1. Assessing Changes in the Effect of Divorce Rates on Violent Crime Rates Across Large U.S. Cities, 1960-2000.
- Author
-
Beaulieu, Mark and Messner, Steven F.
- Subjects
DIVORCE ,VIOLENT crimes ,SOCIAL disorganization ,DIVORCE records ,CRIME statistics ,REGRESSION analysis - Abstract
The level of divorce has become a standard covariate in macro-level studies of violent crime. The rationale for including this variable is typically grounded in social disorganization theory, although the alleged processes underlying the relationship are often referred to fleetingly, if at all. We review the underlying logic for a divorce/violent crime relationship, distinguishing between the classic formulation and the view advanced by "neo-" social disorganization theorists. We suggest that the two variants differ with respect to inferences about stability or change in the effects of divorce across different historical periods. We then assess the degree to which the effects of divorce rates on robbery and homicide rates have changed with data for a sample of large U. S. cities during the decennial years between 1960 and 2000, a period of sharply rising divorce rates for the nation at large and of growing acceptance of divorce. The results of multivariate seemingly unrelated regression (SUR) analyses differ by offense. For robbery, the effects of divorce consistently decline over the period. The effects of divorce on homicide, in contrast, are fairly stable. ..PAT.-Unpublished Manuscript [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2007