Tusongtuoheti,Ximisinuer, Huang,Guoqing, Mao,Yushan, Tusongtuoheti,Ximisinuer, Huang,Guoqing, and Mao,Yushan
Ximisinuer Tusongtuoheti,1,2 Guoqing Huang,1,2 Yushan Mao1 1Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Ningbo University, Ningbo University, Ningbo, Peopleâs Republic of China; 2Health Science Center, Ningbo University, Ningbo, Peopleâs Republic of ChinaCorrespondence: Guoqing Huang; Yushan Mao, Department of Endocrinology, The First Affiliated Hospital of Ningbo University, 247 Renmin Road, Ningbo, Peopleâs Republic of China, Tel +86 15737939838; +86 13867878937, Email guoqinghuang1992@163.com; maoyushan@nbu.edu.cnPurpose: The aim of this study was to identify independent risk factors for carotid atherosclerosis (CAS) in a population with hyperuricemia (HUA) and develop a CAS risk prediction model.Patients and Methods: This retrospective study included 3579 HUA individuals who underwent health examinations, including carotid ultrasonography, at the Zhenhai Lianhua Hospital in Ningbo, China, in 2020. All participants were randomly assigned to the training and internal validation sets in a 7:3 ratio. Multivariable logistic regression analysis was used to identify independent risk factors associated with CAS. The characteristic variables were screened using the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator combined with 10-fold cross-validation, and the resulting model was visualized by a nomogram. The discriminative ability, calibration, and clinical utility of the risk model were validated using the receiver operating characteristic curve, calibration curve, and decision curve analysis.Results: Sex, age, mean red blood cell volume, and fasting blood glucose were identified as independent risk factors for CAS in the HUA population. Age, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase, serum creatinine, fasting blood glucose, total triiodothyronine, and direct bilirubin, were screened to construct a CAS risk prediction model. In the training and internal validation sets, the risk prediction model showed an excellent discriminative ability with the area under