1. Model-based assessment of the safety of community interventions with primaquine in sub-Saharan Africa
- Author
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van Beek, Stijn W., Svensson, Elin, Tiono, Alfred B., Okebe, Joseph, D'Alessandro, Umberto, Goncalves, Bronner P., Bousema, Teun, Drakeley, Chris, ter Heine, Rob, van Beek, Stijn W., Svensson, Elin, Tiono, Alfred B., Okebe, Joseph, D'Alessandro, Umberto, Goncalves, Bronner P., Bousema, Teun, Drakeley, Chris, and ter Heine, Rob
- Abstract
Background Single low-dose primaquine (SLD-PQ) is recommended in combination with artemisinin-based combination therapy to reduce Plasmodium falciparum transmission in areas threatened by artemisinin resistance or aiming for malaria elimination. SLD-PQ may be beneficial in mass drug administration (MDA) campaigns to prevent malaria transmission but uptake is limited by concerns of hemolysis in glucose-6-phosphate dehydrogenase (G6PD)-deficient individuals. The aim of this study was to improve the evidence on the safety of MDA with SLD-PQ in a sub-Saharan African setting. Methods A nonlinear mixed-effects model describing the pharmacokinetics and treatment-induced hemolysis of primaquine was developed using data from an adult (n = 16, G6PD deficient) and pediatric study (n = 38, G6PD normal). The relationship between primaquine pharmacokinetics and hemolysis was modeled using an established erythrocyte lifespan model. The safety of MDA with SLD-PQ was explored through Monte Carlo simulations for SLD-PQ at 0.25 or 0.4 mg/kg using baseline data from a Tanzanian setting with detailed information on hemoglobin concentrations and G6PD status. Results The predicted reduction in hemoglobin levels following SLD-PQ was small and returned to pre-treatment levels after 25 days. G6PD deficiency (African A- variant) was associated with a 2.5-fold (95% CI 1.2-8.2) larger reduction in hemoglobin levels. In the Tanzanian setting where 43% of the population had at least mild anemia (hemoglobin < 11-13 g/dl depending on age and sex) and 2.73% had severe anemia (hemoglobin < 7-8 g/dl depending on age and sex), an additional 3.7% and 6.0% of the population were predicted to develop at least mild anemia and 0.25% and 0.41% to develop severe anemia after 0.25 and 0.4 mg/kg SLD-PQ, respectively. Children < 5 years of age and women >= 15 years of age were found to have a higher chance to have low pre-treatment hemoglobin. Conclusions This study supports the feasibility of MDA wi
- Published
- 2021
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