1. Simultaneous Bayesian Calibration and Engineering Design With an Application to a Vibration Isolation System
- Author
-
Sez Atamturktur, Roland Platz, Carl Ehrett, D. Andrew Brown, Xinyue Xu, and Christopher L. Kitchens
- Subjects
Statistics and Probability ,Computer science ,Calibration (statistics) ,Control engineering ,02 engineering and technology ,01 natural sciences ,Computer Science Applications ,010104 statistics & probability ,Vibration isolation ,Computational Theory and Mathematics ,Modeling and Simulation ,0202 electrical engineering, electronic engineering, information engineering ,020201 artificial intelligence & image processing ,0101 mathematics ,Engineering design process ,Bayesian calibration - Abstract
Calibration of computer models and the use of those design models are two activities traditionally carried out separately. This paper generalizes existing Bayesian inverse analysis approaches for computer model calibration to present a methodology combining calibration and design in a unified Bayesian framework. This provides a computationally efficient means to undertake both tasks while quantifying all relevant sources of uncertainty. Specifically, compared with the traditional approach of design using parameter estimates from previously completed model calibration, this generalized framework inherently includes uncertainty from the calibration process in the design procedure. We demonstrate our approach to the design of a vibration isolation system. We also demonstrate how, when adaptive sampling of the phenomenon of interest is possible, the proposed framework may select new sampling locations using both available real observations and the computer model. This is especially useful when a misspecified model fails to reflect that the calibration parameter is functionally dependent upon the design inputs to be optimized.
- Published
- 2021
- Full Text
- View/download PDF