629 results
Search Results
2. The Macroeconomics of Labor, Credit and Financial Market Imperfections.
- Author
-
Gabrovski, Miroslav, Kospentaris, Ioannis, and Lebeau, Lucie
- Subjects
BANKING industry ,FINANCIAL markets ,MACROECONOMICS ,BOND market ,UNEMPLOYMENT - Abstract
An increasing share of corporate loans, a critical source of firm credit, are sold off banks' balance sheets and actively traded in a secondary over-the-counter market. We develop a microfounded equilibrium search-theoretic model with labor, credit, and financial markets to explore how this secondary loan market affects the real economy, highlighting a trade-off: while the market reduces the steady-state level of unemployment by 0.6pp, it amplifies its response to a 1% productivity drop from 3.6% to 4.3%. Secondary market frictions matter significantly: eliminating them would not only reduce unemployment by 1.2pp, but also dampen its volatility down to 2.7%. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Financial Shocks in an Uncertain Economy.
- Author
-
Scotti, Chiara
- Subjects
ECONOMIC activity ,GLOBAL Financial Crisis, 2008-2009 ,BANKING industry ,PRICE inflation ,EMPLOYMENT - Abstract
The past 15 years have been eventful. The Global Financial Crisis (GFC) reminded us of the importance of a stable financial system to a well-functioning economy, one with low and stable inflation and maximum employment. Given the recent banking stress, we ponder this issue again. The pandemic was a huge shock surrounded by much uncertainty, making precise forecasts within traditional models difficult. And more recently, there has been continuous talk of a soft landing and recession risks. In this paper, I focus on some of the lessons we have learned over the years: (i) uncertainty and tail risk have cyclical variation; (ii) financial shocks can have a significant effect on macroeconomic outcomes; (iii) the impact of shocks is stronger in periods of high volatility. These lessons have important implications for policymakers in today's environment. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. Summary of papers presented at the second conference of the International Research Forum on Monetary Policy
- Author
-
Forte, Gregg
- Subjects
United States. Federal Reserve Board -- Organization formation -- Management -- Conferences, meetings and seminars ,Banking industry -- Organization formation -- Management -- Conferences, meetings and seminars ,Banking, finance and accounting industries ,Business ,Government ,Company business management ,Banking industry ,Management ,Conferences, meetings and seminars ,Organization formation - Abstract
Gregg Forte, of the Board's Division of Research and Statistics, prepared this article. The International Research Forum on Monetary Policy held its second conference on November 14 and 15, 2003. [...]
- Published
- 2004
5. Bank Competition and Strategic Adaptation to Climate Change.
- Author
-
Kim, Dasol, Olson, Luke M., and Phan, Toan
- Subjects
BANKING industry ,CLIMATE change ,NATURAL disasters ,MORAL hazard - Abstract
How does competition affect banks’ adaptation to emergent risks for which there is limited supervisory oversight? The analysis matches detailed supervisory data on home equity lines of credit with high resolution flood projections to identify climate risks. Following Hurricane Harvey, banks updated their internal risk models to better reflect flood risk projections, even in areas unaffected by the disaster. These updates are only detected in banks with exposures to the disaster, indicating heterogeneous bank learning. We use this heterogeneity to identify how bank adaptation is affected by competition. Exposed banks reduce lending to areas with higher flood risks, but only in less competitive markets, suggesting that competition fosters risk-taking over risk mitigation. Additionally, banks are less likely to adapt in markets where competitors are also less likely to do so, suggesting a strategic complementarity in bank adaptation. More broadly, our paper sheds light on the role of competitive forces in how banks manage emerging risks and relevant supervisory challenges. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
6. Working Papers Series Abstracts.
- Subjects
- *
ECONOMICS , *REGIONAL economics , *BANKING industry , *FINANCIAL markets , *ASSETS (Accounting) - Abstract
Presents abstract of several articles on the world economy. "Does Regional Economic Performance Affect Bank Conditions? New Analysis of an Old Question," by Mary C. Daly, John Kraner and Jose A. Lopez; "Using Securities Market Information for Bank Supervisory Monitoring," by John Krainer and Jose A. Lopez; "Lock-in of Extrapolative Expectations in an Asset Pricing Model," by Kevin J. Lansing.
- Published
- 2005
7. Center for Pacific Basin Studies Working Papers Abstracts.
- Subjects
- *
BANKING industry , *FINANCE , *ECONOMIC policy , *INVESTMENT policy , *INVESTMENTS - Abstract
Presents several abstracts of studies on economic policies. 'The Disposition of Failed Japanese Bank Assets: Lessons From the U.S. Savings and Loan Crisis,' by Mark M. Spiegel; 'How Bad Are Twins? Output Costs of Currency and Banking Crises,' by Michael Hutchison; 'Sudden Stops and the Mexican Wave: Currency Crises, Capital Flow Reversals and Output Loss in Emerging Markets,' by Michael Hutchison.
- Published
- 2003
8. Working Papers Series Abstracts.
- Subjects
- *
ECONOMICS , *BANKING industry , *MONETARY policy , *HEALTH insurance - Abstract
Presents several abstracts on economic research. 'The Potential Diversification and Failure Reduction Benefits of Bank Expansion Into Nonbanking Activities,' by Elizabeth S. Laderman; 'Assessing Nominal Income Rules for Monetary Policy with Model and Data Uncertainty,' by Glenn D. Rudebusch; 'Union Effects on Health Insurance Provision and Coverage in the United States,' by Thomas C. Buchmueller, John DiNardo and Robert G. Valletta.
- Published
- 2001
9. Working Papers Series Abstracts.
- Subjects
- *
ECONOMICS , *MONETARY unions , *MONETARY policy , *BANKING industry - Abstract
Presents several abstracts of articles on economics. 'Optical Indicators of Socioeconomic Status for Health Research,' by Mary C. Daly, Greg J. Duncan, Peggy McDonough and David Williams; 'The Ins and Outs of Joining a Monetary Union,' by Mark M. Spiegel; 'Is the Fed Too Timid? Monetary Policy in an Uncertain World,' by Glenn D. Rudesbusch; 'The Role of Relative Performance in Bank Closure Decisions,' by Kenneth Kasa and Mark M. Spiegel.
- Published
- 2000
10. On the Origins of the Federal Reserve System and Its Structure.
- Author
-
Humpage, Owen F.
- Subjects
BANKING industry ,FINANCIAL risk ,STAKEHOLDERS ,WALL Street (New York, N.Y.) - Abstract
The creation of the Federal Reserve System ultimately stemmed from fundamental changes in the banking industry that heightened the risks associated with shifts in the public's liquidity preferences and that created an atmosphere of distrust between the small, traditional, country banks and the large, transforming, Wall Street banks. The severity of the Panic of 1907 became the proximate factor in the Federal Reserve's formation. The panic, which the New York Clearing House's slow, discriminative, and insufficient response characterized, gave credence to concerns of growing financial risks and invigorated calls for reform. The Federal Reserve's unique structure reflects compromises reached in attempts to dampen the risks in the banking industry while easing the distrust and fears of dominance among its various stakeholders. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
11. Operational Loss Recoveries and the Macroeconomic Environment: Evidence from the U.S. Banking Sector.
- Author
-
Frame, W. Scott, Lazaryan, Nika, McLemore, Ping, and Mihov, Atanas
- Subjects
BANKING industry ,MACROECONOMICS ,OPERATIONAL risk ,SUPERVISION ,DATA analysis - Abstract
Using supervisory data from large U.S. bank holding companies (BHCs), we document that operational loss recovery rates decrease in macroeconomic downturns. This procyclical relationship varies by business lines and loss event types and is robust to alternative data aggregations, macroeconomic measurement horizons, and estimation methodologies. Further analysis shows that resource constraints faced by BHC risk management functions are a plausible explanation for these patterns. Our findings offer new evidence on how economic shocks transmit to banking industry losses with implications for risk management and supervision. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2022
12. Intermediation in the Interbank Lending Market.
- Author
-
Ben Craig and Yiming Ma
- Subjects
INTERBANK market ,FINANCIAL crises ,BANKING industry ,COUNTERFACTUALS (Logic) - Abstract
This paper studies systemic risk in the interbank market. We first establish that in the German interbank lending market, a few large banks intermediate funding flows between many smaller periphery banks and that shocks to these intermediary banks in the financial crisis spill over to the activities of the periphery banks. We then develop a network model in which banks trade off the costs and benefits of link formation to explain these patterns. The model is structurally estimated using banks’ preferences as revealed by the observed network structure in the precrisis period. It explains why the interbank intermediation arrangement arises, estimates the frictions underlying the arrangement, and quantifies how shocks are transmitted across the network. Model estimates based on precrisis data successfully predict changes in networklinks and in lending arising from the crisis in out-of-sample tests. Finally, we quantify the systemic risk of a single intermediary and the impact of ECB funding in reducing this risk through model counterfactuals. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
13. Distant Lending, Specialization, and Access to Credit.
- Author
-
Wenhua Di and Pattison, Nathaniel
- Subjects
SMALL business ,BANKING industry ,CREDIT scoring systems ,BRANCH banks - Abstract
Small business lending has historically been very local, but distances between small businesses and their lenders have steadily increased over the last forty years. This paper investigates a new lending strategy made possible by distant small business lending: industry specialization. Using data on all Small Business Administration 7(a) loans from 2001-2017, we document a substantial increase in remote, specialized small business lenders, i.e., lenders that originate many distant loans and concentrate these loans within a small number of industries. These lenders target low-risk industries and, consistent with expertise, experience better loan performance within these industries. We then examine whether this industry-specialized lending serves as a substitute or complement to traditional, geographically specialized lending. We exploit the staggered entry of a remote, specialized lender to estimate the impact of specialized lending on credit access. Entry significantly increases total lending, with no evidence of substitution away from other lenders. The results indicate that specialized lending can deepen credit markets by providing new loans to low-risk but underfinanced small businesses. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2020
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
14. The Effect of Possible EU Diversification Requirements on the Risk of Banks' Sovereign Bond Portfolios.
- Author
-
Craig, Ben R., Giuzio, Margherita, and Paterlini, Sandra
- Subjects
PORTFOLIO diversification ,BANKING industry ,GOVERNMENT securities ,HOME bias (Economic theory) - Abstract
Recent policy discussion includes the introduction of diversification requirements for sovereign bond portfolios of European banks. In this paper, we evaluate the possible effects of these constraints on risk and diversification in the sovereign bond portfolios of the major European banks. First, we capture the dependence structure of European countries' sovereign risks and identify the common factors driving European sovereign CDS spreads by means of an independent component analysis. We then analyze the risk and diversification in the sovereign bond portfolios of the largest European banks and discuss the role of "home bias," i.e., the tendency of banks to concentrate their sovereign bond holdings in their domicile country. Finally, we evaluate the effect of diversification requirements on the tail risk of sovereign bond portfolios and quantify the system-wide losses in the presence of fire-sales. Under our assumptions about how banks respond to the new requirements, demanding that banks modify their holdings to increase their portfolio diversification may mitigate fire-sale externalities, but it may be ineffective in reducing portfolio risk, including tail risk. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2019
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
15. Technological Change, Financial Innovation, and Diffusion in Banking.
- Author
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Frame, W. Scott and White, Lawrence J.
- Subjects
- *
BANKING industry , *TECHNOLOGICAL innovations , *DIFFUSION of innovations , *PUBLIC welfare , *FINANCIAL performance , *MANUFACTURING processes , *PRODUCT management , *COMMERCIAL products , *INDUSTRIAL surveys - Abstract
This paper discusses the technological change and financial innovation that commercial banking has experienced during the past twenty-five years. The paper first describes the role of the financial system in economies and how technological change and financial innovation can improve social welfare. We then survey the literature relating to several specific financial innovations, which we define as new products or services, production processes, or organizational forms. We find that the past quarter century has been a period of substantial change in terms of banking products, services, and production technologies. Moreover, while much effort has been devoted to understanding the characteristics of users and adopters of financial innovations and the attendant welfare implications, we still know little about how and why financial innovations are initially developed. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2009
16. Multiple Safety Net Regulators and Agency Problems in the European Union: Is Prompt Corrective Action Partly the Solution?
- Author
-
Mayes, David G., Nieto, María J., and Wall, Larry
- Subjects
- *
BANKING industry , *FINANCIAL institutions , *BANK management , *MONETARY unions , *DECISION theory , *DECISION making , *SUPERVISORS - Abstract
This paper discusses the institutional changes needed in Europe if prompt corrective action (PCA) is to be effective in supervising and resolving cross-border banking groups. The paper identifies these changes starting with enhancements in the availability of information on banking groups' financial condition to prudential supervisors. Next, the paper considers the collective decision making by prudential supervisors with authority to make discretionary decisions within the PCA framework as soon as a bank in a cross-border banking group falls below the minimum capital standard. Finally, the paper analyzes the coordination measures that should be implemented if PCA requires the bank to be resolved. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
17. How Does Market Competition Affect Banks' Adaptation to Changes in Flood Risks?
- Author
-
Phan, Toan
- Subjects
BANKING industry ,BANK management ,FLOOD risk ,HOME equity loans ,HURRICANE Harvey, 2017 - Abstract
This article explores the relationship between market competition and banks' responses to long-term changes in flood risks, using data from the home-equity credit market after Hurricane Harvey. The study finds that banks in competitive markets were less likely to adopt cautious lending practices and updated their risk models based on exposure to the hurricane. It also highlights the influence of strategic complementarity, showing that banks' adaptive behaviors are influenced by their competitors. The findings suggest that market forces can impact how banks adapt to evolving risks, and understanding these dynamics can inform regulatory frameworks and policies. [Extracted from the article]
- Published
- 2024
18. New York and the Politics of Central Banks, 1781 to the Federal Reserve Act.
- Author
-
Moen, Jon R. and Tallman, Ellis W.
- Subjects
- *
CENTRAL banking industry , *BANKING industry , *PUBLIC finance laws - Abstract
The paper provides a brief history of central banking institutions in the United States. Specifically, the authors highlight the role of New York banking interests in the affecting legislations affecting the creation or expiration of central banking institutions. In our previous research we have detected that New York City banking entities usually exert substantial influence on the legislation, greater than their large proportion of United States' banking resources. The authors describe how this influence affected the success or failure of central banking movements in the United States, and the authors use this evidence to support their arguments regarding the influence of New York City bankers on the legislative efforts that culminated in the creation of the Federal Reserve System. The paper argues that successful central banking movements in the United States owed much to the influence of New York City banking interests. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2003
19. Reserve Requirements, Bank Runs, and Optimal Policies in Small Open Economies.
- Author
-
Ganapolsky, Eduardo J. J.
- Subjects
- *
BANKING industry , *RISK premiums , *LIQUIDITY (Economics) , *ECONOMICS , *RESERVE requirements , *BANK reserves - Abstract
This paper rationalizes as the outcome of an optimal policy decision the pattern of reserve requirements and other macroeconomic variables in the aftermath of a bank run. The paper develops a general equilibrium model that departs from the standard small open economy (SOE) model in three dimensions: (i) capital mobility is not perfect, (ii) there exists a costly banking system, and (iii) there is an externality affecting individual banks' decisions. The results suggest that the path of reserve requirements would depend on the type of shock that the economy receives and the effect that this shock produces on the interest rate. Interestingly, the size of the risk premium will affect the reaction of the economy to the shock. It is also shown that the dynamic adjustment will be slightly different for permanent and temporary shocks, and it will also depend on the access that the economy has to foreign funds. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2003
20. The 2012 Eurozone Crisis and the ECB's OMT Program: A Debt-Overhang Banking and Sovereign Crisis Interpretation.
- Author
-
Occhino, Filippo
- Subjects
BANKING industry ,DEFAULT (Finance) ,BANK failures ,BANK loans ,GOVERNMENT securities ,CENTRAL banking industry - Abstract
This paper develops a model to interpret the 2012 eurozone crisis and the ECB's policy response. In the model, bank lending is distorted by debt overhang, banks hold sovereign bonds, and the government guarantees the bailout of bank creditors. A self-fulfilling pessimistic view of the economy can trigger a banking and sovereign crisis: with pessimistic economic expectations, the value of sovereign bonds declines, the bank risk of default rises, and the debt overhang distortion worsens; this leads to a contraction in bank lending and to a decline in economic activity, which confirms the initial pessimistic expectations. A commitment by the central bank to purchase the sovereign bonds at pre-crisis market spreads manages to eliminate the crisis equilibrium. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2015
21. Virtual CDFI Symposium Places Focus on Policy and Innovation.
- Author
-
Eggleston, Michael C.
- Subjects
CONFERENCES & conventions ,BANKING industry ,FEDERAL Reserve banks ,POLITICAL risk (Foreign investments) - Published
- 2020
22. INTRODUCTION.
- Subjects
HETEROGENEITY ,BANK loans ,BANKING industry - Abstract
An introduction to the paper which explored the heterogeneity in bank lending is presented.
- Published
- 2014
23. Center for Pacific Basin Studies Working Papers Abstracts.
- Subjects
- *
ECONOMICS , *RESEARCH , *FOREIGN exchange market , *MACROECONOMICS , *DISCLOSURE , *BANKING industry - Abstract
Presents abstracts of research on economics. "Effectiveness of Official Daily Foreign Exchange Market Intervention Operations in Japan," by Rasmus Fatum and Michael Hutchison; "Macroeconomic Effects of IMF-Sponsored Programs in Latin America: Output Costs, Program Recidivism, and the Vicious Cycle of Failed Stabilization," by Michael Hutchison and Ilan Noy; "Determinants of Voluntary Bank Disclosure: Evidence From Japanese Shinkin Banks," by Mark Spiegel and Nobuyoshi Yamori.
- Published
- 2004
24. Center for Pacific Basin Studies Working Papers Abstracts.
- Subjects
- *
ECONOMICS , *MACROECONOMICS , *BANKING industry - Abstract
Presents several abstracts on economic research in Asia. 'The Evolution of "Too-Big-To-Fail" Policy in Japan: Evidence from Market Equity Values,' by Mark M. Spiegel and Nobuyoshi Yamori; 'Pegging and Macroeconomic Performance in East Asia,' by Ramon Moreno; 'Financial Turbulence and the Japanese Main Bank Relationship,' by Mark M. Spiegel and Nobuyoshi Yamori.
- Published
- 2001
25. Center for Pacific Basin Studies Working Papers Abstracts.
- Subjects
- *
ECONOMICS , *BANKING industry - Abstract
Presents several abstracts of articles on economics. 'Are All Banking Crises Alike? The Japanese Experience in International Comparison,' by Michael Hutchison and Kathleen McDill; 'Sterilization Costs and Exchange Rate Targeting,' by Kenneth Kletzer and Mark Spiegel; Is It True that Insurers Benefit from a Catastrophic Event? Market Reactions to the 1995 Hanshin-Awaji Earthquake,' by Nobuyoshi Yamori and Takeshi Kobayashi.
- Published
- 2000
26. mREITs and Their Risks.
- Author
-
Pellerin, Sabrina R., Sabol, Steven J., and Walter, John R.
- Subjects
MORTGAGE banks ,REAL estate investment trusts ,BANKING industry ,FINANCIAL risk management ,RISK management in business ,MATURITY (Finance) - Abstract
This paper examines the history of mREITs and their broader role in the REIT industry. Additionally, it reviews how mREITs operate, how they are regulated, the risks they face, how they manage these risks, and the dangers they pose for the broader financial system. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2013
27. Internet Banking: An Exploration in Technology Diffusion and Impact.
- Author
-
Sullivan, Richard and Zhu Wang
- Subjects
ONLINE banking ,TECHNOLOGICAL innovations ,COST effectiveness ,COMMUNITY banks ,EMPIRICAL research ,BANKING industry - Abstract
This paper studies the diffusion and impact of a cost-saving technological innovation -- Internet banking. Our theory characterizes the process through which the innovation is adopted sequentially by large and small banks, and how the adoption affects bank size distribution. Applying the theory to an empirical study of Internet banking diffusion among banks across 50 U.S. states, we examine the technological, economic and institutional factors governing the process. The empirical findings allow us to disentangle the interrelationship between Internet banking adoption and change in average bank size, and explain the variation in diffusion rates across geographic regions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2013
28. On the Essentiality of Credit and Banking at Zero Interest Rates.
- Author
-
Boel, Paola and Waller, Christopher J.
- Subjects
BANKING industry ,INTEREST rates ,CREDIT ,FINANCIAL services industry ,MONEY - Abstract
We investigate the welfare-increasing role of credit and banking at zero interest rates in a microfounded general equilibrium monetary model. Agents differ in their opportunity costs of holding money due to heterogeneous idiosyncratic time-preference shocks. Without banks, the constrained-efficient allocation is never attainable, since impatient agents always face a positive implicit rate in equilibrium. With banks, patient agents pin down the borrowing rate and in turn enable impatient agents to borrow at no cost when the inflation rate approaches the highest discount factor. Banks can therefore improve welfare at zero rates, provided that both types of agents are included in the financial system and that the borrowing limit is sufficiently lax. The result is robust to several extensions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
29. Money Matters: Broad Divisia Money and the Recovery of Nominal GDP from the COVID-19 Recession.
- Author
-
Bordo, Michael D. and Duca, John V.
- Subjects
COVID-19 pandemic ,GROSS domestic product ,RECESSIONS ,PRICE inflation ,BANKING industry - Abstract
The rise of inflation in 2021 and 2022 surprised many macroeconomists who ignored the earlier surge in money growth because past instability in the demand for simple-sum monetary aggregates had made these aggregates unreliable indicators. We find that the demand for more theoretically-based Divisia aggregates can be modeled and that their growth rates provide useful information for future nominal GDP growth. Unlike M2 and Divisia-M2, whose velocities do not internalize shifts in liabilities across commercial and shadow banks, the velocities of broader Divisia monetary aggregates are more stable and can be reasonably empirically modeled in both the short run and the long run through the COVID-19 pandemic and to date. In the long run, these velocities depend on regulatory changes and mutual fund costs that affect the substitutability of money for other financial assets. In the short run, we control for swings in mortgage activity and use vaccination rates and an index of the stringency of government pandemic restrictions to control for the unusual effects of the pandemic. The velocity of broad Divisia money temporarily declines during crises like the Great and COVID Recessions, but later rebounds. In each recession monetary policy lowered short-term interest rates to zero and engaged in quantitative easing of about $4 trillion. Nevertheless, broad money growth was more robust in the COVID Recession, likely reflecting that the banking system was less impaired and could promote rather than hinder multiple deposit creation. Partly as a result, our framework implies that nominal GDP growth and inflationary pressures rebounded much more quickly from the COVID Recession versus the Great Recession. We consider different scenarios for future Divisia money growth and the unwinding of the pandemic that have different implications for medium-term nominal GDP growth and inflationary pressures as monetary policy tightening seeks to restore low inflation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2023
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
30. Over-the-Counter Loans, Adverse Selection, and Stigma in the Interbank Market.
- Author
-
Ennis, Huberto M. and Weinberg, John A.
- Subjects
INTERBANK market ,OVER-the-counter markets ,BANKING industry ,DISCOUNTED cash flow ,LIQUIDITY (Economics) ,TERM loans ,INVESTORS - Abstract
It is often the case that banks in the US are willing to borrow in the fed funds market (the interbank market for funds) at higher rates than the ones they could obtain by borrowing at the Fed's discount window. This phenomenon is commonly explained as the consequence of the existence of a stigma effect attached to borrowing from the window. Most policymakers and empirical researchers consider the stigma hypothesis plausible. Yet, no formal treatment of the issue has ever been provided in the literature. In this paper, we fill that gap by studying a model of interbank credit where: (1) banks benefit from engaging in intertemporal trade with other banks and with outside investors; and (2) physical and informational frictions limit those trade opportunities. In our model, banks obtain loans in an over-the-counter market (involving search, bilateral matching, and negotiations over the terms of the loan) and hold assets of heterogeneous qualities that in turn determine their ability to repay those loans. When asset quality is not observable by outside investors, information about the actions taken by a bank in the credit market may influence the price at which it can sell its assets. In particular, under some conditions, discount window borrowing may be regarded as a negative signal about the quality of the borrower's assets. In such cases, some of the banks in our model, just as in the data, are willing to accept loans in the interbank market at higher rates than the ones they could obtain at the discount window. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2010
31. The Surprising Use of Credit Scoring in Small Business Lending by Community Banks and the Attendant Effects on Credit Availability and Risk.
- Author
-
Berger, Allen N., Cowan, Adrian M., and Frame, W. Scott
- Subjects
- *
CREDIT scoring systems , *SMALL business , *FINANCIAL institutions , *COMMUNITY banks , *SYSTEMS availability , *CREDIT risk , *BANKING industry , *CONSUMER credit , *INSURANCE - Abstract
The literature has documented a positive relationship between the use of credit scoring for small business loans and small business credit availability, broadly defined. However, this literature is hampered by the fact that all of the studies are based on a single 1998 survey of the very largest U.S. banking organizations. This paper addresses a number of deficiencies in the extant literature by employing data from a new survey on the use of credit scoring in small business lending, primarily by community banks. The survey evidence suggests that the use of credit scores in small business lending by community banks is surprisingly widespread. Moreover, the scores employed tend to be the consumer credit scores of the small business owners rather than the more encompassing small business credit scores that include data on the firms as well as on the owners. Our empirical analysis suggests that credit scoring is associated with increased small business lending after a learning period, with no material change in the quality of the loan portfolio. However, these quantity and quality results appear to vary depending on the way in which credit scores are implemented in the underwriting process. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2009
32. Entry Barriers, Competition, and Technology Adoption.
- Author
-
Lei Fang
- Subjects
- *
CREDIT ratings , *SMALL business loans , *SMALL business , *COMMUNITY banks , *BANKING industry , *BANK loans , *CONSUMER credit , *FINANCIAL management - Abstract
The literature has documented a positive relationship between the use of credit scoring for small business loans and small business credit availability, broadly defined. However, this literature is hampered by the fact that all of the studies are based on a single 1998 survey of the very largest U.S. banking organizations. This paper addresses a number of deficiencies in the extant literature by employing data from a new survey on the use of credit scoring in small business lending, primarily by community banks. The survey evidence suggests that the use of credit scores in small business lending by community banks is surprisingly widespread. Moreover, the scores employed tend to be the consumer credit scores of the small business owners rather than the more encompassing small business credit scores that include data on the firms as well as on the owners. Our empirical analysis suggests that credit scoring is associated with increased small business lending after a learning period, with no material change in the quality of the loan portfolio. However, these quantity and quality results appear to vary depending on the way in which credit scores are implemented in the underwriting process. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2009
33. The Federal Home Loan Bank System: The Lender of Next-to-Last Resort?
- Author
-
Ashcraft, Adam, Bech, Morten L., and Frame, W. Scott
- Subjects
- *
FEDERAL home loan banks , *MORTGAGE loans , *FINANCIAL crises , *LIQUIDITY (Economics) , *BANKING industry , *DISCOUNT prices , *HOME prices , *HOUSING market - Abstract
The Federal Home Loan Bank (FHLB) System is a large, complex, and understudied government-sponsored liquidity facility that currently has more than $1 trillion in secured loans outstanding, mostly to commercial banks and thrifts. This paper first documents the significant role played by the FHLB System at the outset of the ongoing financial crisis and then provides evidence about the uses of these funds by their bank and thrift members. We then identify the trade-offs faced by FHLB member-borrowers when choosing between accessing the FHLB System or the Federal Reserve's discount window during the crisis. We conclude by describing the fragmented U.S. lender-of-last-resort framework and finding that additional clarity about the respective roles of the various liquidity facilities would be helpful. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2009
34. Were banks special intermediaries in late nineteenth century America?
- Author
-
White, Eugene N.
- Subjects
BANKING industry - Abstract
Focuses on the the role of banks in the American financial system in late 19th century. History of the banking system of the United States; Discussion on the real-bills doctrine; Details on the Bank of A. Levy and the Emigrant Savings Bank cases.
- Published
- 1998
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
35. Determinants of Domestic and Cross-Border Bank Acquisitions in the European Union.
- Author
-
Hernando, Ignacio, Nieto, María J., and Wall, Larry D.
- Subjects
- *
BANK mergers , *BANKING industry , *MERGERS & acquisitions , *FINANCIAL institutions , *MONETARY unions - Abstract
This paper analyzes the determinants of bank acquisitions both within and across 25 members of the European Union (EU-25) during the period 1997-2004. Our results suggest that poorly managed banks (those with a high cost-to-income ratio) and larger banks are more likely to be acquired by other banks in the same country. The probability of being a target in a cross-border deal is larger for banks that are quoted in the stock market. Finally, banks operating in more concentrated markets are less likely to be acquired by other banks in the same country but are more likely to be acquired by banks in other EU-25 countries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2008
36. Bayesian Semiparametric Stochastic Volatility Modeling.
- Author
-
Jensen, Mark J. and Maheu, John M.
- Subjects
- *
BANKING industry , *MARKET volatility , *BAYESIAN analysis , *MONTE Carlo method , *MIXTURE distributions (Probability theory) , *MARKOV processes , *MONEY market , *FINANCIAL research , *PROBABILITY theory - Abstract
This paper extends the existing fully parametric Bayesian literature on stochastic volatility to allow for more general return distributions. Instead of specifying a particular distribution for the return innovation, we use nonparametric Bayesian methods to flexibly model the skewness and kurtosis of the distribution while continuing to model the dynamics of volatility with a parametric structure. Our semiparametric Bayesian approach provides a full characterization of parametric and distributional uncertainty. We present a Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling approach to estimation with theoretical and computational issues for simulation from the posterior predictive distributions. The new model is assessed based on simulation evidence, an empirical example, and comparison to parametric models. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2008
37. Issues in Central Bank Finance and Independence.
- Author
-
Stella, Peter and Lonnberg, Åke
- Subjects
- *
CENTRAL banking industry , *MONETARY policy , *ECONOMIC policy , *FINANCIAL statements , *SEIGNIORAGE (Finance) , *BANKING industry , *LIABILITIES (Accounting) , *RESERVES (Accounting) - Abstract
Conventional economic policy models focus only on selected elements of the central bank balance sheet, in particular monetary liabilities and sometimes foreign reserves. The canonical model of an "independent" central bank assumes that it chooses money (or an interest rate) unconstrained by a need to generate seignorage for itself or the government. Whereas a long line of literature has emphasized the dangers of fiscal dominance influencing the conduct of monetary policy, this paper considers the relatively novel idea that an independent central bank could be constrained in achieving its policy objectives by its own balance sheet situation. If one accepts this potential constraint as a valid concern, the financial strength of the central bank as a stand-alone entity becomes highly relevant for ascertaining monetary policy credibility. We consider several strands of evidence that clearly indicate fiscal backing for central banks cannot be assumed, and hence financial independence is relevant to operational independence. First, we examine 135 central bank laws to illustrate the variety of legal approaches adopted with respect to central bank financial independence. Second, we examine the same data set with regard to central bank recapitalization provisions to show that even in cases where the treasury is nominally responsible for keeping the central bank financially strong, it may do so in purely a cosmetic fashion. Third, we show that, in actual practice, treasuries have frequently not provided central banks with genuine financial support on a timely basis, leaving them excessively reliant on seignorage to finance their operations or forcing them to abandon policy objectives. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2008
38. Understanding the New Keynesian Model When Monetary Policy Switches Regimes.
- Author
-
Farmer, Roger E. A., Waggoner, Daniel F., and Tao Zha
- Subjects
- *
KEYNESIAN economics , *MONETARY policy , *PRICE inflation , *ECONOMIC policy , *CENTRAL banking industry , *INTEREST rates , *BANKING industry , *ECONOMICS - Abstract
This paper studies a New Keynesian model in which monetary policy may switch between regimes. We derive sufficient conditions for indeterminacy that are easy to implement and we show that the necessary and sufficient condition for determinacy, provided by Davig and Leeper, is necessary but not sufficient. More importantly, we use a two-regime model to show that indeterminacy in a passive regime may spill over to an active regime no matter how active the latter regime is. As a result, a passive monetary policy is more damaging than has been previously thought. Our results imply that the propagation of shocks in an active regime, such as that of the Federal Reserve in the post-1982 period, may be substantially affected by the possibility of a return to a passive regime of the kind that was followed in the 1960s and 1970s. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007
39. When Target CEOs Contract with Acquirers: Evidence from Bank Mergers and Acquisitions.
- Author
-
Brewer, III, Elijah, Jackson, III, William E., and Wall, Larry D.
- Subjects
- *
BANK mergers , *CHIEF executive officers , *STOCKHOLDERS , *MERGERS & acquisitions , *BANK stocks , *DIVIDENDS , *STOCKHOLDER wealth , *BANKING industry , *STOCKS (Finance) - Abstract
This paper investigates the impact of the target chief executive officer's (CEO) postmerger position on the purchase premium and target shareholders' abnormal returns around the announcement of the deal in a sample of bank mergers during the period 1990-2004. We find evidence that the target shareholders' returns are negatively related to the postmerger position of their CEO. However, these lower returns are not matched by higher returns to the acquirer's shareholders, suggesting little or no wealth transfers. Additionally, our evidence suggests that the target CEO becoming a senior officer of the combined firm does not boost the overall value of the merger transaction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
40. Preconditions for a Successful Implementation of Supervisors' Prompt Corrective Action: Is There a Case for a Banking Standard in the European Union?
- Author
-
Nieto, María J. and Wall, Larry D.
- Subjects
- *
BANKING industry , *DEPOSIT banking , *DEPOSIT insurance , *FINANCIAL institutions , *FINANCIAL services industry , *BANK deposits , *BANK insurance - Abstract
Over the past years, several countries around the world have adopted a system of prudential prompt corrective action (PCA). The European Union countries are being encouraged to adopt PCA by policy analysts who explicitly call for its adoption. To date, most of the discussion on PCA has focused on its overall merits. This paper focuses on the preconditions needed for the adoption of an effective PCA. These preconditions include conceptual elements such as a prudential supervisory focus on minimizing deposit insurance losses and mandating supervisory action as capital declines. These preconditions also include institutional aspects such as greater supervisory independence and authority, more effective resolution mechanisms, and better methods of measuring capital. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
41. The Predictive Power of the Senior Loan Officer Survey: Do Lending Officers Know Anything Special?
- Author
-
Cunningham, Thomas J.
- Subjects
- *
LOAN officers , *LOANS , *GROSS domestic product , *ECONOMIC indicators , *ECONOMIC forecasting , *BANKERS , *INVESTORS , *SURVEYS , *BANKING industry - Abstract
The answer to this question is yes, but not that much about banks. Every quarter the Federal Reserve System surveys a panel of senior loan officers at major banks across the nation. The results of this survey have been found in previous studies to provide useful information in predicting gross domestic product. This paper extends that work, finding that sector-specific survey results are relevant for predicting real activity in those sectors but, strangely, that the informative power of the survey results only marginally extend to various measures of performance in the banking sector. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
42. Forming Priors for DSGE Models (and How It Affects the Assessment of Nominal Rigidities).
- Author
-
Del Negro, Marco and Schorfheide, Frank
- Subjects
- *
BAYESIAN analysis , *ECONOMIC equilibrium , *BANKING industry , *FINANCIAL crises , *CREDIT , *BANKRUPTCY , *DEFAULT (Finance) , *DEBTOR & creditor , *BANK failures - Abstract
This paper examines the negative externalities that may occur when a large bank fails, describes the nature of those externalities, and explores whether they may be greater in a case involving a large cross-border banking organization. The analysis suggests that the chief negative externalities are associated with credit losses and losses due to liquidity problems, and these losses are critically affected by how promptly an insolvent institution is closed, how quickly depositors gain access to their funds, and how long it takes borrowers to reestablish credit relationships. While regulatory delay and forbearance may affect the size and distribution of losses, the likely incident of systemic risk and the negative externalities are more associated with the structure of the applicable bankruptcy laws and methods available to resolve a failed institution and quickly get it operating again. This circumstance implies that regulatory concerns about systemic risk should be directed first at closing institutions promptly, reforming bankruptcy statutes to admit special procedures for handling bank failures, and providing mechanisms to give creditors and borrowers prompt and immediate access to their funds and lines of credit. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
43. Business Cycles and Monetary Regimes in Emerging Economies: A Role for a Monopolistic Banking Sector.
- Author
-
Eisenbeis, Robert A.
- Subjects
- *
BANKRUPTCY , *EXTERNALITIES , *BANKING industry , *CREDIT , *BANK failures , *LIQUIDITY (Economics) , *BUSINESS conditions , *FINANCIAL crises , *BUSINESS failures - Abstract
This paper examines the negative externalities that may occur when a large bank fails, describes the nature of those externalities, and explores whether they may be greater in a case involving a large cross-border banking organization. The analysis suggests that the chief negative externalities are associated with credit losses and losses due to liquidity problems, and these losses are critically affected by how promptly an insolvent institution is closed, how quickly depositors gain access to their funds, and how long it takes borrowers to reestablish credit relationships. While regulatory delay and forbearance may affect the size and distribution of losses, the likely incident of systemic risk and the negative externalities are more associated with the structure of the applicable bankruptcy laws and methods available to resolve a failed institution and quickly get it operating again. This circumstance implies that regulatory concerns about systemic risk should be directed first at closing institutions promptly, reforming bankruptcy statutes to admit special procedures for handling bank failures, and providing mechanisms to give creditors and borrowers prompt and immediate access to their funds and lines of credit. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
44. Home Country versus Cross-Border Negative Externalities in Large Banking Organization Failures and How to Avoid Them.
- Author
-
Eisenbeis, Robert A.
- Subjects
- *
EXTERNALITIES , *BANKING industry , *BANKRUPTCY , *CREDIT , *LIQUIDITY (Economics) , *FINANCIAL crises , *DEFAULT (Finance) , *COMMERCIAL credit , *BANK failures - Abstract
This paper examines the negative externalities that may occur when a large bank fails, describes the nature of those externalities, and explores whether they may be greater in a case involving a large cross-border banking organization. The analysis suggests that the chief negative externalities are associated with credit losses and losses due to liquidity problems, and these losses are critically affected by how promptly an insolvent institution is closed, how quickly depositors gain access to their funds, and how long it takes borrowers to reestablish credit relationships. While regulatory delay and forbearance may affect the size and distribution of losses, the likely incident of systemic risk and the negative externalities are more associated with the structure of the applicable bankruptcy laws and methods available to resolve a failed institution and quickly get it operating again. This circumstance implies that regulatory concerns about systemic risk should be directed first at closing institutions promptly, reforming bankruptcy statutes to admit special procedures for handling bank failures, and providing mechanisms to give creditors and borrowers prompt and immediate access to their funds and lines of credit. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
45. Cross-Border Banking: Challenges for Deposit Insurance and Financial Stability in the European Union.
- Author
-
Eisenbeis, Robert A. and Kaufman, George G.
- Subjects
- *
BANKING industry , *FINANCIAL institutions , *MONETARY policy , *FINANCE , *INVESTMENTS , *BANK failures , *LIQUIDITY (Economics) , *BUSINESS failures - Abstract
This paper examines the implications that alternative regulatory structures may have for resolving failed banking institutions. We place our emphasis on the European Union (EU), which is both economically and financially large and has several features relating to cross-border banking in the form of direct investment that may heighten the problems we consider. We propose four principles to ensure the efficient resolution of bank failures, should they occur, with minimum, if any, credit and liquidity losses. These principles include prompt legal closure of institutions before they become economically insolvent, prompt identification of claims and assignment of losses, prompt reopening of failed institutions, and prompt recapitalizing and reprivatization of failed institutions. Finally, we propose a mechanism to put such a scheme into place quickly in the case where a cross-border banking organization seeks to take advantage of the liberal cross-border branching provisions in the single banking license available to banks in the EU. In return for the privilege of such a license, the bank agrees to be subject to a legal closure rule as a positive capital ratio established by the EU or the home country. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2006
46. Untitled.
- Subjects
BANKING industry ,INTEREST rates ,STOCK exchanges ,NEGOTIABLE instruments ,CHARTS, diagrams, etc. - Abstract
Presents charts that deal with banks and banking in the United States as of February 1999. Commercial paper and bankers dollar acceptances outstanding; Prime rate charged by banks; Interest rates; Statistics on the stock market.
- Published
- 1999
47. The Big Problem of Large Bills: The Bank of Amsterdam and the Origins of Central Banking.
- Author
-
Quinn, Stephen and Roberds, William
- Subjects
- *
BANKING industry , *ECONOMIC policy , *FINANCIAL institutions , *GOVERNMENT policy , *FINANCIAL services industry - Abstract
This paper outlines a model of the first true central bank, the Bank of Amsterdam, founded in 1609. Employing a variant of the Freeman (1996) model of money and payments, we first analyze the problematic monetary situation in the Netherlands prior to the founding of the Bank. We then use the model to describe how the Bank could remedy this situation by creating a stable medium for the settlement of commercial obligations. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2005
48. Resolving Large Financial Intermediaries: Banks Versus Housing Enterprises.
- Author
-
Eisenbeis, Robert A., Frame, W. Scott, and Wall, Larry D.
- Subjects
- *
FINANCIAL institutions , *INTERMEDIATION (Finance) , *BANKING industry , *PUBLIC housing , *BANK failures , *POLICY sciences - Abstract
This paper examines the policy issues with respect to resolving the possible failure of housing enterprises Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. The authors compare and contrast these issues with those raised in the context of large bank failures and also identify important differences in the extant supervisory authorities. Based on these discussions, they offer a number of policy suggestions designed to minimize the cost of resolution and protect taxpayers from loss should a large bank or housing enterprise fail. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2004
49. Subordinated Debt and Prompt Corrective Regulatory Action.
- Author
-
Francis, Bill, Hasan, Iftekhar, and Hunter, Delroy
- Subjects
- *
DEBT , *BANKING industry , *RISK - Abstract
Several recent studies have recommended greater reliance on subordinated debt as a tool to discipline bank risk taking. Some of these proposals recommend using subordinated debt yield spreads as additional triggers for supervisory discipline under prompt corrective action (PCA), action that is currently prompted by capital adequacy measures. This paper provides a theoretical model describing how use of a second market-measure of bank risk, in addition to the supervisors' own internalized information, could improve bank discipline. The authors then empirically evaluate the implications of the model. The evidence suggests that subordinated debt spreads dominate the current capital measures used to trigger PCA and consideration should be given to using spreads to complement supervisory discipline. The evidence also suggests that spreads over corporate bonds may be preferred to using spreads over U.S. Treasuries. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2002
50. Empirical Studies of Financial Innovation: Lots of Talk, Little Action?
- Author
-
Frame, W. Scott and White, Lawrence J.
- Subjects
- *
FINANCE , *BANKING industry , *SECURITIES - Abstract
This paper reviews the extant empirical studies of financial innovation. Adopting broad criteria, the authors found just two dozen studies, over half of which (fourteen) had been conducted since 2000. Since some financial innovations are examined by more than one study, only fourteen distinct phenomena have been covered. Especially striking is the fact that only two studies are directed at the hypotheses advanced in many broad descriptive articles concerning the environmental conditions (e.g., regulation, taxes, unstable macroeconomic conditions, and ripe technologies) spurring financial innovation. The authors offer some tentative conjectures as to why empirical studies of financial innovation are comparatively rare. Among their suggested culprits is an absence of accessible data. The authors urge financial regulators to undertake more surveys of financial innovation and to make the survey data more available to researchers. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2002
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