4 results on '"Piggott, Matthew D."'
Search Results
2. Learning to optimise wind farms with graph transformers
- Author
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Li, Siyi, Robert, Arnaud, Faisal, A. Aldo, and Piggott, Matthew D.
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
3. Nearshore tsunami amplitudes across the Maldives archipelago due to worst-case seismic scenarios in the Indian Ocean.
- Author
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Rasheed, Shuaib, Warder, Simon C., Plancherel, Yves, and Piggott, Matthew D.
- Subjects
TSUNAMIS ,ARCHIPELAGOES ,TERRITORIAL waters ,OCEAN ,WAVE diffraction ,CORAL reefs & islands - Abstract
The Maldives face the threat of tsunamis from a multitude of sources. However, the limited availability of critical data, such as bathymetry (a recurrent problem for many island nations), has meant that the impact of these threats has not been studied at an island scale. Conducting studies of tsunami propagation at the island scale but across multiple atolls is also a challenging task due to the large domain and high resolution required for modelling. Here we use a high-resolution bathymetry dataset of the Maldives archipelago, as well as corresponding high numerical model resolution, to carry out a scenario-based tsunami hazard assessment for the entire Maldives archipelago to investigate the potential impact of plausible far-field tsunamis across the Indian Ocean at the nearshore island scales across the atolls. The results indicate that the bathymetry of the atolls, which are characterized by very steep boundaries offshore, is extremely efficient in absorbing and redirecting incoming tsunami waves. Results also highlight the importance that local effects have in modulating tsunami amplitude nearshore, including the location of the atoll in question, the location of a given island within the atoll, and the distance of that island to the reef, as well as a variety of other factors. We also find that the refraction and diffraction of tsunami waves within individual atolls contribute to the maximum tsunami amplitude patterns observed across the islands in the atolls. The findings from this study contribute to a better understanding of tsunamis across complex atoll systems and will help decision and policy makers in the Maldives assess the potential impact of tsunamis across individual islands. An online tool is provided which presents users with a simple interface, allowing the wider community to browse the simulation results presented here and assess the potential impact of tsunamis at the local scale. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
4. An Unsupervised Learning Approach for Predicting Wind Farm Power and Downstream Wakes Using Weather Patterns.
- Author
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Clare, Mariana C. A., Warder, Simon C., Neal, Robert, Bhaskaran, B., and Piggott, Matthew D.
- Subjects
WIND power plants ,WIND power ,FARM mechanization ,POWER resources ,ENERGY development ,ATMOSPHERIC acoustics ,WIND forecasting - Abstract
Wind energy resource assessment typically requires numerical modeling at fine resolutions, which is computationally expensive for multi‐year timescales. Increasingly, unsupervised machine learning techniques are used to identify representative weather patterns that can help simulate long‐term behavior. Here we develop a novel wind energy workflow that combines the weather patterns from unsupervised clustering with a numerical weather prediction model (WRF) to obtain efficient long‐term predictions of wind farm power and downstream wakes, which provide a good approximation to full WRF simulations at vastly reduced computational cost. We use ERA5 reanalysis data and compare clustering on low altitude pressure and wind velocity, a more relevant variable for wind resource assessment. We also compare varying domain sizes for the clustering. A WRF simulation is run at each cluster center and the results aggregated into a long‐term prediction using a novel post‐processing technique. We consider two case study regions and show that our long‐term predictions achieve good agreement with a year of WRF simulations in 2% of the computational time. Moreover, clustering over a Europe‐wide domain produces good agreement for predicting wind farm power output, but clustering over smaller domains is required for downstream wake predictions which agree with the year of WRF simulations. Our approach facilitates multi‐year predictions of power output and downstream farm wakes, by providing a fast, reliable, and flexible methodology applicable to any global region. Moreover, this constitutes the first tool to help mitigate effects of wind energy loss downstream of wind farms. Plain Language Summary: With the need to transition to renewable energy, wind energy is becoming increasingly important. However, the build‐out of wind farms must be carefully planned, not least because entire wind farms extracting energy from the atmosphere cause large scale wind velocity deficits downstream. Wind energy resource assessment typically relies on numerical models, but these are computationally expensive to run for the multi‐year predictions required for sustainable development. It is therefore common to use a smaller set of weather conditions that are representative of a longer period. Here, we develop such a workflow based on identifying characteristic weather patterns using a clustering technique from the machine learning literature. Based on the characteristic patterns identified, we perform a small number of short numerical model experiments, one for each weather pattern. By applying a novel post‐processing technique to combine the outputs from these experiments, we obtain predictions of wind farm power and downstream wakes over the original multi‐year period, using just 2% of the computation time required by a purely numerical modeling approach. Our workflow thus constitutes a fast, reliable, and flexible methodology that is applicable to any global region, which can be used for the sustainable development of wind energy. Key Points: Fast, reliable and flexible method for long‐term wind energy resource assessment using only six short‐term simulationsEvaluation of suitable variables and domain sizes for deriving weather patternsWeather prediction model is combined with clustering method for energy prediction [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 2024
- Full Text
- View/download PDF
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