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Aim: Chronotropic incompetence and impaired heart rate (HR) recovery are related to mortality. Guidelines lack specific reference values for HR recovery. We defined normal values and studied blunted HR response and recovery, and mortality risk., Methods: We included 9,917 subjects (45% females) aged 18-85 years who performed a cycle exercise test. We defined normal values for peak HR, HR reserve, and HR recovery at 1 and 2 minutes (HRR1 and HRR2) based on individuals apparently healthy (N=2,242). Associations between blunted HR indices (<5th percentile) and mortality over a median follow-up of 8.6 years were analysed using Cox regression and competing risk analysis., Results: All HR indices were age-dependent and independent predictors of all-cause and CV mortality. The 5th percentiles of HR reserve, HRR1, and HRR2 correlated weakly with existing reference values. HR recovery variables were the strongest predictors of all-cause mortality (HRR1, hazard ratio 1.70 [95% confidence interval, 1.49-1.94] and HRR2, 1.57 [1.37-1.79]), including in subjects with normal exercise capacity (HRR1, 1.96 [1.61-2.39] and HRR2, 1.76 [1.46-2.12]). Combining HR indices appeared to increase the risk of all-cause (HRR1 and HRR2, 1.96 [1.68-2.29] and peak HR and HRR1, 1.87 [1.56-2.23]) and CV mortality, although no specific combination was superior for predicting CV mortality., Conclusions: All HR variables were age-dependent and associated with all-cause and CV mortality. Blunted HR recovery variables were the strongest predictors of all-cause mortality, even in subjects with normal exercise capacity. Combined blunted HR indices appeared to add prognostic value., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology. All rights reserved. For commercial re-use, please contact reprints@oup.com for reprints and translation rights for reprints. All other permissions can be obtained through our RightsLink service via the Permissions link on the article page on our site—for further information please contact journals.permissions@oup.com.)

Background: Safety analyses play a pivotal role in drug development, ensuring the protection of patients while advancing innovative pharmaceuticals to market. A single study generally does not have sufficient sample size to evaluate all important safety events with reasonable precision and may not cover the full target population for the investigational treatment. Integrated analyses (pooled or meta-analysis) over several studies may be helpful in that regard. But without a structured conscious workflow accompanied with appropriate statistical methods for the integrated analysis, this can easily take a route compromising the interpretation., Methods: In this article we apply the ICH estimand framework to clinical trial integration and summarize respective critical statistical assumptions to ensure the integrated analyses are interpretable., Results: The estimand framework is valuable for developing principles for a deeper understanding of the critical statistical aspects of planning an integrated safety analysis. Our principles address the clinical question of interest, estimand and estimation. Special focus was given to the criteria for inclusion and exclusion of the component studies in the integrated analysis, and to integration of estimates pertaining to signal detection., Conclusion: Performing an integrated analysis and its preparatory steps calls for a good understanding of the clinical question of interest and its estimand, care and sound practice, to enable interpretation and avoid introducing unnecessary bias. It is valuable to use the estimand framework not only for efficacy evaluations, but also for safety evaluations in clinical trials and for integrated safety analyses., (© 2024. The Author(s), under exclusive licence to The Drug Information Association, Inc.)

Background/aims: Evaluating safety is as important as evaluating efficacy in a clinical trial, yet the tradition for safety analysis is rudimentary. This article explores more complex methodologies for safety evaluation, with the aim of improving the interpretability, as well as generalizability, of the results., Methods: For studies where the analysis periods vary over the subjects, using the International Council for Harmonisation estimand framework, we construct a formal estimand that could be used in the setting of safety surveillance that answers the clinical question of 'What is the magnitude of the increase in risk of experiencing an adverse event if the treatment is taken, as prescribed, for a specific period of time?'. Estimation methodologies for this estimand are also discussed., Results: The proposed estimand is similar to that found in the efficacy analyses of time to event data (e.g. in outcome studies), with the key difference of utilization of hypothetical intercurrent event strategy for the intercurrent event of treatment discontinuation. This is motivated by what we perceive to be a key difference for the safety objective compared to efficacy objectives, namely a desire for sensitivity (i.e. greater possibility of detecting a negative impact of the drug, if such exists) as opposed to the need to prove a positive effect of the drug in a conservative manner., Conclusion: It is valuable, and possible, to use the International Council for Harmonisation estimand framework not only for efficacy but also for safety evaluation, with the estimand driven by an interpretable, and relevant, clinical question., Competing Interests: Declaration of conflicting interestsThe author(s) declared the following potential conflicts of interest with respect to the research, authorship, and/or publication of this article: K.H., V.L., and P.N. are the employees of AstraZeneca and have stock ownership or options in AstraZeneca.

Aims: We aimed to investigate the association between the exercise systolic blood pressure (SBP) response and future hypertension (HTN) in normotensive individuals referred for cycle ergometry, with special regard to reference exercise SBP values and exercise capacity., Methods and Results: In this longitudinal cohort study, data from 14 428 exercise tests were cross-linked with Swedish national registries on diagnoses and medications. We excluded individuals with a baseline diagnosis of cardiovascular disease or HTN. The peak exercise SBP (SBPpeak) was recorded and compared with the upper limit of normal (ULN) derived from SBPpeak reference equations incorporating age, sex, resting SBP, and exercise capacity. To evaluate the impact of exercise capacity, three SBP to work rate slopes (SBP/W-slopes) were calculated, relative to either supine or seated SBP at rest or to the first exercise SBP. Adjusted hazard ratios [HRadjusted (95% confidence interval, CI)] for incident HTN during follow-up, in relation to SBP response metrics, were calculated. We included 3895 normotensive individuals (49 ± 14 years, 45% females) with maximal cycle ergometer tests. During follow-up (median 7.5 years), 22% developed HTN. Higher SBPpeak and SBPpeak > ULN were associated with incident HTN [HRadjusted 1.19 (1.14-1.23) per 10 mmHg, and 1.95 (1.54-2.47), respectively]. All three SBP/W-slopes were positively associated with incident HTN, particularly the SBP/W-slope calculated as supine-to-peak SBP [HRadjusted 1.25 (1.19-1.31) per 1 mmHg/10 W]., Conclusion: Both SBPpeak > ULN based on reference values and high SBP/W-slopes were associated with incident HTN in normotensive individuals and should be considered in the evaluation of the cycle ergometry SBP response., Competing Interests: Conflict of interest: none declared., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of the European Society of Cardiology.)

A previous study suggested that fetal inheritance of chromosomally integrated human herpesvirus 6 (ici-HHV6) is associated with the hypertensive pregnancy disorder preeclampsia (PE). We aimed to study this question utilizing cord plasma samples (n = 1276) of the Finnish Genetics of Preeclampsia Consortium (FINNPEC) cohort: 539 from a pregnancy with PE and 737 without. We studied these samples and 30 placentas from PE pregnancies by a multiplex qPCR for the DNAs of all nine human herpesviruses. To assess the population prevalence of iciHHV-6, we studied whole-genome sequencing data from blood-derived DNA of 3421 biobank subjects. Any herpes viral DNA was detected in only two (0.37%) PE and one (0.14%) control sample (OR 2.74, 95% CI 0.25-30.4). One PE sample contained iciHHV-6B and another HHV-7 DNA. The control's DNA was of iciHHV-6B; the fetus having growth restriction and preterm birth without PE diagnosis. Placentas showed no herpesviruses. In the biobank data, 3 of 3421 subjects (0.08%) had low level HHV-6B but no iciHHV-6. While iciHHV-6 proved extremely rare, both fetuses with iciHHV-6B were growth-restricted, preterm, and from a pregnancy with maternal hypertension. Our findings suggest that human herpesviruses are not a significant cause of PE, whereas iciHHV-6 may pose some fetal risk., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Background: Human bocaviruses (HBoVs) have been demonstrated in respiratory and gastrointestinal infections; however, the immune response to them has not been studied in detail. In this study, we investigated the B cell immune responses to HBoV1 and HBoV2, representing two different species of bocaviruses in humans., Methods: We analyzed the effects of stimulations with HBoV1 and 2 virus-like particles (VLPs) and of co-stimulation with HBoV1-rhinovirus (RV) on cells of the immune system by flow cytometry, transcriptomics, and luminometric immune assays., Results: Human B cells, and particularly B regulatory cells (Breg cells), showed an increased immune response to HBoV1-VLPs stimulation. These immune responses were also supported by increased IL-1RA and PDL1 expressions in IL-10 + B cells from peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) stimulated with HBoV1-VLPs. In addition, increased levels of IL-10 and IL-1RA were determined in the supernatants of PBMCs following HBoV1-VLPs stimulation. HBoV1-VLPs and RV co-stimulation increased the IL-10 + B cell population. Transcriptome analysis by next-generation RNA sequencing showed an increased expression of IL-10 signalling and Breg cell markers in PBMCs stimulated with HBoV1-VLPs. Furthermore, TGF-β and chemoattractants MIP-1α, MIP-1β and IP10 protein levels were high in the supernatants of PBMCs stimulated with HBoV1-VLPs., Conclusions: The findings demonstrate that in Breg cells, IL-10 signalling pathways, and anti-inflammatory activity are induced by HBoV1, which can explain the often mild nature of the disease. In addition, the immune regulatory response induced by HBoV1-VLPs may indicate a potential immunomodulatory role of HBoV1 on the immune system and may represent an immune regulatory strategy., (© 2024 The Authors. Clinical & Experimental Allergy published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd.)

Background: The implications of inherited chromosomally integrated human herpesvirus 6 (iciHHV-6) in solid organ transplantation remain uncertain. Although this trait has been linked to unfavorable clinical outcomes, an association between viral reactivation and complications has only been conclusively established in a few cases. In contrast to these studies, which followed donor-derived transmission, our investigation is the first to examine the pathogenicity of a recipient´s iciHHV-6B and its impact on the graft., Methods: We used hybrid capture sequencing for in-depth analysis of the viral sequences reconstructed from sequential liver biopsies. Moreover, we investigated viral replication through in situ hybridization (U38-U94 genes), real-time PCR (U89/U90 genes), immunohistochemistry, and immunofluorescence (against viral lysate). We also performed whole transcriptome sequencing of the liver biopsies to profile the host immune response., Results: We report a case of reactivation of a recipient´s iciHHV-6B and subsequent infection of the graft. Using a novel approach integrating the analysis of viral and mitochondrial DNAs, we located the iciHHV-6B intra-graft. We demonstrated active replication via the emergence of viral minor variants across time points, in addition to positive viral mRNAs and antigen stainings in tissue sections. Furthermore, we detected significant upregulation of cell surface molecules, transcription factors, and cytokines associated with antiviral immune responses, arguing against immunotolerance., Conclusions: Our analysis underscores the potential pathological impact of iciHHV-6B, emphasizing the need for close monitoring of reactivation in transplant recipients. Most crucially, it highlights the critical role that the host's virome can play in shaping the outcome of transplantation, urging further investigations., (© The Author(s) 2024. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America.)

Background: Breathlessness is common in the population and can be related to a range of medical conditions. We aimed to evaluate the burden of breathlessness related to different medical conditions in a middle-aged population., Methods: Cross-sectional analysis of the population-based Swedish CArdioPulmonary bioImage Study of adults aged 50-64 years. Breathlessness (modified Medical Research Council [mMRC] ≥ 2) was evaluated in relation to self-reported symptoms, stress, depression; physician-diagnosed conditions; measured body mass index (BMI), spirometry, venous haemoglobin concentration, coronary artery calcification and stenosis [computer tomography (CT) angiography], and pulmonary emphysema (high-resolution CT). For each condition, the prevalence and breathlessness population attributable fraction (PAF) were calculated, overall and by sex, smoking history, and presence/absence of self-reported cardiorespiratory disease., Results: We included 25,948 people aged 57.5 ± [SD] 4.4; 51% women; 37% former and 12% current smokers; 43% overweight (BMI 25.0-29.9), 21% obese (BMI ≥ 30); 25% with respiratory disease, 14% depression, 9% cardiac disease, and 3% anemia. Breathlessness was present in 3.7%. Medical conditions most strongly related to the breathlessness prevalence were (PAF 95%CI): overweight and obesity (59.6-66.0%), stress (31.6-76.8%), respiratory disease (20.1-37.1%), depression (17.1-26.6%), cardiac disease (6.3-12.7%), anemia (0.8-3.3%), and peripheral arterial disease (0.3-0.8%). Stress was the main factor in women and current smokers., Conclusion: Breathlessness mainly relates to overweight/obesity and stress and to a lesser extent to comorbidities like respiratory, depressive, and cardiac disorders among middle-aged people in a high-income setting-supporting the importance of lifestyle interventions to reduce the burden of breathlessness in the population., (© 2024. The Author(s).)

Objective: To improve preoperative risk stratification in lung cancer lobectomy by identifying and comparing optimal thresholds for peak oxygen uptake (VO 2peak ) presented as weight-indexed and percent of predicted values, respectively., Methods: This was a longitudinal cohort study including national registry data on patients scheduled for cancer lobectomy that used available data from preoperative cardiopulmonary exercise testing. The measured VO 2peak was indexed by body mass (mL/kg/min) and also compared with 2 established reference equations (Wasserman-Hansen and Study of Health in Pomerania, respectively). By receiver operating characteristic analysis, a lower 90% specificity and an upper 90% sensitivity threshold were determined for each measure, in relation to the outcome of any major complication or death. For each measure and based on these thresholds, patients were categorized as low risk, intermediate risk, or high risk. The frequency of complications was compared between groups using χ 2 ., Results: The frequency of complications differed significantly between the proposed low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups when using % predicted Study of Health in Pomerania (5%, 21%, 35%, P = .007) or % predicted Wasserman-Hansen (5%, 25%, 35%, P = .002) but not when using the weight-indexed VO 2peak groups (7%, 23%, 15%, P = .08). Nonsignificant differences were found using the threshold <15 mL/kg/min (P = .34)., Conclusions: This study showed that weight-indexed VO 2peak was of less use as a marker of risk at the lower range of exercise capacity, whereas % predicted VO 2peak was associated with a continuously increasing risk of major complications, also at the lower end of exercise capacity. As identifying subjects at high risk of complications is important, % predicted VO 2peak is therefore preferable., Competing Interests: Conflict of Interest Statement The authors reported no conflicts of interest. The Journal policy requires editors and reviewers to disclose conflicts of interest and to decline handling or reviewing manuscripts for which they may have a conflict of interest. The editors and reviewers of this article have no conflicts of interest., (Copyright © 2024 The American Association for Thoracic Surgery. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.)

Objectives: Traditional potassium (K + ) binders for treating hyperkalaemia are unpalatable and poorly tolerated. Newer K + binders are reportedly better tolerated; however, no published data describe their palatability, a determinant of long-term adherence. This study evaluated the palatability of and preference for three K + binders: sodium and calcium polystyrene sulfonate (S/CPS), sodium zirconium cyclosilicate (SZC) and calcium patiromer sorbitex (patiromer)., Design: Phase 4, randomised, participant-blinded, cross-over study. Participants were randomised to one of six taste sequences and, using a 'sip and spit' approach, tasted each K + binder before completing a survey., Setting: 17 centres across the USA, Canada and European Union., Participants: 144 participants with chronic kidney disease, hyperkalaemia and no recent use of K + binders., Main Outcome Measures: For the primary (USA) and key secondary (Canada and European Union) endpoints, participants rated palatability attributes (taste, texture, smell and mouthfeel) and willingness to take each K + binder on a scale of 0-10 (rational evaluation). Feelings about each attribute, and the idea of taking the product once daily, were evaluated using a non-verbal, visual measure of emotional response. Finally, participants ranked the K + binders according to palatability., Results: In each region, SZC and patiromer outperformed S/CPS on overall palatability (a composite of taste, texture, smell and mouthfeel), based on rational evaluation and emotional response. Taking the product once daily was more appealing for SZC and patiromer, creating greater receptivity than the idea of taking S/CPS. The emotional response to mouthfeel had the strongest influence on feelings about taking each product. In each region, a numerically greater proportion of participants ranked SZC as the most preferred K + binder versus patiromer or S/CPS., Conclusions: Preference for more palatable K + binders such as SZC and patiromer may provide an opportunity to improve adherence to long-term treatment of hyperkalaemia., Trial Registration Number: NCT04566653., Competing Interests: Competing interests: DCW reports an ongoing consultancy contract with AstraZeneca and honoraria/speaker fees from Astellas, Bayer, Boehringer Ingelheim, George Clinical, GSK, Gilead, Janssen, Merck Sharp and Dohme, ProKidney, Tricida, Vifor and Zydus. HS has nothing to disclose. KH, JH, AA, H-LC, MN, GS, EW and JK are employees of and may hold stock in AstraZeneca. JM and CG are employees of AdSAM., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2024. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)

Objectives: To examine the associations between physical fitness in male adolescents and coronary and carotid atherosclerosis in middle age., Methods: This population-based cohort study linked physical fitness data from the Swedish Military Conscription Register during adolescence to atherosclerosis data from the Swedish CArdioPulmonary bioImage Study in middle age. Cardiorespiratory fitness was assessed using a maximal cycle-ergometer test, and knee extension muscular strength was evaluated through an isometric dynamometer. Coronary atherosclerosis was evaluated via Coronary Computed Tomography Angiography (CCTA) stenosis and Coronary Artery Calcium (CAC) scores, while carotid plaques were evaluated by ultrasound. The associations were analysed using multinomial logistic regression, adjusted (marginal) prevalences and restricted cubic splines., Results: The analysis included 8986 male adolescents (mean age 18.3 years) with a mean follow-up of 38.2 years. Physical fitness showed a reversed J-shaped association with CCTA stenosis and CAC, but no consistent association was observed for carotid plaques. After adjustments, compared with adolescents in the lowest tertile of cardiorespiratory fitness and muscular strength, those in the highest tertile had 22% (OR 0.78; 95% CI 0.61 to 0.99) and 26% (OR 0.74; 95% CI 0.58 to 0.93) lower ORs for severe (≥50%) coronary stenosis, respectively. The highest physical fitness group (high cardiorespiratory fitness and muscular strength) had 33% (OR 0.67; 95% CI 0.52 to 0.87) lower OR for severe coronary stenosis compared with those with the lowest physical fitness., Conclusion: This study supports that a combination of high cardiorespiratory fitness and high muscular strength in adolescence is associated with lower coronary atherosclerosis, particularly severe coronary stenosis, almost 40 years later., Competing Interests: Competing interests: EH reports payments to institution from Pfizer and Amgen, small personal fees from Amgen, NovoNordisk, Bayer and AstraZeneca, small personal fee from Amarin AB for participation on advisory board. He is the co-chair of the Swedish secondary prevention registry and the national coordinator for the trials DalCore DAL301 DalGne, Regeneron R1500-CL-1643 and Aegis II/Perfuse. The remaining authors report no competing interests., (© Author(s) (or their employer(s)) 2024. Re-use permitted under CC BY-NC. No commercial re-use. See rights and permissions. Published by BMJ.)

Background: Cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) enables measurement of the slope of the increase in minute ventilation in relation to carbon dioxide elimination during exercise (the VE/VCO 2 slope). Several studies have shown that the VE/VCO 2 slope is a strong marker for postoperative complications and mortality. However, current thresholds for adverse outcomes are generated from historical data in heart failure patients., Methods: This was a retrospective analysis of 158 patients with lung cancer who underwent lobectomy or pneumonectomy during 2008-2020. The main outcome was major pulmonary complications (MPC) or death ≤30 days of cancer surgery. Patients were first categorized using two different single threshold approaches; the traditional threshold of 35 and the highest Youden value from the receiver operating curve (ROC) analysis. Secondly, patients were categorized into three risk groups using two thresholds. These two thresholds were determined in an ROC analysis, where the VE/VCO 2 slope values generating either a 90% sensitivity (lower threshold) or a 90% specificity (upper threshold) for the main outcome were chosen. The frequency of complications was compared using Chi 2 . The overall model quality was evaluated by an area under the curve (AUC) analysis. Positive predictive values (PPVs) and negative predictive values (NPVs) are presented., Results: The two thresholds, <30 (90% sensitivity) and >41 (90% specificity), created three risk groups: low risk (VE/VCO 2 slope <30, n=44, 28%); intermediate risk (VE/VCO 2 slope 30-41, n=95, 60%) and high risk (VE/VCO 2 slope >41, n=19, 12%). The frequency of complications differed between groups: 5%, 16% and 47% (P<0.001). Using two thresholds compared to one threshold increased the overall model quality (reaching AUC 0.70, 95% confidence interval: 0.59-0.81), and identified a high sensitivity threshold (VE/VCO 2 slope <30) which generated a NPV of 95% but importantly, also a high specificity threshold (VE/VCO 2 slope >41) with a PPV of 47%., Conclusions: Risk stratification based on three risk groups from the preoperative VE/VCO 2 slope increased the model quality, was more discriminative and generated better PPV and NPV compared to traditional risk stratification into two risk groups., Competing Interests: Conflicts of Interest: All authors have completed the ICMJE uniform disclosure form (available at https://jtd.amegroups.com/article/view/10.21037/jtd-23-1292/coif). The authors have no conflicts of interest to declare., (2024 Journal of Thoracic Disease. All rights reserved.)

This pilot study aimed to evaluate if peak VO 2 and ventilatory efficiency in combination would improve preoperative risk stratification beyond only relying on peak VO 2 . This was a single-center retrospective cohort study including all patients who underwent cardiopulmonary exercise testing (CPET) as part of preoperative risk evaluation before major upper abdominal surgery during years 2008-2021. The primary outcome was any major cardiopulmonary complication during hospitalization. Forty-nine patients had a preoperative CPET before decision to pursue to surgery (cancer in esophagus [n = 18], stomach [6], pancreas [16], or liver [9]). Twenty-five were selected for operation. Patients who suffered any major cardiopulmonary complication had lower ventilatory efficiency (i.e., higher VE/VCO 2 slope, 37.3 vs. 29.7, p = 0.031) compared to those without complications. In patients with a low aerobic capacity (i.e., peak VO 2  < 20 mL/kg/min) and a VE/VCO 2 slope ≥ 39, 80% developed a major cardiopulmonary complication. In this pilot study of patients with preoperative CPET before major upper abdominal surgery, patients who experienced a major cardiopulmonary complication had significantly lower ventilatory efficiency compared to those who did not. A low aerobic capacity in combination with low ventilatory efficiency was associated with a very high risk (80%) of having a major cardiopulmonary complication., (© 2024 The Authors. Physiological Reports published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of The Physiological Society and the American Physiological Society.)