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Abstract Background Rectal cancer is a common cancer worldwide and lacks effective prognostic markers. The development of prognostic markers by computational pathology methods has attracted increasing attention. This paper aims to construct a prognostic signature from whole slide images for predicting progression-free survival (PFS) of rectal cancer through an unsupervised artificial intelligence algorithm. Methods A total of 238 patients with rectal cancer from two datasets were collected for the development and validation of the prognostic signature. A tumor detection model was built by transfer learning. Then, on the basis of the tumor patches recognized by the tumor detection model, a convolutional autoencoder model was built for decoding the tumor patches into deep latent features. Next, on the basis of the deep latent features, the tumor patches were divided into different clusters. The cluster number and other hyperparameters were optimized by a nested cross-validation method. The percentage of each cluster from the patient’s tumor patches, which is hereafter called PCF, was calculated for prognostic signature construction. The prognostic signature was constructed by Cox proportional hazard regression with L2 regularization. Finally, bioinformatic analysis was performed to explore the underlying biological mechanisms of the PCFs. Results The accuracy of the tumor detection model in distinguishing tumor patches from non-tumor patches achieved 99.3%. The optimal cluster number was determined to be 9. Therfore, 9 PCFs were calculated to construct the prognostic signature. The prognostic signature achieved a concordance index of 0.701 in the validation cohort. The Kaplan-Meier survival curves showed the prognostic signature had good risk stratification ability. Through the bioinformatic analysis, several PCF-associated genes were identified. These genes were enriched in various gene ontology terms. Conclusion The developed prognostic signature can effectively predict PFS in patients with rectal cancer and exploration of the underlying biological mechanisms may help to promote its clinical translation.

Abstract Background This study was to establish and validate prediction models to predict the cancer-specific survival (CSS) and overall survival (OS) of small-cell lung cancer (SCLC) patients with liver metastasis. Methods In the retrospective cohort study, SCLC patients with liver metastasis between 2010 and 2015 were retrospectively retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Patients were randomly divided into the training group and testing group (3: 1 ratio). The Cox proportional hazards model was used to determine the predictive factors for CSS and OS in SCLC with liver metastasis. The prediction models were conducted based on the predictive factors. The performances of the prediction models were evaluated by concordance indexes (C-index), and calibration plots. The clinical value of the models was evaluated by decision curve analysis (DCA). Results In total, 8,587 patients were included, with 154 patients experiencing CSS and 154 patients experiencing OS. The median follow-up was 3 months. Age, gender, marital status, N stage, lung metastases, multiple metastases surgery of metastatic site, chemotherapy, and radiotherapy were independent predictive factors for the CSS and OS of SCLC patients with liver metastasis. The prediction models presented good performances of CSS and OS among patients with liver metastasis, with the C-index for CSS being 0.724, whereas the C-index for OS was 0.732, in the training set. The calibration curve showed a high degree of consistency between the actual and predicted CSS and OS. DCA suggested that the prediction models provided greater net clinical benefit to these patients. Conclusion Our prediction models showed good predictive performance for the CSS and OS among SCLC patients with liver metastasis. Our developed nomograms may help clinicians predict CSS and OS in SCLC patients with liver metastasis.

Abstract Background Lymph node metastasis (LNM) is a prognostic biomarker and affects therapeutic selection in colorectal cancer (CRC). Current evaluation methods are not adequate for estimating LNM in CRC. H&E images contain much pathological information, and collagen also affects the biological behavior of tumor cells. Hence, the objective of the study is to investigate whether a fully quantitative pathomics-collagen signature (PCS) in the tumor microenvironment can be used to predict LNM. Methods Patients with histologically confirmed stage I-III CRC who underwent radical surgery were included in the training cohort (n = 329), the internal validation cohort (n = 329), and the external validation cohort (n = 315). Fully quantitative pathomics features and collagen features were extracted from digital H&E images and multiphoton images of specimens, respectively. LASSO regression was utilized to develop the PCS. Then, a PCS-nomogram was constructed incorporating the PCS and clinicopathological predictors for estimating LNM in the training cohort. The performance of the PCS-nomogram was evaluated via calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness. Furthermore, the PCS-nomogram was tested in internal and external validation cohorts. Results By LASSO regression, the PCS was developed based on 11 pathomics and 9 collagen features. A significant association was found between the PCS and LNM in the three cohorts (P