1. Enhancement of the International prognostic index with β2-microglobulin, platelet count and red blood cell distribution width: a new prognostic model for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma in the rituximab era
- Author
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Haizhu Chen, Qiaofeng Zhong, Yu Zhou, Yan Qin, Jianliang Yang, Peng Liu, Xiaohui He, Shengyu Zhou, Changgong Zhang, Lin Gui, Sheng Yang, Liqiang Zhou, and Yuankai Shi
- Subjects
Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma ,β2-microglobulin ,Platelet count ,Red blood cell distribution width ,Prognosis ,International prognostic index ,Neoplasms. Tumors. Oncology. Including cancer and carcinogens ,RC254-282 - Abstract
Abstract Background This study aimed to propose a new user-friendly, cost effective and robust risk model to facilitate risk stratification for diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) treated with frontline R-CHOP regimens. Methods Data on 998 patients with de novo DLBCL diagnosed between Jan 1st, 2005 and Dec 31st, 2018 at our center, who received frontline R-CHOP or R-CHOP-like regimens, were retrospectively collected. Patients were randomly divided into the training cohort (n = 701) and the validation cohort (n = 297). A new prognostic model for overall survival (OS) was built based on the training cohort. The performance of the new model was compared with International prognostic index (IPI), revised IPI (R-IPI) and National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN)-IPI (NCCN-IPI). The new model was validated in the validation cohort. Results The multivariate analysis of the training cohort showed that the IPI, β2-microglobulin, platelet count and red blood cell distribution width were independent factors for OS, which were incorporated into the new prognostic model. Patients were stratified into low risk, low-intermediate risk, high-intermediate risk, high risk and very high risk groups, with distinct survival outcomes. The new model achieved good C-indexes for 5-year OS prediction of 0.750 (95%CI 0.719–0.781) and 0.733 (95%CI 0.682–0.784) in the training and validation cohorts, respectively, and displayed well-fitted calibration curves. The C-index and the time-dependent ROC analysis demonstrated better performance of the new model than the IPI, R-IPI and NCCN-IPI in both training and validation cohorts. The integrated Brier score for predicting 5-year OS of the new model was lower than that of the IPI, R-IPI and NCCN-IPI in both cohorts, and decision curve analysis also showed a higher net benefit, indicating the superiority of the new model over the conventional models. Conclusion The new prognostic model might be a useful predictive tool for DLBCL treated with R-CHOP regimens. Further external validation is warranted.
- Published
- 2022
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