1. Burkitt Lymphoma International Prognostic Index
- Author
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Narendranath Epperla, Nicolas Martinez-Calle, Veronika Bachanova, David Peace, Seo-Hyun Kim, Maryam Sarraf Yazdy, Andreas K. Klein, Andrew M. Evens, Neil Palmisiano, Scott E. Smith, Catherine Zhu, Manali Kamdar, Adam Zayac, Izidore S. Lossos, Catherine Diefenbach, Nadia Khan, Elizabeth H Phillips, Matthew A. Lunning, Alessia Dalla Pria, Knut B. Smeland, Chan Yoon Cheah, Adam J. Olszewski, Peter Martin, Anna Santarsieri, Kirsten M Boughan, Umar Farooq, Alexey V. Danilov, Graham P. Collins, Tycel Phillips, Reem Karmali, Alina S. Gerrie, Silvia Montoto, Stephen D. Smith, Shireen Kassam, Kevin A. David, Mark Bower, Deepa Jagadeesh, Tarec Christoffer El-Galaly, Kate Cwynarski, Suchitra Sundaram, Xiao Yin Zhang, Vaishalee P. Kenkre, Fredrik Ellin, Tatyana Feldman, Lasse Hjort Jakobsen, Craig A. Portell, Seema Naik, Nishitha Reddy, and Kristie A. Blum
- Subjects
Adult ,Male ,Oncology ,Canada ,Cancer Research ,medicine.medical_specialty ,Kaplan-Meier Estimate ,Cohort Studies ,International Prognostic Index ,Internal medicine ,Antineoplastic Combined Chemotherapy Protocols ,Outcome Assessment, Health Care ,medicine ,Humans ,Hematology ,business.industry ,Australia ,Clinical course ,ORIGINAL REPORTS ,Middle Aged ,Prognosis ,medicine.disease ,Burkitt Lymphoma ,United States ,Lymphoma ,Europe ,Multivariate Analysis ,Prognostic model ,Female ,Rituximab ,business - Abstract
PURPOSE Burkitt lymphoma (BL) has unique biology and clinical course but lacks a standardized prognostic model. We developed and validated a novel prognostic index specific for BL to aid risk stratification, interpretation of clinical trials, and targeted development of novel treatment approaches. METHODS We derived the BL International Prognostic Index (BL-IPI) from a real-world data set of adult patients with BL treated with immunochemotherapy in the United States between 2009 and 2018, identifying candidate variables that showed the strongest prognostic association with progression-free survival (PFS). The index was validated in an external data set of patients treated in Europe, Canada, and Australia between 2004 and 2019. RESULTS In the derivation cohort of 633 patients with BL, age ≥ 40 years, performance status ≥ 2, serum lactate dehydrogenase > 3× upper limit of normal, and CNS involvement were selected as equally weighted factors with an independent prognostic value. The resulting BL-IPI identified groups with low (zero risk factors, 18% of patients), intermediate (one factor, 36% of patients), and high risk (≥ 2 factors, 46% of patients) with 3-year PFS estimates of 92%, 72%, and 53%, respectively, and 3-year overall survival estimates of 96%, 76%, and 59%, respectively. The index discriminated outcomes regardless of HIV status, stage, or first-line chemotherapy regimen. Patient characteristics, relative size of the BL-IPI groupings, and outcome discrimination were consistent in the validation cohort of 457 patients, with 3-year PFS estimates of 96%, 82%, and 63% for low-, intermediate-, and high-risk BL-IPI, respectively. CONCLUSION The BL-IPI provides robust discrimination of survival in adult BL, suitable for use as prognostication and stratification in trials. The high-risk group has suboptimal outcomes with standard therapy and should be considered for innovative treatment approaches.
- Published
- 2021