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Recent advances in the application of spectral bands from satellite observations and machine learning algorithms (MLA) in the Google Earth Engine (GEE) cloud-computing platform have been demonstrated to enhance the accuracy of mapping forest resources. This study presents a novel method for mapping the natural distribution of highland bamboo (Oldeania alpina) using spectral bands and three machine learning algorithms, namely random forest, gradient tree boosting, and classification and regression tree. First, spectral bands, vegetation indices and textural features including contrast, entropy and inverse difference moment were derived from the Sentinel-2 elevation data. Second, observations were categorized as the dry season (December-February), short rainy season (March-May), main (long) rainy season (June-August), wet season (September-November) and annual composite. Third, the machine learning algorithms were tested using 1882 ground control points collected from field and high spatial resolution images. Finally, the best-performing machine learning algorithm was used to classify and map bamboo forests. The five land cover categories identified were bamboo stands, natural forest, other vegetation, non-vegetated areas and water bodies. The result shows that the random forest classifier is a robust algorithm with an overall accuracy of 94% considering all the annual composite's spectral, vegetation and textural variables. The highland bamboo coverage (91 km2) in the Andracha district provided valuable insights. Bamboo stands were mostly distributed in the southern and southeastern parts of the district. Here, we show that image compositing and multiple input parameters using machine learning techniques can overcome challenges facing land cover classification, which can hinder accurate mapping of Afromontane forests. We conclude that the incorporation of vegetation indices and textural features in land cover classification increases accuracy of mapping natural highland bamboo coverage and distribution. The application of this new method is a promising prospect not only in Ethiopia but also in Afromontane forests elsewhere in Africa. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Climate change impacts are posing greater risks to biodiversity, food security, and livelihood in Africa, specifically in arid and semi‐arid environments. In Ethiopia, the genus Balanites Del., which belongs to the monogeneric family called Balanitaceae, has the multipurpose B. aegyptiaca and B. rotundifolia. However, these species are overlooked and endangered by climate change, and their species distributions are not well documented and understood in Ethiopia. Therefore, this study aimed to model the habitat suitability of these two species using current occurrence data, climate, and landscape data and predict their distribution under climate change. Occurrence points of B. aegyptiaca (n = 224) and B. rotundifolia (n = 80) were collected from field surveys and herbarium. Bioclimatic (WorldClim.v2), soil, and landscape variables were used in the ensemble species distribution models (SDMs) using six algorithms (GLM, GAM, BRT, RF, MARS, and SVM). The ensemble SDMs under the current climate showed that the Central Ethiopian Rift Valley is highly suitable habitats for B. aegyptiaca accounting for an area of 114,517 km2, and the Southern Ethiopian Rift Valley is highly suitable habitats for B. rotundifolia accounting for an area of 41,373 km2. The performance of ensemble SDM under the current climate for B. aegyptiaca showed 0.95 AUC, 0.80 TSS, 0.79 COR, and 0.87 deviance; and that of B. rotundifolia with 0.90 AUC, 0.80 TSS, 0.80 COR, and 0.50 deviance. Temperature annual range (Bio07) and precipitation seasonality (Bio15) for B. aegyptiaca; and precipitation of driest quarter (Bio17) and annual precipitation (Bio12) for B. rotundifolia are the most key bioclimatic variables that affect their distributions. The ensemble SDMs under SSP2‐45 and SSP5‐85 (HadGEM3‐GC31‐LL) climates showed that the highly suitable areas will remain suitable for both species (B. aegyptiaca with 116,934 km2 area cover (ΔA = +2.1%) and 125,757 km2 area cover (ΔA = +7.5%) and B. rotundifolia with 29,547 km2 area cover (ΔA = −28.6%) and 50, 894 km2 area cover (ΔA = +23%), respectively). The findings of this study implicated that the Ethiopian Rift Valley region in general for B. aegyptiaca and the Southern Rift Valley of Ethiopia for B. rotundifolia are suitable areas for conservation and sustainable use of the species. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Environmental transformations are the results of land-use and land-cover (LULC) changes. This study aims to investigate the LULC changes and associated factors in the Este District in northwestern Ethiopia, for the last four decades (the 1980s to 2020s). The land-use and land-cover classes were analyzed using supervised classification techniques in ERDASS IMAGINE 2015 and ArcGIS 10.3.1, categorizing the Landsat satellite images for 1984, 2000, and 2018 into six cover classes: settlement, forests-shrublands, cropland, grassland, bare land, and water body. We used a historical Google map, topo-sheets, and ancillary data to verify the classification accuracies for 1984, 2000, and 2018, respectively. The climate and demographic data were obtained from the Ethiopian Meteorological Station and Ethiopian Statistical Agency, respectively. In addition, data from key informant interviews and focus group discussions were also used to understand the local community experiences and perceptions toward LULC changes. The values of each LULC class were correlated with the demographic and climatic variables, using simple correlation analysis to evaluate the impact of demographic and climatic conditions on LULC changes. The analysis indicated that the least and largest classes of LULC in Este District were water bodies (mean cover = 1.9 km2) and croplands (mean cover = 791.7 km2), respectively. Cropland coverage increased by 2% in 2000, then decreased by 11% in 2018. Between 1984 and 2018, the grasslands and settlements increased by 22% and 0.5%, respectively. Half of the bare land and one-tenth of the forests-shrublands also decreased over the last four decades (the 1980s to 2020s). As a result, the original croplands and forests–shrublands classes (11% each) before 2000 were converted into new grasslands and croplands after 2018, respectively. The study indicated that precipitation, solar radiation, and population growth are the potential drivers, and the perceptions of local communities are nearly in line with the statistical analysis results. Alternative income sources, such as tourism and carbon trading and the participation in afforestation programs, could reverse the situation in the study area. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]

Conventional wisdom states that genetic variation reduces disease levels in plant populations. Nevertheless, crop species have been subject to a gradual loss of genetic variation through selection for specific traits during breeding, thereby increasing their vulnerability to biotic stresses such as pathogens. We explored how genetic variation in Arabica coffee sites in southwestern Ethiopia was related to the incidence of four major fungal diseases. Sixty sites were selected along a gradient of management intensity, ranging from nearly wild to intensively managed coffee stands. We used genotyping‐by‐sequencing of pooled leaf samples (pool‐GBS) derived from 16 individual coffee shrubs in each of the 60 sites to assess the variation in genetic composition (multivariate: reference allele frequency) and genetic diversity (univariate: mean expected heterozygosity) between sites. We found that genetic composition had a clear spatial pattern and that genetic diversity was higher in less managed sites. The incidence of the four fungal diseases was related to the genetic composition of the coffee stands, but in a specific way for each disease. In contrast, genetic diversity was only related to the within‐site variation of coffee berry disease, but not to the mean incidence of any of the four diseases across sites. Given that fungal diseases are major challenges of Arabica coffee in its native range, our findings that genetic composition of coffee sites impacted the major fungal diseases may serve as baseline information to study the molecular basis of disease resistance in coffee. Overall, our study illustrates the need to consider both host genetic composition and genetic diversity when investigating the genetic basis for variation in disease levels. [ABSTRACT FROM AUTHOR]