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What types of numeric representations emerge in Neural Networks (NNs)? To what degree do NNs induce abstract, mutable, slot-like numeric variables, and in what situations do these representations emerge? How do these representations change over learning, and how can we understand the neural implementations in ways that are unified across different NNs? In this work, we approach these questions by first training sequence based neural systems using Next Token Prediction (NTP) objectives on numeric tasks. We then seek to understand the neural solutions through the lens of causal abstractions or symbolic algorithms. We use a combination of causal interventions and visualization methods to find that artificial neural models do indeed develop analogs of interchangeable, mutable, latent number variables purely from the NTP objective. We then ask how variations on the tasks and model architectures affect the models' learned solutions to find that these symbol-like numeric representations do not form for every variant of the task, and transformers solve the problem in a notably different way than their recurrent counterparts. We then show how the symbol-like variables change over the course of training to find a strong correlation between the models' task performance and the alignment of their symbol-like representations. Lastly, we show that in all cases, some degree of gradience exists in these neural symbols, highlighting the difficulty of finding simple, interpretable symbolic stories of how neural networks perform numeric tasks. Taken together, our results are consistent with the view that neural networks can approximate interpretable symbolic programs of number cognition, but the particular program they approximate and the extent to which they approximate it can vary widely, depending on the network architecture, training data, extent of training, and network size.

Understanding the world and explaining it with scientific theories is a central aspiration of artificial intelligence research. Proposing theories, designing experiments to test them, and then revising them based on data are fundamental to scientific discovery. Despite the significant promise of LLM-based scientific agents, no benchmarks systematically test LLM's ability to propose scientific models, collect experimental data, and revise them in light of new data. We introduce BoxingGym, a benchmark with 10 environments for systematically evaluating both experimental design (e.g. collecting data to test a scientific theory) and model discovery (e.g. proposing and revising scientific theories). To enable tractable and quantitative evaluation, we implement each environment as a generative probabilistic model with which a scientific agent can run interactive experiments. These probabilistic models are drawn from various real-world scientific domains ranging from psychology to ecology. To quantitatively evaluate a scientific agent's ability to collect informative experimental data, we compute the expected information gain (EIG), an information-theoretic quantity which measures how much an experiment reduces uncertainty about the parameters of a generative model. A good scientific theory is a concise and predictive explanation. Therefore, to quantitatively evaluate model discovery, we ask a scientific agent to explain their model and then assess whether this explanation enables another scientific agent to make reliable predictions about this environment. In addition to this explanation-based evaluation, we compute standard model evaluation metrics such as prediction errors. We find that current LLMs, such as GPT-4o, struggle with both experimental design and model discovery. We find that augmenting the LLM-based agent with an explicit statistical model does not reliably improve these results., Comment: KG and MYL contributed equally