1. New aspects in risk status evaluation of small ruminant local breeds in Serbia
- Author
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Cekić, Bogdan, Ružić Muslić, Dragana, Maksimović, Nevena, Caro Petrović, Violeta, Ćosić, Ivan, Lečić, Nemanja, Becskei, Zsolt, Cekić, Bogdan, Ružić Muslić, Dragana, Maksimović, Nevena, Caro Petrović, Violeta, Ćosić, Ivan, Lečić, Nemanja, and Becskei, Zsolt
- Abstract
Several factors have led to a decline in autochthonous breeds, and the need for conservation programs based on risk assessment has increased. The aim of the study was to compare and validate two models for risk assessment of local small ruminant breeds in Serbia. The first model considered only the effective population size (Ne), while the alternative model included Ne, the number of females and sub-factors representing the influence of different elements. The results indicate an increasing trend in most breeds and populations over the last five years, with the exception of Tsigai and Chokan Tsigai, which showed a decrease. However, the increasing trend is insufficient, especially for Pirot, Karakachan, and Bardoka, as well as for the Domestic (Serbian) white goat, which is classified as critically endangered in both models. Vlashko vitoroga, Chokan tsigai, and the Balkan goat were at high risk. The models produced different results for the Krivovir, Sjenica, and Svrljig strains. In the first model, Krivovir was classified as potentially endangered, whereas Sjenica and Svrljig were not. In the second model, Krivovir was classified as highly and the other two strains as potentially endangered. These differences are due to the additional factors in the second model, which lead to a more comprehensive assessment for future risk assessments. Although the new model is appropriate for Serbia, it is important to test it on a variety of native species to increase confidence. Future conservation programs should also include genetic characterization and implement adaptive models to obtain more reliable conclusions.
- Published
- 2023