8 results on '"Enric Aguilar"'
Search Results
2. Observed trends in indices of daily and extreme temperature and precipitation for the countries of the western Indian Ocean, 1961–2008
- Author
-
B. Montfraix, V. Amelie, F. R. Faniriantsoa, D. Roy, P. Booneeady, A. F. Hassane, M. Saindou, G. Jumaux, L. Y. A. Randriamarolaza, R. Virasami, Lucie A. Vincent, H. Seeward, and Enric Aguilar
- Subjects
Atmospheric Science ,Daytime ,Ecology ,Diurnal temperature variation ,Paleontology ,Soil Science ,Climate change ,Forestry ,Aquatic Science ,Oceanography ,Extreme temperature ,Spatial coherence ,Indian ocean ,Geophysics ,Surface air temperature ,Space and Planetary Science ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Climatology ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Environmental science ,Precipitation ,Earth-Surface Processes ,Water Science and Technology - Abstract
[1] A workshop on climate change indices was held at the Mauritius Meteorological Services in October 2009 to produce the first analysis of climate trends for the countries of the western Indian Ocean. Scientists brought their long-term daily temperature and precipitation for a careful assessment of data quality and homogeneity, and for the preparation of climate change indices. This paper reports on the trends in daily and extreme temperature and precipitation indices for 1961–2008. The results indicate a definitive warming of surface air temperature at land stations. Annual means of the daytime and nighttime temperatures have increased at a similar rate, leading to no discernible change in the diurnal temperature range. Significant increasing trends were found in the frequency of warm days and warm nights, while decreasing trends were observed in the frequency of cold days and cold nights. Moreover, it seems that the warm extremes have changed more than the cold extremes in the western Indian Ocean region. Trends in precipitation indices are generally weak and show less spatial coherence. Regionally, a significant decrease was found in the annual total rainfall for the past 48 years. The results also show some increase in consecutive dry days, no change in daily intensity and consecutive wet days, and a decrease in extreme precipitation events. Temperature indices are highly correlated with sea surface temperatures of the region, whereas weak correlations are found with the precipitation indices.
- Published
- 2011
3. Changes in temperature and precipitation extremes in western central Africa, Guinea Conakry, and Zimbabwe, 1955–2006
- Author
-
A. Fernandes, A. Mhanda, Thomas C. Peterson, Xuebin Zhang, Manola Brunet, D. J. do Nascimento, L. Ekang, J. Mbah, M. Massoukina, M. Tomou, O. Thamba Umba, Enric Aguilar, and A. Aziz Barry
- Subjects
Atmospheric Science ,Ecology ,Paleontology ,Soil Science ,Climate change ,Central africa ,Forestry ,Aquatic Science ,Guinea conakry ,Oceanography ,West africa ,Geophysics ,Geography ,Data archaeology ,Space and Planetary Science ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Climatology ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Precipitation ,Earth-Surface Processes ,Water Science and Technology - Abstract
[1] Understanding how extremes are changing globally, regionally, and locally is an important first step for planning appropriate adaptation measures, as changes in extremes have major impacts. The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change's synthesis of global extremes was not able to say anything about western central Africa, as no analysis of the region was available nor was there an adequate internationally exchanged long-term daily data set available to use for analysis of extremes. This paper presents the first analysis of extremes in this climatically important region along with analysis of Guinea Conakry and Zimbabwe. As per many other parts of the world, the analysis shows a decrease in cold extremes and an increase in warm extremes. However, while the majority of the analyzed world has shown an increase in heavy precipitation over the last half century, central Africa showed a decrease. Furthermore, the companion analysis of Guinea Conakry and Zimbabwe showed no significant increases.
- Published
- 2009
4. Changes in daily climate extremes in the eastern and central Tibetan Plateau during 1961–2005
- Author
-
Yuping Yan, Shichang Kang, Qinglong You, and Enric Aguilar
- Subjects
Atmospheric Science ,geography ,Plateau ,geography.geographical_feature_category ,Ecology ,Diurnal temperature variation ,Paleontology ,Soil Science ,Forestry ,Aquatic Science ,Oceanography ,Atmospheric temperature ,Chine ,Geophysics ,Space and Planetary Science ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Climatology ,Frost ,Trend surface analysis ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Environmental science ,Precipitation ,Sea level ,Earth-Surface Processes ,Water Science and Technology - Abstract
[1] Changes in indices of climate extremes are analyzed on the basis of daily maximum and minimum surface air temperature and precipitation at 71 meteorological stations with elevation above 2000 m above sea level in the eastern and central Tibetan Plateau (TP) during 1961–2005. Twelve indices of extreme temperature and nine indices of extreme precipitation are examined. Temperature extremes show patterns consistent with warming during the studied period, with a large proportion of stations showing statistically significant trends for all temperature indices. Stations in the northwestern, southwestern, and southeastern TP have larger trend magnitudes. The regional occurrence of extreme cold days and nights has decreased by −0.85 and −2.38 d/decade, respectively. Over the same period, the occurrence of extreme warm days and nights has increased by 1.26 and 2.54 d/decade, respectively. The number of frost days and ice days shows statistically significant decreasing at the rate of −4.32 and −2.46 d/decade, respectively. The length of growing season has statistically increased by 4.25 d/decade. The diurnal temperature range exhibits a statistically decreasing trend at a rate of −0.20°C per decade. The extreme temperature indices also show statistically significant increasing trends, with larger values for the index describing variations in the lowest minimum temperature. In general, warming trends in minimum temperature indices are of greater magnitude than those for maximum temperature. Most precipitation indices exhibit increasing trends in the southern and northern TP and show decreasing trends in the central TP. On average, regional annual total precipitation, heavy precipitation days, maximum 1-day precipitation, average wet days precipitation, and total precipitation on extreme wet days show nonsignificant increases. Decreasing trends are found for maximum 5-day precipitation, consecutive wet days, and consecutive dry days, but only the last is statistically significant.
- Published
- 2008
5. Temporal and spatial temperature variability and change over Spain during 1850–2005
- Author
-
Òscar Saladié, Philip Jones, Diego López, David Lister, Enric Aguilar, Manola Brunet, Anders Moberg, Alexander Walther, Javier Sigró, and Paul M. Della-Marta
- Subjects
Atmospheric Science ,Ecology ,Spring season ,Annual average ,Paleontology ,Soil Science ,Forestry ,Aquatic Science ,Oceanography ,Geophysics ,Space and Planetary Science ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Climatology ,Trend surface analysis ,Principal component analysis ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Period (geology) ,Spatial ecology ,Environmental science ,Extreme value theory ,Earth-Surface Processes ,Water Science and Technology - Abstract
We analyze temporal and spatial patterns of temperature change over Spain during the period 1850–2005, using daily maximum (T max), minimum (T min), and mean (T mean) temperatures from the 22 longe ...
- Published
- 2007
6. Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation
- Author
-
J. Burn, John Caesar, G M Griffiths, A. M. G. Klein Tank, Michael A. Taylor, Blair Trewin, Fatemeh Rahimzadeh, Xuebin Zhang, Thomas C. Peterson, Enric Aguilar, M. R. Haylock, Byron E. Gleason, Mark New, David B. Stephenson, Lisa V. Alexander, Lucie A. Vincent, Matilde Rusticucci, Dean Collins, Manola Brunet, A. Tagipour, Panmao Zhai, K. Rupa Kumar, J. V. Revadekar, and J. L. Vazquez-Aguirre
- Subjects
Atmospheric Science ,Ecology ,Global warming ,Northern Hemisphere ,Paleontology ,Soil Science ,Climate change ,Forestry ,Global change ,Aquatic Science ,Oceanography ,Atmospheric temperature ,Matematikk og Naturvitenskap: 400::Geofag: 450::Meteorologi: 453 [VDP] ,Geophysics ,Space and Planetary Science ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Climatology ,Trend surface analysis ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Environmental science ,Precipitation ,Extreme value theory ,Earth-Surface Processes ,Water Science and Technology - Abstract
A suite of climate change indices derived from daily temperature and precipitation data, with a primary focus on extreme events, were computed and analyzed. By setting an exact formula for each index and using specially designed software, analyses done in different countries have been combined seamlessly. This has enabled the presentation of the most up-to-date and comprehensive global picture of trends in extreme temperature and precipitation indices using results from a number of workshops held in data-sparse regions and high-quality station data supplied by numerous scientists world wide. Seasonal and annual indices for the period 1951–2003 were gridded. Trends in the gridded fields were computed and tested for statistical significance. Results showed widespread significant changes in temperature extremes associated with warming, especially for those indices derived from daily minimum temperature. Over 70% of the global land area sampled showed a significant decrease in the annual occurrence of cold nights and a significant increase in the annual occurrence of warm nights. Some regions experienced a more than doubling of these indices. This implies a positive shift in the distribution of daily minimum temperature throughout the globe. Daily maximum temperature indices showed similar changes but with smaller magnitudes. Precipitation changes showed a widespread and significant increase, but the changes are much less spatially coherent compared with temperature change. Probability distributions of indices derived from approximately 200 temperature and 600 precipitation stations, with near complete data for 1901–2003 and covering a very large region of the Northern Hemisphere midlatitudes (and parts of Australia for precipitation) were analyzed for the periods 1901–1950, 1951–1978 and 1979–2003. Results indicate a significant warming throughout the 20th century. Differences in temperature indices distributions are particularly pronounced between the most recent two periods and for those indices related to minimum temperature. An analysis of those indices for which seasonal time series are available shows that these changes occur for all seasons although they are generally least pronounced for September to November. Precipitation indices show a tendency toward wetter conditions throughout the 20th century.
- Published
- 2006
7. Trends in Middle East climate extreme indices from 1950 to 2003
- Author
-
Hamlet Melkonyan, Mesut Demircan, Trevor W. R. Wallis, Lisa V. Alexander, Nader Ahmed, Imad Al Dean Khelet, Fatemeh Rahimzadeh, Ramazan Sagir, Umayra Tagiyeva, Saleh Hamoud, Enric Aguilar, T. H. Hantosh, Mehmet Eken, Nato Kutaladze, Thomas C. Peterson, Mansoor Halal Said Al-Shabibi, Taha Zatari, Xuebin Zhang, Afsaneh Taghipour, Zaid Al-Oulan, Serhat Sensoy, Mohammad Ali, Mustafa Adiguzel, Pinhas Albert, and Mohammed Semawi
- Subjects
International research ,Atmospheric Science ,Percentile ,Middle East ,Ecology ,Meteorology ,education ,Paleontology ,Soil Science ,Climate change ,Forestry ,Aquatic Science ,Oceanography ,Spatial coherence ,Geophysics ,Space and Planetary Science ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Climatology ,Trend surface analysis ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Environmental science ,Precipitation ,Extreme value theory ,Earth-Surface Processes ,Water Science and Technology - Abstract
[1] A climate change workshop for the Middle East brought together scientists and data for the region to produce the first area-wide analysis of climate extremes for the region. This paper reports trends in extreme precipitation and temperature indices that were computed during the workshop and additional indices data that became available after the workshop. Trends in these indices were examined for 1950–2003 at 52 stations covering 15 countries, including Armenia, Azerbaijan, Bahrain, Cyprus, Georgia, Iran, Iraq, Israel, Jordan, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Syria, and Turkey. Results indicate that there have been statistically significant, spatially coherent trends in temperature indices that are related to temperature increases in the region. Significant, increasing trends have been found in the annual maximum of daily maximum and minimum temperature, the annual minimum of daily maximum and minimum temperature, the number of summer nights, and the number of days where daily temperature has exceeded its 90th percentile. Significant negative trends have been found in the number of days when daily temperature is below its 10th percentile and daily temperature range. Trends in precipitation indices, including the number of days with precipitation, the average precipitation intensity, and maximum daily precipitation events, are weak in general and do not show spatial coherence. The workshop attendees have generously made the indices data available for the international research community.
- Published
- 2005
8. Changes in precipitation and temperature extremes in Central America and northern South America, 1961–2003
- Author
-
Juan Vazquez, A. Rosa Santos, E. Ruano, Romeu Araujo, Marco Antonio Gutierrez, C. Castañón, M. Baca, J. Soley, Maria Judith Bautista, P. Ramírez Obando, M. Solera, M. R. Haylock, B. Olmedo, Enric Aguilar, Eva Sánchez, Rafael López Núñez, J. J. Sinay, C. E. Ojeda Espinoza, Thomas C. Peterson, C. Centella, J. Espinosa, H. Benavides, J. E. Salgado, J. A. Retana, I. Gonzalez Garcia, Leonor Herrera, V. E. Valle, L. Aguilar, Domingo Martínez, Manola Brunet, L. Alvarez, R. Frutos, F. Obed, G. I. Hernández Oviedo, and R. Mayorga
- Subjects
Atmospheric Science ,Ecology ,Paleontology ,Soil Science ,Climate change ,Forestry ,Aquatic Science ,Tropical Atlantic ,Oceanography ,Pacific ocean ,Sea surface temperature ,Geophysics ,Space and Planetary Science ,Geochemistry and Petrology ,Climatology ,Trend surface analysis ,Earth and Planetary Sciences (miscellaneous) ,Environmental science ,Spatial variability ,Precipitation ,Extreme value theory ,Earth-Surface Processes ,Water Science and Technology - Abstract
[1] In November 2004, a regional climate change workshop was held in Guatemala with the goal of analyzing how climate extremes had changed in the region. Scientists from Central America and northern South America brought long-term daily temperature and precipitation time series from meteorological stations in their countries to the workshop. After undergoing careful quality control procedures and a homogeneity assessment, the data were used to calculate a suite of climate change indices over the 1961–2003 period. Analysis of these indices reveals a general warming trend in the region. The occurrence of extreme warm maximum and minimum temperatures has increased while extremely cold temperature events have decreased. Precipitation indices, despite the large and expected spatial variability, indicate that although no significant increases in the total amount are found, rainfall events are intensifying and the contribution of wet and very wet days are enlarging. Temperature and precipitation indices were correlated with northern and equatorial Atlantic and Pacific Ocean sea surface temperatures. However, those indices having the largest significant trends (percentage of warm days, precipitation intensity, and contribution from very wet days) have low correlations to El Nino–Southern Oscillation. Additionally, precipitation indices show a higher correlation with tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures.
- Published
- 2005
Catalog
Discovery Service for Jio Institute Digital Library
For full access to our library's resources, please sign in.