1. A NOTE ON DIVERSIFICATION .
- Author
-
Pye, Gordon
- Subjects
PORTFOLIO management (Investments) ,UTILITY theory ,RISK aversion ,DIVERSIFICATION in industry ,CASH position of corporations ,INVESTORS - Abstract
It is widely assumed in portfolio theory that inveher hand, the main empirical foundation for such behavior in portfolio selection appears to be the observation of diversification. Risk-averse, expected-utility maximization implies diversification in portfolio selection, and investors are observed to diversify. In recent papers it has been argued that investors in some situations appear to display risk aversion to opportunity loss rather than to outcome. Thus I have argued [3] that investors are frequently jittery with very large cash positions as well as with very small ones. A natural explanation is that they fear being caught with a large cash position, if the market should rise, just as they fear being caught with a large stock position, if the market should fall. Being subject to a large opportunity loss of either type is cause for concern. The risk-averse expected-utility maximizer, on the other hand, presumably feels quite secure when he has little doubt about the outcome as he does with a large cash position. This is not the only evidence consistent with risk aversion to opportunity loss: I have argued [2] that the familiar strategy of dollar averaging is designed to hedge against large opportunity losses rather than against outcome variability. In particutar, under conditions that may be taken to approximate those under which dollar averaging is advocated, it has been shown that dollar averaging is a nonsequential, minimax strategy and cannot be a nonsequential, risk-averse, expected-utility maximizing strategy. Under similar conditions, Bawa [1] has recently pointed out that a sequential rather than nonsectuential minimax policy can also be interpreted in terms of a familiar prescription for stock-market trading. That prescription is to let your profits run but to cut your losses. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]
- Published
- 1974
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