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• Insights from transportation research used to improve comprehensive ESOM. • Capturing underlying heterogeneities by increasing contextual model resolution. • The setup underpins importance of tailoring climate strategies to specific settings. • Behavioural shifts have different implications depending on the contextual setting. • Failing to address key cost barriers delays car fleet electrification by five years. Meeting ambitious climate targets requires deep cuts in emissions from passenger transportation. Many studies point to electrification and behavioural shifts as key measures. Spatial, demographic, economic, and transport-sector-related factors shape the opportunities and preferences for change, thus setting the direction and pace of the transition. These factors typically differ between urban, suburban and low-population-density settings, a fact that is generally overlooked in comprehensive energy system optimisation models (ESOM). This study introduces a novel contextual representation of passenger transportation within a national ESOM (TIMES-Sweden). When testing the new approach, different cost barriers to electrification are found across various settings, signalling a need for different policy responses. Further, opportunities for – and impact from – shifts in travel behaviours vary significantly across settings. These results highlight the need for climate change mitigation strategies in passenger transportation which are better tailored to specific contexts. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

We argue in this study that higher electricity expenditures increase voter support for the radical right because these parties oppose costly climate mitigation policies. We use data from Sweden, which experiences extremely high demand for heating energy during winter months. The demand for electricity differs greatly between geographical regions due to large temperature differences, from 0 in the southern regions to −50 Celsius in the north. We create our independent variable of electric grievances based on this variation, which increases faster with the spot price of electricity in neighborhoods with a low disposable income relative to the average electricity bill in that area. Using this setup, we find that electric grievances are associated with increased support for the radical right. We argue that soaring electricity prices tend to hurt parties with a mainstream profile since voters associate them them with more ambitious decarbonization policies, while the radical right gain support, since they tend to oppose costly solutions. Our results suggests that the transition to renewable energy can grind to a halt when electricity prices rise higher because voters may abandon the parties who push for the green transition. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Local actors are recognized as key drivers for climate action. Making climate change relevant and possible to act on in local contexts is thus a critical undertaking for both researchers and society at large. Connecting climate change to people's known surroundings and experiences, and framing climate action in relation to everyday practices in the local context, might then be crucial to making climate change relevant and actionable on the local level. In this paper, we explore the potential of forests to serve as such a connection. We have worked in close collaboration with a broad range of stakeholders in two case study locations in Sweden to explore potential courses of action for local climate action in relation to forests. We critically analyze these local articulations of climate action and examine the assumptions underlying them, with the aim to assess the effects and consequences of different problem representations. Our results illustrate the challenges of thinking and acting outside of the prevalent business-as-usual or more-of-everything discourses, of recognizing the importance of politics and choice, and of overcoming perceived barriers to action. We find tensions in the allocation of responsibility in both time and space – but also potential room for more local action in assumptions of un- or underused potential for political and civil action on the local level. • Dominating global discourses tend to limit space for local climate action. • Local stakeholders articulate local and regional level as central actors for change. • To further enable local climate action, need to discuss its conditions and premises. • Gap between local actor's perceptions of own potential to act and own power to act. • Addressing it could unlock capacity for local climate action, bottom-up solutions. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]