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1. The burden of unintentional drowning: Global, regional and national estimates of mortality from the Global Burden of Disease 2017 Study

Author

Franklin, RC, Peden, AE, Hamilton, EB, Bisignano, C, Castle, CD, Dingels, ZV, Hay, SI, Liu, Z, Mokdad, AH, Roberts, NLS, Sylte, DO, Vos, T, Abady, GG, Abosetugn, AE, Ahmed, R, Alahdab, F, Andrei, CL, Antonio, CAT, Arabloo, J, Kinfe Arba, AA, Badiye, AD, Bakkannavar, SM, Banach, M, Banik, PC, Banstola, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Barzegar, A, Bayati, M, Bhardwaj, P, Bhaumik, S, Bhutta, ZA, Bijani, A, Boloor, A, Carvalho, F, Kabir Chowdhury, MA, Chu, DT, Colquhoun, SM, Dagne, H, Dagnew, B, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Daryani, A, Dharmaratne, SD, Dibaji Forooshani, ZS, Do, HT, Driscoll, TR, Eagan, AW, El-Khatib, Z, Fernandes, E, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Gebremichael, B, Gupta, G, Haagsma, JA, Hassan, S, Hendrie, D, Hoang, CL, Hole, MK, Holla, R, Hostiuc, S, Househ, M, Ilesanmi, OS, Inbaraj, LR, Naghibi Irvani, SS, MofzulIslam, M, Ivers, RQ, Jayatilleke, AU, Joukar, F, Kalhor, R, Kanchan, T, Kapoor, N, Kasaeian, A, Khan, M, Khan, EA, Khubchandani, J, Krishan, K, Anil Kumar, G, Lauriola, P, Lopez, AD, Madadin, M, Majdan, M, Maled, V, Manaf, N, Manaf, A, McKee, M, Meles, HG, Menezes, RG, Meretoja, TJ, Miller, TR, Mithra, P, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, A, Mohammadpourhodki, R, Mohebi, F, Molokhia, M, Mustafa, G, Negoi, I, Nguyen, CT, Thi Nguyen, HL, Olagunju, AT, Olagunju, TO, Franklin, RC, Peden, AE, Hamilton, EB, Bisignano, C, Castle, CD, Dingels, ZV, Hay, SI, Liu, Z, Mokdad, AH, Roberts, NLS, Sylte, DO, Vos, T, Abady, GG, Abosetugn, AE, Ahmed, R, Alahdab, F, Andrei, CL, Antonio, CAT, Arabloo, J, Kinfe Arba, AA, Badiye, AD, Bakkannavar, SM, Banach, M, Banik, PC, Banstola, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Barzegar, A, Bayati, M, Bhardwaj, P, Bhaumik, S, Bhutta, ZA, Bijani, A, Boloor, A, Carvalho, F, Kabir Chowdhury, MA, Chu, DT, Colquhoun, SM, Dagne, H, Dagnew, B, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Daryani, A, Dharmaratne, SD, Dibaji Forooshani, ZS, Do, HT, Driscoll, TR, Eagan, AW, El-Khatib, Z, Fernandes, E, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Gebremichael, B, Gupta, G, Haagsma, JA, Hassan, S, Hendrie, D, Hoang, CL, Hole, MK, Holla, R, Hostiuc, S, Househ, M, Ilesanmi, OS, Inbaraj, LR, Naghibi Irvani, SS, MofzulIslam, M, Ivers, RQ, Jayatilleke, AU, Joukar, F, Kalhor, R, Kanchan, T, Kapoor, N, Kasaeian, A, Khan, M, Khan, EA, Khubchandani, J, Krishan, K, Anil Kumar, G, Lauriola, P, Lopez, AD, Madadin, M, Majdan, M, Maled, V, Manaf, N, Manaf, A, McKee, M, Meles, HG, Menezes, RG, Meretoja, TJ, Miller, TR, Mithra, P, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, A, Mohammadpourhodki, R, Mohebi, F, Molokhia, M, Mustafa, G, Negoi, I, Nguyen, CT, Thi Nguyen, HL, Olagunju, AT, and Olagunju, TO

Abstract

BackgroundDrowning is a leading cause of injury-related mortality globally. Unintentional drowning (International Classification of Diseases (ICD) 10 codes W65-74 and ICD9 E910) is one of the 30 mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive causes of injury-related mortality in the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. This study’s objective is to describe unintentional drowning using GBD estimates from 1990 to 2017.MethodsUnintentional drowning from GBD 2017 was estimated for cause-specific mortality and years of life lost (YLLs), age, sex, country, region, Socio-demographic Index (SDI) quintile, and trends from 1990 to 2017. GBD 2017 used standard GBD methods for estimating mortality from drowning.ResultsGlobally, unintentional drowning mortality decreased by 44.5% between 1990 and 2017, from 531 956 (uncertainty interval (UI): 484 107 to 572 854) to 295 210 (284 493 to 306 187) deaths. Global age-standardised mortality rates decreased 57.4%, from 9.3 (8.5 to 10.0) in 1990 to 4.0 (3.8 to 4.1) per 100 000 per annum in 2017. Unintentional drowning-associated mortality was generally higher in children, males and in low-SDI to middle-SDI countries. China, India, Pakistan and Bangladesh accounted for 51.2% of all drowning deaths in 2017. Oceania was the region with the highest rate of age-standardised YLLs in 2017, with 45 434 (40 850 to 50 539) YLLs per 100 000 across both sexes.ConclusionsThere has been a decline in global drowning rates. This study shows that the decline was not consistent across countries. The results reinforce the need for continued and improved policy, prevention and research efforts, with a focus on low- and middle-income countries.

Published
2020

2. The burden of unintentional drowning: global, regional and national estimates of mortality from the Global Burden of Disease 2017 Study

Author

Franklin, RC, Peden, AE, Hamilton, EB, Bisignano, C, Castle, CD, Dingels, Z, Hay, S, Liu, Z, Mokdad, AH, Roberts, NLS, Sylte, DO, Theo, V, Abady, GG, Abosetugn, AE, Ahmed, R, Alahdab, F, Andrei, CL, Antonio, CAT, Arabloo, J, Arba, AAK, Badiye, AD, Bakkannavar, SM, Banach, M, Banik, PC, Banstola, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Barzegar, A, Bayati, M, Bhardwaj, P, Bhaumik, S, Bhutta, ZA, Bijani, A, Boloor, A, Carvalho, F, Chowdhury, MAK, Dinh-Toi, C, Colquhoun, SM, Dagne, H, Dagnew, B, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Daryani, A, Dharmaratne, SD, Forooshani, ZSD, Hoa, TD, Driscoll, TR, Eagan, AW, El-Khatib, Z, Fernandes, E, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Gebremichael, B, Gupta, G, Haagsma, JA, Hassan, S, Hendrie, D, Chi, LH, Hole, MK, Holla, R, Hostiuc, S, Househ, M, Ilesanmi, OS, Inbaraj, LR, Irvani, SSN, Islam, MM, Ivers, RQ, Jayatilleke, AU, Joukar, F, Kalhor, R, Kanchan, T, Kapoor, N, Kasaeian, A, Khan, M, Khan, EA, Khubchandani, J, Krishan, K, Kumar, GA, Lauriola, P, Lopez, AD, Madadin, M, Majdan, M, Maled, V, Manafi, N, Manafi, A, McKee, M, Meles, HG, Menezes, RG, Meretoja, TJ, Miller, TR, Mithra, P, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, A, Mohammadpourhodki, R, Mohebi, F, Molokhia, M, Mustafa, G, Negoi, I, Cuong, TN, Huong, LTN, Olagunju, AT, Olagunju, TO, Padubidri, JR, Pakshir, K, Pathak, A, Polinder, S, Pribadi, DRA, Rabiee, N, Radfar, A, Rana, SM, Rickard, J, Safari, S, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Sarker, AR, Schwebel, DC, Senthilkumaran, S, Shaahmadi, F, Shaikh, MA, Shin, JI, Singh, PK, Soheili, A, Stokes, MA, Suleria, HAR, Tarigan, IU, Temsah, M-H, Tesfay, BE, Valdez, PR, Veisani, Y, Ye, P, Yonemoto, N, Yu, C, Yusefzadeh, H, Bin Zaman, S, Zhang, Z-J, James, SL, Franklin, RC, Peden, AE, Hamilton, EB, Bisignano, C, Castle, CD, Dingels, Z, Hay, S, Liu, Z, Mokdad, AH, Roberts, NLS, Sylte, DO, Theo, V, Abady, GG, Abosetugn, AE, Ahmed, R, Alahdab, F, Andrei, CL, Antonio, CAT, Arabloo, J, Arba, AAK, Badiye, AD, Bakkannavar, SM, Banach, M, Banik, PC, Banstola, A, Barker-Collo, SL, Barzegar, A, Bayati, M, Bhardwaj, P, Bhaumik, S, Bhutta, ZA, Bijani, A, Boloor, A, Carvalho, F, Chowdhury, MAK, Dinh-Toi, C, Colquhoun, SM, Dagne, H, Dagnew, B, Dandona, L, Dandona, R, Daryani, A, Dharmaratne, SD, Forooshani, ZSD, Hoa, TD, Driscoll, TR, Eagan, AW, El-Khatib, Z, Fernandes, E, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Gebremichael, B, Gupta, G, Haagsma, JA, Hassan, S, Hendrie, D, Chi, LH, Hole, MK, Holla, R, Hostiuc, S, Househ, M, Ilesanmi, OS, Inbaraj, LR, Irvani, SSN, Islam, MM, Ivers, RQ, Jayatilleke, AU, Joukar, F, Kalhor, R, Kanchan, T, Kapoor, N, Kasaeian, A, Khan, M, Khan, EA, Khubchandani, J, Krishan, K, Kumar, GA, Lauriola, P, Lopez, AD, Madadin, M, Majdan, M, Maled, V, Manafi, N, Manafi, A, McKee, M, Meles, HG, Menezes, RG, Meretoja, TJ, Miller, TR, Mithra, P, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, A, Mohammadpourhodki, R, Mohebi, F, Molokhia, M, Mustafa, G, Negoi, I, Cuong, TN, Huong, LTN, Olagunju, AT, Olagunju, TO, Padubidri, JR, Pakshir, K, Pathak, A, Polinder, S, Pribadi, DRA, Rabiee, N, Radfar, A, Rana, SM, Rickard, J, Safari, S, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Sarker, AR, Schwebel, DC, Senthilkumaran, S, Shaahmadi, F, Shaikh, MA, Shin, JI, Singh, PK, Soheili, A, Stokes, MA, Suleria, HAR, Tarigan, IU, Temsah, M-H, Tesfay, BE, Valdez, PR, Veisani, Y, Ye, P, Yonemoto, N, Yu, C, Yusefzadeh, H, Bin Zaman, S, Zhang, Z-J, and James, SL

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Drowning is a leading cause of injury-related mortality globally. Unintentional drowning (International Classification of Diseases (ICD) 10 codes W65-74 and ICD9 E910) is one of the 30 mutually exclusive and collectively exhaustive causes of injury-related mortality in the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study. This study's objective is to describe unintentional drowning using GBD estimates from 1990 to 2017. METHODS: Unintentional drowning from GBD 2017 was estimated for cause-specific mortality and years of life lost (YLLs), age, sex, country, region, Socio-demographic Index (SDI) quintile, and trends from 1990 to 2017. GBD 2017 used standard GBD methods for estimating mortality from drowning. RESULTS: Globally, unintentional drowning mortality decreased by 44.5% between 1990 and 2017, from 531 956 (uncertainty interval (UI): 484 107 to 572 854) to 295 210 (284 493 to 306 187) deaths. Global age-standardised mortality rates decreased 57.4%, from 9.3 (8.5 to 10.0) in 1990 to 4.0 (3.8 to 4.1) per 100 000 per annum in 2017. Unintentional drowning-associated mortality was generally higher in children, males and in low-SDI to middle-SDI countries. China, India, Pakistan and Bangladesh accounted for 51.2% of all drowning deaths in 2017. Oceania was the region with the highest rate of age-standardised YLLs in 2017, with 45 434 (40 850 to 50 539) YLLs per 100 000 across both sexes. CONCLUSIONS: There has been a decline in global drowning rates. This study shows that the decline was not consistent across countries. The results reinforce the need for continued and improved policy, prevention and research efforts, with a focus on low- and middle-income countries.

Published
2020

3. Epidemiology of injuries from fire, heat and hot substances: global, regional and national morbidity and mortality estimates from the Global Burden of Disease 2017 study

Author

James, SL, Lucchesi, LR, Bisignano, C, Castle, CD, Dingels, Z, Fox, JT, Hamilton, EB, Henry, NJ, McCracken, D, Roberts, NLS, Sylte, DO, Ahmadi, A, Ahmed, MB, Alahdab, F, Alipour, V, Andualem, Z, Antonio, CAT, Arabloo, J, Badiye, AD, Bagherzadeh, M, Banstola, A, Baernighausen, TW, Barzegar, A, Bayati, M, Bhaumik, S, Bijani, A, Bukhman, G, Carvalho, F, Crowe, CS, Dalal, K, Daryani, A, Nasab, MD, Hoa, TD, Huyen, PD, Endries, AY, Fernandes, E, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Fukumoto, T, Gebremedhin, KBB, Gebremeskel, GG, Gilani, SA, Haagsma, JA, Hamidi, S, Hostiuc, S, Househ, M, Igumbor, EU, Ilesanmi, OS, Irvani, SSN, Jayatilleke, AU, Kahsay, A, Kapoor, N, Kasaeian, A, Khader, YS, Khalil, IA, Khan, EA, Khazaee-Pool, M, Kokubo, Y, Lopez, AD, Madadin, M, Majdan, M, Maled, V, Malekzadeh, R, Manafi, N, Manafi, A, Mangalam, S, Massenburg, BB, Meles, HG, Menezes, RG, Meretoja, TJ, Miazgowski, B, Miller, TR, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, A, Mohammadpourhodki, R, Morrison, SD, Negoi, I, Trang, HN, Son, HN, Cuong, TN, Nixon, MR, Olagunju, AT, Olagunju, TO, Padubidri, JR, Polinder, S, Rabiee, N, Rabiee, M, Radfar, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rawaf, S, Rawaf, DL, Rezapour, A, Rickard, J, Roro, EM, Roy, N, Safari-Faramani, R, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Satpathy, M, Sawhney, M, Schwebel, DC, Senthilkumaran, S, Sepanlou, SG, Shigematsu, M, Soheili, A, Stokes, MA, Tohidinik, HR, Bach, XT, Valdez, PR, Wijeratne, T, Yisma, E, Zaidi, Z, Zamani, M, Zhang, Z-J, Hay, S, Mokdad, AH, James, SL, Lucchesi, LR, Bisignano, C, Castle, CD, Dingels, Z, Fox, JT, Hamilton, EB, Henry, NJ, McCracken, D, Roberts, NLS, Sylte, DO, Ahmadi, A, Ahmed, MB, Alahdab, F, Alipour, V, Andualem, Z, Antonio, CAT, Arabloo, J, Badiye, AD, Bagherzadeh, M, Banstola, A, Baernighausen, TW, Barzegar, A, Bayati, M, Bhaumik, S, Bijani, A, Bukhman, G, Carvalho, F, Crowe, CS, Dalal, K, Daryani, A, Nasab, MD, Hoa, TD, Huyen, PD, Endries, AY, Fernandes, E, Filip, I, Fischer, F, Fukumoto, T, Gebremedhin, KBB, Gebremeskel, GG, Gilani, SA, Haagsma, JA, Hamidi, S, Hostiuc, S, Househ, M, Igumbor, EU, Ilesanmi, OS, Irvani, SSN, Jayatilleke, AU, Kahsay, A, Kapoor, N, Kasaeian, A, Khader, YS, Khalil, IA, Khan, EA, Khazaee-Pool, M, Kokubo, Y, Lopez, AD, Madadin, M, Majdan, M, Maled, V, Malekzadeh, R, Manafi, N, Manafi, A, Mangalam, S, Massenburg, BB, Meles, HG, Menezes, RG, Meretoja, TJ, Miazgowski, B, Miller, TR, Mohammadian-Hafshejani, A, Mohammadpourhodki, R, Morrison, SD, Negoi, I, Trang, HN, Son, HN, Cuong, TN, Nixon, MR, Olagunju, AT, Olagunju, TO, Padubidri, JR, Polinder, S, Rabiee, N, Rabiee, M, Radfar, A, Rahimi-Movaghar, V, Rawaf, S, Rawaf, DL, Rezapour, A, Rickard, J, Roro, EM, Roy, N, Safari-Faramani, R, Salamati, P, Samy, AM, Satpathy, M, Sawhney, M, Schwebel, DC, Senthilkumaran, S, Sepanlou, SG, Shigematsu, M, Soheili, A, Stokes, MA, Tohidinik, HR, Bach, XT, Valdez, PR, Wijeratne, T, Yisma, E, Zaidi, Z, Zamani, M, Zhang, Z-J, Hay, S, and Mokdad, AH

Abstract

BACKGROUND: Past research has shown how fires, heat and hot substances are important causes of health loss globally. Detailed estimates of the morbidity and mortality from these injuries could help drive preventative measures and improved access to care. METHODS: We used the Global Burden of Disease 2017 framework to produce three main results. First, we produced results on incidence, prevalence, years lived with disability, deaths, years of life lost and disability-adjusted life years from 1990 to 2017 for 195 countries and territories. Second, we analysed these results to measure mortality-to-incidence ratios by location. Third, we reported the measures above in terms of the cause of fire, heat and hot substances and the types of bodily injuries that result. RESULTS: Globally, there were 8 991 468 (7 481 218 to 10 740 897) new fire, heat and hot substance injuries in 2017 with 120 632 (101 630 to 129 383) deaths. At the global level, the age-standardised mortality caused by fire, heat and hot substances significantly declined from 1990 to 2017, but regionally there was variability in age-standardised incidence with some regions experiencing an increase (eg, Southern Latin America) and others experiencing a significant decrease (eg, High-income North America). CONCLUSIONS: The incidence and mortality of injuries that result from fire, heat and hot substances affect every region of the world but are most concentrated in middle and lower income areas. More resources should be invested in measuring these injuries as well as in improving infrastructure, advancing safety measures and ensuring access to care.

Published
2020

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