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Temperature is a major variable in the Earth's climate system, which plays an important role in energy exchange interactions between the Earth's surface and the atmosphere. There are various sources for temperature estimation, including ground stations, satellite products, reanalysis datasets, and multi-source weighted-ensemble datasets. Reanalysis datasets are generated by combining different types of observational data for a certain time in numerical weather prediction models and using ground and satellite observations. The purpose of this research is to investigate the performance of the ERA5- Land and AgERA5 reanalysis datasets as well as the MSWX multi-source dataset to determine reliable datasets for estimating temperature in Iran. First, we evaluated the temporal variations of the three datasets against the station data. We used the air temperature from 98 stations for 30 years from 1991 to 2020. Three metrics including Root Mean Square Error, Bias, and Index of agreement were used to evaluate ERA5-Land, AgERA5, and MSWX datasets.Then, considering the seven main climate zones of Iran, the spatiotemporal quality of the annual mean temperature was evaluated in different climate zones. The results showed that all three datasets have less error and bias in the estimation of the minimum temperature of Iran. However, AgERA5 and MSWX significantly showed less error in the estimation of the maximum temperature with RMSE of 1.74℃ and 1.42℃, respectively. On the other hand, the ERA5-Land dataset shows overestimation (5.05℃) and high error values (5.07℃) over the country-averaged. The results showed that the MSWX dataset has a better performance in estimating Iran's temperature with an average bias of 1℃. The interannual variations and decreasing and increasing trends of temperature in three datasets with correlation above 0.86 in all climate zones of Iran show a high consistency with observational data.The RMSE in all three datasets reaches its maximum in the winter season in mountainous climate zones of the country. This may be caused by snow-albedo feedback in mountainous climate zones. The findings showed that performing bias correction and downscaling methods as they have been done in MSWX and AgERA5, significantly improved the reanalysis dataset compared to the direct model output. Nevertheless, in the southwest of the Caspian Sea, the bias-corrected MSWX and AgERA5 show more errors than ERA5-Land. In general, the values of bias and RMSE in all three datasets are affected by the physical schemes of the model, parameterization, and data assimilation system, or the downscaling and bias correction methods. However, sources of bias can be different in different seasons of the year. The monthly spatial distribution of temperature in Iran shows that the minimum temperatures are located in the middle of Alborz and the northwest mountains of the country, and the coldest month of the year is January with a temperature of -10.8℃. The maximum temperatures in Iran are located in the southwest of the country and the southern coasts, and the hottest month of the year is July with an average temperature of 42.38℃. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

ERA5-Land is a valuable reanalysis data resource that provides near-real-time, high-resolution, multivariable data for various applications. Using daily precipitation data from 301 meteorological stations in the Yellow River Basin from 2001 to 2013 as benchmark data, this study aims to evaluate ERA5-Land's capability of monitoring extreme precipitation. The evaluation study is conducted from three perspectives: precipitation amount, extreme precipitation indices, and characteristics of extreme precipitation events. The results show that ERA5-Land can effectively capture the spatial distribution patterns and temporal trends in precipitation and extreme precipitation; however, it also exhibits significant overestimation and underestimation errors. ERA5-Land significantly overestimates total precipitation and indices for heavy precipitation and extreme precipitation (R95pTOT and R99pTOT), with errors reaching up to 89%, but underestimates the Simple Daily Intensity Index (SDII). ERA5-Land tends to overestimate the duration of extreme precipitation events but slightly underestimates the total and average precipitation of these events. These findings provide a scientific reference for optimizing the ERA5-Land algorithm and for users in selecting data. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study evaluates the use of remote sensing data to improve the understanding of groundwater resources in climate-sensitive regions with limited data availability and increasing agricultural water demands. The research focuses on estimating groundwater reserve dynamics in two major river basins in Morocco, characterized by significant local variability. The study employs data from Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment satellite (GRACE) and ERA5-Land reanalysis. Two GRACE terrestrial water storage (TWS) products, CSR Mascon and JPL Mascon (RL06), were analyzed, along with auxiliary datasets generated from ERA5-Land, including precipitation, evapotranspiration, and surface runoff. The results show that both GRACE TWS products exhibit strong correlations with groundwater reserves, with correlation coefficients reaching up to 0.96 in the Oum Er-rbia River Basin and 0.95 in the Tensift River Basin (TRB). The root mean square errors (RMSE) were 0.99 cm and 0.88 cm, respectively. GRACE-derived groundwater storage (GWS) demonstrated a moderate correlation with observed groundwater levels in OERRB (R = 0.59, RMSE = 0.82), but a weaker correlation in TRB (R = 0.30, RMSE = 1.01). On the other hand, ERA5-Land-derived GWS showed a stronger correlation with groundwater levels in OERRB (R = 0.72, RMSE = 0.51) and a moderate correlation in TRB (R = 0.63, RMSE = 0.59). The findings suggest that ERA5-Land may provide more accurate assessments of groundwater storage anomalies, particularly in regions with significant local-scale variability in land and water use. High-resolution datasets like ERA5-land are, therefore, more recommended for addressing local-scale heterogeneity in regions with contrasted complexities in groundwater storage characteristics. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

The Qinghai-Xizang Plateau， distinguished by its vast array of lakes， exhibits marked seasonal lake ice coverage， which is highly responsive to climatic shifts.This ice coverage plays a crucial role in the dynamic interchange of fluxes between the lake surfaces and the atmosphere.Despite the significance of these ice phenomena， the limited availability of extensive， long-term observational data on plateau lake ice has led to a reliance on reanalyzed ice datasets， particularly ERA5-Land.This study aims to rigorously evaluate the effectiveness and potential enhancements of ERA5-Land's lake ice data in the distinct environment of the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau.Focusing on data collected from 2010 to 2022 for Qinghai Lake and Ngoring Lake， this research meticulously examines the ERA5-Land reanalysis data's ability to accurately capture the intrinsic characteristics of plateau lake ice.The study uncovered that ERA5-Land tends to overestimate the ice thickness by about 0.54~0.62 m and erroneously prolongs the freezing period by roughly 68 days per year for these lakes.This notable discrepancy necessitated an in-depth error analysis， which synthesized ERA5-Land data with direct observational data from Ngoring Lake， revealing that inaccuracies primarily originated from the FLake one-dimensional lake model within the ERA5-Land system.In an effort to address these inaccuracies， the study employed the MCD43A3 surface albedo product for both Qinghai Lake and Ngoring Lake over the same period.This innovative approach significantly refined the FLake model by incorporating both a multi-year average albedo and a dynamic daily average albedo.These methodological improvements led to a substantial reduction in the average bias of ice thickness， by 85% and 90% respectively， and narrowed the deviation in the modeled freezing period by about 6 and 8 days per year.The enhancements were particularly notable in lakes with longer periods of snow cover， where the dynamic albedo adjustment proved to be highly effective.This research has successfully identified the albedo parameter within the FLake model as a key source of error in ERA5-Land's lake ice characterizations and has implemented practical adjustments to rectify this.These enhancements have markedly increased the model's precision in simulating lake ice， thereby significantly improving the accuracy of ERA5-Land reanalyzed lake ice data.This advancement is particularly pertinent for the unique climatic and geographical conditions of Qinghai Lake and Ngoring Lake on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau and offers invaluable insights for future research and practical applications in this domain.The findings of this study contribute profoundly to our understanding and modeling of lake ice phenomena in high-altitude regions and have broader implications for climatological research and environmental monitoring on the Qinghai-Xizang Plateau.

This study examines the effects of extreme temperature events, defined explicitly as the 98th percentile temperature for heat, in Tanzania from 1981 to 2023. The study utilises percentile analysis, z-score calculations, and trend mapping to highlight the prevalence of extreme temperatures. The z-score analysis examines the occurrence of extreme temperatures and their distribution in terms of frequency and space. It identified Tanzania’s mid-eastern and north-western regions as areas with a high concentration of extreme temperatures over the previous 43 years. The study analyses the length of extreme occurrences and reveals changing patterns. In 2020, the events were shorter, while in 2021 and 2022, they became longer-lasting, and there was a notable concentration of extended anomalies near the northern coastline. In 2023, the highest temperatures ever recorded were observed, with more than half of the regions seeing prolonged periods of extreme temperatures lasting for a week and significant deviations from the norm staying for four weeks or more. This was particularly notable in the southern regions of Lindi and Mtwara. The harmonic trend analysis of temperature shows an upward temperature trend noticeably in regions such as Arusha, Kilimanjaro, Kagera, Morogoro, Simiyu, and Shinyanga and is somewhat inconspicuous in most areas.

The importance and vulnerability of municipalities in the eastern Amazon led to the evaluation of the distribution of seasonal precipitation and extreme events over protected and deforested sites along the Carajás Railroad (EFC) based on three datasets: Brazilian Daily Weather Gridded Data (BR-DWGD), European Reanalysis (ERA5-Land), and Climate Hazards Group InfraRed Precipitation with Station (CHIRPS). The main purpose is the understanding of the relationship between local land use change and the occurrence of extreme climate events. Results suggested that large-scale deforestation has a regional impact occasionally outweighing local effect. Significant trends reveal a general pattern of drought that has been more intense in the north of the study area, regardless of land cover, whether preserved or deforested. Moreover, the dry season is getting drier, but the wet season is not getting wetter over the entire area, as Carajás National Forest and Curionópolis (southern sector) deliver positive and accentuated trends in the rainy season. Extreme events are becoming more frequent. The number of consecutive dry days has increased in the north revealing an extension of dry periods, whereas, the maximum one-day precipitation has soared in the south indicating the intensification of rainfall. CHIRPS provides stronger correlations with the standard dataset (BR-DWGD), as both furnish primary data based on rain gauges observations. It also outperforms ERA5-Land in annual and seasonal analyses, which does not invalidate the latter as a great alternative to use in data-poor locations. Ultimately, further research and technology implementation were recommended to improve reforestation efforts given the reported results. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Representative weather data are fundamental to characterizing a place and determining ideal design approaches. This is particularly important for large countries like Brazil, whose extension and geographical position contribute to defining diverse climatic conditions along the territory. In this context, this study intends to characterize the Brazilian territory based on a 15-year weather record (2008–2022), providing a climatic assessment based on a climatic and bioclimatic profile for the whole country. The climate analysis was focused on temperature, humidity, precipitation, and solar radiation, followed by a bioclimatic analysis guided by the Givoni chart and the natural ventilation potential assessment. In both situations, the results were analyzed using three resolutions: country-level, administrative division, and bioclimatic zones. This study also identified representative locations for the Brazilian bioclimatic zones for a building-centered analysis based on the thermal and energy performance of a single-family house with different envelope configurations. The results proved that most Brazilian territories increased above 0.4 °C in the dry bulb temperature and reduced relative humidity. The precipitation had the highest reduction, reaching more than 50% for some locations. The warmer and drier conditions impacted also the Köppen–Geiger classification, with an increase in the number of Semi-Arid and Arid locations. The bioclimatic study showed that ventilation is the primary strategy for the Brazilian territory, as confirmed by the natural ventilation potential results, followed by passive heating strategies during the year's coldest months. Finally, building performance simulation underlined that, in colder climates, indoor thermal comfort conditions and air-conditioning demands are less affected by solar absorptance for constructions with low U-values, while in warmer climates, low solar absorptance with intermediary U-values is recommended. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Reanalysis datasets provide a continuous picture of the past climate for every point on Earth. They are especially useful in areas with few direct observations, such as Siberia. However, to ensure these datasets are sufficiently accurate they need to be validated against readings from meteorological stations. Here, we analyse how values of six climate variables—the minimum, mean and maximum 2‐metre air temperature, snow depth (SD), total precipitation and wind speed (WSP)—from three reanalysis datasets—ERA‐Interim, ERA5 and ERA5‐Land—compare against observations from 29 meteorological stations across Siberia and the Russian Far East on a daily timescale from 1979 to 2019. All three reanalyses produce values of the mean and maximum daily 2‐metre air temperature that are close to those observed, with the average absolute bias not exceeding 1.54°C. However, care should be taken for the minimum 2‐metre air temperature during the summer months—there are nine stations where correlation values are <0.60 due to inadequate night‐time cooling. The reanalysis values of SD are generally close to those observed after 1992, especially ERA5, when data from some of the meteorological stations began to be assimilated, but the reanalysis SD should be used with caution (if at all) before 1992 as the lack of assimilation leads to large overestimations. For low daily precipitation values the reanalyses provide good approximations, however they struggle to attain the extreme high values. Similarly, for the 10‐metre WSP; the reanalyses perform well with speeds up to 2.5 ms−1 but struggle with those above 5.0 ms−1. For these variables, we recommend using ERA5 over ERA‐Interim and ERA5‐Land in future research. ERA5 shows minor improvements over ERA‐Interim, and, despite an increased spatial resolution, there is no advantage to using ERA5‐Land. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Understanding the spatial and temporal variability of heatwaves is crucial for climate change adaptation. This study examines heatwaves in Argentina from 1950 to 2022, analyzing temporal and spatial changes using four metrics: number of events (E), duration (D), mean intensity (MnI), and maximum intensity (MxI). It investigates seasonal variations (Warm and Cold Seasons—CS, WS) and the influence of different phases of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Data from ERA5-LAND Reanalysis for 2 m daytime (Tx) and nighttime (Tn) temperatures are utilized. Our findings reveal regions with significantly higher heatwave intensities (Tx) in the North, east of Cuyo, west of Centro, and Southern Patagonia. Conversely, significant heatwave intensities (Tn) were observed, particularly in the north of the Litoral and Southern Patagonia. The Andes region (center and north) exhibited significant intensities for Tn. Both D and E exhibited similar significant trends for both Tn and Tx, except for the central zone. During the WS, the North-West and South Patagonia exhibit significant increasing trends for across most metrics. In contrast, during the CS, a higher number of significant increases in the studied metrics were observed in relation to Tx. El Niño amplifies heatwave intensities nationwide, except in Patagonia, where this occurs during the cold phase. In this phase, E and D of events increase in most Argentinian regions, resulting in a decoupling of intensity and duration, which increases in opposite periods. This study contributes to existing research by providing a detailed understanding of heatwave behavior with high spatial resolution. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Copyright of Mountain Research (10082786) is the property of Mountain Research Editorial Office and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

Copyright of Mountain Research (10082786) is the property of Mountain Research Editorial Office and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites or posted to a listserv without the copyright holder's express written permission. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. This abstract may be abridged. No warranty is given about the accuracy of the copy. Users should refer to the original published version of the material for the full abstract. (Copyright applies to all Abstracts.)

Permafrost in Mongolia is located in the transition zone between high-latitude and high-altitude permafrost regions of the Northern Hemisphere, with large temperature differences and complex subsurface characteristics. In this study, the reliability of the skin temperature data from the ERA5-Land product covering Mongolia is assessed via site observations. The ERA5-Land skin temperature dataset shows a cold bias, which is more pronounced in the cold season. Following calibration based on elevation differences, significant improvements are observed at both the annual scale (92 % improvement in RMSE (root mean square error) and 98 % improvement in MBE (mean bias error)) and the seasonal scale (78 % improvement in RMSE and 82 % improvement in MBE). Additionally, the spatial variations in the surface freezing index (SFI) and surface thawing index (STI) are most pronounced in the central and northeastern Mongolia. The SFI exhibits a significant decreasing trend of 7.16 °C·d/year, while the STI shows a significant increasing trend of 4.49 °C·d/year. Furthermore, the permafrost extent in Mongolia is simulated from 1950 to 2022 using the frost number (Fn) model and the temperature on top of permafrost (TTOP) model. The validated results indicate that the accuracy of the Fn model is relatively high, with an overall accuracy of 0.9 and a Kappa coefficient of 0.47. The permafrost extent in Mongolia has declined from 734.7 × 103 km2 in the 1950 s to 480.1 × 103 km2 in the 2010 s, with a prominent decrease of 3.2 × 103 km2/decade after 1994. According to the variations in permafrost extent during past 72 years, the Hovsgol and Khentii Mountain ranges have experienced significant permafrost degradation.

The fifth generation European Centre for Medium‐Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis on global land surface (ERA5‐Land), the Multi‐Source Weighted‐Ensemble Precipitation (MSWEP), and the Climate Hazards Group Infrared Precipitation with Stations (CHIRPS) are three representative precipitation estimates with quasi‐global coverage, high‐resolution and long‐term record. This study concentrates on investigating, for the first time, the long‐term spatiotemporal accuracy and regional applicability of these precipitation estimates at a daily scale in the Yellow River basin (YRB) using 39 complete years of data record (1981–2019), with a special focus on their capability on monitoring the extreme precipitation events with short duration and the continuous heavy precipitation events. Results indicate that MSWEP generally performs better than ERA5‐Land and CHIRPS in almost all seasons and subregions, with the highest Pearson correlation coefficient and critical success index, lowest root mean square error and false alarm ratio. ERA5‐Land presents a severe overestimation of precipitation amount, particularly in the plateau climate region (BIAS = 52.27%), but well reflects its spatial–temporal patterns in the YRB. As for the detecting capability, MSWEP shows the best accuracy in detecting extreme precipitation, particularly in maximum consecutive 5‐day precipitation (RX5day). The MSWEP better represents the spatial distribution of maximum 1‐day precipitation and maximum consecutive 5‐day precipitation in the YRB, but it shows a significant overestimation in zone Southern Qinghai. MSWEP and CHIRPS have better performance of temporal variation consistency in annual precipitation with ground reference than ERA5‐Land, while ERA5‐Land performs well in capturing extreme precipitation temporal variation, especially for continuous heavy precipitation events. This study can provide useful guidance when choosing long‐term precipitation products for hydrometeorological applications and climate‐related studies in the YRB. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study focuses on the statistical downscaling of ERA5-Land reanalysis data using the Statistical DownScaling Model (SDSM) to generate climate change scenarios for the Spree catchment. Linear scaling was used to reduce the biases of the Global Climate Model for precipitation and temperature. The statistical analyses demonstrated that this method is a promising and straightforward way of correcting biases in climate data. SDSM was used to generate climate change scenarios, which considered three emission scenarios: RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5. The results indicated that higher precipitation is expected under higher emission scenarios. Specifically, the summer and autumn seasons were projected to experience up to 50 mm more rainfall in the next 80 years, and the temperature was projected to increase by up to 1∘C by 2100. These projections of climate data for different scenarios are useful for assessing water management studies for agricultural and hydrologic applications considering changing climate conditions. This study highlights the importance of statistical downscaling and scenario generation in understanding the potential impacts of climate change on water resources. The results of this study can provide valuable insights into water resource management, especially on adapting to changing climate conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Hydrological modeling is essential for runoff simulations in line with climate studies, especially in remote areas with data scarcity. Advancements in climatic precipitation datasets have improved the accuracy of hydrological modeling. This research aims to evaluate the APHRODITE, PERSIANN-CDR, and ERA5-Land climatic precipitation datasets for the Hablehroud watershed in Iran. The datasets were compared with interpolated ground station precipitation data using the inverse distance weighted (IDW) method. The variable infiltration capacity (VIC) model was utilized to simulate runoff from 1992 to 1996. The results revealed that the APHRODITE and PERSIANN-CDR datasets demonstrated the highest and lowest accuracy, respectively. The sensitivity of the model was analyzed using each precipitation dataset, and model calibration was performed using the Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE). The evaluation of daily runoff simulation based on observed precipitation indicated a KGE value of 0.78 and 0.76 during the calibration and validation periods, respectively. The KGE values at the daily time scale were 0.64 and 0.77 for PERSIANN-CDR data, 0.62 and 0.75 for APHRODITE precipitation data, 0.50 and 0.66 for ERA5-Land precipitation data during the calibration and validation periods, respectively. These results indicate that despite varying sensitivity, climatic precipitation datasets present satisfactory performance, particularly in poorly gauged basins with infrequent historical datasets. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This study focuses on the statistical downscaling of ERA5-Land reanalysis data using the Statistical DownScaling Model (SDSM) to generate climate change scenarios for the Spree catchment. Linear scaling was used to reduce the biases of the Global Climate Model for precipitation and temperature. The statistical analyses demonstrated that this method is a promising and straightforward way of correcting biases in climate data. SDSM was used to generate climate change scenarios, which considered three emission scenarios: RCP 2.6, RCP 4.5, and RCP 8.5. The results indicated that higher precipitation is expected under higher emission scenarios. Specifically, the summer and autumn seasons were projected to experience up to 50 mm more rainfall in the next 80 years, and the temperature was projected to increase by up to 1∘C by 2100. These projections of climate data for different scenarios are useful for assessing water management studies for agricultural and hydrologic applications considering changing climate conditions. This study highlights the importance of statistical downscaling and scenario generation in understanding the potential impacts of climate change on water resources. The results of this study can provide valuable insights into water resource management, especially on adapting to changing climate conditions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Numerical simulations of dust emission processes are essential for dust cycle modeling and dust‐atmosphere interactions. Models have coarse spatial resolutions which, without tackling sub‐grid scale heterogeneity, bias finely resolved dust emission. Soil surface wind friction velocity (us*) drives dust emission non‐linearly with increasing model resolution, due mainly to thresholds of sediment entrainment. Albedo is area‐integrated, scales linearly with resolution, is related to us* and hence represents its sub‐grid scale heterogeneity. Calibrated albedo‐based global dust emission estimates decreased by only 2 Tg y−1 (10.5%) upscaled from 0.5 to 111 km, largely independent of resolution. Without adjusting wind fields, this scaling uncertainty is within recent estimates of global dust emission model uncertainty (±14.9 Tg y−1). This intrinsic scaling capability of the albedo‐based approach offers considerable potential to reduce resolution dependency of dust cycle modeling and improve the representation of local dust emission in Earth system models and operational air quality forecasting. Plain Language Summary: Global computer models for atmospheric dust were developed to understand the global dust cycle. However, these coarse resolution global dust models cannot accurately represent small‐scale dust emission processes and partly cause different dust emission estimations between the models. Using our new approach based on satellite products, we show that global dust emission estimation is largely independent of model resolution. Key Points: Wind friction velocity calibrated to linearly upscaled albedo was largely independent of model resolution between 0.5 and 111 kmWithout modifying wind fields, global dust emissions decreased by only 10.5% (within model uncertainty) from 0.5 to 111 km model resolutionSub‐grid scale heterogeneity is necessary to accurately represent grain‐scale sediment supply and entrainment in large scale modeling [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

This research examines the intricate changes in the number of occurrences and cumulative rainfall of exceptional events in Portugal spanning 42 hydrological years (from 1981/1982 to 2022/2023). The study has two primary objectives: assessing the hydrological spatial dynamics of a region susceptible to climate-induced variations in exceptional rainfall and evaluating the proficiency of a ERA5-Land reanalysis rainfall dataset in capturing exceptional rainfall. Confronting methodological and data-related challenges (e.g., incomplete record series), the investigation uses continuous daily ERA5-Land rainfall series. Validation against the Sistema Nacional de Informação de Recursos Hídricos (SNIRH) and the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) ensures the reliability of ERA5-Land data. Empirical non-exceedance probability curves reveal a broad consensus between reanalysis data and observational records, establishing the dataset's suitability for subsequent analysis. Spatial representations of occurrences, cumulative rainfall, and rainfall intensity of events above thresholds throughout the overall 42-year period and two subperiods (late: 1981/1982–2001/2002; and recent: 2002/2003–2022/2023) are presented, illustrating spatial and temporal variations. A noteworthy shift in the spatial distribution of intense events from south to north is observed, emphasising the dynamism of such hydrological processes. The study introduces a novel dimension with a severity heat map, combining some key findings from the occurrences and cumulative rainfall through subperiods. This study significantly contributes to the understanding of hydrological dynamics in Portugal, providing valuable insights for risk management and the development of sustainable strategies tailored to the evolving patterns of exceptional rainfall. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

It is necessary to further investigate the spatial considerations, temporal characteristics, and drivers of change affecting the beginning and end of soil freezing and thawing, including the maximum depth of the seasonal freezing (MDSF) and the active layer thickness (ALT) in Northeast China. Hourly soil temperature, among other data, from 1983–2022 were investigated, showing a delay of about 6 days in freezing. In contrast, thawing and complete thawing advanced by about 26 and 20 d, respectively. The freezing period and total freeze-thaw days decreased by about 29 and 23 days, respectively. The number of complete thawing period days increased by about 22 days, while the MDSF decreased by about 25 cm. The ALT increased by about 22 cm. Land Surface Temperature (LST) is the main factor influencing the beginning and end of soil freezing and thawing, MDSF and ALT changes in Northeast China; air temperature, surface net solar radiation, and volumetric soil water content followed. The influence of the interacting factors was greater than the single factors, and the interactive explanatory power of the LST and surface net solar radiation was highest when the soil started to freeze (0.858). The effect of the LST and the air temperature was highest when the soil was completely thawed (0.795). LST and the volumetric soil water content interacted to have the first explanatory power for MDSF (0.866) and ALT (0.85). The results of this study can provide scientific reference for fields such as permafrost degradation, cold zone ecological environments, and agricultural production in Northeast China. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

High-resolution air temperature distribution data are of crucial significance for studying climate change and agriculture in the Yellow River Basin. Obtaining accurate and high-resolution air temperature data has been a persistent challenge in research. This study selected the Yellow River Basin as its research area and assessed multiple variables, including the land surface temperature (LST), Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI), Digital Elevation Model (DEM), slope, aspect, longitude, and latitude. We constructed three downscaling models, namely, ET, XGBoost, and LightGBM, and applied a stacking ensemble learning algorithm to integrate these three models. Through this approach, ERA5-Land reanalysis air temperature data were successfully downscaled from a spatial resolution of 0.1° to 1 km, and the downscaled results were validated using observed data from meteorological stations. The results indicate that the stacking ensemble model significantly outperforms the three independent machine learning models. The integrated model, combined with the selected set of multiple variables, provides a feasible approach for downsizing ERA5 air temperature data. The stacking ensemble model not only effectively enhances the spatial resolution of ERA5 reanalysis air temperature data but also improves downscaled results to a certain extent. The downscaled air temperature data exhibit richer spatial texture information, better revealing spatial variations in air temperature within the same land class. This research outcome provides robust technical support for obtaining high-resolution air temperature data in meteorologically sparse or topographically complex regions, contributing significantly to climate, ecosystem, and sustainable development research. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Properly understanding solar irradiance can help accurately quantify the solar energy resource and guide sustainable development projects, particularly where measured solar data are scarce or suffer from detrimental data quality issues. This study aims to assess and improve solar global horizontal irradiance (GHI) data from a diverse range of global reanalysis datasets by utilizing measured data from two ground weather stations located in Somaliland. A comprehensive evaluation framework is employed, combining various statistical and regression error metrics, whereas bias correction methods are implemented. The comparative study covers several analytical facets such as the hourly, daily and monthly data analysis before and after correction along with analyzing the seasonal variations, clear-sky and all-sky conditions. The analysis revealed pattern of an overall underestimation of GHI with varying degrees of accuracy in the estimated GHI datasets before and after correction. The annual ranges for rMBE, rMAE, rRMSE and R2 extend from 3–31%, 12–33%, 19–53% and 0.797–0.979, respectively, across all datasets for six-hourly data in the two observed stations. Following bias correction, the ranges for rMBE, rMAE, rRMSE reduce to is 0%, 8–31%, 11–34% and R2 increase to 0.897–0.984 respectively. While certain datasets such as MERRA-2 and SARAH-2 demonstrate close alignment with ground data before correction, other especially ERA5-Land exhibit exceptional improvement after the bias correction.

Study region: The source region of Yangtze River (SRYR) Study focus: Better understanding the influence of soil freeze/thaw (F/T) activity on runoff production is vital for cold regions like the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau. While global reanalysis products offer full spatial coverage and fine temporal resolution for runoff estimates, their accuracy in depicting runoff dynamics within permafrost-dominated regions remains uncertain. To address this gap, a thorough assessment of the ERA5-Land runoff products within the SRYR was undertaken to determine their effectiveness in representing specific permafrost hydrological mechanisms. New hydrological insights for the region: Our analysis reveals that ERA5-Land adequately captures the intra-annual variability of runoff, but tends to overestimate runoff coefficients while underestimate runoff recession rates. The monthly runoff coefficient fluctuates during the thaw season, showing decreasing trends from May to increasing trends after July. The runoff recession rate generally shifts from acceleration to retardation during the freezing period (October-March), influenced significantly by snow cover and soil F/T dynamics. There's a discernible delay in the observed transition time (0.3 days/a) of runoff recession from 1980 to 2020, closely linked (R>0.35, p

Increases in air temperature lead to increased dryness of the air and potentially develops increased dryness in the soil. Extreme dryness (in the soil and/or in the atmosphere) affects the capacity of ecosystems for functioning and for modulating the climate. Here, we used long-term high temporal resolution (daily) soil moisture (SM) and vapor pressure deficit (VPD) data of high spatial resolution (∼0.1° × 0.1°) to show that compared to the reference period (1950–1990), the overall frequency of extreme soil dryness, extreme air dryness, and extreme compound dryness (i.e., co-occurrence of extreme soil dryness and air dryness) has increased by 1.2-fold [0.8,1.6] (median [10th,90th percentile], 1.6-fold [1,2.3], and 1.7-fold [0.9,2.5], respectively, over the last 31 years (1991–2021) across Europe. Our results also indicate that this increase in frequency of extreme compound dryness (between reference and 1991–2021 period) is largely due to increased SM-VPD coupling across Northern Europe, and due to decreasing SM and/or increasing VPD trend across Central and Mediterranean Europe. Furthermore, under the RCP8.5 (Representative Concentration Pathways 8.5) emission scenario, this increase in frequency of extreme compound dryness would be 3.3-fold [2.0,5.8], and 4.6-fold [2.3,11.9] by mid-21st century (2031–2065) and late-21st century (2066–2100), respectively. Additionally, we segregated the changes in frequency of extreme dryness across the most recent (year 2021) land cover types in Europe to show that croplands, broadleaved forest, and urban areas have experienced more than twice as much extreme dryness during 1990–2021 compared to the reference period of 1990–2021, which based on the future projection data will increase to more than three-fold by mid 21st century. Such future climate-change induced increase in extreme dryness could have negative implications for functioning of ecosystems and compromise their capacity to adapt to rapidly rising dryness levels.

Using the global climate model outputs without any adjustment may bring errors in water resources and climate change investigations. This study tackles the critical issue of bias correction temperature in ERA5-Land reanalysis for 10 ground stations in northern Italy using nine machine learning (ML) techniques. Among standalone ML models, XGBoost regression emerged as the most effective standalone ML model, outperforming others across 6 out of 10 stations, while random forest regression, Gaussian process regression, and support vector regression obtained the second to fourth places. In contrast, AdaBoost regression (ABR) achieved the least favorable performance. Furthermore, nine ensemble ML models are proposed to correct bias of the reanalysis of temperature data. The results indicated that the K-nearest neighbors-based ensemble model excelled and secured the top rank in 7 out of 10 stations, while the multiple linear regression-based ensemble model achieved the highest precision in 4 out of 10 stations. Furthermore, other ML-based ensemble models displayed satisfactory results. On the other hand, the ABR-based ensemble model exhibited the lowest accuracy among ML-based ensemble models. The findings highlight the potential of ML-based ensemble models in effectively addressing bias correction in climate data. HIGHLIGHTS Proposing nine ensemble ML models for bias correction.; Introducing nine standalone ML models for bias correction.; Correcting temperature data of ERA5-Land for a case study in northern Italy.; Comparison of different ML-based models for bias correction.; Correcting data of climate data can enhance studying climate change impact assessment.;

ERA5-Land is a valuable reanalysis data resource that provides near-real-time, high-resolution, multivariable data for various applications. Using daily precipitation data from 301 meteorological stations in the Yellow River Basin from 2001 to 2013 as benchmark data, this study aims to evaluate ERA5-Land’s capability of monitoring extreme precipitation. The evaluation study is conducted from three perspectives: precipitation amount, extreme precipitation indices, and characteristics of extreme precipitation events. The results show that ERA5-Land can effectively capture the spatial distribution patterns and temporal trends in precipitation and extreme precipitation; however, it also exhibits significant overestimation and underestimation errors. ERA5-Land significantly overestimates total precipitation and indices for heavy precipitation and extreme precipitation (R95pTOT and R99pTOT), with errors reaching up to 89%, but underestimates the Simple Daily Intensity Index (SDII). ERA5-Land tends to overestimate the duration of extreme precipitation events but slightly underestimates the total and average precipitation of these events. These findings provide a scientific reference for optimizing the ERA5-Land algorithm and for users in selecting data.

This study evaluates the use of remote sensing data to improve the understanding of groundwater resources in climate-sensitive regions with limited data availability and increasing agricultural water demands. The research focuses on estimating groundwater reserve dynamics in two major river basins in Morocco, characterized by significant local variability. The study employs data from Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment satellite (GRACE) and ERA5-Land reanalysis. Two GRACE terrestrial water storage (TWS) products, CSR Mascon and JPL Mascon (RL06), were analyzed, along with auxiliary datasets generated from ERA5-Land, including precipitation, evapotranspiration, and surface runoff. The results show that both GRACE TWS products exhibit strong correlations with groundwater reserves, with correlation coefficients reaching up to 0.96 in the Oum Er-rbia River Basin and 0.95 in the Tensift River Basin (TRB). The root mean square errors (RMSE) were 0.99 cm and 0.88 cm, respectively. GRACE-derived groundwater storage (GWS) demonstrated a moderate correlation with observed groundwater levels in OERRB (R = 0.59, RMSE = 0.82), but a weaker correlation in TRB (R = 0.30, RMSE = 1.01). On the other hand, ERA5-Land-derived GWS showed a stronger correlation with groundwater levels in OERRB (R = 0.72, RMSE = 0.51) and a moderate correlation in TRB (R = 0.63, RMSE = 0.59). The findings suggest that ERA5-Land may provide more accurate assessments of groundwater storage anomalies, particularly in regions with significant local-scale variability in land and water use. High-resolution datasets like ERA5-land are, therefore, more recommended for addressing local-scale heterogeneity in regions with contrasted complexities in groundwater storage characteristics.

The paper evaluates the usability of remote satellite-based and proximal ground-based agrometeorological data sources for precision agriculture and crop production in Croatia. The compared agrometeorological datasets stem from the open-access data sources Copernicus CDS and the Agri4Cast portal, and commercial in situ agrometeorological stations (PinovaMeteo) which monitor environmental parameters relevant to the physiological state of crops. The study compares relevant parameters for 10 different locations in Croatia for three consecutive years (2019, 2020, and 2021) to investigate whether model-based data from ERA5-Land and Agri4Cast are well-correlated with ground measurements from independent in situ stations (PinovaMeteo) for specific agrometeorological parameters (air and soil temperature, and precipitation). Our results indicate the following: both the ERA5-Land and Agri4Cast datasets show mostly strong positive correlations with ground observations for air temperature, modest correlations for soil temperature, but modest or even low correlations for precipitation. Analysis of the residuals indicates higher overall residual values, especially in areas with complex topography and near large bodies of water or the sea, and deviations of residuals that may limit the usability of satellite- and model-based data for decision-making in agriculture. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Due to the scarcity of meteorological stations on the Tibetan Plateau (TP), owing to the high altitude and harsh climate, studies often resort to satellite, reanalysis, and merged multi-source precipitation data. This necessitates an evaluation of TP precipitation data applicability. Here, we assess the following three high-resolution gridded precipitation datasets: the China Meteorological Forcing Dataset (CMFD), the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis V5-Land (ERA5-Land), and Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG) during TP summers. Using observations from the original 133 China Meteorological Administration stations on the TP as a reference, the evaluation yielded the following conclusions: (1) In summer, from 2000 to 2018, discrepancies among the datasets were largest in the western TP. The CMFD showed the smallest deviation from the observations, and the annual summer precipitation was only overestimated by 12.3 mm. ERA5-Land had the closest trend (0.41 mm/y) to the annual mean summer precipitation, whereas it overestimated the highest precipitation (>150 mm). (2) The reliability of the three datasets at annual and monthly scales was in the following order: CMFD, ERA5-Land, and IMERG. The daily scales exhibited a lower accuracy than the monthly scales (correlation coefficient CC of 0.51, 0.38, and 0.26, respectively). (3) The CMFD assessments, referencing the 114 new stations post-2016, had a notably lower accuracy and precipitation capture capability at the daily scale (CC and critical success index (CSI) decreased by 0.18 and 0.1, respectively). These results can aid in selecting appropriate datasets for refined climate predictions on the TP. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Flash droughts feature rapid onsets of soil moisture drought events and result in severe impacts and damages, especially on agricultural and ecological systems. How the flash drought regime across China varies on multitemporal scales with climate change is not fully clear yet. In this study, we extended the flash drought definition to apply to arid regions by adding an absolute soil moisture variation criterion. Then, we detected flash drought events across China during 1981–2021 and characterized their frequency, duration, and affected area changes on seasonal, annual, and decadal scales, using soil moisture data from the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts climate reanalysis-Land. Results show that flash drought hotspots appeared in North China and the Yangtze River Basin. During 1981–2021, the hotspots, even nationwide, underwent significant increases in frequencies, durations, and affected areas of flash droughts. The increases held in the extremely high values of the frequencies and durations in the decadal comparisons. Especially, North China saw the most extensive and rapid increases. Seasonally, flash drought frequencies and durations intensified more during spring and autumn, and seasonal hotspots in eastern China shifted in phase with spatial patterns of soil moisture loss balanced by precipitation and evapotranspiration. Thus, flash droughts tended to amplify atmospheric aridity. These findings on the hotspot regions and the spatiotemporal evolutions of flash droughts across China would pinpoint soil moisture responses to climate change and prepare for climate change impacts on local ecosystems. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In West Africa, the validation of distributed models is limited by the quality and availability of point station data measured in-situ. ERA5 is a climate reanalysis produced by European Centre for Medium-range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) and suggested to overcome this constraint. This study assessed and compared over the Benin basins at spatial and monthly time scale, the quality of ERA5 and its variant ERA5-Land (namely LAND). ERA5 relies on the single-levels version with 0.25° x 0.25° resolution while LAND is the land surface version with 0.1° x 0.1° resolution. Four variables were collected including runoff, evapotranspiration (ETR), water table depth (WTD), and soil water content (SWC). Point station data were analyzed using the correlation performance evaluators, Mean Absolute Error (m) and Relative Mean Absolute Error (r). The results showed that LAND simulates well the peaks of mean runoff. It showed the best runoff performance in terms of correlation (~0.61) compared with ERA5 (correlation ~0.49). Both reanalysis showed high correlations (generally > 0.80) for SWC, but the correlations obtained from ETR are slightly lower (ERA5~0.58 vs. ERA5-Land~0.54). Correlations were below 0.5 on both reanalyses for WTD with slight overestimation (m=4.73 m for ERA5 vs. m=3.13 m for LAND). This study does not identify any reanalysis that is better than another, both spatially and monthly scale. Nevertheless, this study indicated that the choice of reanalyses must rely on their performance and the given water cycle element. Correcting the variables of these reanalysis could also improve their performance. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

In regions with limited precipitation information, like Peru, many studies rely on precipitation data derived from satellite products (SPP) and model reanalysis. These products provide near-real-time information and offer global spatial coverage, making them attractive for various applications. However, it is essential to consider their uncertainties when conducting hydrological simulations, especially in a key region like the Pacific drainage (Pd), where 56% of the Peruvian population resides (including the capital, Lima). This study, for the first time, assessed the performance of two bottom-up Satellite-based Precipitation Products (SPP), GPM + SM2RAIN and SM2RAIN-ASCAT, and one top-down approach SPP, ERA5-Land, for runoff simulation in the Pacific drainage of Peru. Hydrological modeling was conducted on 30 basins distributed across the Pd, which were grouped into 5 regions (I–V, ordered from south to north). The results showed that SM2RAIN-ASCAT performed well in regions I-III-IV, ERA5-Land in region II, and GPM + SM2RAIN in region V. The hydrological model GR4J was tested, and better efficiency criteria were obtained with SM2RAIN-ASCAT and GPM + SM2RAIN when comparing the simulated versus observed streamflows. The hydrological modeling using SM2RAIN-ASCAT and GPM + SM2RAIN demonstrated satisfactory efficiency metrics (KGE > 0.75; NSE > 0.65). Additionally, ten hydrological signatures were quantified to assess the variability of the simulated streamflows in each basin, with metrics such as Mean Flow (Q mean), 5th Quantile Flow (Q5), and 95th Quantile Flow (Q95) showing an overall better performance. Finally, the results of this study demonstrate the reliability of using bottom-up satellite products in Pd basins. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Study region: The study was carried out in three karst catchments in Southwest China. These catchments, Sancha, Liuzhou and Qianjiang, are located in the middle reaches of the Pearl River Basin with the catchment area of 17067 km², 46166 km², and 134137 km², respectively. Study focus: Satellite or reanalysis precipitation data are potential alternatives that can be used in hydrological models for streamflow forecasting in data-sparse catchments. This study aims to investigate the performance of two widely used precipitation datasets, IMERG and ERA5-Land, as well as their fusion data with rain gauge measurements by the Geographically Weighted Regression method, in three karst catchments of southwest China. New hydrological insights for the region: The results indicate that compared to IMERG, ERA5-Land has a higher correlation coefficient and a better detection rate for daily precipitation with the gauge-based data. However, ERA5-Land overestimates annual precipitation in all three catchments. Merging ERA5-Land and IMERG with rain gauge data can further improve its precipitation detection rate, but does not effectively mitigate its overestimation. Meanwhile, the model calibration through the parameter adjustment can partly compensate for the precipitation error to improve the discharge simulation accuracy, it cannot fully cover the overestimation of ERA5-Land in the two catchments. Therefore, ERA5-Land and its fusion data consistently perform badly in streamflow simulation. In contrast, IMERG demonstrates good agreement with gauge-based precipitation data and shows comparable or even slightly superior performance in streamflow prediction in all catchments. Additionally, the calibrated parameters in the model driven by IMERG closely resemble those driven by gauge-based precipitation data. These results suggest that IMERG can serve as a viable precipitation alternative for hydrological models in discharge simulations in the study region.

Abstract Numerical simulations of dust emission processes are essential for dust cycle modeling and dust‐atmosphere interactions. Models have coarse spatial resolutions which, without tackling sub‐grid scale heterogeneity, bias finely resolved dust emission. Soil surface wind friction velocity (us*) drives dust emission non‐linearly with increasing model resolution, due mainly to thresholds of sediment entrainment. Albedo is area‐integrated, scales linearly with resolution, is related to us* and hence represents its sub‐grid scale heterogeneity. Calibrated albedo‐based global dust emission estimates decreased by only 2 Tg y−1 (10.5%) upscaled from 0.5 to 111 km, largely independent of resolution. Without adjusting wind fields, this scaling uncertainty is within recent estimates of global dust emission model uncertainty (±14.9 Tg y−1). This intrinsic scaling capability of the albedo‐based approach offers considerable potential to reduce resolution dependency of dust cycle modeling and improve the representation of local dust emission in Earth system models and operational air quality forecasting.

Representative weather data are fundamental to characterizing a place and determining ideal design approaches. This is particularly important for large countries like Brazil, whose extension and geographical position contribute to defining diverse climatic conditions along the territory. In this context, this study intends to characterize the Brazilian territory based on a 15-year weather record (2008–2022), providing a climatic assessment based on a climatic and bioclimatic profile for the whole country. The climate analysis was focused on temperature, humidity, precipitation, and solar radiation, followed by a bioclimatic analysis guided by the Givoni chart and the natural ventilation potential assessment. In both situations, the results were analyzed using three resolutions: country-level, administrative division, and bioclimatic zones. This study also identified representative locations for the Brazilian bioclimatic zones for a building-centered analysis based on the thermal and energy performance of a single-family house with different envelope configurations. The results proved that most Brazilian territories increased above 0.4 °C in the dry bulb temperature and reduced relative humidity. The precipitation had the highest reduction, reaching more than 50% for some locations. The warmer and drier conditions impacted also the Köppen–Geiger classification, with an increase in the number of Semi-Arid and Arid locations. The bioclimatic study showed that ventilation is the primary strategy for the Brazilian territory, as confirmed by the natural ventilation potential results, followed by passive heating strategies during the year’s coldest months. Finally, building performance simulation underlined that, in colder climates, indoor thermal comfort conditions and air-conditioning demands are less affected by solar absorptance for constructions with low U-values, while in warmer climates, low solar absorptance with intermediary U-values is recommended.

Wetlands have rich biological diversity and productivity, and support unique ecological functions. However, wetlands worldwide are under threat owing to the pressures of development and climate change. We analysed the extent and water balance of 21 important wetlands in Iran from 1990 to 2022 based on Landsat 5, 7, 8, and 9, and “Sentinel-2 satellite images” and Era5-land in the “Google Earth Engine (GEE)” platform. We performed morphometric analyses using NKU-MAN and the Mann-Kendall test to estimate the trends for wetland water bodies. Most seasonal water balance maxima occurred in January, followed by February and, in some cases, in the adjacent months, whilst the minima primarily occurred in May (nine wetlands) and June (five wetlands). Most importantly, the results revealed a gradual decrease in the size of the water bodies over the course of the study period, although this trend was not statistically significant for all water bodies. The findings of this study provide information that can be used by policymakers, planners, scientists, and residents to assess and manage sustainable water usage in wetland watersheds in a changing climate.

Hydrological modeling is essential for runoff simulations in line with climate studies, especially in remote areas with data scarcity. Advancements in climatic precipitation datasets have improved the accuracy of hydrological modeling. This research aims to evaluate the APHRODITE, PERSIANN-CDR, and ERA5-Land climatic precipitation datasets for the Hablehroud watershed in Iran. The datasets were compared with interpolated ground station precipitation data using the inverse distance weighted (IDW) method. The variable infiltration capacity (VIC) model was utilized to simulate runoff from 1992 to 1996. The results revealed that the APHRODITE and PERSIANN-CDR datasets demonstrated the highest and lowest accuracy, respectively. The sensitivity of the model was analyzed using each precipitation dataset, and model calibration was performed using the Kling–Gupta efficiency (KGE). The evaluation of daily runoff simulation based on observed precipitation indicated a KGE value of 0.78 and 0.76 during the calibration and validation periods, respectively. The KGE values at the daily time scale were 0.64 and 0.77 for PERSIANN-CDR data, 0.62 and 0.75 for APHRODITE precipitation data, 0.50 and 0.66 for ERA5-Land precipitation data during the calibration and validation periods, respectively. These results indicate that despite varying sensitivity, climatic precipitation datasets present satisfactory performance, particularly in poorly gauged basins with infrequent historical datasets.

It is necessary to further investigate the spatial considerations, temporal characteristics, and drivers of change affecting the beginning and end of soil freezing and thawing, including the maximum depth of the seasonal freezing (MDSF) and the active layer thickness (ALT) in Northeast China. Hourly soil temperature, among other data, from 1983–2022 were investigated, showing a delay of about 6 days in freezing. In contrast, thawing and complete thawing advanced by about 26 and 20 d, respectively. The freezing period and total freeze-thaw days decreased by about 29 and 23 days, respectively. The number of complete thawing period days increased by about 22 days, while the MDSF decreased by about 25 cm. The ALT increased by about 22 cm. Land Surface Temperature (LST) is the main factor influencing the beginning and end of soil freezing and thawing, MDSF and ALT changes in Northeast China; air temperature, surface net solar radiation, and volumetric soil water content followed. The influence of the interacting factors was greater than the single factors, and the interactive explanatory power of the LST and surface net solar radiation was highest when the soil started to freeze (0.858). The effect of the LST and the air temperature was highest when the soil was completely thawed (0.795). LST and the volumetric soil water content interacted to have the first explanatory power for MDSF (0.866) and ALT (0.85). The results of this study can provide scientific reference for fields such as permafrost degradation, cold zone ecological environments, and agricultural production in Northeast China.

This research examines the intricate changes in the number of occurrences and cumulative rainfall of exceptional events in Portugal spanning 42 hydrological years (from 1981/1982 to 2022/2023). The study has two primary objectives: assessing the hydrological spatial dynamics of a region susceptible to climate-induced variations in exceptional rainfall and evaluating the proficiency of a ERA5-Land reanalysis rainfall dataset in capturing exceptional rainfall. Confronting methodological and data-related challenges (e.g., incomplete record series), the investigation uses continuous daily ERA5-Land rainfall series. Validation against the Sistema Nacional de Informação de Recursos Hídricos (SNIRH) and the Portuguese Institute for Sea and Atmosphere (IPMA) ensures the reliability of ERA5-Land data. Empirical non-exceedance probability curves reveal a broad consensus between reanalysis data and observational records, establishing the dataset’s suitability for subsequent analysis. Spatial representations of occurrences, cumulative rainfall, and rainfall intensity of events above thresholds throughout the overall 42-year period and two subperiods (late: 1981/1982–2001/2002; and recent: 2002/2003–2022/2023) are presented, illustrating spatial and temporal variations. A noteworthy shift in the spatial distribution of intense events from south to north is observed, emphasising the dynamism of such hydrological processes. The study introduces a novel dimension with a severity heat map, combining some key findings from the occurrences and cumulative rainfall through subperiods. This study significantly contributes to the understanding of hydrological dynamics in Portugal, providing valuable insights for risk management and the development of sustainable strategies tailored to the evolving patterns of exceptional rainfall.

The paper evaluates the usability of remote satellite-based and proximal ground-based agrometeorological data sources for precision agriculture and crop production in Croatia. The compared agrometeorological datasets stem from the open-access data sources Copernicus CDS and the Agri4Cast portal, and commercial in situ agrometeorological stations (PinovaMeteo) which monitor environmental parameters relevant to the physiological state of crops. The study compares relevant parameters for 10 different locations in Croatia for three consecutive years (2019, 2020, and 2021) to investigate whether model-based data from ERA5-Land and Agri4Cast are well-correlated with ground measurements from independent in situ stations (PinovaMeteo) for specific agrometeorological parameters (air and soil temperature, and precipitation). Our results indicate the following: both the ERA5-Land and Agri4Cast datasets show mostly strong positive correlations with ground observations for air temperature, modest correlations for soil temperature, but modest or even low correlations for precipitation. Analysis of the residuals indicates higher overall residual values, especially in areas with complex topography and near large bodies of water or the sea, and deviations of residuals that may limit the usability of satellite- and model-based data for decision-making in agriculture.

Due to the scarcity of meteorological stations on the Tibetan Plateau (TP), owing to the high altitude and harsh climate, studies often resort to satellite, reanalysis, and merged multi-source precipitation data. This necessitates an evaluation of TP precipitation data applicability. Here, we assess the following three high-resolution gridded precipitation datasets: the China Meteorological Forcing Dataset (CMFD), the European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Reanalysis V5-Land (ERA5-Land), and Integrated Multi-satellitE Retrievals for Global Precipitation Measurement (IMERG) during TP summers. Using observations from the original 133 China Meteorological Administration stations on the TP as a reference, the evaluation yielded the following conclusions: (1) In summer, from 2000 to 2018, discrepancies among the datasets were largest in the western TP. The CMFD showed the smallest deviation from the observations, and the annual summer precipitation was only overestimated by 12.3 mm. ERA5-Land had the closest trend (0.41 mm/y) to the annual mean summer precipitation, whereas it overestimated the highest precipitation (>150 mm). (2) The reliability of the three datasets at annual and monthly scales was in the following order: CMFD, ERA5-Land, and IMERG. The daily scales exhibited a lower accuracy than the monthly scales (correlation coefficient CC of 0.51, 0.38, and 0.26, respectively). (3) The CMFD assessments, referencing the 114 new stations post-2016, had a notably lower accuracy and precipitation capture capability at the daily scale (CC and critical success index (CSI) decreased by 0.18 and 0.1, respectively). These results can aid in selecting appropriate datasets for refined climate predictions on the TP.

Changes in the terrestrial hydrological cycle determine the future water availability across the globe with profound impacts in different facets of society. Precise estimation of such changes is vital for the effective implementation of water management policies. Among the numerous data products that describe the hydrological cycle components, ERA5-Land is one of the most increasingly used dataset. Still, there has been no assessment of its ability capacity to represent the water cycle shifts variability over land. This study endeavors to bridge this gap by comparing the magnitude and direction of change in precipitation minus evaporation ( P—E ) and runoff, as estimated globally by the ERA5-Land data product. Our findings reveal significant inconsistencies in the changes identified, with the climatological mean of P—E decreasing more substantially than runoff for numerous regions. Consequently, ERA5 presents a declining water availability for most of the regions, but the magnitude of change is incompatible to the change between P—E and runoff. To further validate, the estimates provided by the ERA5-Land product, two different hydrologic models (TerraClimate and Global Land Data Assimilation System, GLDAS-Noah) are also utilized. TerraClimate demonstrates a more reasonable alignment between changes in P—E and runoff, followed by GLDAS-Noah, particularly for the arid regions lying in the parts of Northern Africa and Southern Asia, the European continent, and the northern parts of Asia. Inconsistencies remain high for the tropical regions for both data products. Still, the estimates of change in water availability are better represented by the hydrologic model-based data sources for most parts of the globe, especially for the regions with low precipitation, such as the regions with arid and continental climates. Our results imply that ERA5-Land should be used with extreme caution when assessing the long-term changes in the terrestrial water cycle. Additionally, pinpointing the regions of the highest bias can help to improve the hydrological coupling of ERA5-Land in future versions of the reanalysis.

[Display omitted] • The calibrated reanalysis data with elevation differences shows significant improvement. • The surface freezing and thawing index changes with −7.16 °C·d/year and 4.49 °C·d/year, respectively. • The current Mongolian permafrost extent is 503.9 × 103 km2 and declined by 34.65 % from 1950 to 2022. Permafrost in Mongolia is located in the transition zone between high-latitude and high-altitude permafrost regions of the Northern Hemisphere, with large temperature differences and complex subsurface characteristics. In this study, the reliability of the skin temperature data from the ERA5-Land product covering Mongolia is assessed via site observations. The ERA5-Land skin temperature dataset shows a cold bias, which is more pronounced in the cold season. Following calibration based on elevation differences, significant improvements are observed at both the annual scale (92 % improvement in RMSE (root mean square error) and 98 % improvement in MBE (mean bias error)) and the seasonal scale (78 % improvement in RMSE and 82 % improvement in MBE). Additionally, the spatial variations in the surface freezing index (SFI) and surface thawing index (STI) are most pronounced in the central and northeastern Mongolia. The SFI exhibits a significant decreasing trend of 7.16 °C·d/year, while the STI shows a significant increasing trend of 4.49 °C·d/year. Furthermore, the permafrost extent in Mongolia is simulated from 1950 to 2022 using the frost number (Fn) model and the temperature on top of permafrost (TTOP) model. The validated results indicate that the accuracy of the Fn model is relatively high, with an overall accuracy of 0.9 and a Kappa coefficient of 0.47. The permafrost extent in Mongolia has declined from 734.7 × 103 km2 in the 1950 s to 480.1 × 103 km2 in the 2010 s, with a prominent decrease of 3.2 × 103 km2/decade after 1994. According to the variations in permafrost extent during past 72 years, the Hovsgol and Khentii Mountain ranges have experienced significant permafrost degradation. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]