1. Estimated Prevalence of Opioid Use Disorder in Massachusetts, 2011–2015: A Capture–Recapture Analysis
- Author
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Jake R. Morgan, Joshua A. Barocas, Jeffrey H. Samet, Thomas Land, Alexander Y. Walley, Marc R. Larochelle, Jianing Wang, Dana Bernson, Benjamin P. Linas, and Laura F. White
- Subjects
Adult ,Male ,Narcotics ,Adolescent ,AJPH Open-Themed Research ,MEDLINE ,030508 substance abuse ,Mark and recapture ,Young Adult ,03 medical and health sciences ,Age Distribution ,0302 clinical medicine ,AJPH Perspectives ,Prevalence ,medicine ,Humans ,030212 general & internal medicine ,Sex Distribution ,Young adult ,Child ,Extramural ,business.industry ,Public Health, Environmental and Occupational Health ,Opioid use disorder ,Middle Aged ,Opioid-Related Disorders ,medicine.disease ,Analgesics, Opioid ,Massachusetts ,Female ,Age distribution ,Drug Overdose ,0305 other medical science ,business ,Demography - Abstract
Objectives. To estimate the annual prevalence of opioid use disorder (OUD) in Massachusetts from 2011 to 2015. Methods. We performed a multisample stratified capture–recapture analysis to estimate OUD prevalence in Massachusetts. Individuals identified from 6 administrative databases for 2011 to 2012 and 7 databases for 2013 to 2015 were linked at the individual level and included in the analysis. Individuals were stratified by age group, sex, and county of residence. Results. The OUD prevalence in Massachusetts among people aged 11 years or older was 2.72% in 2011 and 2.87% in 2012. Between 2013 and 2015, the prevalence increased from 3.87% to 4.60%. The greatest increase in prevalence was observed among those in the youngest age group (11–25 years), a 76% increase from 2011 to 2012 and a 42% increase from 2013 to 2015. Conclusions. In Massachusetts, the OUD prevalence was 4.6% among people 11 years or older in 2015. The number of individuals with OUD is likely increasing, particularly among young people.
- Published
- 2018
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