resident contact restrictions, (iii) reduced HCW presenteeism, and (iv) modified HCW scheduling., Results: Across all configurations tested, screening every other day and isolating positive cases decreased the attack rate by an average of 27% to 0.501 on average, while contact restrictions decreased the attack rate by an average of 35%, resulting in an attack rate of only 0.240, approximately half that of screening/isolation. Combining both interventions impressively produced an attack rate of only 0.029. Halving the observed presenteeism rate led to an 18% decrease in the attack rate, but if combined with screening every 6 days, the effect of reducing presenteeism was negligible. Altering work schedules had negligible effects on the attack rate., Conclusions: Universal contact restrictions are highly effective for protecting vulnerable nursing home residents, yet adversely affect physical and mental health. In high transmission and/or high community prevalence situations, restricting inter-resident contact to groups of 4 was effective and made highly effective when paired with weekly testing.
- Published
- 2024
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