1. The potential of gene drives in malaria vector species to control malaria in African environments.
- Author
-
Hancock PA, North A, Leach AW, Winskill P, Ghani AC, Godfray HCJ, Burt A, and Mumford JD
- Subjects
- Animals, Humans, Africa, Western epidemiology, Malaria epidemiology, Malaria transmission, Malaria prevention & control, Mosquito Vectors genetics, Mosquito Vectors parasitology, Gene Drive Technology methods, Mosquito Control methods, Anopheles genetics, Anopheles parasitology
- Abstract
Gene drives are a promising means of malaria control with the potential to cause sustained reductions in transmission. In real environments, however, their impacts will depend on local ecological and epidemiological factors. We develop a data-driven model to investigate the impacts of gene drives that causes vector population suppression. We simulate gene drive releases in sixteen ~ 12,000 km
2 areas of west Africa that span variation in vector ecology and malaria prevalence, and estimate reductions in vector abundance, malaria prevalence and clinical cases. Average reductions in vector abundance ranged from 71.6-98.4% across areas, while impacts on malaria depended strongly on which vector species were targeted. When other new interventions including RTS,S vaccination and pyrethroid-PBO bednets were in place, at least 60% more clinical cases were averted when gene drives were added, demonstrating the benefits of integrated interventions. Our results show that different strategies for gene drive implementation may be required across different African settings., (© 2024. The Author(s).)- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF