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Tropical cyclones (TCs) can be characterized as a 3D annular structure of elevated potential vorticity (PV). However, strong mature TCs often develop a secondary eyewall, leading to a 3D annular vortex with a double-eyewall structure. Using 2D linear stability analysis, it is shown that three types of barotropic instability (BI) are present for annular vortices with a double-eyewall structure: Type-1 BI across the secondary eyewall, Type-2 BI across the moat of the vortex, and Type-3 BI across the primary eyewall. The overall stability of these vortices (and the type of BI that develops) depends principally upon five vortex parameters: the thickness of the primary eyewall, the thickness of the secondary eyewall, the moat width, the vorticity ratio between the eye and the primary eyewall, and the vorticity ratio between the primary and secondary eyewall. The adiabatic evolution of 3D annular vortices with a double-eyewall structure is examined using a primitive equation model in normalized isobaric coordinates. It is shown that Type-2 BI is the most common type of BI for 3D annular vortices whose vortex parameters mimic TCs with a double-eyewall structure. During the onset of Type-2 BI, eddy kinetic energy budget analysis indicates that barotropic energy conversion from the mean azimuthal flow is the dominant energy source of the eddies, which produces a radial velocity field with a quadrupole structure. Absolute angular momentum budget analysis indicates that Type-2 BI generates azimuthally averaged radial outflow across the moat, and the eddies transport absolute angular momentum radially outward towards the secondary eyewall. The combination of these processes leads to the dissipation of the primary eyewall and the maintenance of the secondary eyewall for the vortex. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In this paper, we study how cyclonic and anticyclonic vortices adapt their shape and orientation to a background shear flow in an effort to understand geophysical vortices. Here we use a balanced model that incorporates the effects of rotation and density stratification to model the case of an isolated vortex of uniform potential vorticity subjected to a background shear flow that mimics the effect of surrounding vortices. We find equilibrium states and analyze their linear stability to determine the vortex characteristics at the margin of stability. Differences are found between the cyclonic and anticyclonic equilibria depending on the background flow parameters. When there is only horizontal strain, the vertical aspect ratio of the vortex does not change, whereas increasing the imposed background strain rate causes a change in the horizontal cross section, with cyclones being more deformed than anticyclones for a given value of strain. Vertical shear not only causes changes in the vertical axis but also causes the vortex to tilt away from it upright position. Overall, anticyclonic equilibria tend to have a more circular horizontal cross section, a longer vertical axis, and a larger tilt angle with respect to cyclonic equilibria. The strongest asymmetry between the horizontal cross section of cyclonic and anticyclonic vortices occurs for low values of vertical shear, while the strongest asymmetry in the vertical axes and tilt angle occurs for large vertical shear. Finally, by expanding the vortex shape and orientation in terms of the strain rate, we derive simple formulas that provide insights into how the vortex equilibria depend on the background flow. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study presents the first research that assimilates the ground-based NEXRAD observations-derived two-dimensional (2D), azimuthally averaged radar radial velocity and reflectivity within 60 km of radius from the hurricane center to examine their influence on the analysis and prediction of a hurricane near and after its landfall. The mesoscale community Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model and its four-dimensional variational (4D-VAR) data assimilation system are utilized to conduct data assimilation experiments for Hurricane Charley (2004). Results show that assimilation of the radar inner-core data leads to better forecasts of hurricane tracks, intensity, and precipitation. The improved forecast outcomes imply that the changes in dynamical, thermal, and moisture structures from data assimilations made more reasonable conditions for the hurricane development near and after its landfall. Overall results indicate that the assimilation of the radar-derived 2D inner-core structure could be a feasible way to utilize the radar data for improved hurricane prediction. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We review and extend the theory of ideal, homogeneous, incompressible, magnetohydrodynamic (MHD) turbulence. The theory contains a solution to the 'dynamo problem', i.e., the problem of determining how a planetary or stellar body produces a global dipole magnetic field. We extend the theory to the case of ideal MHD turbulence with a mean magnetic field that is aligned with a rotation axis. The existing theory is also extended by developing the thermodynamics of ideal MHD turbulence based on entropy. A mathematical model is created by Fourier transforming the MHD equations and dynamical variables, resulting in a dynamical system consisting of the independent Fourier coefficients of the velocity and magnetic fields. This dynamical system has a large but finite-dimensional phase space in which the phase flow is divergenceless in the ideal case. There may be several constants of the motion, in addition to energy, which depend on the presence, or lack thereof, of a mean magnetic field or system rotation or both imposed on the magnetofluid; this leads to five different cases of MHD turbulence that must be considered. The constants of the motion (ideal invariants)—the most important being energy and magnetic helicity—are used to construct canonical probability densities and partition functions that enable ensemble predictions to be made. These predictions are compared with time averages from numerical simulations to test whether or not the system is ergodic. In the cases most pertinent to planets and stars, nonergodicity is observed at the largest length-scales and occurs when the components of the dipole field become quasi-stationary and dipole energy is directly proportional to magnetic helicity. This nonergodicity is evident in the thermodynamics, while dipole alignment with a rotation axis may be seen as the result of dynamical symmetry breaking, i.e., 'broken ergodicity'. The relevance of ideal theoretical results to real (forced, dissipative) MHD turbulence is shown through numerical simulation. Again, an important result is a statistical solution of the 'dynamo problem'. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]